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Usd-jpy

Trading USDJPY: Fed's Influence on Uptrend ContinuationHey Traders, In the coming week, we are keeping a close eye on USDJPY for a potential buying opportunity around the 148.800 zone. USDJPY has been following an uptrend and is currently experiencing a correction phase, bringing it closer to the support and resistance area at 148.800. Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, it's important to note the recent guidance from the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy. The Fed's indication that a rate cut in March is unlikely has implications for the strength of the US dollar. Such forward guidance from the central bank can influence market sentiment and impact currency pairs like USDJPY. As traders, it's crucial to consider these fundamental factors alongside technical analysis when making trading decisions. Keeping abreast of central bank communications and their implications for currency movements is key to navigating the forex market effectively. Trade safe, Joe
Long
by JoeChampion
5
Capitalizing on USDJPY's Breakout: A Fundamental PerspectiveIn today's trading session, we're eyeing a buying opportunity on USDJPY around the 148.900 zone. USDJPY recently broke through a significant resistance area and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the retrace area. Technical Analysis: USDJPY's recent breakout above key resistance levels signals potential bullish momentum. The pair is now in a corrective phase, with the 148.900 zone acting as a crucial area for potential re-entry. Fundamental Analysis: Chair Powell's recent remarks regarding the likelihood of a rate cut in March have reverberated through the market. His indication that a rate cut is not the Federal Reserve's base case, coupled with the release of a robust payrolls report, has underscored the strength of the US economy. Despite Powell's access to privileged information, his decision to downplay rate cut expectations suggests a more optimistic outlook for US growth. Historically, strong US economic performance has translated to a positive environment for the Dollar, potentially favoring USDJPY bulls. Combining technical analysis with a fundamental perspective, the outlook for USDJPY appears promising. The recent breakout and correction phase present a strategic buying opportunity, supported by Chair Powell's remarks and strong economic data. Traders should closely monitor price action around the 148.900 zone for potential entry points, keeping a keen eye on broader market dynamics.
Long
by JoeChampion
2
Sell USDJPY Bearish Channel The USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe displays a bearish signal due to a well-defined downward channel pattern, suggesting a potential selling opportunity in the coming minutes or hours. Key Points: Bearish Channel: The price has been confined within a descending channel characterized by two falling lines, one for resistance and one for support. This pattern indicates ongoing selling pressure and potential for further decline. Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 148.03, situated close to the channel resistance. This offers an entry point near a potential reversal zone. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 147.37 and 147.03, marking previous support zones within the channel. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the channel resistance line at 148.40. This helps limit potential losses if the trend breaks unexpectedly.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
9
Chair Powell's Statements Impact on USDJPY: A Deep Dive AnalysisIn today's trading session, the focus is on the USDJPY pair, with traders eyeing a potential buying opportunity around the 148.100 zone. The currency pair is currently in an uptrend but undergoing a correction phase, with the price nearing the key support and resistance area at 148.100. This analysis is supported by recent statements from Chair Powell, who notably signaled a departure from market expectations by stating that a rate cut in March is not the Federal Reserve's base case. The strong payrolls report further reinforced this message, highlighting the robustness of the US economy. It's essential to consider Chair Powell's perspective, as he has access to more comprehensive information than the markets. Despite this, he chose to push back on rate cuts rather than keeping his options open, indicating confidence in the economy's trajectory. In such scenarios where US growth leads the way, it typically creates a positive environment for the Dollar, adding to the rationale behind monitoring the USDJPY pair for potential buying opportunities.
Long
by JoeChampion
2
USD/JPY bulls eye a move to 150Trading conditions have been choppy over the past week and a half for currency traders whilst the US dollar index has remained trapped between its 50 and 20-day EMAs. But USD/JPY shows the most promise for a breakout, which we suspect could be to the upside. A false break below 147 last week suggests the corrective low could be in, and a 3-day bullish reversal (Morning Star pattern) hints of an upside breakout from its consolidation. The 10-day EMA is also providing support on the daily chart. From here, we're looking for dips within the bullish pattern and ideally for prices to hold above the 10-day EMA to initiate a long. Whilst prices remain above last week's low, the bias is for a move to the 149.58 - 150 zone.
