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USD-ZAR

USD/ZAR 1H Chart: Breakout from channelAfter testing the senior channel at 13.10 two weeks ago, USD/ZAR initiated a new wave north along the bottom boundary of this pattern. This movement soon lost its strength, thus resulting in minor consolidation starting from the beginning of August. The pair’s most recent development is a breakout from a strong resistance cluster formed by the monthly PP, the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement and the 200-period (4H) SMA at 13.43. The junior channel was breached along the way. From theoretical point of view, this breakout should be followed by a surge, at least in the short term. The nearest upside target is the 13.80 level where the monthly R1 and the most junior channel are located. In case this appreciation does not occur, traders should wait for a fall below the 200-hour SMA and the senior channel that should confirm a price decline for a couple of session.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn890690
USD/ZAR 1H Chart: Pair shows weaknessThe US Dollar has appreciated substantially against the South African Rand since mid-May. During this time, the pair gained almost 15% and peaked at its highest position in 2018—the psychological 14.00 mark. This surge has been bounded by an ascending channel. The pair hindered near its bottom boundary on Tuesday, thus pointing to a possible southern breakout. However, the Greenback managed to re-gain its bullish momentum and reach the aforementioned high today. Long-term technical indicators are located in the overbought area. Thus, it is likely that a new wave down starts next week. This assumption would likewise be strengthened if the rate fails to overcome 14.00 and reach the upper channel line near 14.50 during the following sessions.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn890690
2
USDZAR shortreasons for me adding more shorts: After the great buy trades placed, the bulls finally hit our monthly trendline and started losing momentum which then concluded the bull run and triggered my shorts. Looking at the pair, I have decided to add a few more shorts now because of the following reasons: 1. H4, we have had a squeeze play breakout (sellers funneled price down and finally broke our support area) 2. market has come back for a retest and the bears are now gaining momentum If we close above our minor trendline my analysis will be invalid
Short
by billionare_mo
USD/ZAR 1H Chart: Pair likely to declineThe US Dollar has strengthened against the South African Rand since late March. The pair was appreciating gradually for two weeks prior to skyrocketing last week. This strong upward momentum resulted in a test of the 12.50 mark which is located near the senior channel. By mid-Thursday, the pair had breached the steep junior channel and returned near the weekly R3, the monthly R2 and the 55-hour SMA at 12.35. It is likely that the Greenback continues to move lower during the following sessions. Some slight hindrance might be met near the 12.20 area due to several important support levels being located there. A reversal to the upside might occur circa 12.10 where a medium-term trend-line is situated. On the other hand, a failure to breach 12.30 should be followed by a test of the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement near 12.70.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn890690
USD/ZAR 1H Chart: Two scenarios possibleAfter hitting a three-year low of 11.50 late in February, the US Dollar has began strengthening against the South African Rand. This movement has been constrained in a rather flat ascending channel. The most recent test of its bottom boundary was two weeks ago. Being supported by the 55-hour SMA, the Greenback was able to breach a trend-line near the psychological 12.00 mark late on Thursday. Technical indicators are neutral; thus, two scenarios should be looked at. On the one hand, the US Dollar might continue edging higher along the 55-hour moving average this week with upside potential being located at the upper line of the senior channel near 14.20. On the other hand, the 12.00 area might surrender under the bearish pressure and push the pair down to the breached trend-line, the 200-hour SMA, the monthly PP and the weekly S1 in the 11.90/85 territory. In addition, the rate could fall even further down to the bottom channel line circa 11.70.
by UnknownUnicorn890690
USDZAR day trade 27/03/2018Pair has lost value as a result of the USD / US stock market sell-off, caused by the US / China trade "war". SA's currency should not be this strong, and as the Dollar and SPX bounce back over this week, we'll see the USDZAR pair favor the dollar. Long dollar. Reason for trade: Rand is way too strong, is not a result of economic growth in SA but rather was caused by the volatility of the US stock market last week. However, word on the street is that the US and China are 'talking'. In my opinion the dollar will strengthen, and the piece of shit Rand will lose value and return to where it should be. Timeframe : 1 week max Shoutout: Donald Trump and his stock market plunge-protection team
Long
by UnknownUnicorn897809
USD/ZAR Large scale developmentsIt seems that everything previously drawn on the USD/ZAR currency pair’s large scale charts has become obsolete due to the recent fundamental events in the US. Namely, in a recent testimony to the US Congress the head of the FED provided the needed strength to the US Dollar to break long term resistance. Before the even the pair was heading for the lower trend line of a two year pattern. It was occurring in a junior pattern, and the move was about to be completed by the middle of March. However, two smaller scale patterns are still holding and indicate that the pair might trade horizontally throughout March.
by UnknownUnicorn890690
USD/ZAR 1H Chart: Bulls expected to prevailThe US Dollar has depreciated gradually against the South African Rand during the previous two weeks. This movement down began when the rate reversed from the upper boundary of the senior channel valid since mid-November. Even though the pair has edged lower in line with the senior pattern, it has not left its upper boundary. This suggests that a breakout might be due soon. The US Dollar might still edge lower in this session down to a trend-line circa 11.45 prior to gaining momentum and breaching the senior channel circa 11.65. This area could mark slight resistance, given that the 55–, 100– and 200-hour SMAs should be located nearby. A possible upside target for the following two weeks could be the 12.00 mark. Conversely, the Greenback might breach the aforementioned trend-line and approach the monthly S2 near 11.30.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn890690
USD/ZAR 1H Chart: Patterns point to appreciationThe US Dollar has been depreciating in a channel down against the South African Rand for the last three months. Mid-December, the pair formed a new ascending channel within the bounds of which it breached a down-trend in force since December (the dashed line on the chart). Meanwhile, the rate bounced off its 2016/2017 low of 11.80 last Thursday. These two factors together with signals from prevailing patterns suggest that the US Dollar might be due for a surge within the following weeks, setting the upper boundaries of the senior and junior channels circa 12.10 as a possible near-term target. However, technical indicators are still in favour of another fall in the short term that could guide the pair towards the 11.70 area where the monthly and weekly S1s are located.
