FULL AUDUSD ANALYSISHello my wonderful community !
I’m back again
I really appreciate you guys for reviewing my charts
Kindly like and comment on how you feel the market will go , I’m open to learn and communicate with other hardworking traders on here.
The colors for each line/zone
Monthly - Yellow
Weekly - Orange
Daily - Green
4H - Red
1H - Purple
My Monthly chart view:
Ever since 2021, price has been in a downtrend by making Lower highs and Lower lows.
Price breaks a major Support area and turns it to a dynamic resisitance area and respects the EMA 50.
Take note as price is in a range and respecting the newly formed monthly resistance line (0.7050) and support line (0.6300).
My Weekly chart view:
Going into the weekly TimeFrame, it is truly clear that bears has been in full control of price from 2022 until 2023 displaying a down trend.
Price is currently not making lower lows and has been ranging from the beginning of 2023 till recent
Last week price made a new higher high.
Going down further to get clarity
My Daily chart view:
Price is in an uptrend after breaking the daily resistance in green (0.68700), Waiting on a retest or more volume from the bulls to see price start heading for the Monthly resistance line in yellow.
Until then I will go down to smaller timeframes to see market setups
My 4H chart view:
As we move into the smaller timeframe of the 4H period, the market seems to be clearer
So I’ll go further and look for buy Setups as bulls seems to be coming in strong with rising momentum after the break of the daily resistance line in green(0.68700)
To play safe for me to feel comfortable in capturing a buy setup , I’m waiting for a few confluence to put the odds in my favor , probably wait till the end of the first week of October
My 1H chart view:
On the hourly and anything below this timeframe , I can choose to capitalize by scalping and looking for buy entries that is validated by my own trading style
Fibonacci tool will be good once I can see a formation of the last trend line, I’m patiently waiting for the market to reveal itself.
I will be back to review this trade and see how things go
Avoid entry of any trade during any major news that will affect price and this is not financial advise
-> NEWSCHOOLTRADER
Usdaud
AUDUSD will go Up soon(⏰(4-Hour)⏰🏃♂️ AUDUSD is running in 🟡 Price Reversal Zones(PRZ) 🟡 and near the Important Support line and Support line .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive valleys .
🔔I expect AUDUSD will go UP at least to the Resistance line(2) .
Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( AUDUSD ) 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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AUDUSD will go UP by Double Bottom Pattern🚀AUDUSD was able to break the 🔴 resistance zone($0.64620-$0.64530) 🔴.
Now, we are watching the pull back to the resistance zone .
Also, we can find the Double Bottom Pattern(Standard) .
🔔I expect AUDUSD will go UP at least to the upper line of the Ascending Channel and next 🔴 resistance zone($0.65030-$0.64920) 🔴.
🔅Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( AUDUSD ) 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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Asian Currency Crisis - Part two? Aussie Dollar Collapsing. RU
Aussie Dollar looking extremely weak adding it to the list.
Japanese Yen extremely weak
China Yuan Extremely weak.
There's a problem brewing in Asia / Oceania if the FRED does not start lowering rates you're going currencies like the JPY / CNY / AUD potentially lose 30-70% of its value against the
United States Dollar.
Japan cannot raise rates due to the leverage used by the BOJ to buy US treasuries and Japan Treasuries.
China lowering rates will not work as its completely reliant on cheap US Dollars to function.
Australia have also pivoted due to them having the highest household debt in the world, Australia relies on China to purchase resources, they cannot raise rates to deal with inflation the system cannot handle it.
These could be the first major currencies to enter the point of no return debt to GDP ending up like Venezuela, Argentina, Turkey, Lebanon
Debt To GDP Ratio's
JAPAN - 264% "GOV debt to GDP"
AUSTRALIA - 113.60% "House hold Debt"
CHINA - 80% "GOV debt to GDP"
For people who are unaware once you go past 100% in debt regardless if its Government or household, there has never been a currency in history that has survived paying off its debt and retracing.
Currencies failing will make debt cheaper to repay? well the second side of that is CPI / Inflation Japan & Australia cannot seem to get out of.
