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I'M BACK | EUR/USD Good evening and/or good morning to everyone! 🌅🌙 It all depends on when you read this article. I know what you're already thinking... "What happened to the articles?" Well, that's not for me to answer! 😅 What I predicted has indeed come true, but as I mentioned earlier, it’s out of my hands. That said, let’s cut to the chase. First of all, I need your support! 🙌 Leave a boost, hit follow , and drop a comment to help me continue publishing. Now, let’s dive into our analysis. 🧐 EUR/USD: What’s happening? 💱 Well, my friend, Trump’s election has made its mark, and I think the results are clear to everyone. But be careful! 🤔 Do you really think it’s us who are losing? No, my friend! The recession will happen, but it won’t be for the euro—it will hit the dollar. 💸 Give things time to unfold, and remember this article... and your loyal friend, PipGuard. 😉 Don’t let yourself be fooled by the price! Doing this job requires an analytical mind, but it’s even more crucial to stop asking "why" for every market move. Trust me, that’s my golden rule! 😊 Technical Analysis: What can we expect? 📉 The EUR/USD price is in a sharp downtrend. However, we can expect: 1️⃣ A correction in the short term. 2️⃣ A potential reversal in the medium/long term. The study you see here was conducted on a weekly and 24-hour chart to give you a clear price direction and highlight key levels of interest. 🗺️ Current situation: - The price is trading below the bullish resistance at 1.05300. 🚧 As long as the price remains below this level, the trend stays bearish. 👉 Important note: If the price doesn’t fully close (with the entire candle body) above this resistance, it will act as a support for bearish traders. I’ve clarified this to help you avoid confusion! 😉 - We also observe that the price reacted to the bearish resistance , now acting as a bullish support , located at 1.03880. At this level, the price generated a spike but didn’t close fully, which confirms the strength of this area. 💪 Order Block and next moves: - The price has touched but hasn’t yet mitigated our bullish order block (OB), which ranges from 1.03200 to 1.02500. Within this range, we can look for a bullish impulse. 🚀 This move could happen: - At the liquidity grab around 1.02900. - Or upon touching the support/bearish level at 1.02515. If, instead, the price continues to drop after a correction, don’t worry! 💡 Your friend PipGuard has you covered for this scenario too. We have a weekly Fibonacci retracement ranging from 1.02100 to 0.99730, with significant liquidity between 1.01610 and 1.00890. 📊 I hope this analysis has been helpful to you! 😊 Once again, I ask you to support me with a boost, a comment , and a follow so you don’t miss future updates. Wishing you good luck and a fantastic day/evening! ☀️🌙 Best regards, PipGuard. 💼
Long
by PipGuard
4
EUR/USD: Euro Weakens as the US Dollar Gains StrengthEUR/USD: Euro Weakens as the US Dollar Gains Strength The EUR/USD pair continued to decline last week, losing 2.8%. This marks another week of euro weakness, driven by poor economic data from the eurozone and strong US indicators that underscore the resilience of the American economy and reduce expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Strong US Data Bolsters the Dollar Key economic data from the US reinforced the dollar’s strength, reflecting the underlying robustness of its economy: - Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16): Reported at 213K, outperforming the 220K forecast, indicating a stable US labor market. - S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Came in at 57.0, significantly above the 55.2 expectation, highlighting strong activity in the US services sector. These figures diminish the likelihood of imminent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, maintaining the dollar’s attractiveness to investors. Weak Eurozone Data Pressures the Euro On the other hand, disappointing data from the eurozone added considerable pressure on the euro: - HCOB Composite PMI Flash (Nov.): Dropped to 48.1 (below the 50 threshold indicating contraction), missing the forecast of 50. - HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash (Nov.): Fell to 45.2, underperforming the expected 46. - HCOB Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Declined to 49.2, well below the 51.6 forecast. The eurozone’s sluggish growth, coupled with inflation stabilizing around 2%, makes a strong case for the European Central Bank (ECB) to accelerate rate cuts. With eurozone rates at 3.4% compared to 4.75% in the US, the dollar’s yield advantage makes it more appealing to investors. Policy Divergence and Trade Risks The divergence in