Brent Crude Oil Analysis==>> Fundamental + TechnicalBrent Crude Oil ( FX_IDC:USDBRO ) began to rise from the Heavy Support zone($71.30-$64.80) after Iran attacked Israel . ( It seemed that before the attack of Iran, Brent oil intended to fall and correction further ).
Today's fundamental analysis of Brent crude oil prices is influenced by several key factors:
Geopolitical Tensions : The ongoing conflict in the Middle East, especially between Iran and Israel, has raised concerns about potential disruptions to oil production and exports. Any attacks on Iranian oil infrastructure, particularly in the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial passage for global oil exports, could reduce supply and drive prices higher. These concerns have contributed to the recent rise in Brent prices, pushing it above $80 per barrel.
Global Demand : China's recent large-scale economic stimulus aimed at boosting recovery has increased optimism for higher oil demand. As the world's largest oil consumer, any rise in demand from China directly influences global oil prices.
OPEC+ Supply Capacity : Although OPEC+ still has significant spare production capacity, there are worries that a severe crisis in the region could overwhelm this capacity, preventing the group from compensating for any sudden drop in supply.
Overall, the short-term outlook for Brent crude appears bullish, driven by geopolitical uncertainties and potential increases in demand from China. However, the market remains cautious to see if these trends will hold over time.
Now, according to the fundamental analysis of Brent Crude Oi, let's see which area is suitable for buying Brent Crude Oi .
Brent Crude Oil is moving near the Support zone and the Support line .
Brent Crude Oil's movement structure is corrective , and we should expect it to move upwards again .
I expect Brent Crude Oil to start rising again from or near the Support zone and at least to $81(Yearly Pivot Point) and then attack the Resistance lines .
Brent Crude Oil Analyze (USDBRO), Daily time frame⏰.
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Crude Oil
The increase in Brent Crude ⛽️Oil⛽️ prices due to the WAR🚀➕15%😔Unfortunately, in recent days, there has been a war between Israel and Palestine, and I hope that this war will end as soon as possible.🙏🙏🙏
🧐Now, how can the effect of this war show itself in the oil chart❗️❓
💡At the same time, as geopolitical tensions increase throughout the Middle East , oil prices are likely to rise even more. Meanwhile, US Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) are down to just 17 days , the lowest in history. This is almost half the historical average of 33 days dating back to 1990 .
💡In addition, OPEC this week reaffirmed its commitment to voluntarily cut production to a ceiling of more than 1.5 million barrels per day.
💡In the days when Russian crude oil exports are limited, and the world's largest oil producers are also at war.
😱There's never been a worse time to have an unloaded SPR than today.
📈In terms of technical analysis, Brent Crude Oil is moving near the bottom of the ascending channel , 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and SMA(100) .
🔔I expect that starting next week, the trend of Brent Crude ⛽️Oil⛽️ will rise and at least reach the 🔴 Resistance zone($100.48_$95.80) 🔴 again( ➕15%) .
⛽️Brent Crude Oil⛽️Analyze (USDBRO), Daily time frame ⏰.
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Crude Oil Bearish Iran’s Growing Oil Production Boosting UpTechnical Analysis:
WEEKLY BEAISH
Daily Bearish
4H Bearish
In the chart above I have highlightened the trend, the Bear and Bulltraps.
We have falling Highs/falling Lows.
A bullish pullback signs eveytime low volume and low volatility
that is the evidence of bulltraps caused by oil companies(and big speculators) The oil companies have also their own trades who push the pices fo a short time to make profits and accumultae thie losses,caused by low oiil pices. Also thier investors demand higher pofits.
I am short in Oil, aleady fom July of 2022, and sell everytime the picks of the bullish short tem trend. This means I increase my selling positions bigge and bigger.So trade with the trend. I avoid to buy oil, or go long, nor I ignore the weekly reports, as they are vey short tem and can changed the next moment, but eview the fundamentals on bigge picture.
The maket will target 39USD.
So I have mentioend 4 different scenaios and shown you their routes. 3 scenaio ae bearish with very high probability:Tend is bearish, Fundamentals ae bearish.
The weak USD has less impact here, cuz it is not the only indiacto that moves the oil market.
To become Bullish(Scenario 4(see the chat above!!!) Many things must happen:
The ask for oil must incease damatically(OPEC production stop,world war,....)Even the impact or Russia Ukraine war was fo a short time.
The fundamental trend is beaish,as no one is inteested in higher oil prices. Even producers avoid it, as higher oil ppices cuases higher costs.
Indicators:
I have my own indicators, and dont use the common indicators.
So my Bulltrap/beatap detector is confriming that.
In the chart above we see that long term and mid term Indicators are red(Beaish trend/Stong bearish trend) The shot tem Indicator is geen, meaning bulltap. If you compare the indicator values withe the chart prices, you will notice they produce best possible signals whe to get short of long.
The same is true for daily chart, or lowe time frames.