Sanctioning Russia & forcing a new BRICS development has really backfired here.
Debt ceiling aside, watch the dollar and central bank meetings!As the debt ceiling discussions draw to a close, the dollar's rally indicates that markets have largely priced in this event. The focus now returns to the Federal Reserve (Fed) and its notably hawkish stance. Fed officials' recent statements and fed fund futures, which are pricing in another rate hike in the upcoming meeting, suggest it might be the right time to reassess the dollar pairs.
Two weeks ago, we discussed the USDCNH pair, which made a swift upward move. Interestingly, the correlation between USDCNH and USDAUD has been increasing, and USDCNH has been a leading indicator for the last few moves, with USDAUD following its trend shortly after.
To understand why, let's look at the AUDCNH as well as the USD. The moves in these pairs seem to be largely driven by the USD, as the AUDCNH has remained range-bound since 2022.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is scheduled to meet on June 6th and is expected to maintain its policy, while the Fed will meet on June 13th and is expected to hike rates. This divergence in monetary policies could further strengthen the case for a USDAUD rally.
Current yield differentials continue to favour the USD carry trade and this trend appears set to continue as the Fed is expected to raise rates while the RBA remains on hold, widening the yield differentials.
With the Fed poised for another rate hike and the RBA expected to maintain its policy stance, along with the dollar's strengthening and the USDCNH leading the AUDUSD pair, we could express our market views via a risk-managed trade long on the USD and short on the AUD. To set up this position, we can take a short position on the Micro AUD/USD futures, with stop-loss orders placed at 0.673 and take-profit orders at 0.627. A Micro AUD/USD futures contract represents 10,000 AUD, with each point move in AUD equalling USD 10,000.
The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
Reference:
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AUDUSD will fall by Head and Shoulders Pattern❗️❗️❗️AUDUSD managed to form a Head and Shoulders Pattern, and since the slope of the neckline is negative, it is more likely that the pattern is valid.
Also, two moving averages, 50-EMA and 50-SMA, created a ⬇️SELL⬇️ signal.
I expect AUDUSD to fall to the pattern target and 🟢heavy support zone($0.593-$0.55)🟢 after breaking the neckline and 🟢support zone($0.659-$0.652)🟢.
🔅Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( AUDUSD ) Daily time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
AUD.USD (Y23.P1.E1).BreakdownHi Traders,
I see this coming to a support level like the 618 which has confluence with the volume profile control level.
I still see macro downward pressure but a relief rally from this level.
To look for an entry, we will look for bullish candle sticks along with the indicator\s crossing to bullish.
Bullish divergence is a bonus factor.
All the best,
S.SAri
💵Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar💵 Analyze (01/02/2023)!!!Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar is making a rising wedge pattern near the resistance zone.
When I saw the hanging man candlestick pattern near the upper line of the rising wedge (also some other tips), I opened a short position with RR=2.00 & 5.68.
I expect the Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar will go down at least to the lower line of the rising wedge pattern (RR=2.00).
🔅Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( AUDUSD ) Timeframe 4H⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
💵Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar💵 Analyze (Short term,12/21/2022)Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar made a bearish AB=CD harmonic pattern near the PRZ(Price Reversal Zone) and trend line.
I expect the Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar will go down to the support zone at least.
🔅Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( AUDUSD ) Timeframe 15min⏰
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
💵Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar💵Analyze(Short term,12/08/2022)🦈Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar was retraced from the resistance zone by Bearish 🦈Shark🦈 Harmonic Pattern.
Also, we can see one of the best signals in the RSI indicator at 15 min timeframe = Bearish Failure Swing Signal👇
I expect the Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar will go down at least until the support zone.
🔅Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( AUDUSD ) Timeframe 15min⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
💵Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar💵 Analyze (Short term,10/22/2022)Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar was able to break the upper line of descending channel by the bullish marubozu candle.
I expect the Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar will go UP at least to the resistance zone & resistance line.
