EURUSD Is Approaching The Weekly TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.10900 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.10900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USD
Euro can break resistance level and continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago bounced from the support level, which coincided with the support area and support line to the resistance line, forming a gap also. After this, EUR turned around and started to decline to the support line, and some time later it reached this line, breaking the 1.0865 support level. Next, EUR fell lower the support line and entered to upward pennant, where it at once made a strong impulse up to the resistance level, breaking the resistance line and 1.0865 level one more time. After this movement, the Euro turned around from the 1.1000 level and made the correction, after which it started to grow and later reached the support line of the pennant. Then price bounced up to the resistance line, thereby rising higher than the resistance level with the seller zone, but a not long time ago it dropped back to the support line, making a fake breakout of 1.1000 level. But recently price rebounded and started to grow, so, in my mind, the Euro can fall to the support line and then rebound up to the resistance line of the pennant, breaking the resistance level. For this reason, I set my TP at 1.1055 points, which coincided with the resistance line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
USDCHF Strong long-term bullish wave expected.The USDCHF pair followed almost perfectly our projected course last time we made an analysis on it (June 20, see chart below), as after a 1.5 Fibonacci rebound, it resumed the downtrend and hit our 0.8700 Target:
Having completed a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, on the same level as the January 04 2024 one, we view the recent rebound as the start of the new Bullish Leg towards the 1W MA200 (red trend-line).
As you can see, we've been basically within a wide but sideways structure for more than one year and the symmetry between the October - December 2023 Leg is very high with May - August 2024. Even the 1D MACD patterns are very similar.
As a result, we turn bullish on USDCHF again on a 0.9100 Target, just below the 1W MA200, which is the technical long-term Resistance.
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USDZAR Channel Down intact. More selling to come.The USDZAR pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since April and currently is more than half-way through its latest Bearish Leg. Technically it resembles the Bearish Leg of May, which completed a -7.00% decline in the pricing of its Lower Low.
As a result, our short-term Target on this pair is 17.500 which is slightly less than -7.00%, near the Support 2 level.
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USD/CAD is heading to 1.38(8/16/2024)After a long correction from 1.395, USD/CAD finally settled on the 1.37 zone where the bullish OB and Fib 0.382 exist.
in our view, the price made a falling wedge (reversal pattern) with 5 legs. yesterday the price finally broke out of the falling wedge.
We believe the price will eventually reach the 1.38 zone and then 1.385.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
Gold Mid Term Target 1850 - GOLD USD BullishGold looks very much like a buy right now.
The support at 1450 looks strong and I can see a rising wedge, pennant shaping up.
GOLD still remains above the Ichimoko Cloud.
The RSI seems bullish
Fib is putting a target around 1850 USD
All in all the case for GOLD is that it should be a safe long term bet, and the TA backs it up.
1st Target is 1850 USD -- however long term it is likely to just keep rising.
Next stop 2400 for GoldMy last gold TA has played out, the RSI is currently oversold on the weekly and it is likely to retrace a bit, however the bullish trend and the rising bullish volume indicate it will probably keep going until about 2400 sat, which will meet a top end trend line as well as a higher lvl on a bullish Fib.
If it dips, which it likely will, it should be a good time to buy it. I expect due to the overall bullishness 1750 would be my dip target, I expect it might finger down below this but not for any sustained amount of time.
The simplest strategy would be to HODL, however there are likely some profitable trades you can take advantage of here.
Fundamentally with the USD printer going Brrrrr , Gold is the safest bet.
USDJPY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 148.300 zone, USDJPY was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 148.300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Potential bullish rise?NZD/USD has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5977
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5913
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6080
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 149.38
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 151.90
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 146.29
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit:
Entry: 0.86700
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.85779
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.85779
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish reversal?USD/ZAR is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 17.92416
1st Support: 17.74888
1st Resistance: 18.12955
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
What to Expect at Jackson Hole Next Week? Traders will next hear from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell during his highly anticipated address at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. The key question hanging over the market: Will Powell use this speech to pave the way for a potential interest rate cut in September?
