Bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) has reacted of the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support?
Pivot: 1.2493
1st Support: 1.2162
1st Resistance: 1.2770
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD
GBP/USD - H1 Chart - Triangle Breakout (31.01.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2342
2nd Support – 1.2295
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Bullish momentum to extend?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,778.98
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,751.17
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,813.09
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 155.69
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 156.61
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 154.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Forex Market AnalysisUSD with a failed 2D week to go 2-2 rev to the upside and take out pivot highs. This occurs at the same time as the EURO looking weak with the most interesting of the 3 charts. EURO with the potential 2-1-2D week after clearing Motherbar highs two weeks ago and now giving us the actionable signal back through to motherbar lows. Price was stuck in the motherbar range for 8 weeks before taking out highs. Now looking to make a sharp move back through that motherbar range to the lows. YEN with the successful 2-2 rev week that has given us a clear BF if we were to drop to the daily TF. YEN with TFC supporting more upside, and being closer to 2-2 continuation rather than 2-2 rev. Not as interesting as USD and EURO at the moment, but definitely will be noted as I am mainly watching anything EUR/X for downside, and USD/X for upside. Side note: GBP and AUD both bearish weekly's but not as interesting as other currencies right now. Main pairs to watch this week :
Bull:
USD/JPY- (Daily PMG to the upside could be a huge early week mover)
USD/CAD - Daily hammer 2-2 for BF expansion
Bear:
EUR/USD (2-2 Week, Gorgeous weekly BF)
GBP/USD - Weekly 2-2 to the downside. Larger ATR than most others
AUD/HKD - shooter 2-2 Daily, Inside week. Check the Daily BF (Wow)
Neutral:
AUD/CAD - 3-1 Daily and inside week
USDCHF Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.90700 zone, USDCHF is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.90700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAUUSD 2/2/25XAUUSD remains clearly bullish this week. We can see this through price action and, of course, the Orion bias, which is also bullish. We've maintained a bullish bias since the last weekly low was created, and we’ve successfully followed this entire upward move over the past couple of weeks.
If you followed along, congratulations on a strong long-term trade! However, we are now focusing on intraday and day trading opportunities. Please note that we currently have no target, as price is sitting around the all-time high. We expect price action to continue reaching new highs, but exercise caution, as we are in an exploration phase, meaning price is moving into uncharted territory. Look for rebalancing, which presents opportunities to buy back into the next expansive move.
We have the V2 Entry Level Indicator running, and the dotted lines represent our high-volume lows—key areas of interest for identifying expansive moves into new highs. Right now, we have two priority lower areas, which we will monitor for potential re-accumulation of long positions. However, since we are in an exploration phase, price may continue moving higher without retracing to these levels.
Watch for one of two scenarios:
A pullback into the lower areas, followed by an expansive move upward.
Continuous expansive moves, with new lows developing along the way.
Regardless of how price unfolds, our bias remains the same unless the bias changes with the daily—we anticipate further expansion to the upside.
Trade within your risk parameters, follow your rules, and always let Orion guide you.
EURUSD 2/2/25Heading into this week, EUR/USD is the first pair we are looking at. We have a new filter applied with our Orion Entry Level V2, as well as the Orion System running in the background.
The bias has been shown as bearish, so we are looking for the following. Note the two pre-established highs above, along with a high that is yet to be recognized, as we have not joined the new trading week to confirm that candle closure. That gives us three highs to target and ultimately a heavy cluster of lows marked as the lowest target, along with a high-volume low just below the current price.
We're looking for an expansive move down, but overall, we would love to see a pullback into the highs beforehand, remembering that the higher timeframe is giving us our bearish bias. So because of this, we will look to follow it.
Remembering that we only take trades if the entries are given, and until we hit the points we want to trade from, we do nothing more than let the market run its course.
Trade to your risk, follow your rules, and always let Orion guide you.
EURUSD 3-7 Feb 2025 W6 - Weekly Analysis - Tariffs Impact & NFP This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 3-7 Feb 2025 W6 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
Weekly Chart Analysis
Daily Chart Analysis
4H Chart Analysis
Economic Events for the Week
Market Sentiment
On February 1, 2025, President Donald Trump announced the imposition of tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, effective immediately. The tariffs include a 25% levy on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 10% tariff on Chinese imports. These measures are intended to address issues such as illegal immigration, drug trafficking, and trade imbalances.
The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring the situation to assess the potential economic impact of the new tariffs. The primary concerns include:
Inflation: The tariffs are expected to raise the cost of imported goods, which could contribute to higher inflation rates. This development may influence the Fed's monetary policy decisions, potentially leading to adjustments in interest rates to manage inflationary pressures.
Economic Growth: The increased costs for businesses and consumers may dampen economic growth. The Fed will need to balance the risks of slowing growth with the potential for rising inflation when considering future policy actions.
In summary, the imposition of tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China has introduced significant uncertainty into the markets. Investors are concerned about the potential for increased costs and supply chain disruptions, while the Federal Reserve is evaluating the implications for inflation and overall economic growth.
Weekly Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹Internal Bearish
🔹In Swing Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS)
3️⃣
🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase.
🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicates that the liquidity was enough as per previous week analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS.
🔹Price currently looking to target the liquidity built up during September 2024 and maybe reaching the Weekly supply zone (In INT structure Premium).
🔹Price had tapped into the Weekly Demand formed from the Bullish CHoCH last week. Is this demand enough to initiate the INT Pullback or with the current market sentiment and USD expectation to strength in the short-term we will continue Bearish following the Bearish Swing and INT Structures to target the Weak INT Low and Weak Swing Low?
