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USDSEK Bearish break-out imminent.The USDSEK pair is testing the Internal Higher Lows trend-line of the 2-year Channel Down pattern, below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Having made its last Lower High just above the 0.786 Fibonacci level (similar to the previous Lower High), it is technically expected to break the Internal Higher Lows trend-line and extend to a new Channel Down Low towards the end of the year. As you can see the structure of this pattern is very symmetrical and with the last Lower Low being just above the -0.186 Fibonacci extension, we expect the next to be at 9.7500 at least. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
1
USDJPY 6H / Will Speculators Rebuild Yen Shorts Amid Volatility?Will Speculators Rebuild Yen Short Positions? Recent CFTC data on FX positioning reveals that the net short positions on the Japanese yen (JPY) have decreased for the fifth consecutive week, dropping to 11,354 contracts as of August 6. This marks the lowest level since March 2021, coinciding with the USD/JPY decline to a nine-month low of 141.67 on the EBS platform. Just a month earlier, when USD/JPY was near 162, the net yen short positions had reached 184,233 contracts, the highest in 17 years. The recent unwinding of JPY shorts presents a clean slate for speculators who anticipate a repeat of the price action seen after a similar yen-funded carry trade unwinding in late 2023, which drove USD/JPY down to around 140. Market Volatility and Key Levels Bullish Scenario: To confirm a bullish trend, the price must stabilize above 147.825, with potential targets at 149.860 and 150.775, indicating a strong breakout. Bearish Scenario: The bearish trend remains in place as long as the price trades below the pivot line at 147.825, targeting 146.330 and 144.900. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 147.825 - Resistance Levels: 148.825, 149.860, 150.770 - Support Levels: 146.350, 144.900, 142.400 Expected Movement Range: The price is anticipated to fluctuate between 148.830 and 144.900. previous idea:
Short
by SroshMayi
POTENTIAL TRADE SETUP ON EURUSDPotential Trade Setup on EURUSD Prior to the spike which was initiated by the July NFP data released. EURUSD seem to be ranging since then, however there is an opportunity for trade setup moving forward.. The price is developing, and I am waiting for either a break above the resistance and retest of that zone to take a a BUY trade, or Alternatively if the price drop further downside move, then a SELL trade is good to go. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Trade Responsibly! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by Adefxc
BUY TRADE ON XAUUSDPotential Trade Setup on XAUUSD The price broke out of a strong resistance zone and a long-used Trendline but yet to retest the broken structure. The price is developing, and I am waiting for a retest of the previously broken resistance and used as support before I look for a LONG trade. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Trade Responsibly! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Adefxc
BUY TRADE ON USDJPYUSDJPY in a Potential Uptrend The price broke out of a strong resistance zone and turned support multiple times. The price is developing, and I am waiting for a break above the resistance to go LONG. Alternatively, if the price breaks below support, then there will be an opportunity to go SHORT if the broken support is retested and used ad resistance. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by Adefxc
USD/CHF: Liquidity Grab at 0.84323 Signals Long SetupThe USD/CHF pair recently grabbed liquidity at the 0.84323 level, aligning with a significant demand area, which has sparked a potential reversal. Following this initial reversal impulse, we are closely monitoring this zone for a long entry. The liquidity grab at 0.84323 is noteworthy, as it indicates a possible shift in market dynamics, with a strong buying interest emerging at this critical level. This demand area has historically provided robust support, making it a key level to watch for a sustained upward move. Our analysis of the supply and demand dynamics supports the case for a long position. The current market structure suggests that the demand zone at 0.84323 is poised to hold, providing the foundation for a bullish continuation. Additionally, the seasonal trends for USD/CHF historically favor upward movements during specific periods, further reinforcing the potential for a price surge. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report adds another layer of confirmation to this setup. The data indicates that large traders and institutions have begun accumulating long positions in USD/CHF, signaling growing confidence in a potential upward trend. Given the confluence of the liquidity grab at 0.84323, the strong demand area, supportive seasonal trends, and bullish signals from the COT report, we are looking to go long on USD/CHF. The technical and sentiment indicators suggest a favorable environment for a price surge, making this a promising opportunity for traders. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/CHF in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
USD/JPY:Liquidity Grab at 142.000 Signals Long Setup OpportunityThe USD/JPY pair recently experienced a liquidity grab around the 142.000 area, which coincides with a key demand zone. This convergence of factors presents a compelling opportunity for a long setup, especially when analyzed in conjunction with the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, seasonality trends, and our supply and demand analysis. The liquidity grab at 142.000 is a critical event, as it often indicates a shift in market sentiment. In this case, the price dipped into a demand area where buying pressure is expected to intensify. This zone has historically acted as a strong support level, making it a prime candidate for a reversal and an upward move. Our analysis of the COT report further strengthens the case for a long position. The data suggests that large traders and institutional investors are increasingly positioning themselves on the bullish side of USD/JPY, indicating confidence in a potential upward trajectory. This shift in market sentiment aligns with the technical indicators we've identified in the 142.000 demand area. Seasonality trends also play a supportive role in this setup. Historically, certain periods have favored the US dollar against the Japanese yen, leading to upward movements in the pair. This seasonal pattern, combined with the current technical and sentiment-based factors, creates a favorable environment for a long position. Given the liquidity grab at 142.000, the confluence with a demand zone, and the positive signals from the COT report and seasonality analysis, we are looking to enter a long setup in USD/JPY. Traders should consider this opportunity, as the potential for a significant upward move appears strong. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
Sell Gold (Xau/Usd) wedge BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2427, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2403 2nd Support – 2388 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2440. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
6
AUDUSD | Trading Plan | 15m15m: A bearish Break of Structure (BoS) is clearly visible after the buy-side liquidity sweep. I've marked the bearish leg and identified a valid supply zone. I'm now waiting for a sell-side liquidity sweep to enter a long position until market mitigates the above supply zone. After the supply zone is mitigated or buy-side lq sweep, will wait for a bearish confirmation appears on the 15m chart, I'll look for a short position again. "Primarily, we need to focus on opportunities during kill zones and ignore any setups outside of these times."
