This EURUSD Range Won’t Hold Much Longer – Expect Fireworks🧠 Current Market Context:
EURUSD is trading in a tight compression zone between 1.0935 support and 1.1000 resistance, following a sharp bullish leg from last week. Price is clearly slowing down, with smaller candles and rejection wicks near key levels — a sign of indecision, but also of an incoming breakout.
⚙️ Price Structure Overview:
The pair is forming higher lows but struggling to break above the psychological barrier at 1.1000, suggesting early signs of bullish exhaustion.
1.0935 has acted as a short-term demand zone, with price reacting to it multiple times, creating a clear price floor.
Buyers and sellers are now locked in a tight range — volatility is shrinking, and volume is likely building behind the scenes.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
🔼 Bullish Breakout Scenario:
If EURUSD breaks and closes firmly above 1.1000, we could see bullish continuation toward:
Target 1: 1.1035 – previous price reaction level.
Target 2: 1.1070 – resistance from late March.
A strong 1H close above 1.1000 confirms bulls are in control and may trigger stop orders above the round number.
🔽 Bearish Rejection / Breakdown Scenario:
If price fails to break above 1.1000 and breaks below 1.0935, it opens the door for a short-term correction:
Target 1: 1.0900 – strong structure and psychological zone.
Target 2: 1.0860 – last major higher low and liquidity pocket.
A clean breakdown below 1.0935 with momentum would indicate the bulls are losing control.
⏳ Conclusion:
The market is too quiet right now, and that’s never a good sign — this kind of compression usually ends in a sharp impulsive move. Whether it’s a breakout above 1.1000 or a breakdown under 1.0935, a decision is coming.
This is a textbook case of “don’t predict — prepare”. Smart price action traders are watching... and waiting.
USD (US Dollar)
Will the support zone keep BTC falling?BTC has once again bounced off the upper border of the downtrend channel. Here, it is worth remembering the long-formed gap around $74,500, which was closed during the last decline.
Here, you can see how the price fell into a strong support zone from $77,742 to $73,980, but if this zone is broken, we can again see a strong decline around also very strong resistance and the lower border of the channel at $68,590.
Looking the other way, you can see that the increases were stopped by the resistance zone from $84,000 to $86,700, only breaking out of this zone at the top will give the possibility of growth towards strong resistance at $94,300.
The RSI is still in the lower part of the range and is again heading towards the lower borders, but here the price has formed a lower low, which can still give another reaction.
Heading into pullback resistance?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2876
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2967
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2714
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Bearish continuation?NZD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5587
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.5623
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.5510
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD TO BUY (Wednesday-FOMC Meeting Minutes and Thursday-CPI)As EURUSD as been dropping the past couple of days, it has been on the support levels of 1.0900 lately. On Wednesday and Thursday, there are news about FOMC Meeting Minutes and CPI of the US Dollar. Therefore, we could possibly see price of the EURUSD going up based on news, support pattern of the triangle.
TP: 1.1050-1.110
NZDUSD to see a temporary move higher?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no indication that the selloff is coming to an end.
A higher correction is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.5600 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5525.
We look to Sell at 0.5650 (stop at 0.5700)
Our profit targets will be 0.5550 and 0.5525
Resistance: 0.5625 / 0.5650 / 0.5675
Support: 0.5600 / 0.5550 / 0.5525
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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Dollar Index Bullish to $111.350 (UPDATE)Since yesterday's Dollar update, price has moved according to our arrow. We saw a small dip down overnight & now buyers have once again pushed price back into the grey zone.
We are expecting price to remain within this grey zone, seeing it flip from a resistance zone into support. Once price closes above this zone, we'll have extra confirmation that Dollar buyers are ready to push price even higher🚀
NZDUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis and Key Levels 🇳🇿🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis and
important supports & resistances on NZDUSD.
Support 1: 0.5506 - 0.5538 area
Support 2: 0.5470 - 0.5479 area
Resistance 1: 0.5644 - 0.5683 area
Resistance 2: 0.5796 - 0.5854 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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RBNZ rate decision coming upWe are keeping a close eye on the RBNZ interest rate decision and if it will stick to its 25bps cut, or not. Let's dig in.
FX_IDC:NZDUSD
MARKETSCOM:NZDUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
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This GBP/USD Move Will Catch Most Traders Off GuardGBP/USD has been in a strong uptrend over the past few weeks, with consistent bullish momentum. However, last week we saw the pair move into a period of range-bound consolidation—that is, until geopolitical headlines shook things up.
Following the news of Trump’s tariff announcements, the pair initially spiked aggressively to the upside, only to see a sharp 500-pip drop the next day. While this move might seem like a reversal at first glance, I believe it's a healthy pullback within a broader bullish trend.
Here’s why:
✅ The recent decline cleared out late buyers, creating a potential liquidity zone for institutions.
✅ Prior to the drop, the market took out sell-side liquidity from the range, then quickly reversed — a classic "grab and go" move.
✅ Structure remains intact to the upside, and I believe this pullback presents a high-probability buying opportunity.
