DXY - It is time for a correction!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 After being bullish for a couple of weeks, DXY is now hovering around the upper bound of its range.
Meanwhile, EURUSD is rejecting the lower bound of the orange falling broadening wedge.
If DXY rejects the upper bound of the range, we will be expecting EURUSD to break above its last major high in orange.
In such a scenario, a bullish correction towards the upper bound of the wedge pattern would be expected on EURUSD.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USD
Bitcoin - When will Bitcoin go to price correction?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the daily timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Risk ON sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. We will look for bitcoin selling positions in the range of the channel ceiling (weekly).
Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. Bitcoin buying positions can be looked for in the two specified demand zones.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important.
US Spot Bitcoin ETFs
• Performance Last Week:
• During the first three trading days, US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced substantial capital inflows, starting with a $1.11 billion inflow on the first day.
• However, in the last two trading days, the ETFs faced capital outflows of $400 million and $370 million, respectively.
• Weekly Summary:
Overall, the ETFs recorded a net capital inflow of $1.67 billion for the week, marking a positive performance.
Crypto Market Liquidations
• Coinglass Data:
• Over the past 24 hours, due to market volatility, more than 101,000 traders were liquidated, resulting in a total liquidation value of $231 million.
• This significant figure highlights the impact of recent market fluctuations on crypto traders.
Credit Agricole’s Analysis of the US Dollar
• Future of the Dollar:
• Unlike the 2018 rally driven by Trump-era policies, Credit Agricole argues that 2025 will not see a repeat of the same trend.
• Reasons:
• Current economic conditions differ significantly from 2018.
• Monetary policies and the dollar’s current strength indicate that the dynamics driving the dollar’s movements have shifted.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on Bitcoin
• Bitcoin as the “Currency of Freedom”:
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr., former Secretary of Health under Trump, described Bitcoin as a tool for protecting the middle class from inflation and a solution to counter the devaluation of the dollar.
• He also highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role in addressing America’s crippling national debt, emphasizing its importance in the country’s economic future.
Declining Correlation Between Bitcoin and Gold
• The correlation between Bitcoin and gold has dropped to its lowest point in 11 months.
• James Stanley, Chief Market Strategist at Forex.com:
• Gold has recently reached an overbought status, and its price correction is reasonable.
• Investor Focus on Bitcoin:
As Bitcoin approaches the $100,000 threshold, gold may regain investor appeal, especially near critical support levels.
Potential bullish rise?The Silver (XAG/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 30.01
1st Support: 28.82
1st Resistance: 32.14
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,607.71
1st Support: 2,530.05
1st Resistance: 2,673.73
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8917
1st Support: 0.8824
1st Resistance: 0.8991
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards 78.6% Fibonacci support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support that lines up with the 78.6% and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.2549
1st Support: 1.2376
1st Resistance: 1.2686
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards pullback support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.0463
1st Support: 1.0325
1st Resistance: 1.0600
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,920.42
1st Support: 2,692.59
1st Resistance: 3,382.58
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2528
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is an overlap support which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2335
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 1.2676
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 154.69
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 155.23
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 153.90
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 17.11.2024Gold markets are oversold so sooner or later we will see some form of short term recovery. Here is what I am looking for next;
Option 1: Gold prices dip lower keep lower towards the next target of $2,534 before prices recover.
Option 2: Gold keeps dropping towards $2,520 where price action will create some form of inverse H&S pattern.
USD rally or profit-taking opportunity? USD rally or profit-taking opportunity?
The dollar extended its gains on Friday, bolstered by Donald Trump’s White House return, pressuring the Aussie and Kiwi by over 1%.
Credit Agricole flagged Trump’s policy agenda as a source of upside risk for the greenback but dismissed the likelihood of another 2018-style rally.
With the dollar’s already elevated level, Credit Agricole analysts see limited scope for a repeat of past surges. By late 2025, they project dollar weakness as Federal Reserve rate cuts accumulate. Near-term, the prospect of profit-taking could cap further gains.
XAUUSD 17/11/24Following the previous weeks' analysis, we are once again adhering to the bearish narrative for this pair. Many traders have attempted to go long despite the pair showing strong bearish momentum. In my opinion, this is due to a couple of major factors. Firstly, gold is considered a safe haven, and as the market becomes more fluid, liquidity is being redirected to other assets that may carry slightly more risk. Secondly, the election of Donald Trump as president has bolstered confidence in the economy, further contributing to this liquidity shift. While gold remains a reliable safe haven, these factors have influenced its price movements.