by arjTradingofficial
1
Potential bullish bounce?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance level which has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 56,833.90 1st Support: 56,677.44 1st Resistance: 61,685.95 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
1
Could Gold reverse from here?The price is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 61.8% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 2,432.17 1st Support: 2,402.82 1st Resistance: 2,451.17 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ICmarkets
1
AUD/USD has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise further?AUD/USD has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance level which is also a pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.6567 1st Support: 0.6515 1st Resistance: 0.6634 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Bullish rise?USD/JPY has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 145.48 1st Support: 142.06 1st Resistance: 149.30 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Buy Gold (Xau/Usd) Channel BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2394, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2470 2nd Support – 2500 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2362. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
49
Trading the Inflation Sandwich: What to Watch?Trading the Inflation Sandwich: What to Watch? US CPI inflation (Consumer Price Index). The CPI report is expected to confirm a continuation of the disinflationary trend observed in recent months. Analysts predict the annual inflation rate to edge down to 2.9%, while the core inflation rate is likely to decelerate to 3.2%. This ongoing cooling of inflation could bolster expectations for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to lower interest rates in September. Should inflation continue its downward trajectory, the FOMC may shift its focus to job numbers with greater intensity. Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate decision Of the 31 economists surveyed by Reuters, 9 expect the central bank to maintain its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 5.5% for the ninth consecutive meeting, while 12 forecast a 25-basis point rate cut. A decision to hold could lend support to the New Zealand dollar (NZD), whereas a rate cut might exert downward pressure. Traders might like to keep an eye on the AUD/NZD cross, with key resistance and support levels possibly at $1.0975 and $1.0843 UK CPI inflation Following the Bank of England’s (BoE) recent decision to cut the Bank Rate by 25 basis points to 5.0%—the first reduction in four years—a fresh inflation report is due from the UK. Headline CPI inflation for July is expected to rise to 2.3% year-on-year from June's 2.0%, with estimates ranging from 2.0% to 2.4%. Core inflation, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, is projected to hold steady at 3.5%, with a slight margin of variation between 3.3% and 3.5%.
by BlackBull_Markets
XAUUSD 11/8/24Following up on gold this week, we have an area of demand relatively close to the current price action, near where it ended last week. We believe this area could be tested, and if so, we’ll look for either a decisive push back up or a failure. We are strongly bullish on gold and believe it is likely to run higher, aligning with the institutional liquidity moving in the form of trendline liquidity. We could see a sell-off near the high to encourage sellers to place their stops above it. Overall, we expect the high to be breached. If we don’t reach this high and instead pull back lower, we will look for buying opportunities near the lower end of the overall range, just below the low established on Thursday, the 25th. This level holds significant liquidity, so it could be targeted. Our main focus is for the price to shift into the bullish narrative that we recognize on the higher time frame. We’re simply waiting for the price to show us what it wants to do. Trade your plan, follow your risk management, and always trade based on what price shows you, not on what you want it to do.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by rosshayes
EURUSD 11/8/24This week in EUR/USD, we have liquidity placed above our highs in a bullish range. Last week, we played bearish within price action, ultimately putting in these highs to form liquidity. Based on this, we could run the liquidity coming into this week, or we may drop further into the range. We have met the 50% level of the range, so there is sufficient liquidity behind price to shift it higher. Now, of course, we have some fundamentals coming up this week, so price may shift accordingly. Overall, we are looking for price action to run the highs as we remain bullish, with fundamentals favoring dollar weakness. This leads us to believe that this scenario could play out. There is a hotspot within this liquidity, marked by our golden line, where price may react to sell back for a deeper retrace or blast through and take the high. We have a very clear area of demand at the base of our range. If we drop lower, we can look for that area to react. The main point is to follow what price is actually showing you, rather than what we want to see. Trade safe and follow your plan.
by rosshayes