Several factors can influence the direction of oil prices:
1. Supply and Demand Dynamics: If global oil supply surpasses demand, it can put downward pressure on prices. Factors such as increased production from major oil-producing countries or a decrease in global demand due to economic slowdowns or shifts towards renewable energy sources can contribute to weaker oil prices. Conversely, supply disruptions, geopolitical tensions, or unexpected increases in global demand can drive prices higher.
2. Economic Conditions: Economic growth and global economic stability play a significant role in oil price movements. During periods of economic expansion, demand for oil tends to increase, potentially leading to higher prices. Conversely, economic downturns or recessions can reduce demand for oil and exert downward pressure on prices.
3. Geopolitical Events: Political conflicts, sanctions, or disruptions in major oil-producing regions can impact oil prices. Supply disruptions or threats to supply can lead to price increases, while the resolution of conflicts or increased production capacity can contribute to price decreases.
4. Energy Transition Efforts: As countries and industries increasingly focus on transitioning to cleaner and renewable energy sources, the demand for oil may be influenced. Efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and promote renewable energy can potentially lead to lower long-term demand for oil and put downward pressure on prices. However, the pace and extent of the energy transition vary globally, making it challenging to predict its immediate impact on oil prices.
It is crucial to consider that oil price movements are affected by complex and interrelated factors, and their future direction is challenging to forecast accurately. Market dynamics and unexpected events can cause significant price volatility, making it important for investors and stakeholders to closely monitor global developments and factors influencing the oil market.
Oil tried many times to break the 2022 lows at 75,33
Fundamentally nealy eveything is speaking for weaker oil prices:
1. U.S. Oil, Gas Rigs See More Losses
The total number of total active drilling rigs in the United States fell by 5 this week, after a 6-rig increase last week, according to new data from Baker Hughes published Friday.
The total rig count fell to 675 this week—81 rigs below this time last year. The current count is 400 fewer rigs than the rig count at the beginning of 2019, prior to the pandemic.
The number of oil rigs declined by 3 this week to 537, while the number of gas rigs fell by 2, to 133. Miscellaneous rigs stayed the same at 5.
The rig count in the Permian Basin fell by 5—13 rigs below this same time last year. The rig count in the Eagle Ford fell by 1, and was down 10 rigs from this time last year.
Primary Vision’s Frac Spread Count, an estimate of the number of crews completing unfinished wells (which is cheaper than drilling new wells), fell by 12 in the week ending July 7, to 260. The frac spread count is 25 behind where it was this time last year.
Crude oil production levels in the United States slipped back to 12.3 million bpd in the week ending July 7, according to the latest weekly EIA estimates—a gain of 100,000 bpd from the beginning of the year. U.S. production levels are now up 300,000 bpd versus a year ago.
2. U.S. Shale Challenges OPEC With Record Production In 2023
The EIA has forecast total U.S. output will hit 12.61M bbl/day in the current year, eclipsing the previous record of 12.32M bbl/day.
Energy experts have generally been bearish about U.S. crude supply with many arguing it has already peaked.
Rising costs as well as limited supplies of labor and equipment were some of the problems that were hamstringing efforts by U.S. shale to increase output.
3. Weaker US Dollar is bad for Oil Prices and Oil price will fall deeper. The reasons are:
A weakening of the US dollar can have various effects on the production and prices of oil. Here are some conditions and reasons that may lead to such an outcome:
1. Currency Exchange Rates: A weaker US dollar relative to other currencies can make oil more expensive for countries that trade in dollars. This can lead to reduced demand for oil, which may result in lower production levels to match the reduced demand.
2. Import Costs: A weaker US dollar can increase the cost of importing oil for countries that rely heavily on oil imports. Higher import costs can create an incentive for these countries to reduce their oil consumption or seek alternative energy sources, which can affect oil production levels.
3. Inflation and Monetary Policy: Inflation can be influenced by the strength or weakness of a currency. When the US dollar weakens, it can lead to higher import prices, including the cost of imported oil. If inflation becomes a concern, central banks may respond by tightening monetary policy, which can have a cooling effect on the economy and potentially impact oil demand and prices.
4. Global Economic Conditions: A weakening US dollar can be a reflection of broader global economic conditions. If the global economy is experiencing a slowdown or recession, demand for oil may decrease, resulting in lower oil prices. In such a scenario, a weaker US dollar may be just one factor contributing to the overall decline in oil prices.
It's important to note that the relationship between the US dollar, inflation, and oil prices is complex and influenced by multiple factors. Changes in oil prices can be influenced by geopolitical events, supply and demand dynamics, production decisions by major oil-producing countries, and other market forces. The interplay between currency exchange rates, inflation, and oil prices can vary depending on the specific circumstances and the broader global economic environment.
The news states that the total number of active drilling rigs in the United States has decreased by 5, following a previous increase of 6 rigs. Here are some potential interpretations and examples of the impact of this news:
4. Production and Investment: The decline in the number of active drilling rigs suggests a slowdown in oil and gas production activity in the United States. Fewer rigs imply that energy companies are scaling back their exploration and drilling operations, which can lead to a reduction in production levels. This decline may indicate a cautious approach by companies in response to various factors such as lower oil prices, reduced demand, or economic uncertainties.