Scott Helfstein, head of investment strategy at Global X, argues that Powell should take this opportunity to celebrate the Fed's achievements and steer the market toward a 25-basis-point cut next month.
Powell is expected to continue the tradition of Fed chairs delivering opening remarks at the Jackson Hole conference, scheduled for Friday morning next week. Market participants are currently divided on whether the Fed will opt for a 25- or 50-basis-point reduction.
However, the true size of the cut could be influenced by the August jobs report, set to be released just a week after the Jackson Hole summit.
USDMXN Channel Up leading to 21.6500The USDMXN pair eventually gave us on our last analysis (June 27, see chart below) our desired bullish break-out above the multi-year Falling Wedge and the 1W MA200 and its next stop will most likely be our 21.6500 Target:
To view this trend from a more comprehensive perspective, we made today's analysis on the 1D time-frame. The prevailing pattern is a Channel Up, which as you can see is technically on its 3rd Bearish Leg.
Once it hits the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at the bottom of the Channel Up along with ideally the 1D RSI hitting its Support Zone, we will have the next short-term bullish signal. The Bullish Legs have so far been fairly symmetrical at a +15% rise. As a result our 21.000 Target is within the range of the expected rise ahead.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
key levels to pay close attention to on Dollar Index.
Resistance 1: 103.25 - 103.70 area
Resistance 2: 103.85 - 104.15 area
Resistance 3: 104.57 - 104.87 area
Resistance 4: 105.12 - 105.49 area
Resistance 5: 106.05 - 106.13 area
Support 1: 102.16 - 102.57 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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EUR/USD Approaches Key Supply Area Amid U.S. CPI DataThe EUR/USD is nearing a significant supply area around 1.10500, with the pair currently showing signs of being overbought. The latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report highlights that retail traders are largely bullish on the pair, adding to the potential for a correction. The focus now shifts to the upcoming release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, which is likely to play a crucial role in determining the pair's next move.
Market expectations suggest that on a yearly basis, the CPI will rise by 2.9%, slightly down from the 3% recorded in June. The core CPI, which excludes the most volatile items, is anticipated to increase by 3.2% annually. On a monthly basis, both the headline CPI and core CPI are expected to rise by 0.2%.
Should the monthly core CPI, a key indicator that removes base effects and volatile prices, exceed expectations, it could trigger an immediate recovery in the U.S. Dollar (USD). This would likely weigh on the EUR/USD, leading to a potential downward movement from the supply zone around 1.10500. Conversely, if the core CPI underperforms, failing to meet market estimates, the pair might push higher, potentially breaching the initial supply area.
If EUR/USD manages to surpass the 1.10500 level, the next significant resistance lies around 1.12000. This area could act as another barrier for the Euro, where a rebound might occur. However, the current analysis suggests that a reversal at the first supply area is more probable, especially if the USD regains strength following the CPI data release.
In conclusion, the upcoming CPI figures will be pivotal in shaping the EUR/USD's trajectory. Traders should closely monitor the data, as it could either reinforce the overbought conditions and lead to a correction, or propel the pair higher if the USD weakens further.
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Gold Futures Rebound, Eyeing Key Levels Amid Dollar WeaknessGold Futures Rise, Recovering Some Losses on Weaker Dollar
Gold retreated from near-record highs on Wednesday after U.S. inflation data, while positive, suggested that the Federal Reserve might implement smaller-than-anticipated interest rate cuts in September.
Technical Analysis: Gold
Current Outlook:
The price hit our target perfectly and has since reversed. It is now attempting to reach 2,466, with a focus on the bullish volume above 2,475. Stability above this level could drive the price higher towards 2,493 and 2,525.
Bullish Scenario:
The price is currently attempting to reach 2,466. A break above this level could activate a bullish trend, leading to 2,475, and further gains towards 2,493.
Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price trades below 2,466 and 2,460, it remains in a bearish zone, potentially declining towards 2,442 and further down to 2,428.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 2,460
- Resistance Levels: 2475, 2484, 2493
- Support Levels: 2442, 2430, 2420
Today's Expected Trading Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between 2,428 and 2,475.
Tendency: Consolidation between 2,466 and 2,442, with a bearish bias.
previous idea: