DXY looking for a final push higher before collapse.The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been on a strong decline recently, having even broken below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
The multi-year trend is however bullish, a Channel Up pattern since the 2008 market bottom. With the use of the time Cycles tool, we can estimate when the next Bullish Leg starts, and that's not before 2027.
Based on the previous Channel Up corrections (red Channels) we should be expecting one final push towards Resistance 1, before a long-term decline and completion of the Bearish Leg.
As a result, as long as the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, we can take a low risk buy and target the 112.000 - 114.000 Zone.
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USD (US Dollar)
XAU/USD Bullish Flag (06.03.25)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2949
2nd Resistance – 2969
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Bullish bounce?Ethereum (ETH/USD) has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,155.83
1st Support: 1,992.06
1st Resistance: 2,399.50
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8883
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.8819
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.8984
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6331
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6408
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6260
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/MXN: Mexico plans response to US tariffs The White House confirmed a one-month exemption for autos under the USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement), following President Trump’s 25% tariffs on Mexican imports.
The exemption has significant consequences for Mexico’s economy, with tariffs expected to add billions in costs for automakers that rely on Mexican production.
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum plans to discuss tariffs with Trump on Thursday, before her government announces countermeasures on Sunday.
Meanwhile, the MACD indicator initially showed a potential bullish signal as moving averages crossed upward. However, momentum appears to be fading, and the pair has yet to retest its February 3rd highs.
Euro can reach resistance line of wedge and then drop to $1.0400Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price reached the resistance line before beginning to decline. Shortly after, the Euro dropped to the support level, aligning with the buyer zone, then rebounded back to the resistance line before falling again and breaking below the 1.0300 level. Following that, the Euro made a strong upward move, pushing past the resistance level and briefly entering the seller zone. However, the price quickly reversed and started declining within a wedge pattern, eventually breaking through the support line as well. It then fell to the lower boundary of the wedge, forming a gap before beginning to climb again. Not long after, the Euro broke above the 1.0300 level, retested it, and surged toward the resistance level, where it immediately re-entered the seller zone. After some consolidation in this area, the price dropped back to the wedge’s support line, breaking below 1.0490 once again. Recently, however, it rebounded and is now trading near the 1.0490 resistance level. From my perspective, the Euro has the potential to rise toward the wedge’s resistance line, breaking above the resistance level before reversing downward. If that happens, I expect the price to break below 1.0490 again and continue falling toward the wedge’s support line. That’s why I’ve set my TP at 1.0400, as it aligns with this key level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Channel Up testing 1D MA200 after 4 months!The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the January 13 Low and after the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) bounce, the current Bullish Leg is testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
This is the first 1D MA200 test since November 06 2024 and happens to be at the top of the Channel Up with the 1D RSI almost overbought (70.00). These conditions create a low risk opportunity for a short-term Sell. Our Target is the bottom of the Channel Up and the 1D MA50 at 1.04500.
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Heading into overlap resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5693
1st Support: 0.5633
1st Resistance: 0.5732
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 2,098.80
1st Support: 1,941.25
1st Resistance: 2,384.00
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD: Channel Up has topped. Sell signal.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.145, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 17.266) and overbought on the lower timeframes with the 4H RSI in particular above 75.000. The Channel Up that started on the February 2nd low had every HH pull back to its 0.618 Fib level. Consequently we are short on the short term (TP = 1.04500). If the price crosses under this 1 month Channel Up, the longer Channel Up should push even lower to the 0.786 Fib of the greater bullish wave (TP = 1.03000).
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Bearish drop?XAU/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,925.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,953.39
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 2,880.98
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bearish reversal?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2793
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.2863
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.2674
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 150.06
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 151.31
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 148.17
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Gold - 1H TF BULLISHEven though mid term we're bearish on Gold, I still cannot ignore the fact there is a lot of pending LQ on Gold around the ATH. Also, as it's a new month, the new monthly candle requires some liquidity from the upside before it can drop.
On the 1H TF I'll be targeting small zones for buys & once price reaches that zone, I can monitor for any possible rejections back down, or possible further upside. TARGET 1: $2,903📈
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.56400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.56400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD Potential DownsidesHey traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.27400 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.27400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURO - Price can continue to decline inside falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price declined to $1.0380 level and then started to grow inside a wedge, where it at once reached $1.0500 level.
Then price turned around and made correction movement to support line of the wedge, after which quickly bounced up.
Price grew to $1.0500 level and some time traded near this level and later finally broke it, after which turned around.
Euro broke $1.0500 level again, exited from wedge and continued to decline inside falling channel.
Inside channel, price declined to $1.0380 level and a few moments ago broke it and now continued to fall.
Possibly, Euro can rise a little higher than $1.0380 level and then continue to fall to $1.0300 inside channel.
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Crude - Further downside expectedFollow up on this:
Price shot up to test the triangle trendline once again. Now the price is trading very close to a very strong support level.
Based on Elliott Waves, I expect this level to break to make a new low, at least till $58-$60. Since this is the last leg of correction, it is likely to be a sharp drop.