Bearish drop off 50% Fibonacci resistance?XAG/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 30.75
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 31.55
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 29.667
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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USD (US Dollar)
Heading into overlap resistance?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,659.61
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,713.45
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 2,577.91
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 153.766
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 154.91
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 152.28
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could the Loonie drop from here?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4087
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 23.6% and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.4177
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.4008
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSD SHORT TO $1.24300 (UPDATE)Once again overnight (Asia session) GU shot back up again towards our Wave 5 entry zone, rejected it again & is running 70 PIPS in profit so far.
Me & my Gold Vault Academy students understand that Wave 5 being the FINAL IMPULSE WAVE, means that wave will move slowly & trap in a lot of early buyers before it reaches its target. As an Elliott Wave trader, you need to learn to be generous with your SL as we are long term traders trading the higher TF’s, not scalpers👌
USDJPY GAME PLAN WEEK 48After analyzing the forex market's COT report released last Friday, I have aligned my bias with the macroeconomic reports scheduled for this week. There are fewer key events compared to last week, but I am confident that the ones we do have are worth paying attention to.
Now, let me explain why I consider USD/JPY to be a good long trade. First of all, the COT data revealed increased interest in a stronger dollar, further strengthening the already solid bullish sentiment. At the same time, all other currencies either showed increased long interest or reduced short interest—except for JPY.
I avoid trading pairs that are on the same side of the market, as I aim to find as much friction as possible to create the volatility that we, as traders, thrive on. However, this alone is not enough. I will also follow the key reports and events this week, including:
CB Consumer Confidence
Preliminary GDP (q/q)
Unemployment Claims
Core PCE Price Index (m/m)
FOMC Meeting Minutes
Keep in mind that the U.S. market is closed on Thursday.
I won’t wait for every individual release before taking action but will trade accordingly as opportunities arise. For instance, I plan to go long after the CB Consumer Confidence report, but not blindly—I will still base my entries on technical levels. However, the actual numbers in the reports will matter less.
The reality is that sometimes a number that misleads the majority, combined with a strong underlying bias, can create a divergence with immense force behind it.
I will provide updates as the week progresses. Trades might be held for two days or even throughout the entire week, depending on market conditions.
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)After a strong 1,000+ PIPS sell off yesterday, bearish momentum is still holding strong on Gold & keeping prices down. Yesterday's sell off would be considered as Wave 1 of the Bearish correction, which means any minor wave 2 correction we see, this would be your chance to get into sell positions if you haven't already.
I will be looking to get into further sell positions for my Gold Fund investors if market structure offers the opportunity. I will NOT be sharing my additional entries on here for free.
Xauusd | pathways Hey traders !
hope you are doing well
-we have been seen the market and our last analysis which were based on educational analysis -So we are observing that market is stuck in the region and the point which we have been highlighted so basically there are 2 scenarios
if market cross the 2630 area and candle closing above that structure then we will wait for the 2638.00 point which is seem as our next resistance level
Although market is still in bearish circle
we have been set on both ways possibilities
so lets see what will happened!
you guys can direct message us so we can give you our Public Telegram link channel for free
Keep your eyes on the PCE readingsCan DXY continue it's journey north? Or is it time for a bit of correction, allowing pairs like EASYMARKETS:EURUSD to reverse higher?
Let's have a look.
FX_IDC:EURUSD
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AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.64900 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.64900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBP/USD - H1 - Broadening Wedge The GBP/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent formation of well-defined Broadening Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2532, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2442
2nd Support – 1.2375
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
NZDUSD forming a bottom?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 0.5825.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5850 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 0.5825 (stop at 0.5799)
Our profit targets will be 0.5885 and 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5850 / 0.5875 / 0.5880
Support: 0.5825 / 0.5815 / 0.5800
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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GBPUSD SHORT TO $1.24300 (UPDATE)We saw a huge gap on GU last night on market open, which took price back to our entry zone. But it's fine because the analysis is still valid & our position remains open, running in profit👌
We are in the final Wave 5, so it's not a surprise price is moving slowly towards the final target. Seeing a 3 Sub-Wave move play out.
EURUSD Today's 1D Death Cross turning into a 3 month rally!The EURUSD pair is having a strong bullish reversal after marginally breaking on Friday below the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 1.5 year Channel Down. The 1W RSI got marginally oversold (below 30.00), which is a technical buy level.
So far it is similar to the October 03 2023 bottom, which was formed on a 1D Death Cross, exactly the kind of pattern that is being completed today! That bottom initiated a strong 3-month rally that hit the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level respectively. Our long-term Target is 1.08765 (Fib 0.618).
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AUD/USD: Consolidation Amid Strength in Both CurrenciesAUD/USD: Consolidation Amid Strength in Both Currencies
The AUD/USD pair remained relatively steady last week, consolidating as both the Australian dollar (AUD) and the US dollar (USD) stood out as some of the strongest currencies in the forex market. While both currencies are supported by robust fundamentals, differing factors drive their respective strengths, creating an interesting dynamic for the pair.
