Get started

Usd-jpy-buy

USDJPY: Evaluating Fundamental Strength Amid CPI SurgeHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 148.800 zone. USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 148.800 support and resistance area. Looking at the fundamental aspect, recent CPI data in the US has shown a notable increase, indicating potential inflationary pressures. Considering the CPI data for February, which came in at 0.4% versus the expected 0.3%, and the previous month's 0.3%, it suggests a growing trend in inflation. This upward trend in inflation may influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, possibly reducing the likelihood of rate cuts in the upcoming months. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
Trading USDJPY: Fed's Influence on Uptrend ContinuationHey Traders, In the coming week, we are keeping a close eye on USDJPY for a potential buying opportunity around the 148.800 zone. USDJPY has been following an uptrend and is currently experiencing a correction phase, bringing it closer to the support and resistance area at 148.800. Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, it's important to note the recent guidance from the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy. The Fed's indication that a rate cut in March is unlikely has implications for the strength of the US dollar. Such forward guidance from the central bank can influence market sentiment and impact currency pairs like USDJPY. As traders, it's crucial to consider these fundamental factors alongside technical analysis when making trading decisions. Keeping abreast of central bank communications and their implications for currency movements is key to navigating the forex market effectively. Trade safe, Joe
Long
by JoeChampion
5
Capitalizing on USDJPY's Breakout: A Fundamental PerspectiveIn today's trading session, we're eyeing a buying opportunity on USDJPY around the 148.900 zone. USDJPY recently broke through a significant resistance area and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the retrace area. Technical Analysis: USDJPY's recent breakout above key resistance levels signals potential bullish momentum. The pair is now in a corrective phase, with the 148.900 zone acting as a crucial area for potential re-entry. Fundamental Analysis: Chair Powell's recent remarks regarding the likelihood of a rate cut in March have reverberated through the market. His indication that a rate cut is not the Federal Reserve's base case, coupled with the release of a robust payrolls report, has underscored the strength of the US economy. Despite Powell's access to privileged information, his decision to downplay rate cut expectations suggests a more optimistic outlook for US growth. Historically, strong US economic performance has translated to a positive environment for the Dollar, potentially favoring USDJPY bulls. Combining technical analysis with a fundamental perspective, the outlook for USDJPY appears promising. The recent breakout and correction phase present a strategic buying opportunity, supported by Chair Powell's remarks and strong economic data. Traders should closely monitor price action around the 148.900 zone for potential entry points, keeping a keen eye on broader market dynamics.
Long
by JoeChampion
2
Chair Powell's Statements Impact on USDJPY: A Deep Dive AnalysisIn today's trading session, the focus is on the USDJPY pair, with traders eyeing a potential buying opportunity around the 148.100 zone. The currency pair is currently in an uptrend but undergoing a correction phase, with the price nearing the key support and resistance area at 148.100. This analysis is supported by recent statements from Chair Powell, who notably signaled a departure from market expectations by stating that a rate cut in March is not the Federal Reserve's base case. The strong payrolls report further reinforced this message, highlighting the robustness of the US economy. It's essential to consider Chair Powell's perspective, as he has access to more comprehensive information than the markets. Despite this, he chose to push back on rate cuts rather than keeping his options open, indicating confidence in the economy's trajectory. In such scenarios where US growth leads the way, it typically creates a positive environment for the Dollar, adding to the rationale behind monitoring the USDJPY pair for potential buying opportunities.
Long
by JoeChampion
2
USDJPY: Reacting to Strong NFP Following Fed's WarningIn today's trading session, our attention is on USDJPY, where we are eyeing a buying opportunity around the 147.400 zone. USDJPY has recently broken out of a downtrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the retrace area at the 147.400 support and resistance zone. Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, we anticipate further strengthening of the USD. The Federal Reserve's indication that rate cuts in March are unlikely has bolstered the dollar's position in the market, contributing to the bullish outlook for USDJPY. Furthermore, today's release of the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data for January has added to the bullish sentiment surrounding the USD. The NFP report revealed a significant increase of 353,000 jobs, surpassing the expected figure of 180,000. This strong labor market performance suggests robust economic activity, potentially leading to increased investor confidence in the USD. Consequently, USDJPY may experience upward momentum as traders react to the positive economic data. t's essential to remain vigilant of both fundamental and technical factors influencing USDJPY's movement. The combination of a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve and better-than-expected economic indicators like the NFP data could fuel further appreciation of the USD against the JPY. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
Connecting the Dots: CPI Numbers and USDJPY OpportunitiesIn today's trading session, our attention is on USDJPY, as we monitor a potential buying opportunity around the 147.500 zone. USDJPY, currently in an uptrend, is in a correction phase, approaching the trend at the 147.500 support and resistance area. Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, let's consider the recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Examining the CPI figures from the past months, there has been a gradual decrease, with the most recent data showing a CPI of 3.4%, surpassing the forecasted 3.2% and slightly down from the previous month's 3.7%. Now, let's connect this data to potential USD strength. A stable inflation environment can contribute to a stronger US dollar, as it signals economic stability and confidence. With the recent CPI figures, indicating a balance between inflation and expectations, there is potential for the USD to gain strength. Traders looking to engage in USDJPY should keep an eye on both fundamental and technical aspects. As always, trade safe.
