USDNOK Very strong buy signal medium-term.The USDNOK has been consistently giving us excellent signals on this 2-year pattern with the last one (July 10, see chart below) being a buy that hit the 11.0000 Target:
This time the pair is again inside the 2-year Higher Lows Zone, while holding Support 1. The previous High was rejected on Resistance 1, so the Triangle may be transitioning into a Rectangle medium-term.
In any case, this low price is a buy opportunity with our Target being slightly below the Lower Highs trend-line at 10.9500.
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USD-NOK
USDNOK Buy opportunity above the 1D MA50.The USDNOK pair has been trading within a Triangle pattern for the past 2 years (since June 2022) and right now is consolidating right below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) after holding the Higher Lows Zone.
Within this 2-year pattern, every time the price broke above the 1D MA50 following a bottom bounce, the new Bullish Leg was initiated. Our Target is 11.000 (just below the Lower Highs trend-line).
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USDNOK One of the best sells in the market.The USDNOK pair has formed a cyclical top on the 1D time-frame and is currently pulling back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This level has been supporting since March 14 2024. If broken, we expect a a 2nd dip to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as well and as it pierces through the (green) Ichimoku Cloud, stage a dead-cat-bounce back at its top and the 1D MA50.
That should give way to the 2nd part of the Bearish Leg towards the 2-year Higher Lows Zone. Our target is on the top of that Zone at 10.400. Take profit earlier if the 1D RSI breaks below the 30.00 oversold barrier before the price reaches 10.400.
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USDNOK: Buy signal.USDNOK is trading inside a Channel Up for almost four months, with the 1D MA50 supporting as the medium term Support. The very healthy bullish 1D technicals (RSI = 62.188, MACD = 0.074, ADX = 41.092) indicate that the current price action will lead higher so we are buying into today's strength and aim at another +4.60% rise (TP = 11.500).
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USDNOK: Confirmed Bullish Butterfly at Structural Demand LineUSDNOK is sitting at the Demand Line of an Overall Bearish Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern that happens to align with the 1.272-1.618 PCZ of a Bullish Butterfly; along with that, we have PPO Confirmation, RSI BAMM, and a MACD Bullish Crossing. Given the scenario, I can see this trying to retrace up 50-88.6% of the Harmonic Range before coming back down and confirming a partial rise, after which we will then possibly have to look for opposing Bearish signals.
USDNOKTechnical Analysis:
Potential Double Bottom located. RSI oversold on 4 hour. Mac D oversold as well. Although we have a strong bullish candle, momentum color change hasn't kicked in yet on Mac D. Only looking for a retracement. Not a home run. I would like to see price reach 61.80% of the previous high. Let's see what happens!
Fundamental Analysis:
Business Confidence has dropped in the most recent report from Norway.
Business Confidence has risen in the most recent report from USA.
Norway's' inflation rate has increased more than the USA has in the most recent report.
Norway has a higher GDP growth rate. However, USA has the higher GDP overall.
Norway Inflation rate is higher than USA.
Norway government debt has increased more than the USA compared to the most recent report.
Norway Retail Sales YoY has decreased while sales in the USA have increased.
Norway Housing Index has decreased while the index has increased in the USA.
Not Advice.
There is a chance that this trade may go wrong. That's just how it goes. The main goal is to continue practicing to get better!
Let's keep working!
USDNOK will hit psychological as Oil approaches supportUSDNOK is strongly anti-correlated to the prices of oil. Although the US imports most of its oil from Canada, some of the oil producers there are owned by a Norwegian company. Then, the prices are moving globally with oil being one of the most traded commodities.
Last time they USDNOK and USOIL both hit a psychological resistance, both reversed at the same time. USDNOK has fallen sharply from 9.0 level as oil has risen from a 65 level. Later on, the oil went for 200 EMA and USDNOK returned to 9.0 and bounced again.
I don't see any fundamental basis for cheaper oil. Even if there are lockdowns, they will be fairly limited and then, the demand is bound to stay high. Even more so with Europe concerned about winter and Japan starting to use its reserves soon.
So I find it very likely that Oil might stop and reverse at 75 or 70 level where the price meets 200 EMA, also. Of course, at that time, USDNOK will be around the level of 9.0 and that's when Norwegian Krona started to gain strength against US Dollar.
When the price action on both pairs supports the idea, I will be shorting.
USDNOK: BUYMany of our setups for this week on USD pairs are leaning more towards a bullish bias. As you can see on USDNOK, if you drew a Fibonacci from low to high off the daily time frame, you can see that price closed right around the 50.0 entry level of the Fib last week, so if you take this idea, feel free to set your stop loss level and expect to take profit around 9.6932 .
USDNOK looking up 🦐USDNOK after the double bottom over the support has moved to the upside over an ascending trandline.
The price has now reached a daily resistance and according to Plancton's strategy if the market will break above we will set a nice long order.
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Keep in mind.
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Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
USDNOK BUY Hi All,
Looking at this pair we have an impulse wave 2 up from the descending impulse and also we are inside a downtrend diagonal which signals a trend reversal from bearish to bullish. This is not a short term trade, so you will have to be patient and stick to the sl marked, once price move 50pips into our direction you can move SL to entry or above.
Entry and SL marked.
End of USDNOK decline ??Hello
I hope you are well
This analysis is done on a daily basis and has long-term goals.
As you can see, Sharp has a rising price, but in the face of a gradual and slow decline. It is a downward trend. Finding a suitable point seems to allow us to make a good profit from the market. If buyers can break the trend line and the price of 8.38722 with strength, you can be a buyer every time you return to the broken trend line and the mentioned price. But from here, the chart can move to the price of 7.9619, the support zone of which is clear in the analysis, and then climb up. In any case, we are waiting for Kendall's approval. But on Friday, the interesting Kendall finished his work !!!!!
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ridethepig | NOK for the Yearly Close📌 NOK for the Yearly Close
Now comes the traditional complex NOK and SEK map complex. I have mentioned a number of times SEK was in a very good position for sellers, now NOK is joining the disco because it is unlikely that dollar can manage to force the defence. A very amusing chart, for those with a background in waves we are playing the breakdown on a 5 wave multi-decade flow ending.
Here we are dealing with a remarkable position for sellers, a staggering -12% downside to go to the nearest support ....meaning the manoeuvre is intended to put pressure on our opponent as one might suppose with capitulation. Invalidation can be defined above the latent outside reversal.
Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
USDNOK Buy SignalPattern: Triangle on 1D.
Signal: Bullish as the RSI is forming a bullish pattern which since the Channel Up started in March 2018, it was a sign of a new High.
Target: 9.800 (Higher High excluding the COVID candles).
Most recent signal:
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