monetary policy between the US and the eurozone is a significant driver of EUR/USD’s weakness. While the ECB seems poised to continue cutting rates, the Federal Reserve may slow its actions or even pause. Further boosting the dollar is the potential for future President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on imported goods, which could strengthen the US economy and delay rate cuts. Seasonality: A Possible Lifeline for EUR/USD Despite the euro’s bearish outlook, seasonality could offer some support to EUR/USD. Historically, December has often been a favorable month for the pair, which might provide temporary relief for the euro in the coming weeks. Conclusion EUR/USD remains under significant pressure due to weak eurozone data, monetary policy divergence, and the dollar’s relative strength. Unless there’s a major shift in economic dynamics or central bank decisions, the euro is likely to stay on the defensive. Will seasonal trends be enough to support the euro, or will the downward trajectory continue? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by InvestMate
1
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸 Here is my latest structure analysis and important support & resistance levels/zones on EURUSD for next week. Support 1: 1.030 - 1.033 area Support 2: 1.016 - 1.024 area Support 3: 1.008 - 1.009 area Support 4: 0.994 - 0.997 area Support 5: 0.962 - 0.975 area Support 6: 0.953 - 0.960 area Resistance 1: 1.045 - 1.053 area Resistance 2: 1.060 - 1.062 area Resistance 3: 1.066 - 1.069 area Resistance 4: 1.094 - 1.094 area Resistance 5: 1.099 - 1.101 area Resistance 6: 1.120 - 1.128 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
Gold can turn around in seller zone and start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price entered to upward channel, where it some time rose near the support line and later rebounded up to the 2570 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then price made a retest and later continued to grow to a resistance line of the upward channel. When Gold reached this line, it turned around and made a correction movement to the support line, after which bounced and rose to the resistance level. Soon, the price broke this level, which coincided with the seller zone, and rose to 2790 points, after which turned around and started to decline. In a short time, XAU fell to the support line of the channel, and exited from it, breaking the 2705 resistance level as well. Then the price dropped to the buyer zone, where it some time traded and then turned around and made a strong impulse up. Price reached resistance level again and now it trying to break it one more time. In my opinion, Gold can enter to seller zone, turn around, and start to decline. For this case, I set my TP at 2630 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
13
AUDUSD: Time to turn bullish again.AUDUSD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.008, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 21.063) as it has been declining since the September 30th High. Technically though it is time to turn bullish again as not only has the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross, but the double bottom on the 1D RSI is identical to the February 13th 2024 Low. The resulting rebound reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level before a rejection. Consequently, we are turning bullish here, aiming for the current 0.5 Fib (TP = 0.66900). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
GBPUSD Short and Longs (News) Scenario 1: Both PMIs Better than Forecast Actual Manufacturing PMI: 49.5 (Better than 48.8 forecast) Actual Services PMI: 56.0 (Better than 55.2 forecast) EUR/USD: Down - If both sectors perform better than expected, this might signal a stronger US economy, potentially leading to a stronger Dollar. GBP/USD: Down - Similar to EUR/USD, a stronger US economic outlook could weaken GBP against USD. USD/JPY: Up - Improved US PMI data might strengthen USD against JPY, especially if this leads to expectations of a tighter Fed policy. Scenario 2: Both PMIs Worse than Forecast Actual Manufacturing PMI: 48.0 (Worse than 48.8 forecast) Actual Services PMI: 54.0 (Worse than 55.2 forecast) EUR/USD: Up - If both sectors disappoint, this could indicate economic weakness in the US, leading to a weaker USD. GBP/USD: Up - Weaker US data might make GBP relatively stronger, especially if UK economic indicators are not as disappointing. USD/JPY: Down - A disappointing PMI might lead investors to question the US economic recovery, potentially weakening USD against JPY. The Fib is just an example if we was to see a sell off it may come into play. If we not seeing a sell off the Fib will be non existent.