Long
by JoeChampion
3
Bank of Japan's Dovish Line Pushes Yen DownSTRATEGY LONG TARGET 175USD YEN The market thinks the Bank of Japan’s new governor is negative for the yen and a plus for stocks, at least based on his first policy board meeting. In fact, the headline NFP print showed that the US economy added 253K new jobs in April against 179K anticipated, offsetting the downwardly revised reading of 165K. Adding to this, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 3.4% during the reported month from 3.5% in March, which assists the US Dollar (USD) to regain strong positive traction and provides a goodish lift to the USD/JPY pair. Apart from this, a positive turnaround in the global risk sentiment - as depicted by a goodish recovery in the equity markets - undermines the safe-haven Japanese Yen (JPY) and further contributes to the bid tone surrounding the USD/JPY pair. That said, the Federal Reserve's (Fed) less hawkish stance holds back the USD bulls from placing aggressive bets and keeps a lid on any further gains, at least for now. Nevertheless, the USD/JPY pair, for now, seems to have snapped a three-day losing streak and stalled this week's sharp retracement slide from the 137.75-137.80 region, or a two-month high. Spot prices, however, remain on track to register losses for the first time in the previous four weeks. This makes it prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before placing fresh bullish bets around the major. After Gov. Kazuo Ueda presided over his first meeting, the bank emphasized that it would continue monetary easing to support growth in wages and prices. That was enough to persuade market players that an interest-rate increase isn’t in the cards soon. Late Friday in Tokyo, the yen was trading at around 136 to the dollar, compared with around 134 to the dollar before the central bank’s midday decision. The USD/JPY pair catches aggressive bids during the early North American session and jumps to the 135.00 psychological mark in reaction to the stellar US monthly employment details. USD BULLISH When the dust settles, the Fed is set to continue raising rates US to have permanently higher rates than elsewhere Re-acceleration of inflation and its win over the Fed will continue to catch the market by surprise The Dollar is higher for longer, alongside the Fed’s narrative Stagflation to take USD even higher Hot CPI means the Fed pivot is well beyond the horizon Ugly inflation promises further flight to safety US at war means a stronger dollar Outlook for Fed monetary policy now more hawkish Powell projects pain, higher rates for longer set to keep the dollar bid There is no alternative to the US dollar No recession for America's labor market, more dollar gains eyed Fed Chair Powell prioritizes fighting inflation, and ready to see negative growth
Long
by DaveBrascoFX
59
Is this the USD/JPY spring point? Looking at the Dollar vs. Yen on the higher timeframe going into this week looks like it could be in a perfect spot to catch some volume and ride a trend. When looking at multiple variables of the pair you can see reasons why I believe this may be time for the Dollar to fan its wings a little bit. Healthy trend is obvious to myself and my trading style, and to get into long positions I would be looking to attempt to fulfil a pullback that correlates with the previous two pull backs. If my prediction is right on this idea then we should pull right back into that recent bullish reaction and move to the upside. You can see the Fibonacci level drawn on the pair, and then the actual Dollar index and what I notice is a retracement backdown to the .50 mark until bullish momentum picked back up. The overlay printed is tracking higher value FRAMA areas and I have coded it to quit printing the overlay when the lines are crossing or overlapping to indicate an indecisive market and to keep out of "trend trades" in those conditions and focus more on a range strategy if I really must, and I see a trend trade opportunity rather than a retracement down to the range bottom. Even with heavy news last week, the Dollar stayed pretty strong in my own eye due to the fact some important numbers missed, and the impact was quickly recovered. I see this as high bullish impact, and we are in a big retail zone on a higher time frame bringing me to a bias being trapping traders in short positions slowly beginning of the week until the volume control is gained back and will go to take highs and create new ones. The Yen has been taking a beating and the bullish activity cant seem to hold when it does inject. I see a range if anything next week on the Yen index but if my analysis is correct we should see a lower high and a lower low created.
Long
by mbfxtrading