USDTRY Double bottom, Part 2 In my previous analysis i showed a potential double bottom on the daily chart which has been playing out so far. The ideal entry, when the triangle would break on the low side, didn't happen. It simply broke upwards and continued the rally since. However, this rally has been very slow so far. It's not always bad, but at this point it needs to accelerate a big more. Like it has been doing the past week or so. Bulls need to show they want to attack the neckline of that double bottom (red zone on the left). So ideally we see a good move up this week, into the resistance zone and make a good bull flag there for a few days. If we see that happen, it will become more likely to see a continuation up for the coming few months.
Previous analysis:
USD-TRY
USDTRY Double bottomLooks like a solid double bottom pattern in the making. On the right we can see a triangle as well. So i am going to wait for a downwards breakout and if we see something like the blue line, i will try a long around the yellow circle, so after the breakout of that channel.
Previous analysis:
USDTRY: Is it breaking higher?The pair broke the 1D Channel Down (RSI = 52.138, Highs/Lows = 0.0416) and entered neutral condition for the first time since early September. If the 5.54000 Resistance is crossed then it reenters into bullish territory and should look for 5.87030 at least.
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USD/TRY 1H Chart: Potential breakoutThe US Dollar has been depreciating against the Turkish Lira since the end of August. This movement has been bounded in a falling wedge.
Technical indicators for the 1W time frame suggest that a breakout north occurs in the nearest future and the currency pair surges towards the Fibonacci 23.60% retracement at 5.7597.
However, this advance might not be immediate as the exchange rate is being pressured by the 200-hour SMA at 5.4656 and the pair could decline to the support cluster formed by the weekly S2 and the monthly S1 near 5.2800.
USDTRY possible bullish wedgeOn the left we can see a big bull flag and the wedge i have drawn as well, both of them failed. Now we have a smaller bullish wedge in the making, could also fail but the RR is way to good to ignore this one. I am trying half here at the low and the second half when it break the wedge.
A great opportunity to buy in Turkish Lira.Midterm forecast:
There is no trend in the market and the price is in a range bound, but we forecast an uptrend wave above 5.0000 would begin in Midterm.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 5.0000 is broken.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI downtrend #1 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 33.
Trading suggestion:
There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested Buy Zone (5.51550 to 5.19000). if so, we would set orders based on Daily-Trading-Opportunities and expect to reach short-term targets.
Beginning of entry zone (5.51550)
Ending of entry zone (5.19000)
Entry signal:
Signal to enter the market occurs when the price comes to " Buy zone " then forms one of the reversal patterns, whether " Bullish Engulfing ", " Hammer " or " Valley " in other words, NO entry signal when the price comes to the zone BUT after any of reversal patterns is formed in the zone. To learn more about " Entry signal " and the special version of our " Price Action " strategy FOLLOW our lessons :
Take Profits:
TP1 : @5.6870
TP2 : @5.9015
TP3 : @6.2090
TP4 : @6.4820
TP5 : @6.8320
TP6 : @7.0000
TP7 : @7.1200
TP8 : Free
A great opportunity to buy in Turkish Lira.Midterm forecast:
There is no trend in the market and the price is in a range bound, but we forecast an uptrend wave above 5.0000 would begin in Midterm.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 5.0000 is broken.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI downtrend #1 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 33.
Trading suggestion:
There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested Buy Zone (5.51550 to 5.19000). if so, we would set orders based on Daily-Trading-Opportunities and expect to reach short-term targets.
Beginning of entry zone (5.51550)
Ending of entry zone (5.19000)
Entry signal:
Signal to enter the market occurs when the price comes to " Buy zone " then forms one of the reversal patterns, whether " Bullish Engulfing ", " Hammer " or " Valley " in other words, NO entry signal when the price comes to the zone BUT after any of reversal patterns is formed in the zone. To learn more about " Entry signal " and the special version of our " Price Action " strategy FOLLOW our lessons :
Take Profits:
TP1 : @5.6870
TP2 : @5.9015
TP3 : @6.2090
TP4 : @6.4820
TP5 : @6.8320
TP6 : @7.0000
TP7 : @7.1200
TP8 : Free
USD/TRY 1H Chart: Descending triangle in sightThe USD/TRY currency pair has been trading in a descending triangle since the end of August.
As apparent on the chart, a breakout from the pattern might occur in the nearest future. From the theoretical point of view, the pair should go downwards the support level formed by a combination of the weekly S2, monthly S1 and the Fibonacci 38.20% at 5.7597.
It is the unlikely case that some bullish pressure still prevails in the market, the US Dollar should not exceed the psychological level at 6.2000.
HOUSE OF THE VIRGIN MARYClear move here?
Everyone thought bitcoin was great when it was going up Sharply; however if we focus on the economic turmoil currently radiating through turkey it is clear that parabolic price inclines in a currency do not necessarily mean positive things other than profit for traders on the correct side of the market.
Smaller time frames show bearish momentum increasing
Put a stop above the previous monthly high and T/P on the first breakout which is a suitable target for the time being.
lets long the lira