USDCAD Sell signal on the 2 year ResistanceUSDCAD is about to hit the 2 year Resistance of the October 13th 2022 High.
The price is on its highest level since and with the 1D MACD having formed a Bearish Cross, we are on the ideal sell entry.
Sell and target the 0.618 Fibonacci level at 1.34250.
Previous chart:
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USD (US Dollar)
BTC, S&P, USD: Market react to trump victory Former President Donald Trump claimed a sweeping victory over Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential race. As a result, the U.S. stock market surged, with Tesla, banks, and bitcoin all charging higher.
Trump’s pledge to slash the corporate tax rate to 15% from 21% could lift S&P 500 earnings by roughly 4%, according to projections from Goldman Sachs.
The dollar index climbed more than 2%, topping 105 for the first time in four months, as markets priced in a stronger greenback under a Trump administration. Investors anticipate his policies will fuel inflation, which would pressure the Federal Reserve to maintain elevated interest rates to prevent an overheated economy.
Bitcoin hit record highs as well, boosted by Trump’s campaign promise to champion cryptocurrency. Bitcoin surged to an all-time high on Wednesday, spurred by expectations of a favorable regulatory environment.
How much of Trump’s agenda will become reality remains to be seen, with Republicans’ control of Congress yet undecided.
EURUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.07800 zone, EURUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.07800 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCNY | Market outlook
The USD/CNY strengthened on Tuesday as a stronger U.S. dollar and concerns over a weak Chinese economy put pressure on the Yuan.
Recent data from China revealed that manufacturing activity fell to a six-month low in August, while growth in new home prices also slowed during the same period.
Additionally, the property sector has yet to respond positively to Beijing's series of stimulus measures, continuing to drag down the overall economy.
USDMXN - Trump Sleeper Trade (100k+ Trade) With Trump projected to claim the White House after preliminary votes are in, all eyes turn to Mexico.
Trump has been an outspoken opponent of the "Border Crisis" and the loss of jobs to nearshored workers.
Trump has threatened Mexico with tariffs on both fronts and is projected to have the House and Senate's support when proposing ballots. Expect many Republican States to issue strong punitive measures AGAINST Mexico.
I expect the Peso to weaken to historic lows during this presidency. Target is 32, but could be more or less. This is made BEFORE Trump has taken office or made any decisions, however, Mexican Peso will still weaken until clarity is provided on why it shouldn't. FOREXCOM:USDMXN
Potential rate cut on 11/7, but this should be a minor event in comparison to the implications of a Trump Presidency.
USDCAD - Trump gave a new trend to the dollar!The USDCAD currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term bullish channel. If the upward movement continues, we can see the supply zone and sell within that range with the appropriate risk reward. The correction of this currency pair towards the demand zones will provide us with the next buying positions.
Following the announcement of Donald Trump’s election victory, the U.S. dollar has risen against almost every currency globally. Markets are not only preparing for Trump’s presidential win but also foresee a Republican-controlled Congress, which is crucial for the incoming president’s ability to implement policy changes through the U.S. government.
Ahead of the October 23 monetary policy meeting, officials at the Bank of Canada believed that inflationary pressures were on a downward trend and further tightening of monetary policy was unnecessary. They considered a 0.25% rate cut, though strong consensus emerged for holding off based on economic data observed since July.
Officials noted that a rate cut would require time to sufficiently impact per capita consumer spending and counterbalance the overall consumption decline driven by slower population growth. They agreed to continue normalizing their balance sheet through maturing bonds.
According to informed sources, OPEC+ has reached a preliminary agreement to postpone an increase in oil production for December. This agreement includes countries such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman, which have decided to extend their voluntary oil production adjustments until the end of December 2024.
One key factor weakening the Canadian dollar is the country’s economic challenges. The Canadian housing market is facing serious difficulties due to rising interest rates, and the decline in demand for new home purchases has dimmed future prospects for the market. Additionally, slower population growth, largely dependent on government immigration policies, is negatively impacting the economy. Nonetheless, some hope that China’s economic stimulus efforts and rising natural commodity prices might support the Canadian dollar, though these factors carry their own risks.
