Euro will exit from pennant pattern and rise to 1.0400 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time traded inside the range, where it declined to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and then dropped to the support line, breaking the 1.0460 level. Then price turned around and started to grow near the support line until it reached the resistance level, after which it turned around making an impulse down, breaking the support line, and entering to buyer zone. After this movement, the Euro bounced from the buyer zone and started to grow to the resistance level, but when the price almost rose to this level, it turned around and started to decline inside the pennant pattern. In the pennant, Euro declined to the support line, breaking the support level, after which rebounded and quickly rose to the resistance line of this pattern, breaking the support level one more time. And now, the price continues to trades near this line, so, for this case, I think that the Euro can correct to support line of pennant. Then it will start to grow and even can exit from the pennant, after which continue to move up next. Therefore I set my TP at 1.0400 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
USD (US Dollar)
XAUUSD SHORT OPPORTUNITY 1:5
Fundamental Sentiment
Inauguration Day- Anticipating a bullish dollar NY open
Directional Bias
New York bias - Bearish bias
Price Action:
AMD Model this session: Accumulative price action in Asia, Bullish Manipulation start of London session. Anticipating a bearish distribution in New York
15mins market structure shift with a clear AOI at the bearish orderblock.
Setup invalidation
If price rallies above the high of London open, this will invalidate this setup.
USDCAD - 4H Bearish signsThe FX:USDCAD pair fell sharply after news of Canada responding to potential US tariff changes under Donald Trump. It has now reached the bottom of the trading range on the 4H timeframe.
💡 Key Strategy:
Wait for breakout confirmations or enter on a pullback.
Avoid rushing in; price action confirmations are essential for entries!
Patience and strategy always win. Let's trade smart! 📉
Bearish drop?EUR/USD has reacted off the resistance level that is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0426
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.0467
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0343
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Bullish rise off 50% Fibonacci support?The Cable (GBP/USD) has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.2245
1st Support: 1.2162
1st Resistance: 1.2369
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 0.9093
1st Support: 0.9012
1st Resistance: 0.9152
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?USD/ZAR is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 18.7436
1st Support: 18.4603
1st Resistance: 18.8586
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6179
1st Support: 0.6130
1st Resistance: 0.6284
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.0454
1st Support: 1.0348
1st Resistance: 1.0536
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)As you can see from the last update, Gold has decided to push higher towards our 'Option 2' scenario. We've seen huge bullish momentum since the start of this year, which I'm viewing as liquidity grab for the year, before it can move down.
Gold is creating an 'Extended Flat Correction' hence why we are seeing such a long consolidation. Have to learn to exercise patience in these slow market conditions.
Bullish rise?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with the 50 Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 78.08
1st Support: 77.07
1st Resistance: 79.18
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 155.02
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 154.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 156.61
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Levels discussed on 20th Jan 2025 Livestream20th January 2025
DXY: Currently below 109.40, break above, could trade up to 110 (previous swing high), beyond that, strong resistance at 111
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5575 SL 25 TP 60
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6170 SL 15 TP 40
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2150 SL 15 TP 40
EURUSD: Sell 1.0310 SL 30 TP 110
USDJPY: Buy 156.70 SL 40 TP 120
EURJPY: Sell 161.10 SL 40 TP 120
GBPJPY: Looking for reaction at 191.15
USDCHF: Choppy between 0.91 and 0.9150
USDCAD: Buy 1.4480 SL 30 TP 60
XAUUSD: Needs to stay above 2694 (trendline) to trade up to 2722 resistance
Canada CPI fractionally lower. BoC in the spotlight next weekUSDCAD continues to experience strong fluctuations due to recent political and economic events. Next week it will BoC's turn to shape the near-term faith of the Canadian dollar.
FX_IDC:USDCAD MARKETSCOM:USDCAD
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EURUSD Top of the Channel Down. How to trade this.The EURUSD pair gave us a solid short-term buy last time (January 13, see chart below) that easily hit the 1.02850 Target:
The price remains near the top of the 5-week Channel Down and technically this is a sell signal. Our Target is 1.01250, which is the -2.30% minimum decline that has taken place within this pattern as a Bearish Leg.
If the price rises more however and breaks above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), it will be the first time to do so since October 01 2024, and a technical buy signal. In that case, take the loss on the sell and go long instead, targeting 1.06250, which is both marginally below the starting level (Resistance 1) of the Channel Down, as well as significantly below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
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EURUSD 21 Jan 2025 - Intraday Analysis - German ZEWThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 21 Jan 2025 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings.
Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook.
US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT)
🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme)
2️⃣
🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that failed yesterday with price creating a bullish INT Structure.
3️⃣
🔹As price reached the Bearish Swing Extreme, if we are going to continue bearish, this is the area that I prefer to be short from. Also note that after the Bullish iBOS, there will be a pullback required.
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish with more development on LTF to confirm.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT)
🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme)
2️⃣
🔹Price finally broken the range from Jan 16 and reached the bearish Swing Extreme forming Bullish INT Structure.
🔹There is probability that Swing High may be broken based on the Daily/Weekly requirements for pullback and the current market sentiment (Risk Off) as of US Tariffs announcement from Trump yesterday.
3️⃣
🔹My technical expectations is set to Bearish and looking for Shorts but I need to see a bearish iBOS before any executions.
Gold Steadies at$2700 Amid Trump Inauguration &Geopolitical CalmXAU/USD: Gold Prices Steady Near $2,700 – Outlook in a Trumpian Era
Gold prices go easy
Gold prices (XAU/USD) remained steady on Monday morning, fluctuating around $2,700 per ounce as Donald Trump prepared to step onto the podium. With the U.S. observing a holiday (markets are closed) in honor of Martin Luther King Jr., global attention shifts to Trump’s inauguration as the 47th President of the United States.
Trump’s Market-Moving Speech Ahead
Although the specifics of Trump’s speech remain uncertain, analysts speculate that tariffs and tax cuts may emerge as core topics. A softer stance on these points could ease concerns about inflation and reinforce a bullish outlook for gold. Conversely, a more aggressive approach, such as imposing 20% tariffs on imports, might heighten inflation fears and potentially weigh on gold prices.
Trump’s inauguration speech is expected to impact gold prices significantly, as it sets the tone for his administration’s economic policies.
Geopolitical Developments: Ceasefire in Gaza
On a separate note, geopolitical tensions eased on Sunday following confirmation of a ceasefire between Israel and Gaza. The agreement was solidified with Hamas releasing three hostages after some delays, in exchange for Israel freeing 90 prisoners. While gold is traditionally viewed as a safe haven during geopolitical uncertainty, the de-escalation in the Middle East reduced immediate demand for the precious metal.
Gold Technical Analysis
Gold prices are currently consolidating between $2,706 and $2,722 per ounce. The bearish momentum suggests a potential stabilization within the bearish zone, contingent on key levels being breached.
- Bearish Scenario: If prices stabilize below $2,712 and $2,706, further declines to $2,689 and $2,678 are likely, especially if a 4-hour candle closes below $2,706.
- Bullish Scenario: To confirm a bullish trend, prices would need to break above $2,722, potentially targeting $2,739.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2712
Resistance Points: 2722, 2739, 2756
Support Points: 2689, 2678, 2665
Trend Outlook
Bullish Trend: Above 2722
Bearish Trend: Below 2706
USDCHF, follow the current trendOANDA:USDCHF / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
USDCHF is showing strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pull-back to the previous weeklyrange.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Macro high.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit
Entry: 1.2372
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.2474
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2239
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.