EURO - Price can continue move up to $1.0420, exiting of pennantHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to decline inside falling channel, where it bounced from support line and rose to resistance line first.
Then Euro turned around and dropped to $1.0380 level, some time traded near and later broke it.
Next, Euro exied from channel and fell to support level, after which bounced from this level to $1.0380 level.
Price broke this level, but soon it turned around, broke this level again, and started to decline inside pennant.
In pennant, EUR fell to support line, after which rose to resistance line of this pattern, breaking $1.0245 level.
Now, I think that Euro exit from pennant, reach resistance level, and break it, after which continue to grow to $1.0420
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USD
EUR/USD Outlook: Bearish Momentum with Key Levels in FocusEUR/USD Analysis
The price exhibits bearish momentum, as it has already broken below the pivot line at 1.0367 and closed the weekly candle beneath it. This confirms a downward bias in the near term.
In the short term, the price may retest the pivot line around 1.0367 before continuing its drop.
If bearish momentum persists, the price is expected to decline further to test 1.0226 and potentially 1.0155.
To transition into a bullish structure, the price must break and sustain above 1.0367 by closing a 4-hour candle above this level. If this occurs, the price could target 1.0437.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 1.0288
Resistance Levels: 1.0360, 1.0436, 1.0470
Support Levels: 1.0227, 1.0155, 1.0110
Trend Outlook
Consolidation: Between 1.0288 and 1.0346
Bearish Trend: Below 1.0288
Bullish Trend: Above 1.0367
USDCAD Best sell opportunity in 5 years!The USDCAD is standing on unique grounds as it is just below the 9-year Resistance Zone and is consolidating. Last time it hit this Zone was on the week of March 16 2020 and as you can see it got brutally rejected.
Both the January 18 2016 and March 16 2020 tops have similar 1W RSI patterns and after their rejection, the price's first stop was on the 0.236 Fibonacci level. As a result, our Target is 1.26000 on this unique long-term sell opportunity.
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USDJPY - Will the weakness of the yen stop?!The USDJPY pairing in the 4 -hour timeframe is between EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its mid -term uptrend. If corrected by publishing economic data this week, we can see the downward trend and then the restricted demand zone, and in that area with the right risk. The valid defeat of the specified resistance range will pave the way for the pair up to 160.
Tatsu Yamasaki, a former Japanese official, stated in an interview with Nikkei that collaboration between Trump and Tokyo could help normalize the dollar-yen exchange rate. He suggested that Trump should work with Tokyo to weaken the overly strong dollar. Such cooperation could strengthen economic relations between the two nations and bring greater stability to financial markets.
Meanwhile, robust U.S. labor market data for December has led many analysts to conclude that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates further at this time. Some even predict that the report could pave the way for the Fed to raise interest rates in 2025.
An economist at Bank of America wrote in a note, “Our baseline forecast is that the Federal Reserve will keep rates steady for an extended period. However, the risk of a rate hike is growing.” According to the economist, factors such as core inflation growth or rising inflation expectations could trigger a rate hike.Concerns also revolve around Trump’s policies, including tax cuts and tariffs, which may contribute to higher inflation.
Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), remarked that the Federal Reserve might delay rate cuts due to stable labor markets and inflation nearing target levels. She also predicted that global economic growth will remain steady as inflation gradually declines in 2025.
Georgieva highlighted uncertainties surrounding trade policies under the new U.S. administration, emphasizing their potential impact on the global economy. Additionally, she expects global interest rates to remain relatively high for an extended period.
Kazuo Ueda, the Governor of the Bank of Japan, stated that interest rates will be raised if economic improvements and price growth continue. He noted that the final decision on this matter will be made next week. Ueda’s remarks contributed to strengthening the yen in financial markets.
Himino, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan, indicated that if economic projections materialize, monetary easing policies will be adjusted and interest rates increased. He stressed the need for continuous monitoring of U.S. economic policies under the new administration. Domestically, one of the critical issues remains the outlook for wage growth in the fiscal year 2025. Himino acknowledged various risks, both domestic and international, while noting that the U.S. economy is expected to remain strong.
Masato Kanda, a former currency official for Japan, continues to comment on the yen. Speaking in Tokyo, he emphasized that currency markets should move based on fundamental principles, and any sudden deviations from these fundamentals require correction.
Separately, Nippon Steel announced that it is the sole partner capable of fully preserving U.S. Steel, keeping its blast furnaces operational, and maintaining jobs in the industry. The company stated that its commitments have been shared in multiple meetings with various stakeholders, including employees.
Meanwhile, Lourenco Goncalves, CEO of Cleveland-Cliffs, has been accused of unfair biases, as he cannot match the scope and scale of Nippon Steel’s proposal. Nippon Steel emphasized its determination to take whatever measures are necessary to finalize the deal.