It’s important to note that this view is based on my perspective. Over the past few months, gold prices have surged significantly, making a corrective move almost inevitable.
As mentioned in the EUR/USD market analysis, we are maintaining a bearish outlook here as well. After sweeping the daily low—indicated by the arrow on the left-hand side—the market experienced a short-term push to the upside. This move has swept liquidity, and we are now anticipating a reallocation higher within the short-term range that has been established.
Within this range, there is an unmitigated supply area similar to what was observed on the previous chart. We expect the price to run through the short-term highs located in the middle of the range before initiating a sell-off near the upper boundary. However, there is also a possibility that the sell-off could occur earlier, without pulling back into any of these areas. Should that happen, the chart will need to be updated accordingly.
Our overall targets are the liquid highs at the upper end of the range, followed by a continuation to the downside, with the price running the marked low and sustaining its bearish trend until the bias shifts.
Trade safe and stick to your plan.
EURUSD 17/11/24As we head into this week, we maintain a bearish bias on the EUR/USD pair. This aligns with last month’s trend, where we consistently sold this pair to the downside. Without a shift in bias, we expect this bearish momentum to continue.
Looking at the chart, we’ve identified two key areas of interest for potential selling opportunities. First, there’s a short-term high located around the middle of the current range. This is also a 4-hour high that swept previous short-term highs. Above this, we see an area of unmitigated supply that triggered the last major break of structure, along with a liquidity high just above it. If the price pulls back, it could interact with this supply zone and possibly take out the liquidity highs.
However, this pullback would be a counter-trend move. Our primary expectation remains for the price to continue its downward trajectory toward the lows. Last week, the price swept a daily low, highlighted by an arrow on the left-hand side of the screen. This sweep led to a notable upward push, which, while counter-trend, could serve as the catalyst for the pullback we anticipate.
The market open will be interesting to watch. If the price gaps upward, it could indicate an intent to move higher before potentially filling the gap later in the week. This would align with the bearish continuation we’ve forecasted.
Trade safe and stick to your plan.
USD/JPY is still in its upward trendBy examining the trend in the one-hour time frame, USD/JPY has an important support range in the range of 153.38-154.02.
In general, this scenario is reinforced that USD/JPY can increase in price up to the resistance of the channel ceiling in the range of 158.08, provided that there is no closing of the four-hour candle time below the important support interval in the range of 153.38-154.02.
EURUSD broke 13 month Low! Strong long term buy signal.EURUSD hit yesterday 1.0500, a price we last saw 13 months ago on October 13th 2023.
That is the bottom of the Rectangle pattern and it is technically a rare buy opportunity.
Additionally, it appears to be repeating the bearish wave of July - September 2023, which bottomed on step 4 and rebounded above the 0.618 Fibonacci extension.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.09235 (Fibonacci 0.618).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is on a Rising Support, thus a Bullish Divergence. That is an additional buy signal.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
BTC - Casually following last year trend ?Since a couple of months I'm just copy pasting chart from what happened the year before,
I updated and deleted the red path from my post here :
and added the blue path that BTC seems to follow nicely
btw its same energy than last year : overbought on RSI but we dont give a fk and we go higher
that blue path says that we can touch 100K before EOY, nice no ? will try to catch the swing if it happens !
then it seems to follow more the green target, still can't say we're we ending for this bull run but I think not below 180K
not financial advice
Cheers
USDJPY: Buy opportunity inside the 1H MA200 and 4H MA100.USDJPY is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.138, MACD = 1.880, ADX = 50.518) which perfectly explains the Channel Up it's been trading in since October 8th. At the moment the price is on an aggressive bearish wave, which got accelerated today as it was rejected on the 1H MA50. The result is so far a direct hit on the 1H MA200 for the first time since Nov 10th. The last two HL were on the 4H MA100 however, so there is still some more room to fall but even on the current level the reward largely outweighs the risk. We are just over the 0.5 Fibonacci level afterall, which is where the November 5th low was formed. We're long, aiming for a +3.20% rise (TP = 158.500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Another FLARE signalWe hav seen in the past when flare breakers it’s previous highs, it has a tendency to sky rocket.
When we see these next 15min candles close above $0.01650 we could see a power move to catch up to the rest of the market. Selling under $0.02.
If the tend line fails, I’m out.
Good luck and have fun with it
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.64900 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.64900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.