📈 I’m expecting GBP/USD to retest and likely break last week’s high, with potential for another 500+ pip move to the upside in the coming sessions.
🛑 As always, manage risk carefully—nothing moves in a straight line, and fundamentals remain a factor.
If you found this insight helpful, give it a boost! 🔥
USDCHF PoV - Long POINT 0.82$!Currently, the USD/CHF pair is going through a bearish phase, influenced by several economic and geopolitical factors.
Influence of US Trade Tariffs: Recent trade tariffs imposed by the United States have strengthened the Swiss franc, creating pressure on Switzerland's export-oriented economy. This scenario could push the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to consider introducing negative interest rates to counter the appreciation of the currency and support the economy.
Monetary Policy of the SNB: In June 2024, the SNB reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing them to 1.25%. Inflation forecasts were revised downward, indicating 1.3% for 2024 and 1.1% for 2025. These adjustments reflect economic challenges and the SNB's intent to avoid deflation.
Swiss Franc Forecast: Analysts from Bank of America have expressed doubts about the sustainability of the Swiss franc's weakness in 2025. Despite expectations of lower interest rates, the SNB may be reluctant to implement unconventional measures, given the limited effectiveness of such policies in the past.
Technical Analysis: The daily chart shows a range between a maximum of 0.82 and a minimum of 0.92, which has been respected for the past three years. Currently, the price is approaching the upper limit of the channel, suggesting a possible downward correction. However, a break above 0.92 could indicate an extension of the bullish movement.
Conclusion: The bearish trend of USD/CHF is influenced by both internal and external factors, including SNB policies, US trade tariffs, and market dynamics. Investors should closely monitor SNB decisions, international trade policies, and key economic indicators to assess potential developments in the USD/CHF exchange rate.
Gold's HUGE drop - Where we going next?📉 Gold Market Update: Key Levels & Strategy Ahead
Gold has experienced a significant decline, dropping over 1,000 pips in just the past three trading days. Currently, we’re seeing consolidation just above the $3,000 mark, with the price struggling to hold this psychological level.
While the broader trend appears bullish, we are now in a range-bound phase, which often leads to false breakouts and stop hunts. Given the current conditions:
🔸 Short Bias: The overall setup favors short positions, but patience is key. Look for higher price levels to enter shorts with better risk-to-reward ratios.
🔸 Scalp Opportunities: If you’re considering a long position, it should be strictly short-term (scalping) and only from well-defined support levels.
🔸 Capital Protection: This is not the time to over-leverage or chase moves. Gold is known for volatility in tight ranges—stay protected and use tight risk management.
⚠️ Bottom line: Gold is in a bearish consolidation zone. The safest play is to wait for clearer setups, preferably at resistance for shorts or strong support for scalps. Avoid getting chopped up in the range.
If you found this breakdown helpful, don’t forget to give it a boost! 🚀
USDCNH Tests Key Pattern Resistance on PBOC’s Loose Yuan FixThe trade war between China and the U.S. is escalating, and the Chinese yuan is starting to feel the pressure. After the U.S. raised tariffs to a total of 54%, China responded with a 34% increase of its own. Now, Trump has threatened an additional 50% tariff hike if China doesn’t withdraw its retaliation.
It appears unlikely that either side will back down at this stage, and the trade war is set to intensify further.
In addition to retaliating, China is also preparing to defend its economy. According to several news reports, Beijing is planning to frontload stimulus measures aimed at boosting domestic consumption, subsidizing exporters to cushion the blow from reduced U.S. trade, and supporting stock market stability. The People’s Bank of China will likely play a central role in this effort, using tools such as rate adjustments and daily yuan fixings.
The latest yuan fixing came in above 7.20, the highest level since 2023. With this looser fixing and ongoing trade war pressure, USDCNH is pushing higher. The ascending triangle formation which typically breaks to the upside is also supporting bearish bets on the yuan.
If China proceeds with a small and controlled devaluation, as many expect, a breakout from this triangle pattern is likely.
The potential target for the breakout could align with one of the parallel lines of the lower boundary of the formation, which are currently around 7.61 and 7.75, and gradually rising. With time, a move toward 7.80 is well within reach by the end of the year.
Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 81,250.81
1st Support: 74,377.30
1st Resistance: 84,581.33
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.4275
1st Support" 1.4061
1st Resistance: 1.4402
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish rebound?The Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.2717
1st Support: 1.2570
1st Resistance: 1.2875
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/JPY(20250408)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
146.92
Support and resistance levels
150.22
148.99
148.18
145.65
144.85
143.61
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 148.18, consider buying, the first target price is 148.99
If the price breaks through 146.92, consider selling, the first target price is 145.65
Could the Gold rebound from here?The price has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,955.87
1st Support: 2,925.35
1st Resistance: 3,054.56
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.0834
1st Support: 1.0730
1st Resistance: 1.0983
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,007.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,059.25
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,951.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards pullback support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2677
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2677
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2875
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0842
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0730
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.0991
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.