🔹Expectations for price react from the current Weekly demand and then target the Weak INT Low to target the Weak Swing Low.
Daily Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone.
3️⃣
🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and currently mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone.
🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low.
🔹Currently price tapping into a Daily/Weekly Demand Zones which could provide some bounce / or reversal for price to continue up (Depends on market Sentiment and if tariffs will trigger Risk-Off and USD Strength or it’s already priced in from last week strength in USD).
🔹Expectation is set to Bearish and more LTF development required to have a clear view.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing EQ
🔹Swing Pullback
2️⃣
🔹Price managed to create a Bearish iBOS indicating that the Swing Pullback started.
🔹After the iBOS, we expect a Pullback.
3️⃣
🔹Price currently tapping into the Daily/Weekly demand which could provide a short-term pullback (waiting for at least a Bullish CHoCH to confirm).
🔹Expectation is set to have a reaction from the Daily / 4H Demand zone to facilitate the pullback (Aligns with the Daily/Weekly expectations) then we will continue bearish to facilitate the Daily / Weekly expectations of bearish move.
Economic Events for the Week
-10 Decline in the next month, Buy the dip for a Blow off top Refer to a Previous Post. Blow OFF TOP COMING. BUT NOT BEFORE A COUPLE OF SCARES. Short the RIP. BUY THE DIP. Patience. 4-6 weeks of 10% moves back and forth... Accumulate the wins for the Longs... Hold for a year... Short everything Mid 26' if it gets that far MCFLY
Dollar - Gold Market CorrelationThe Dollar (DXY) has closed extremely bullish this week. This is another confluence that we can see Gold (XAUUSD) start moving down soon or later.
As you all know the DXY & XAUUSD have negative market correlations, so when one moves up the other move down. The Dollar has been correcting down recently, which has led to Gold pushing up & creating new ATH’s. However, I now expect Dollar bulls to resume, which means we can see Gold get ready for a bear market in the mid term.
AUDUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.61600 zone, AUDUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.61600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Gold can reach resistance line of channel and then start declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Observing the chart, we can see how the price entered to upward channel, broke the 2620 level and reached the resistance line of the channel. After this, Gold made a correction to the buyer zone and then turned around and quickly rose back. Then the price made a correction again and continued to move up inside the channel, and soon it reached the second support level (2700) which is located inside the support area and at once corrected to the support line of the channel. Next, the price some time traded near this line and soon reached the 2700 level and broke it, after which made a retest and continued to move up next. Later Gold rose to the current support level, which coincided with one more support area, and corrected the support line of the channel. Price some time traded near this line, again, and later rebounded up to the 2780 level and broke it too. At the moment, the price continues to move up and I think that Gold can reach the resistance line of the channel and then start to decline to the support line, breaking the support level. That's why I set my TP at 2770 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
USDCNY Bearish Leg confirmed after this 1D MA50 failure.The USDCNY pair has technically topped as it broke below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and upon a re-test, it got rejected. This test-and-fail pattern is seen during both previous Bearish Legs in the past 15 months.
Even the 1D RSI is identical among all three fractals and they both ended up declining by roughly -3.60%. As a result, we turn bearish here on a confirmed break-out signal, targeting 7.0800.
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Bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support.
Pivot: 75.18
1st Support: 72.99
1st Resistance: 76.56
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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Bullish momentum to extend?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 30.83
1st Support: 30.488
1st Resistance: 31.62
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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Bullish bounce off pullback support?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 103,131.91
1st Support: 100,108.50
1st Resistance: 107,850.01
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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Potential bearish drop?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 3,288.47
1st Support: 3,031.09
1st Resistance: 3,444.45
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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EURUSD 31 Jan 2025 W5- Intraday Analysis - ECB CPI - US Core PCEThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 31 Jan 2025 W5 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
The combination of the Fed's steady rate policy and the administration's aggressive trade measures has led to a cautious market outlook. Investors are balancing optimism about domestic economic resilience with concerns over potential disruptions from international trade tensions.
Federal Reserve's Decision: The Fed maintained the federal funds rate at 4.25% to 4.50%, citing stable economic growth and a low unemployment rate.
Fed's Outlook: Chair Powell emphasized a cautious approach, indicating no immediate plans to adjust rates and highlighting the need to assess the economic impacts of forthcoming policies from the Trump administration.
Presidential Response: President Donald Trump criticized the Fed's decision, attributing ongoing inflation issues to the central bank's policies and pledging to address inflation through measures such as enhancing energy production, deregulation, and trade adjustments.
Economic Reports today: ECB CPI Expectations and US Core PCE.
Overall, while the U.S. economy continues to exhibit strength, uncertainties stemming from trade policies and geopolitical factors are contributing to a mixed market sentiment.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Continuation after BOS
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bullish after the bullish BOS. We expect that at anytime the Swing Pullback will start.
🔹With price failing to close above Weak INT High, there is a HP that we are going to target the INT Low which will facilitate the Bullish Swing Pullback.
🔹Price managed yesterday to create a Bullish CHoCH but again demand failed today which again adds the confluence that the Daily and 4H bearish move is in control and there is a HP that we are going to break the 4H INT Low.
3️⃣
🔹Expectation is set for price to continue Bearish to target the Strong INT Low to facilitate the 4H Bullish Swing Pullback and the Daily Bearish Continuation.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹At Swing Extreme Discount
2️⃣
🔹Price managed yesterday with US News and Lagarde Press Conference to create a Bullish BOS.
🔹After a BOS we expect a Pullback, where price pulled back to the Bullish Swing Extreme.
3️⃣
🔹Expectation is set for price to continue Bearish based on the Daily Bearish Continuation, 4H Swing Pullback and the current market sentiment.