by UnknownUnicorn890690
USD/ZAR 1H Chart: Pair points to bullish momentumAfter reversing from the 2017 high of 14.60 mid-November, the US Dollar began trading in a steep channel down against the South African Rand. However, its movement during the past three weeks has been sideways in a flat descending channel. This suggests that the prevailing bearish momentum might weaken during the following weeks, especially when taking into account that the Greenback fell down to its lowest mark since mid-2015 early today. The pair should push towards the upper boundary of the junior channel near the 12.50 mark within the next two weeks. Meanwhile, technical indicators suggest that the Greenback might fail to overcome the 200– and 100-hour SMAs circa 12.35 on its first attempt. In this case, the pair would be pushed lower towards the 12.20 prior to realising the aforementioned bullish scenario.
by UnknownUnicorn890690
1
USD/ZAR 1H Chart: Senior channel holdsThe US Dollar has been confined in a channel down against the South African Rand during the past two months. Its lower boundary was tested early in this session, when the rate was unable to move past the monthly S3 located at 12.27. This low volatility suggests that the pair might reverse from this medium-term pattern and initiate a new wave up. The steepness of two more junior patterns likewise demonstrate that the Greenback has remained near their upper boundaries, thus pointing to a possible upside breakout. The nearest resistance is set by the 55– and 100-hour SMAs circa 12.50. This area is likewise reinforced by the weekly S2 and the 200-hour SMA. Thus, the Greenback could hinder near this territory for a while prior to moving towards the upper boundary of the senior channel. In case the southern barrier does not hold, no support that could halt the pair is located nearby.
by UnknownUnicorn890690
3
USD/ZAR 4H Chart: Breaking massive patternThe US Dollar recently plummeted against the South African Rand. From a technical perspective the reason for the fall was the encountering of a Fibonacci retracement level, which is measured by connecting the high and low levels of the last decade. However, that move was not as surprising as the fact that the following decline broke the support of a massive scale channel up pattern, which represented the pair’s rebound of 2017. In regards to what the traders want to know, the pair is set to trade between two levels in the near future until it breaks to the downside and begins an approach of the 2017 low level at 12.32.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn890690
USD/ZAR 1H Chart: Two channels prevailThe US Dollar is currently trading in a long-term channel up against the South African Rand. The pair reached a 2017 high of 14.5422 on November 13, breached the previously prevailing ascending channel (drawn with dashed lines) and subsequently initiated a new wave south. If looking at the junior pattern, the Greenback should test its upper line circa 13.85. However, the 55– and 200-hour SMAs which have limited the pair for the past two weeks are located nearby. Even if the pair edges higher, the pressure of the monthly PP, the 200-hour SMA and the weekly S1 near the 13.90 mark is likely to reverse the pair back down. Meanwhile, the bottom boundary of the senior channel is located circa 131.10. The US Dollar could push for this mark during the following two weeks.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn890690
USD/ZAR 1H Chart: Pair points to weaknessUSD/ZAR is trading in an up-trend since mid-July; however, the pair has failed to form an ascending channel due to a diminishing trading range. Thus, an ascending wedge is a more accurate representation of its movement. Meanwhile, the US Dollar has managed to hold this pattern for the last two and a half months; thus, it is currently located at a 2017 high of 14.50. As apparent on the chart, the pair has failed to reach the upside boundary of the aforementioned wedge for two weeks. This factor suggests that this pattern is unlikely to constrain the rate any longer. The subsequent movement therefore should be to the downside. During the following two weeks, the US Dollar might approach the upward-sloping trend-line circa 14.00/14.10.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn890690
USD/ZAR 4H Chart: Reaches Dominant ResistanceAlthough the USD/ZAR pair is not that popular due to low volumes and fundamental moves, a review of the pair needs to be done due to a recent rebound against a dominant resistance level. The pair recently bounced off the combined resistance of a long term channel up pattern, monthly R2 and weekly R3 near the 14.30 mark. As a result of the meeting of the resistance level the pair has begun to decline down to the 14.04 level, where the weekly R2 is located at. Most likely that level will be reached and a short term rebound will reveal the most junior pattern. Meanwhile, one should take into account that there is still active the support line, which forced the rate higher during the last week.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn890690
USD/ZAR 1H Chart: Greenback close to channel borderDuring the past two weeks, the US Dollar has gained momentum against the South African Rand, thus forming a steep ascending channel. This pattern is a part of a medium-term descending channel. Currently, the rate is located in between the boundaries of two channels; thus, the following hours might demonstrate which could be the dominant direction during this week, at least. Given that the rate respects the boundaries of the senior channel, it should edge lower and try to approach its bottom boundary during the following weeks. The US Dollar breaching the 55– and 100-hour SMAs near the 13.70 mark could confirm this scenario. Trend indicators show mixed results, but it seems that they point to a possible decline. Conversely, the rate might breach the senior pattern and test the six-month high at 13.8511.
by UnknownUnicorn890690