by PipsandTicks1
2
Bullish rise off pullback support?The Silver (XAG/USD) has reacted off the pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 30.67 1st Support: 29.71 1st Resistance: 32.02 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAGUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Potential bearish reversal?The Gold (XAU?USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 2,712.05 1st Support: 2,656.74 1st Resistance: 2,758.37 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ICmarkets
USDCHF - Who is the next head of the Fed?!The USDCHF currency pair is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. If the upward movement continues, we can see the ceiling of the channel and sell within that zone with the appropriate risk reward. A downward correction towards the demand zones will provide us with the next buying positions for this currency pair. According to a report by the Wall Street Journal, Donald Trump is considering options to choose Kevin Warsh as Treasury Secretary, and it is possible that he will later be nominated to head the Federal Reserve. The decision is still undecided, and Trump will likely make his final decision near the end of Jerome Powell's term in May 2026. On the other hand, according to Bloomberg, the Bridgewater company has announced that Trump may choose the chairman of the Federal Reserve who will follow his policies more. Because of Trump's economic policies, the US may not be able to reach the 2% inflation target. Trump's plans may increase costs and thus favor the stock market over bonds. Bob Prince, Bridgewater's chief investment officer, said Trump's policies on tariffs, fiscal stimulus and immigration are likely to keep the U.S. from reaching its 2 percent inflation target. If U.S. inflation approaches 3 percent over the next year and a half, Trump may appoint a Fed chairman who is aligned with a higher inflation target and allows interest rates to fall. Also, Goolsby, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, has predicted that interest rates will drop significantly next year. Referring to the significant reduction in inflation and the state of the labor market, he expressed confidence that the inflation is moving towards the 2% target of the central bank and that the labor market has reached the level of almost full and stable employment.
Long
by Ali_PSND
GBPUSD - The pound, vulnerable to financial policies?!The GBPUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. If the downward trend continues due to the release of today's economic data, we can see the demand zones and buy within those zones with the appropriate risk reward. In case of an upward correction, this currency pair can be sold within the specified supply zones. The UK government has quietly abandoned the Conservatives’ plan for managing pension accounts. This plan, introduced by former Chancellor Jeremy Hunt, aimed to address the issue of small, lost pension accounts. However, it faced widespread criticism from the savings industry. Instead, the new government has decided to focus on launching a pension dashboard to help individuals track their missing savings. Additionally, Rachel Reeves, Hunt’s successor, has announced plans for “megafunds” to consolidate the fragmented state of the current pension system. In October, the UK’s public sector net borrowing rose to £17.4 billion, significantly exceeding the £12.9 billion forecast and the previous figure of £16.6 billion. Excluding banking groups, the figure also stood at £17.4 billion, surpassing the earlier estimate of £13.3 billion. This increase in borrowing highlights the government’s growing need for financial resources and could impact future fiscal policies. Natural gas prices in the UK have reached their highest levels compared to European benchmarks since late 2021. This reflects the country’s heightened vulnerability to cold weather due to a lack of large storage sites. While futures contracts have shown little movement, they remain near last year’s peak levels. Additionally, natural gas prices have risen by over 15% so far in November, further emphasizing the fragility of the UK’s gas market. Mann, a member of the Bank of England, has expressed concerns about exchange rate volatility.She described a 1% rate cut as overly aggressive and suggested that decisions on reducing interest rates should be postponed until economic conditions stabilize. She emphasized that significant monetary changes should only occur based on robust data and evidence. Meanwhile, at TD Securities, a team of strategists led by Oscar Munoz and Gennadiy Goldberg expects the Federal Reserve to halt rate cuts in the first half of 2025, as central bank policymakers assess the impact of Trump’s policies. Similarly, interest rate strategists at JPMorgan have adjusted their expectations for the Fed. Broadly speaking, potential conflicts between the Federal Reserve and Trump’s White House seem highly likely, given that Trump’s policies could clash with monetary policies focused on curbing growth and reducing inflation.
Short
by Ali_PSND
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 71.13 1st Support: 68.99 1st Resistance: 72.94 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by ICmarkets
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which act as an overlap support. Pivot: 154.91 1st Support: 153.46 1st Resistance: 155.89 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Potential bullish rise?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could rise to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.8861 1st Support: 0.8826 1st Resistance: 0.8908 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets