EURUSD: 4H Bullish Cross not so bullish historically.EURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.247, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 21.205) and just formed a 4H Bullish Cross between the 1D MA100 and 1D MA200. This hasn't had a bullish effect in the past 12 months as the two times we saw it in 2024, it immediatelly market the top of the short term trend and caused pull backs to at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Consequently we will use it as an instant sell signal (TP = 1.02625).
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HBAR Seeking Golden Ratio After False Break of Consolidation?There's some big tells in what COINBASE:HBARUSD could potentially be getting ready to do so lets break it down on the Daily Chart!
Since the High on Dec. 3rd @ .392, Price has steadily been forming what looks to be a Descending Triangle while finding Support in the ( .25 - .23 ) cent range. Bearish volume building and RSI going from Overbought to currently going Below 50 suggests further Bearish Price Action could occur!
After the Positive USD Economic News Results for ISM Services and JOLTS Jobs Openings coming in well above Forecast, this seen the Dollar gain strength and other markets like Stocks and Crypto take a dive, in COINBASE:HBARUSD instance, it generated a False Break of the Descending Triangle to now where we see Price plummeting down to test the Support of this Consolidation Pattern.
If Support breaks, we could see Price make a Retracement to the April 2024 Highs @ ( .18 - .15 )
This area looks especially favorable because:
-From the Low before the Rally @ .04172 to the High of the Rally @ .392, lands the Fibonacci Golden Ratio levels priced @ ( .19619 - .17553 ) with the April 2024 High @ .1842 right in the Middle of this Zone!
-The 200 EMA is curving up into the suspected Support of the April 2024 Highs if Price were to fall, it would test this as well!
*If Price continues to fill the Pattern more, keep an eye out for more False Breaks, this will be evident with Price breaking either Area of Value ( Falling Resistance or Support Zone) followed with minimal Volume.
Gold Approaches Channel Resistance with Potential PullbackGold is currently trading within an ascending channel on the one-hour chart, approaching the upper boundary near 2840. The price has shown strong bullish momentum, but the marked resistance zone suggests a potential pullback. A rejection from the upper boundary could lead to a retest of the highlighted support area around 2820. If this support holds, the bullish trend may continue, but a break below could indicate further downside movement.
USDCHF to find buyers at market price?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains positive.
The primary trend remains bullish.
We look to buy dips. 50
4hour EMA is at 0.9094.
Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low.
We look to Buy at 0.9095 (stop at 0.9068)
Our profit targets will be 0.9174 and 0.9184
Resistance: 0.9131 / 0.9160 / 0.9197
Support: 0.9093 / 0.9080 / 0.9060
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AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.62400 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.62400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.04000 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.04000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
WEEKLY RECAP - Week 1, 2025The most important thing to reflect on each week is NOT your profit and loss balance.
Instead, reflect on these three questions:
- Did I follow my core habits for success?
- Am I ready to let my attachments from last week go?
- Am I focusing on this current moment, or a destination I'm trying to reach?
I won't put a whole lot of words here. It's all in the video, but here are the three setups from last week, and here is my notion journal so you can follow along.
USDJPY
EURUSD
EURUSD
Notion Journal
Enjoy the ride,
-Gio
Could the Aussie reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6244
1st Support: 0.6176
1st Resistance: 0.6292
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Major resistance level ahead?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could fall to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 3,026.35
1st Support: 2,468.89
1st Resistance: 3,408.31
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD Channel Down top rejection calls for selling.GBPUSD is trading inside a Channel Down and the price is testing its top again for the 4th time in 1 week.
This looks to us like December 17th, a rejection on the 0.5 Fib and MA200 (4h) that initiated a drop to the 1.5 Fib extension.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.2110 (the 1.5 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) of the rejection series is also identical to December's.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
Bearish drop?USD/CHF is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9136
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.9182
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.9060
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURO - Price can reach resistance level and then bounce downHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price broke $1.0410 level and started to trades inside flat, where it at once fell to $1.0250 level.
Then Euro bounced up from this level and rose to resistance area, after which turned around and started to decline.
In a short time, price fell to $1.0180 points, thereby exiting from flat and then started to grow in rising channel.
Inside channel, price broke $1.0250 level, rose a little, and then made a small correction to support line.
Next, Euro rose to $1.0530 points, thereby breaking resistance level and making a gap, but soon fell to $1.0350 points.
Price exited from channel, so, now I think it will make move to resistance level and then fall to $1.0250 level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Does The Market OVERREACT?
It looks like Dollar Index is preparing for a retracement
after a very bullish market opening.
As a clear sign of strength of the sellers, I see
a head and shoulders pattern on an hourly
and a breakout of its neckline.
The market may drop at least to 108.6
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
EURUSD Trade War pushing it to parity. 0.9900 Target possible.The EURUSD pair opened with a significant gap downwards in the aftermath of the first Tariff announcements between the U.S. and their strongest trade partners. This is a natural news reaction fundamentally but even from a technical standpoint, it is backed up.
The reason is the massive 11-year Falling Wedge pattern that the pair has been trading in since May 2014. This pattern shows that after last September's Lower High and rejection below both the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), we have started the new Bearish Leg.
With the 1W RSI making a somewhat Double Bottom on oversold territory (below 30.00), we see a similar pattern with the January 2022 and August 2018 fractals. Those sequences served as bearish continuation patterns following a consolidation phase.
The pair has consolidated through January and now this is the technical signal to resume the bearish trend potentially. The 2018 sequence declined to at least its 0.786 Fibonacci level before hitting the Internal Higher Lows trend-line.
This gives us a new bearish Target below parity at 0.99000, which is also contained above a potentially similar Higher Lows trend-line.
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Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 03.02.2025Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis
Trend Structure:
The chart shows a clear uptrend, forming a series of higher highs.
Price is currently near a trendline support, indicating a potential bounce.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: $2,770 - $2,775 (Trendline & previous resistance turned support)
Target (Resistance): $2,800 (Previous high & psychological level)
Stop Loss (SL): $2,765 (Below the trendline and key support)
Trade Setup:
Entry: Around $2,770 - $2,775
Take Profit (TP): $2,800
Stop Loss (SL): $2,765
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup with a small risk and a decent upside.
Technical Indicators:
Price retesting support zone.
If it holds above support, the bullish trend could continue.
Conclusion:
If gold bounces from the support, it could head towards $2,800.
A break below $2,765 could indicate further downside.
Bullish bias remains unless the support breaks.
EURUSD 3 Feb 2025 W6 - Intraday Analysis - Taste of Trade WAR!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 3 Feb 2025 W6 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
" Strike the bound, and the free will take heed "
Market Volatility and Geopolitical Strategy: Assessing the Implications of a Trump Presidency
Recent market movements underscore a critical narrative: A second Trump administration carries significant potential to reignite the trade policy volatility that defined his first term. Historical precedent offers a clear lens—within weeks of taking office in 2017, President Trump implemented tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, upending decades of trade consensus. Investors initially dismissed these measures as negotiation tactics, but markets are now pricing in a more structural shift. As of this week’s open, risk-on sentiment reflects renewed acceptance of Trump’s uncompromising stance, particularly following his social media assertion that “the pain from tariffs will be worth the price.”
A Businessman’s Approach to Geopolitics
Trump’s career as a dealmaker suggests a presidency anchored in transactional realism. His administration’s “America First” doctrine—evident in the rapid escalation of the U.S.-China trade war—demonstrates a willingness to weaponize economic policy to recalibrate global alliances. This strategy aligns with a proverb often cited in Egyptian diplomacy: “Strike the bound, and the free will take heed.” By aggressively targeting key partners (the “bound”), the U.S. signals resolve to broader adversaries (the “free”), including Europe and emerging economies.
Strategic Outlook for Investors
With 205 weeks remaining in a hypothetical term, market participants should prepare for sustained turbulence. The 2018-2019 trade war eroded nearly $1.7 trillion in global equity value; a second iteration could prove more disruptive given today’s fragmented supply chains and inflationary pressures.
In conclusion, while Trump’s policies may inject short-term uncertainty, they also recalibrate the playbook for global engagement. Investors who disentangle rhetoric from actionable strategy will be best positioned to navigate this paradigm.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹At Swing Extreme
🔹Swing Pullback
2️⃣
🔹With Risk-On sentiment, market opened with a gap down reaching the extreme Swing Low.
🔹The expected move is done with the market open. More development is required on LTFs.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is to continue bearish as long the Risk-On sentiment is still active and no soft tone from Trump in regards to Tariffs.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Pullback
2️⃣
🔹Swing turned bearish signaling the 4H/Daily bearish continuation.
🔹After a BOS we expect a Pullback, but currently the Risk-On sentiment is the main theme (Technical will follow sentiment) so not currently expecting a valuable pullback phase for the bearish BOS.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set for price to continue bearish and fulfill the Daily Bearish continuation.
Bullish momentum to extend?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 2,787.21
1st Support: 2,715.57
1st Resistance: 2,858.98
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.