Long
by CityIndex
USDJPY: Reacting to Strong NFP Following Fed's WarningIn today's trading session, our attention is on USDJPY, where we are eyeing a buying opportunity around the 147.400 zone. USDJPY has recently broken out of a downtrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the retrace area at the 147.400 support and resistance zone. Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, we anticipate further strengthening of the USD. The Federal Reserve's indication that rate cuts in March are unlikely has bolstered the dollar's position in the market, contributing to the bullish outlook for USDJPY. Furthermore, today's release of the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data for January has added to the bullish sentiment surrounding the USD. The NFP report revealed a significant increase of 353,000 jobs, surpassing the expected figure of 180,000. This strong labor market performance suggests robust economic activity, potentially leading to increased investor confidence in the USD. Consequently, USDJPY may experience upward momentum as traders react to the positive economic data. t's essential to remain vigilant of both fundamental and technical factors influencing USDJPY's movement. The combination of a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve and better-than-expected economic indicators like the NFP data could fuel further appreciation of the USD against the JPY. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
USDJPY:Breakout and Eyeing a potential retrace.In the upcoming week's trading session, our focus is on USDJPY as we anticipate a selling opportunity around the 149.800 zone. USDJPY has recently shifted from an uptrend and is currently undergoing a correction phase, presenting an opportunity as it approaches the 149.800 support and resistance area. As traders, it's important to monitor USDJPY closely as it navigates this correction phase. The 149.800 zone serves as a significant level where price action may encounter resistance, aligning with the broader market sentiment and technical analysis.
Short
by JoeChampion
USDJPY Bearish reversal towards the 1W MA50The USDJPY pair eventually took the bearish path last time we made a trading plan (November 28 2023, see chart below) and hit the 143.550 Target: The price has now made a short-term (at least) top as the 1D RSI got rejected near the 70.00 Overbought barrier. As a result we are expecting a reversal towards at least the 1W MA5 (red trend-line), which has been the long-term Support as it formed the bottoms (and subsequent rebounds) of December 28 and July 14 2023. As a result our Target is 143.000, even though the downtrend may very well extend as low as the Higher Lows trend-line. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
Buy USDJPY Triangle Breakout USD/JPY M30 Triangle Breakout Hints at Potential Upswing A bullish triangle pattern has emerged on the USD/JPY 30-minute chart, suggesting a possible shift in momentum towards the upside. Key Points: Triangle Breakout: The price has been consolidating within a triangle formation, characterized by converging support and resistance lines. This consolidation has now given way to an upside breakout, potentially indicating a renewed bullish trend. Buy Entry Opportunity: The break above the triangle's upper boundary around 148.10 presents a potential buying opportunity. Bullish Targets: If the upward momentum continues, initial targets could be found at the resistance levels of 149.04 and 149.43. Risk Management: To manage potential downside risks, a stop-loss order could be placed below the triangle's lower support at 147.70 Additional Considerations: Keep an eye on broader market sentiment and economic releases from both the US and Japan, as they can influence the currencies' relative strength. Employ proper risk management practices, including appropriate trade sizing and stop-loss orders, to safeguard your capital.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
Potential turning on UJ h1?Tradingview Ideas: Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Very nice run on UJ last week. You may also refer back to my previous analysis where i was bullish on UJ. Hopefully your got some pips too! The higher timeframe is still on the upside, just that pullback could be there and do take note of the tuesday rate news by BOJ Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
Connecting the Dots: CPI Numbers and USDJPY OpportunitiesIn today's trading session, our attention is on USDJPY, as we monitor a potential buying opportunity around the 147.500 zone. USDJPY, currently in an uptrend, is in a correction phase, approaching the trend at the 147.500 support and resistance area. Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, let's consider the recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Examining the CPI figures from the past months, there has been a gradual decrease, with the most recent data showing a CPI of 3.4%, surpassing the forecasted 3.2% and slightly down from the previous month's 3.7%. Now, let's connect this data to potential USD strength. A stable inflation environment can contribute to a stronger US dollar, as it signals economic stability and confidence. With the recent CPI figures, indicating a balance between inflation and expectations, there is potential for the USD to gain strength. Traders looking to engage in USDJPY should keep an eye on both fundamental and technical aspects. As always, trade safe.
