DXY: Starting a new Channel Up rally into Summer.The U.S. Dollar Index is near the oversold zone on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 37.232, MACD = -1.040, ADX = 33.922) having reached the bottom of the 9 month Channel Up. The 1D RSI was oversold last week but is seen rebounding. This is exactly the kind of formation we had on the previous bottom of the Channel Up as well as the December 28th 2023 low.. The selling sequences that led to those lose have been almost the same as today's (-6.32% and -5.74%). The last Channel Up bullish wave reached exactly the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. Consequently we can go long here with an acceptable risk, targeting the top of the Channel Up (TP = 113.000).
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USD (US Dollar)
USDCHF Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a selling opportunity around 0.88900 zone, USDCHF is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.88900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDNOK - Buy opportunity towards 10,8300?OANDA:USDNOK is testing a clear support area, marked by previous bullish reversals and strong buyer interest. The recent bearish move into this zone suggests a potential buying opportunity if buyers confirm control.
If bullish signals, such as strong rejection wicks or bullish candlestick patterns, emerge, I anticipate an upward move toward 10,8300. If the support fails to hold however, further downside could be expected.
Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
EURO - Price can decline to support level and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it at once bounced down from $1.0415 level.
Then it turned around and rose to the resistance line of the channel in a short time, but soon fell back, making a gap also.
Euro rose to $1.0415 level and broke it, after which some time traded near it and then made an upward impulse.
Price exited from a rising channel and reached $1.0825 level, broke it, and started to grow inside another channel.
In this channel, price reached resistance line, after which it corrected to support level and then continued to grow.
So, in my opinion, Euro can decline to support level and then it bounce up to $1.1050
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EUR | USD THE DOLLAR SHAKES, THE EURO DANCES with PipGuardEUR | USD THE DOLLAR SHAKES, THE EURO DANCES with PipGuard
IF YOU LIKE MY ANALYSIS, CONGRATS, YOU’RE SMART.
NOW HIT THAT FOLLOW BUTTON, DROP A BOOST, AND LEAVE A COMMENT.
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GOOD MORNING, DEAR NON-FRIENDS!
Yeah, because if you were my friends, we’d be throwing death stares at each other by the coffee machine every time someone dared to question my analysis. But instead, here I am—calm, composed, and totally not petty.
Today, we’re talking about EUR/USD. But first, a challenge: SHOW ME ANOTHER ANALYSIS FROM NOVEMBER THAT'S STILL ACCURATE TODAY.
Go check the related article. Do yourself a favor, so maybe you’ll stop busting my chops at the coffee machine. Oh, by the way, got a spare euro? No? Alright, no analysis for you.
Just kidding, just kidding. I know you’re smart, humble, and definitely not thin-skinned… or at least, I hope so, otherwise, get ready for another lawsuit.
Anyway, let’s be clear—my analysis is NOT financial advice.
No, you don’t need to mortgage your house and bet it all. Also, let’s be real, you don’t even have one! 😆
LET’S GET TO THE POINT.
Back in November, I called the U.S. recession.
Guess who didn’t call me? Bloomberg.
Guess who did? An investment fund.
And guess how it went? Badly. My spoken English is worse than a drunk tourist trying to order a beer in a London pub, so I panicked and hung up. 📞❌
Unless you want to talk money 💰 or women 💃, don’t call me. Write me. But again—only for money or women, not for emotional support. I’m not your therapist.
EUROPE, REARMAMENT, AND THE CIRCUS OF POWER.
Same old show:
The tall blond guy with the orange face? Check.
The bald dude in the tie? Still there.
The political circus? In full swing. 🎭
But let’s cut to the chase: if you’re in the Eurozone, BUY A HOUSE.
I did— 180K for 122 square meters of prime real estate. Solid deal.
And why?
Because the euro is set to rise. 📈
Because Russia is in an economic lockdown.
Because when sanctions lift, we’ll likely see a mini Russian market collapse.
And the dollar? The U.S. is reliving 2008, but this time, it’s even dumber.
What’s different? Instead of subprime mortgages, now it’s credit card debt spiraling out of control.
Yes, you heard me. Americans are sinking their economy with loans for iPhones, 85-inch TVs, and vacations to Hawaii.
And banks?
“No worries, the debt is under control.”
Oh yeah? So if you’re 100K in debt for a house, that’s a crisis, but if you blow 100K on home decor and luxury junk, that’s fine? Make it make sense.
But who cares—I’m Italian, I eat pasta for breakfast. 🍝 Their problem, not mine.
NOW, THE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS.
Trend is BULLISH, get that in your head. Look for long setups, not shorts. If you must short, do it only for retracements.
Reversal zone: 1.082 – 1.095.
If it closes above, we keep going up.
Watch out for liquidity between 1.099 and 1.10.
If price gets there, look for a key level on the 4H. If it reacts bearish, wait for confirmation before shorting. If it closes above, we send it to 1.21.
Other key support levels:
1.076 – 1.062, solid area for bullish reaction.
If that’s not enough, 1.060 – 1.052 is the ultimate buy zone.
If you mess up, toss your PC. 💻🔥
Kidding. Hold on tight, because price is going up from there.
IF MY ANALYSIS HELPED YOU, HIT FOLLOW, DROP A BOOST, LEAVE A COMMENT.
Or else… I’ll have to come find you.
Much love, PipGuard.
Could the price drop from here?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 3,052.78
1st Support: 3,020.46
1st Resistance: 3,059.37
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish continuation?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 32.93
1st Support: 32.10
1st Resistance: 34.88
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 149.300 zone, USDJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 149.300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Setup #006 - AUDUSD - Long (Not the cleanest)Trade entered. I used the 5 min for entry but Tradingview doesn't let me post it on a small time frame.
We should find out if this is a winner or loser during the rest of US/UK overlap. I personally think price wants to drop more, but my strategy says to buy, so I'm listening to the strategy, plus there is a nice risk to reward for this trade.
Confluences:
✅ Bullish overall bias
✅ Bulllish demand zone
✅ Bullish ABCD on 15 min chart, bullish impulse crab on H4
✅ Bullish divergence in price reversal zone
✅ Buillish break of structure
✅ Entering NY open
✅ Break of structure confirmed
✅ Required risk:reward met
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?AUD/USD is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6333
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with he 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6298
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6387
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could the Kiwi drop from here?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5801
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5830
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.5760
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD: Big Bearish Divergence on 4H.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.538, MACD = -0.013, ADX = 29.911) but just crossed under the 4H MA50 for the first time since the March 3rd 2025 breakout when the parabolic rally started. The strongest sell signal is nonetheless given by the 4H RSI which, while the price is on a Channel Up, it has been on a Channel Down, i.e. a Bearish Divergence. The previous time an uptrend broke below its 4H MA50 on the same RSI Bearish Divergence was on the September 30th 2024 High. The result was a strong bearish breakdown to the S1 level. Consequently, we can turn bearish here and aim a little higher than S1 (TP = 1.0400).
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