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USD-RUB

USDRUB 4H Chart: Likely breakout The US Dollar has started to gain strength against the Russian Ruble after the pair reached a five-years' low of 55.58. However, the surge was stopped by the weekly R2 at 58.62. After reaching the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level, the exchange rate made a U-turn south and has since been trading in that direction. A new junior pattern has been drawn to monitor the price movement. This retracement can be measured by connecting the low at 55.58 and the high at 60.43. The currency pair has moved closer to the border of the junior pattern, as can be observed on the chart. Also, technical indicators suggest a breakout of the lower boundary is likely to occur during the next trading sessions.
by UnknownUnicorn890690
USD/RUB 4H Chart: Continued to declined The US Dollar has continued to decline against the Russian ruble, as expected. The currency exchange rate has reached the previously set target of 56.13. The target was chosen as it represents the low level of August 2017. Moreover, it consists of various other levels of significance. For example, an inverse Fibonacci retracement level of past high and low levels would be located at that level. Meanwhile, regarding the long term, the movement is likely to continue south until it breached the monthly pivot point's support at 54.88.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn890690
USD/RUB 4H Chart: Approaching historical lowAs the US Dollar continued to lose ground against the Russian Ruble a major development occurred. The currency exchange rate passed a very significant support level near the 57.60 level. At that mark a 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level met with the support of the most dominant ascending channel pattern. However, that is no longer the situation. Instead the medium term channel down pattern has set its way to guide the currency exchange rate down to the 56.80 mark. That level is also consisted with a much larger scale Fibonacci retracement level. Moreover, close by a monthly support level is located close by.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn890690
USD/RUB meets long term supportAt first glance the situation on the USD/RUB charts looks chaotic. However, if one delves deeper into understanding the currency exchange rate, it is clear what is occurring. First of all the pair has made a rebound against the most dominant ascending channel patterns lower trend line, which is combined with the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement at the 56.95 mark. As a result of the rebound the previously active medium term pattern was broken. Moreover, two new patterns have been mapped. The short term, already obsolete channel up pattern has already been broken. Meanwhile, the new medium term channel up is only speculated.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn890690
2
USD/RUB not likely to go much higherDuring the recent trading sessions the US Dollar has made a rebound against the Russian Ruble. Due to that reason a surge is to be expected. However, various details reveal that the bulls might still pass this rate. First of all the pair is still located in the borders of the junior pattern channel down pattern .That means that it’s upper trend line will continue to provide resistance. Meanwhile, the pair is also located in a dominant channel down. In addition the pair is set to face the resistance of the various simple moving averages of the hourly chart. These factors combined reveal that there might be no short term recovery at all.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn890690
USD/RUB prepares for a surgeThe US Dollar has been depreciating against the Russian Ruble during the last month. However, recently the currency exchange rate has reached the support line of a dominant descending channel pattern. The dominant pattern has a very small angle of decline, which means that most likely we will soon see the formation of a new ascending junior pattern. However, the rate is most likely going to trade flat for some time, as it is set to face the resistance of the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level and the monthly S1 near the 58.75 mark. Moreover, the 55-period simple moving average is approaching from the upside to strengthen the resistance cluster.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn890690
MACRO VIEW: USDRUB HOLDS UPTREND TEST DESPITE OILUSDRUB held uptrend test on 1-year and quarterly basis (bounced back from 1st standard deviations from 1-year (264 days) and quarterly (66 days) means). What is strange, Russian Ruble continues to fall despite downtrend in WTI oil has failed recently. (see related) If price continues to trend upwards (above 66) - likely target is 80, a level outlined by Russian Central Bank today as the price at which it will raise interest rates again. Failure of USDRUB uptrend will be confirmed only when price tags quarterly mean (at 60 now)
Long
by Killy_Mel