Long
by JoeChampion
3
Sell USDJPY Triangle PatternUSD/JPY M30 Triangle Breakout Signals Potential Downtrend A bearish triangle pattern has emerged on the USD/JPY pair's M30 chart, hinting at a potential breakdown and further downward movement. Key Points: Pattern: The pair has been consolidating within a triangle formation, characterized by converging support and resistance lines. This often indicates a period of indecision before a decisive move. Sell Entry: A break below the lower support line of the triangle, around 148.10, could signal a bearish breakout and offer a potential sell entry. Targets: Potential bearish targets are located at the support levels of 147.16 and 146.60. Stop Loss: A stop loss can be placed above the upper resistance line of the triangle, around 148.50, to manage risk. Additional Considerations: Market Sentiment: The overall market sentiment and fundamental factors influencing both the USD and JPY will also impact the pair's price action. Economic Data: Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases from both the US and Japan, as they could influence the currencies' relative strength. Risk Management: Employ proper risk management strategies, including appropriate trade sizing and stop-loss orders, to protect your capital. Fundamental Factors : 1. Mixed US Housing Data Dampens USD Strength: Earlier on Friday, mixed US housing data, including weaker-than-expected housing starts but a surprising rise in building permits, cast doubt on the strength of the US economy and capped gains for the dollar. This could put downward pressure on USD/JPY. 2. Weak Japanese Machinery Orders Add to Downside Risks: Japan's core machinery orders, a key indicator of future capital spending, unexpectedly declined in November, raising concerns about the health of the Japanese economy. This could lead to increased safe-haven demand for the Japanese yen, weakening USD/JPY further. 3. Rising Global Risk Aversion Favors JPY: Heightened geopolitical tensions and ongoing recession fears in some economies are prompting investors to seek safe-haven currencies like the yen. This could contribute to a decline in USD/JPY. Thank you
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
8
USDJPY's Breakout and Economic IndicatorsGreetings Traders, In today's trading session, our focus shifts to USDJPY, where we are actively monitoring a potential selling opportunity around the 144.600 zone. After trading in an uptrend, USDJPY has experienced a significant breakout to the downside. The currency pair is currently navigating a correction phase, steadily approaching the critical retrace area at the 144.600 support and resistance zone. A deeper analysis involves considering recent economic indicators. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data play pivotal roles in understanding the broader economic landscape. The most recent FOMC meeting revealed a dovish stance, with an emphasis on supporting economic recovery. Additionally, the CPI figures highlight inflation easing, contributing to the cautious approach of the central bank. Moreover, the latest Institute for Supply Management (ISM) figures underscore the challenges faced by the U.S. manufacturing sector, with the index slipping to 50.6, below both the forecasted 52.5 and the previous 52.7. This unexpected downturn in manufacturing adds a layer of complexity to USDJPY's correction phase, potentially furthering the weakening of the U.S. dollar. As USDJPY hovers around the 144.600 level, traders should exercise vigilance and consider the broader economic context when making trading decisions. The confluence of technical and fundamental factors enhances the significance of this monitoring session, urging traders to remain adaptable to evolving market conditions. Trade safe, Joe.
Short
by JoeChampion
2
UJ at a flip zoneHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Looking at a potential double bottom to break to the upside, if that doesnt happen UJ likely gonna move lower ,waiting for h1 confirmation... Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
USDJPY to see a limited rally?USDJPY - 24h expiry The medium term bias remains bearish. Trading within the Channel formation. The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. We look to Sell at 143.25 (stop at 143.85) Our profit targets will be 141.75 and 141.35 Resistance: 143.25 / 143.75 / 144.50 Support: 142.25 / 141.50 / 140.60 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
Charting USDJPY: A Comprehensive Fundamental ExaminationGreetings Traders, In the current trading session, our focus is squarely on USDJPY, where we are actively evaluating a potential selling opportunity around the 143.300 zone. As USDJPY navigates a downtrend, the ongoing correction phase places it in proximity to the trend at the pivotal 143.300 support and resistance area. This analysis takes a deep dive into the fundamental landscape, delving into key indicators such as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Commencing with the FOMC, the most recent meeting held on December 13, 2023, maintained the interest rate at 2.00%. While the rate itself remains stable, the accompanying rhetoric from the Federal Reserve has exhibited a consistently dovish tone. The central bank's commitment to supporting economic growth amidst inflationary pressures suggests a cautious approach to monetary policy. This dovish stance has potential ramifications for USDJPY, as a weaker dollar could contribute to further downsides. Shifting our attention to the CPI data, the latest figures indicate a year-over-year inflation rate of 1.2% for October 25, 2023. This marks a slight increase from the previous 0.8%, though still below the FOMC's target. The easing inflation is a critical factor influencing the dovish stance, allowing the Federal Reserve flexibility in its approach to interest rates. Analyzing the interest rate differentials between the United States and Japan further amplifies the potential for USD weakness. As of December 14, 2023, the Federal Reserve's interest rate stands at 2.00%, whereas the Bank of Japan has maintained a consistent interest rate of -0.10%. This stark contrast highlights the divergence in monetary policy approaches, potentially placing downward pressure on the USDJPY pair. Considering the technical downtrend in USDJPY and the dovish fundamentals, traders must exercise caution and consider the broader economic context. The interplay of interest rates, inflation, and central bank policies creates a nuanced environment that demands a comprehensive understanding for informed decision-making. In conclusion, as we monitor USDJPY for a selling opportunity around the 143.300 zone, the confluence of FOMC decisions, CPI data, and interest rate differentials underscores the potential for USD weakness. Traders are urged to approach this opportunity with a keen awareness of the intricate interplay between technical and fundamental factors shaping the currency pair. Best of luck in your trades, Joe
Short
by JoeChampion
1