USD (US Dollar)
Setup #006 - AUDUSD - Long (Not the cleanest)Trade entered. I used the 5 min for entry but Tradingview doesn't let me post it on a small time frame.
We should find out if this is a winner or loser during the rest of US/UK overlap. I personally think price wants to drop more, but my strategy says to buy, so I'm listening to the strategy, plus there is a nice risk to reward for this trade.
Confluences:
✅ Bullish overall bias
✅ Bulllish demand zone
✅ Bullish ABCD on 15 min chart, bullish impulse crab on H4
✅ Bullish divergence in price reversal zone
✅ Buillish break of structure
✅ Entering NY open
✅ Break of structure confirmed
✅ Required risk:reward met
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?AUD/USD is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6333
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with he 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6298
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6387
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could the Kiwi drop from here?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5801
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5830
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.5760
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD: Big Bearish Divergence on 4H.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.538, MACD = -0.013, ADX = 29.911) but just crossed under the 4H MA50 for the first time since the March 3rd 2025 breakout when the parabolic rally started. The strongest sell signal is nonetheless given by the 4H RSI which, while the price is on a Channel Up, it has been on a Channel Down, i.e. a Bearish Divergence. The previous time an uptrend broke below its 4H MA50 on the same RSI Bearish Divergence was on the September 30th 2024 High. The result was a strong bearish breakdown to the S1 level. Consequently, we can turn bearish here and aim a little higher than S1 (TP = 1.0400).
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Gold at $3,000: The Ultimate Panic Buy or Just Another Bubble? 💰 Gold Hits Record Highs – Because the World is on Fire 🔥
Ah, gold—humanity’s favorite panic button. As of March 2025 , gold prices have skyrocketed past $3,000 per ounce . Why? Because the world can’t go five minutes without a crisis. 🌍💥
Trade wars? Check.
Geopolitical conflicts? Check.
The eternal struggle between "experts" predicting doom and moonboys screaming ‘buy the dip’? Check.
With the U.S. economy wobbling like a Jenga tower after a few tequila shots and global uncertainty at an all-time high, investors are piling into gold like it’s the last lifeboat on the Titanic. 🚢💨
🏦 Central Banks: The Ultimate Gold Hoarders
If you think you have a gold addiction, meet central banks. These guys have been buying over 1,000 metric tons per year —basically turning their vaults into dragon lairs. 🐉💰
Why? Because they definitely trust fiat currencies… just not enough to NOT hedge against their own policies. 😏
China, India, and Turkey are leading the charge, stacking gold like it’s a limited edition NFT.
The logic? If everything goes to hell, at least they’ll have something pretty to look at.
📈 What Do the ‘Smart People’ Think? (Spoiler: They Don’t Agree 🙄)
Let’s check what the big banks are saying—because if there’s one thing banks are great at, it’s being consistently wrong with their predictions.
JP Morgan Private Bank is feeling "constructive" about gold. Which is just a fancy way of saying "Eh, we have no clue, but it looks good." They think potential Fed rate cuts could send gold higher. 🚀
VanEck highlights how central banks and investors drove gold to new highs in 2024. Basically, everyone’s running for cover while pretending it’s a “strategic allocation.”
🤔 Should You Buy Gold or Just Watch the Chaos?
Pros: You get a shiny rock that everyone suddenly cares about during a crisis. 🌟
Cons: No dividends, no passive income, and you basically just hope some sucker will pay more than you did. 😬
Gold is a great hedge when the world is melting down, but let’s not pretend it’s some magical wealth generator. If you’re buying, just make sure it’s not because your Uber driver said it’s "going to the moon." 🚀🌕
(Not financial advice. But definitely sarcastic advice. 🤷♂️)
If you want the deeper breakdown (the one nobody’s telling you), drop a comment or DM me. Maybe I’ll let you in on the real insights. 👀🔥
Is Erdogan’s Gambit Destabilizing Turkey’s Future?Erdogan’s administration continues to engage in high-stakes geopolitical maneuvers by maintaining direct and indirect ties with groups designated as terrorist organizations. His government’s strategic alliances, notably with Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), serve immediate military and political goals in Syria, despite significant international controversy and longstanding terrorist designations by the U.S. and other global actors.
This risky strategy has had a pronounced impact on the Turkish economy. Investors have increasingly shifted their capital from the Turkish Lira to the U.S. dollar, leading to a notable rise in the USD/TRY rate. Fears of further economic isolation and the looming threat of sanctions—which could cut off Turkey from critical European banking and trade services—have only intensified market instability.
The growing strains within NATO and shifting regional alliances are compounding these economic challenges. Erdogan’s pragmatic yet contentious foreign policy raises serious questions about Turkey’s future role within the alliance, as Western partners deliberate potential sanctions and other measures. Meanwhile, evolving dynamics with regional powers such as Russia and Iran add further uncertainty to Turkey’s strategic position and economic prospects.
If you don't have DXY, keep an eye on USDCHF.Today we are waiting for the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, where the Bank is expected to keep the rates unchanged. However, it's the press conference, which we are more bothered about. Keep your eyes on TVC:DXY , but if you don't have MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX , then MARKETSCOM:USDCHF will be just as good.
Let's dig in.
FX_IDC:USDCHF
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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USDCHF to continue in the downward move?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
Our short term bias remains negative.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
The weaker US dollar has boosted performance.
20 4hour EMA is at 0.8801.
We look to Sell at 0.8799 (stop at 0.8839)
Our profit targets will be 0.8701 and 0.8681
Resistance: 0.8777 / 0.8800 / 0.8818
Support: 0.8759 / 0.8740 / 0.8720
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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FIL: The Life-Changing Setup You Can’t Ignore!FIL has been in a massive 3-year accumulation, just like LINK before its explosive run. The setup is textbook perfect—and the window to get in won’t stay open forever.
Right now, FIL is at historical lows, setting up for a potential 600%+ move. If you're sleeping on this, you might be making a huge mistake. Don’t be that kind of stupid.
Entry: NOW
TP: 19
SL: 1.8
Bearish reversal?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.4359
1st Support: 1.4236
1st Resistance: 1.4451
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6326
1st Support: 0.6274
1st Resistance: 0.6382
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6333
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6298
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with he 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6401
Why we like it:}
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 149.44
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8 Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 150.97
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 147.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish reversal?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4366
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.4447
Why we like it:}
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.4345
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8726
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8618
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.8851
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP/USD - 1.30 Break I've been monitoring Cable closely, waiting for a clean break above the 1.30 resistance level. Since the start of the month, no solid entry has presented itself, but the bulls seem to be gaining momentum as time progresses.
The chart is shaping up well, with 1.30 acting as a key resistance level. We've already seen multiple rejections this month, with price coming within 10 pips before reversing sharply.
If we get a confirmed breakout above 1.30, I'll be watching for a retest to establish it as support before entering a long position. The target is set at the psychological level of 1.325, aiming for a 3:1 risk-to-reward.
Gold Bullish to $3,030 (4H UPDATE)As per yesterday's video update I gave you all, I said Gold would push higher into $3,030. That target has now been hit!
Gold has pushed up strongly today, up 380 PIPS in less then a day. I'm waiting for bullish momentum to slow down as an indication that market structure will shift to bearish. I'll be keeping an eye on the smaller TF.