BlackRock has stated that expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut are overly optimistic. The bank cited the following reasons:
U.S. third-quarter GDP data show that consumers remain the main driver of economic growth. The average monthly job creation over the past three months has been 104,000 jobs, a healthy rate, which is likely to rise considering hiring pauses due to storm disruptions.
GBPUSD: Updated Support & Resistance Analysis 🇬🇧🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for GBPUSD.
Horizontal Structures
Resistance 1: 1.304 - 1.310 area
Resistance 2: 1.331 - 1.332 area
Resistance 3: 1.341 - 1.343 area
Support 1: 1.284 - 1.286 area
Support 2: 1.277 - 1.280 area
Support 3: 1.266 - 1.269 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Bearish drop?XAG/USD has broken out of the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 32.24
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 33.06
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 31.56
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,759.46
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,790.71
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 2,715.59
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2865
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 1.2803
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.2936
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish breakout?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,720.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,758.32
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,686.32
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish breakout?XAG/USD is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could breakout to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 32.24
1st Support: 31.55
1st Resistance: 32.84
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the pivot and could drop from this level to the pullback support.
Pivot: 2,758.49
1st Support: 2,720.04
1st Resistance: 2,791.74
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD - Gold 3Month (quarterly)Overview:
Gold and silver have performed remarkablely in 2024, emerging as the two best-performing assets of the year. Precious metals often serve as safe-haven assets during times of economic uncertainty, and this year has proven no exception. Investors have flocked to them as hedges against inflation and market volatility, helping to drive their values upward.
By the end of October, silver had surged by 42.4 percent, a dramatic increase that reflects growing demand and limited supply. Gold, similarly, has gained 33.7 percent, solidifying its role as a reliable store of value. These gains in the precious metals market outpaced other commodities and most traditional financial assets.
For comparison, the NASDAQ—the best-performing stock index—has gained 24 percent over the same period. This robust performance in the NASDAQ reflects strength in technology stocks, yet it still falls short of the exceptional growth observed in gold and silver. Such trends highlight the unique appeal of precious metals, especially during periods of market turbulence and geopolitical tension.
Watch the RSI as another blue candle will indicate a Q4 bullish momentum that may continue into the New Year. As for a Red Q4 Candle... This may push the RSI below the 80, creating a bearish Divergence in the LONG term. This Pullback may even look like a trend reversal. Keep in mind a healthy market needs to retrace.
Key Levels:
2450
2315
2235
(Support)
USDCHF Channel Down bottom buy signal.USDCHF is trading inside a (1h) Channel Down with the price currently rebound after a bottom test.
This is a short term buy signal that will be confirmed upon a MA50 (1h) break out.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the MA50 (1h) breaks.
Targets:
1. 0.86650 (+0.67% rise like the previous three rallies.
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is already over its MA trend line. Possibly an early bullish signal.
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EURUSD: Get ready for a fast short.EURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.619, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 44.229) as it has started the new bullish wave following the test of the 1 year HL trendline but on 1H it got overbought (RSI = 76.034) rebounding very aggressively on its 1H MA50. That is fairly similar to the October 30th rebound of the bullish wave that topped upon a +1.15% rise. We are approaching that % increase so get ready to short. So far we have had two pullbacks of -0.56% each, an amazing display of symmetry inside the Channel Up. That is our target on the short term (TP = 1.08950).
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US Presidential Election Forex Analysis5th November US Presidential Election
DXY: Could retest 103.50 area, and rebound up to cover gap and up to 104.30 (if price breaks 103.40 could trade down to 102.90)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6040 SL 20 TP 80
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6635 SL 20 TP 60 (trend following) Counter trend opp: Buy 0.6670 SL 30 TP 90
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2980 SL 40 TP 130
EURUSD: Buy 1.0930 SL 30 TP 70
USDJPY: Ranging between 151.70 and 153.40, looking for breakout potential following major news
USDCHF: Buy 0.8650 SL 20 TP 55
USDCAD: Sell 1.3870 SL 20 TP 50
Gold: Needs to break 2730 to trade down to 2710 and then possible rebound
GBPUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.29800 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.29800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bullish bounce?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,714.83
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 2,685.84
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,759.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.