Strength in the Australian Dollar
The Australian dollar’s strength stems from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) ability to maintain its current monetary policy. With interest rates at 4.35%, the RBA faces less urgency to implement sharp rate cuts, supported by:
- GDP Annual Growth Rate: Australia’s economy is growing at 1.00% annually, showing moderate but steady expansion.
- Inflation and Employment: Relatively high inflation and low unemployment provide the central bank room to hold rates steady, balancing growth with price stability.
These factors position the AUD as one of the more stable and attractive currencies among major forex pairs.
The Resilient US Dollar
On the other hand, the US dollar remains strong, bolstered by robust economic data and the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates:
- Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16): Better-than-expected at 213K, indicating a healthy labor market.
- S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Surprising to the upside at 57.0, reflecting strong activity in the services sector.
With US interest rates at 4.75%, higher than Australia’s, and diminishing prospects of immediate rate cuts, the USD continues to attract global capital. However, the dollar’s strength is moderated by seasonal trends and risk-on sentiment, which tend to favor higher-yielding and riskier assets like the AUD.
Key Event Ahead for the AUD
The most significant event for the Australian dollar this week will be the release of the Monthly CPI Indicator (October) on Wednesday. The market is anticipating a reading of 2.3%, which will provide crucial insight into inflation trends and the RBA’s potential policy direction. A higher-than-expected result could further strengthen the AUD by reducing expectations of future rate cuts.
Seasonality and Risk-On Sentiment
Seasonal patterns and a supportive risk-on sentiment are also aiding the AUD/USD pair. Investors’ appetite for riskier assets typically benefits the Australian dollar, which is closely tied to global growth and commodity markets.
Conclusion
AUD/USD is in a unique position as both currencies are supported by strong fundamentals. While the Australian dollar benefits from steady domestic conditions and inflationary pressures, the US dollar is bolstered by robust economic performance and higher interest rates.
The upcoming inflation report in Australia will likely set the tone for the AUD’s near-term trajectory, while broader market sentiment and seasonal trends could favor continued consolidation or moderate gains in the pair.
What are your thoughts on AUD/USD? Could the Australian dollar take the lead, or will the US dollar maintain its upper hand? Share your insights in the comments!
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Remember what I said on my last Gold update? We could see a short squeeze happen on Gold to trap new buyers & liquidate early sellers. I said if Gold passes the $2,700 mark then it could go up to $2,720 - $2,735 before dropping. Price touched $2,720 last night & melted right back down with accuracy🎯
Overall, our bearish bias remains intact despite the short squeeze!
XAUUSD 25/11/24Following last week's shift into a bullish narrative, we remain bullish on the higher timeframe. This outcome was anticipated in our previous reports, where we noted that failing to interact with key areas appropriately would likely result in a bullish shift.
As expected, the daily bias has also turned bullish, aligning with our forecast. We failed to engage with the liquid highs and areas of supply, resulting in a push upward and the establishment of a new upward trajectory. Currently, we have an unmitigated area of supply, representing a potential counter move. While this scenario is less likely, we are closely monitoring the area of demand at the base of the last major move. If the current upward trajectory breaks, this demand zone will be our focus.
As always, if the price continues downward to the demand area and fails to hold, we will look for lower points within the current range. Our bias will remain bullish unless the daily timeframe bias shifts again. However, if there is no pullback—as previously mentioned—this will be a counter-trend move, increasing the likelihood of another upward expansion. This would target pre-established highs and potentially breach the area of supply.
It’s also worth noting that there are several pockets of liquidity around the demand area, as well as liquidity above the major highs of our previous downward trade.
Trade safely, stick to your plan, and always follow your risk management rules.
EURUSD 25/11/24Starting the week a little later than usual with a markup on EUR/USD. Following weeks and months of bearish price action, we continue to anticipate further downside movement. This outlook aligns with our daily bias, which indicates a bearish trend.
The market opened with a significant gap to the upside across most brokers, increasing the likelihood of the gap being closed. Additionally, there is an untapped supply area above the current price level. Two liquidity highs are situated above this area, suggesting a potential pullback to liquidate these levels. If this occurs, we will look for continued sell-side movement.
However, pullbacks are not guaranteed during trending conditions. If the price continues to expand downward without retracing, our first target will be the gap left open at the market's opening. Beyond that, we will focus on the major low marked at the base of the current move.
Please be mindful of key fundamental events this week, as they may cause a midweek shift in our bias. For now, our outlook remains bearish, and we are focused on identifying sell opportunities. Refer to the points on our charts for guidance on potential downside movement.
If the supply area and liquidity highs are reached but fail to trigger a bearish shift, it may signal a deeper pullback on higher timeframes.
Stick to your plan, manage your risk, and trade safely. Wishing you an amazing trading week!