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USDBRL

Can the Brazilian Real Survive its Perfect Economic Storm?In the intricate world of global finance, few narratives are as compelling as Brazil's current economic crucible. The Brazilian real stands at a precipice, buffeted by a confluence of domestic policy missteps and international economic pressures that challenge the very foundations of its monetary stability. President Lula's administration finds itself wrestling with a complex challenge: balancing ambitious social spending with the cold, hard realities of fiscal discipline. The currency's dramatic decline—losing nearly 20% of its value in recent months—represents more than a mere statistical fluctuation. It is a profound referendum on investor confidence, reflecting deep-seated concerns about Brazil's economic management. The potential depreciation to 7 reals per dollar looms like a specter, threatening to unleash inflationary pressures that could destabilize the entire economic ecosystem, from local markets to international trade relationships. What emerges is a high-stakes economic drama with global implications. The Brazilian real's struggle is not just a national issue, but a microcosm of the broader challenges facing emerging economies in an increasingly unpredictable global financial landscape. As central bank governors, international investors, and policymakers watch with bated breath, Brazil stands at a critical juncture—its choices will not only determine its economic trajectory but potentially reshape perceptions of emerging market resilience in the face of unprecedented economic volatility.
Long
by signalmastermind
USDBRL_1W_Buyhello Analysis of the Brazilian real in the medium and long term Elliott wave analysis style The market is in an upward trend and in the medium term we are in wave 3, which wave 3 includes 5 waves. The target of wave 3 is 6.5500 and again we can have a correction as wave 4 to 5.8800 and continue to climb for the big wave 5 towards 7.4400 Sincerely, I am a dear Brazilian and the country is extremely beautiful and the entire continent of America ends in the great country of Brazil. I traveled around the continent of America in 2024 and I have not seen a country like Brazil, especially Sao Paulo. I wish all the best for Brazil
Long
by Elliottwaveofficial
4
Can Inflation Shift the Fed’s Rate Path? This week’s inflation data could be decisive for traders as markets weigh whether the Fed will cut rates by 25 or 50 basis points. Last week’s jobs report did not sway the market from its current consensus. The US economy added 142,000 jobs in August 2024, falling short of the expected 160,000, based on the latest NFP data. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of a 25-bps rate cut climbed to 73%, while expectations for a 50-bps cut dropped to 27%. Attention now turns to inflation, with consumer prices expected to fall to 2.6%—the lowest since March 2021—and producer prices anticipated to rise 0.2% month-over-month. Key USD pairs to watch this week include EUR/USD, with the ECB's upcoming interest rate decision in focus. Additionally, pairs impacted by inflation data releases from Mexico, Brazil, Russia, and India could see significant movement.
by BlackBull_Markets
As clear as mudA somewhat confused picture has emerged over the past few days on the USD/BRL chart. I have what looks like a triple top on the monthly and weekly charts, which any chartist will tell you is BEARISH. But…. Over the past couple of days on the daily chart we have what looks like a double bottom which has just completed, which is bullish short-term pattern – so what does this mean and more importantly how do I trade it?? This is always a bit tricky to deal with, but one thing is clear, when a bearish triple top has been formed you would expect the market to start dropping like a stone and if the price action is NOT doing what we would expect it to do that is a major cause for concern. However, it is possible that this is merely a return to point of break out – isn’t it?? Mm, well it could be BUT the market has started to nibble through the neckline at 4.8947. We have yet to see a close above this point but it looks like we might do so today as the moves higher near term look directional. So, what to do? Firstly, I would consider just plain exiting the position or at the very least tightening the stops. It also helps to have some basic rules in place and one of my rules is that the trend prevails. I tend to look at the monthly chart to get a grasp on the long-term trend. First thing to note on this market is that the long-term bull trend remains intact and the second thing to note is that the market appears to have reversed short term just ahead of the 55-week ma at 4.5235. OK, this would suggest that maybe this near-term bounce higher might have some legs. My second rule is that to completely negate the triple top we have to retrace more than 50% and in this case that would be around the 5.1678 mark. So extreme caution is warranted, there is enough to suggest that I would be uncomfortable still hanging on to shorts and given the direction moves over the past couple of days I suspect that we are actually going to see some further moves higher near term. Each time you have what appears to be conflicting signals you need to start watching it more closely, it helps to have some rules in place and to pay attention to the long-term trends. If we are going to see a short-term reversal, we should see dips lower ideally hold over the 20-day ma at 4.7073 now. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
by The_STA
USD BRL Minister Paulo Guedes Corrupt destroyed Brazil Target $6Minister Paulo Guedes Corrupt destroyed Brazil Target $6 BTC strong what is not lacking is: support - is Altseason now what we have is: plenty of Altseasson space to shine Super Cycle BTC little jump little jump But the target is consistent Everything in order Altseason is ready and loaded ready to explode Here is pure math Tips for Buy Fast PMA Pumapay XDN Digital Note GAME Game Credits EXP Expanse DTA DATA
Long
by MasterPlayer
USDBRL Climbs for 8 Straight DaysOne of the most liquid Emerging Market currency crosses, $USDBRL, is advancing for an eight straight trading session through Thursday. This is the longest unbroken bull run for the exchange rate since September 2014. It's impressive that it is advancing in today's session given the Dollar is under pressure of its own, but it seems general risk aversion is the stronger force. A retreat in emerging markets can definitely be a risk response, but perhaps there is more persistence to the belief that central banks will normalize regardless of a little market turbulence than previously believed.
by JohnKicklighter