Bullish bounce?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.5571
1st Support: 0.5542
1st Resistance: 0.5620
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the Gold reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support that acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 2,693.13
1st Support: 2,657.78
1st Resistance: 2,718.80
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has reacted off the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.4342
1st Support: 1.4323
1st Resistance: 1.4382
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD Is Trading Under The Pressure Of A Strong Dollar!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.03700 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.03700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.0343
1st Support: 1.0254
1st Resistance: 1.0442
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.56400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.56400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on USDJPY
The price broke out of a strong intraday resistance zone, although the Trend remains bullish and the set Trendline keeps the price on the higher part of the market.
The price is developing, and I am waiting for a retest of the previously broken resistance and used as support before I look for a LONG trade.
A BUY opportunity is at the top above the weekly Low at 1.04480.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
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XAUUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on XAUUSD
The price broke out of a strong intraday resistance zone and a long-used Trendline but we have yet to retest the broken structure.
The price is developing, and I am waiting for a retest of the previously broken resistance and used as support before I look for a LONG trade.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
USDCHF POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on USDCHF
The price broke out of a strong intraday resistance zone, although the Trend remains bullish and the set Trendline keeps the price on the higher part of the market.
The price is developing, and I am waiting for a retest of the previously broken resistance and used as support before I look for a LONG trade.
A BUY opportunity is at the top above the weekly Low at 0.88818.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
EURUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on EURUSD
The price broke out of a strong intraday support zone, although the Trend remains bearish and the set Trendline keeps the price on the lower part of the market.
The price is developing, and I am waiting for a retest of the previously broken support and used as resistance before I look for a SHORT trade.
A BUY opportunity is at the top above the weekly Low at 1.04480.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Why is the NZD attracting buyers?The NZD/USD pair has shown significant resilience, climbing to 0.5631 this week, marking a solid recovery from its previous low of 0.5542. This upward momentum is largely driven by China's proactive economic stimulus measures, which have positively impacted New Zealand due to their strong trade relationship. The People's Bank of China’s commitment to maintaining liquidity and stabilizing the Yuan has provided additional support to the kiwi, enhancing its trade outlook. However, traders remain vigilant, focusing on forthcoming decisions by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and monitoring global market conditions closely. Despite the recent gains, the US dollar's overall strength, supported by a robust economic outlook for 2025, continues to exert pressure, creating a dynamic trading environment for the NZD/USD pair. As these factors converge, the pair's trajectory will depend on the interplay between domestic policies in New Zealand and broader international economic developments.
USDJPY consolidating before the next leg up.USDJPY is trading inside a Channel Up since September 16th and in the past 4 weeks has been ranging.
This consolidation was also seen on the previous Channel Up pattern of 2024, halfway through the pattern.
The 1day RSI patterns among the two are identical, which means that this is a strong buy opportunity.
Buy and aim for Resistance A at 162.000 as a short term, low risk target.
Previous chart:
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EURUSD Falling Wedge on a bullish divergence.EURUSD is trading inside a long term Falling Wedge and today is posting a strong bullish 1day candle.
The 1day RSI is on a Bullish Divergence (higher lows) for almost 3 months, indicating that a long term trend change to bullish is about to take place.
We expect the first bullish wave upon the Wedge's break out to be contained under the 1day MA200.
Buy and target 1.06900.
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Bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5572
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5542
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.5611
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Potential bullish rise?EUR/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0263
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.0192
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.0348
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSD /Sterling Hits 8-Month Low Amid Bearish MomentumGBP/USD Analysis
Sterling Weakens to an 8-Month Low
The British pound has dropped to $1.240, marking its lowest level in eight months. This decline is driven by concerns over the UK’s economic resilience and a stronger US dollar.
The UK economy remains stagnant, with revised Q3 figures showing no growth, adding to the challenges faced by Prime Minister Keir Starmer's new government. Furthermore, the Bank of England's dovish stance in its final 2024 rate decision has placed additional pressure on the pound.
Trade tensions also weigh on the pound, particularly with former US President Trump's proposed tariffs, which could disrupt UK trade.
Technical Outlook
The GBP/USD pair maintains a bearish momentum, though a correction to 1.2485 is possible, especially if the price stabilizes above 1.2409.
If the price breaks 1.2485 and closes a 4-hour candle above it, this could signal the start of a bullish continuation towards 1.2610.
Conversely, if the price reverses and stabilizes below 1.2409, it could drop further to test 1.2315.
A sustained move below 1.2409 would strengthen the bearish outlook, with potential targets at 1.2315 and 1.2215.
Key levels
Pivot Line: 1.2409
Resistance lines: 1.2485, 1.2532, 1.2611
Support Lines: 1.2315, 1.2215, 1.2150
Trend Outlook
Consolidation: Between 1.2409 and 1.2485
Bearish: Below 1.2400
Bullish: Above 1.2486
USD Index (DXY) Soars to 2-Year High!🚀💵 USD Index ( TVC:DXY ) Soars to 2-Year High! 📈
The U.S. Dollar Index just hit above 110, a peak not seen since November 2022! Thanks to strong U.S. economic data, but is this the top or just the beginning? 🧐
Check out the trends on #TradingView for deeper insights! 🔍📊
#USD #DXY #ForexTrading #EconomicTrends