🔅Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( AUDUSD ) Timeframe 4h⏰
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
AU BIG SHORT OPPORTUNITY - SWING TRADEAUD/USD Not looking good here. There is a strong key level at 68-69c that has acted as a huge resistance and support in the past going back years down the line if you take a look. We've created some real heavy bearish structure leading into this level and we just closed below it on the daily. IF the bearish trend continues, we could see a rejection of this level and what once was support will turn to resistance and i see no stopping it until the Weekly order block located below at my TP. Big R:R Trade. Risk Rating: 6/10
NFA DYOR.
According to the previous analysis, the reaction is beautiful📉📈1970 also failed and now the next resistance attack
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
📊 #xauusd ( gold )
💹 Time Frame : weekly
👤 hosein alizadeh
📅 3/7/22
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
(USDCAD) T.F(4H) TA 2/23/22 Going out of neutral mode?📉📈 After hitting the trend line, we see the price return
Now we have a new support at 1.27200 if scenario 2 happens if it breaks
And if the support is not broken, the probability of breaking the trend line and leaving the neutral state is high
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
📊 #USDCAD
💹 Time Frame : 4h
👤 hosein alizadeh
📅 2/23/22
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
AUD Looking like it is heading south down to 0.69 in April-Reasons
1. USD will go up further due to inflation and big interest rate hikes
2. RBA will not raise rates till 2023 as inflation is very low
3. RBA is not happy with wage price index not going up
4. Chinese inflation is declining meaning less buying of Aussie commodities
5. China is controlling iron ore pricing with new structure so they will lower the price of iron ore which is Australias biggest export
BNB Analysis for February 06th - Needs to breakout around $476On the weekly BNB continues it's downtrend. The daily chart looks good but zoom out to the weekly and we see that BNB clearly needs to break out of its resistance to have a chance at a full breakout. It did meet the $401 mark from February 4th when Bulls were buying lower at $350. If the downtrend continue bulls will start buying at $320 and lower instead of $350. However I have hope for this since I believe the price of bitcoin will continue its trend upward. It still seems that the bulls are trading on rallies. We will have to wait for a breakout around $476 to say that BNB is looking to make a full breakout. I am thinking about getting ready for Spring and having good thoughts about this one. As you all know Hex Coin is an ERC 20 token. Why did I pull that one out of my ass? Because now you get a chance to get into a new token with daily auctions launching on Binance Smart Chain called Rex Token. With this token if you go back to June 21, 2021 you will see that the first launch of Rex made the price of BNB sky rocket to all time highs. The astonishing counterpart to Rex Token is TREX and with the first launch this was too powerful and caused too much inflation. Now with the relaunch of Rex Token I truly believe we will see BNB along with Ethereum, Hex Coin and Bitcoin move to the uptrend. There are so many projects out there how can you trust any of the farms and Daos? They all seem to lose money with the LP tokens. The majority do anyway. With Rex Token that is not an issue. With the BNB pool you can't go wrong either. I have high hopes for BNB and Binance Smart Chain.
Wave Analysis for AUDUSDThis is a look at AUDUSD, where I'm looking for new entry points. The months of Oct. and Nov. had great movement pushing price pas the neckline of the identified double top, indicating that we should be in a downward trend. Our recent uptrend from Dec. 5th was not a reconstructive move. Expecting price to continue to the .73xxx area before looking for short opportunities.
This analysis is meant for personal development and tracking only.
If you found this information to be helpful or provided any insight be sure to give like and comment your ideas as well.
Thank you for checking me out.
Best regards.
Shorting USDAUD.What we love about Elliott at Rykin Capital is its seeming utility in all kinds of markets. From Crypto to stocks to FOREX to futures to other derivative types. It is the only system that incorporates the analysis of the fractal nature of markets. And it appears of all markets at that. The system is so powerful that we cannot imagine analyzing any market without it. We do accept Glenn Neely's additions to the theory as canon. When you think you have described the fractal nature of the markets, it appears new frontiers in fractal market analysis emerge that beg further study. And it makes sense - fractals are, after all, forever changing and evolving beasts.
But back to USD AUD - Dropping momentum post what appears to be a Wave A of a forming zigzag. It is highly likely that we will continue to find lower ground over the coming days given this picture.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!