5. Employment and Economic Effects: The decrease in active rigs can have ripple effects on the economy. As drilling activity slows down, it may result in job losses in the oil and gas sector, as well as related industries that support drilling operations. Communities heavily reliant on the energy industry may experience reduced economic activity and lower income levels.
6. Regional Impact: The news also provides specific information about the decline in the rig count in certain regions. For example, the Permian Basin saw a decrease of 5 rigs compared to the same period last year, indicating a potential slowdown in oil and gas exploration in that area. Similarly, the Eagle Ford region experienced a decline of 1 rig, which may suggest reduced drilling activity in that particular location. These regional variations can have localized economic consequences, affecting employment, local businesses, and government revenues.
7. Market Implications: The decrease in the rig count can influence oil and gas prices in the market. If the reduction in drilling activity leads to lower production levels, it could contribute to a decrease in the global oil and gas supply. Depending on the balance of supply and demand, this may put upward pressure on prices.
Overall, the decrease in the number of active drilling rigs suggests a potential slowdown in the US oil and gas industry. It can have implications for production levels, employment, regional economies, and market dynamics. However, it's important to consider that rig count fluctuations are influenced by various factors, and it is advisable to analyze longer-term trends and broader industry developments to gain a comprehensive understanding of the situation.
Based on the provided news, here are some interpretations and examples of the impact:
8. Frac Spread Count: The decrease in the Frac Spread Count by 12 suggests a decline in the number of crews completing unfinished wells. This indicates a potential slowdown in the completion of wells, which could be attributed to various factors such as reduced investment, operational challenges, or market conditions. Completing unfinished wells is generally cheaper than drilling new wells, so a decrease in this count may indicate cost-cutting measures in response to economic factors.
9. Crude Oil Production Levels: The report indicates that crude oil production levels in the United States slipped to 12.3 million barrels per day (bpd) in the week ending July 7. This slight decline in production may be influenced by factors such as maintenance activities, operational issues, or natural production declines. However, it's worth noting that compared to the beginning of the year, there has been a gain of 100,000 bpd, and production levels are up by 300,000 bpd compared to a year ago. These figures indicate a gradual increase in production over time.
10. Oil Prices: The news provides information about the current trading prices of WTI and Brent benchmarks. WTI benchmark was trading down $1.27 (-1.65%) at $75.62 per barrel, while the Brent benchmark was trading down $1.26 (-1.55%) at $80.10 per barrel. Despite the daily decline, both benchmarks have seen an increase compared to the previous week, with WTI up nearly $3 per barrel and Brent up $2.50 per barrel. The fluctuation in oil prices can be influenced by various factors, including global supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and market sentiment.
In summary, the news suggests a potential slowdown in the completion of unfinished wells, a slight decline in crude oil production levels, and fluctuations in oil prices. These factors can be influenced by a range of economic, operational, and market-related considerations. It's important to monitor long-term trends and analyze broader industry developments to gain a comprehensive understanding of the situation.
Clean Energy Funds: The US government has allocated $20 billion from the EPA's Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund to facilitate clean energy projects. The funds will be awarded through two competitions: the National Clean Investment Fund (NCIF) competition and the Clean Communities Investment Accelerator (CCIA). These initiatives aim to support clean technology projects, promote financing options, and focus on low-income and disadvantaged communities. The move is part of the government's efforts to expand clean energy investment and reduce pollution nationwide.
11. Subsidy War: The news mentions a "subsidy war" between European countries and the United States, as the latter is becoming increasingly attractive to companies due to its generous planned subsidies. France has accused the United States of unfair competition and has introduced its own act, the Net Zero Industry Act, in an attempt to compete.
12. Iraq's Oil Production: Iraq's parliamentary oil and gas committee plans to increase the country's oil production to over five million barrels per day (bpd), with the potential to reach 13 million bpd. Iraq is considered one of the largest underdeveloped oil frontiers globally, with substantial proven reserves and the potential for even more undiscovered resources. However, endemic corruption has hindered growth in the oil industry, impacting Iraq's ability to maximize its oil production potential.
13. Corruption Challenges: Iraq's oil and gas industry has been plagued by endemic corruption, resulting in significant financial losses for the country. This corruption has deterred Western companies from investing heavily in Iraq, despite its vast oil reserves. The lack of infrastructure investments and the mismanagement of compensation payments have contributed to lower production levels than what could be achieved with the available reserves. Corruption in Iraq's oil sector has been a recurring concern highlighted by Transparency International and has hindered effective state-building and service delivery.
14. Western Companies' Withdrawal: Major Western oil companies, including BP, Shell, and ExxonMobil, have withdrawn or planned to reduce their involvement in Iraq's oil fields due to risks associated with corruption, security concerns, and inadequate legal structures. These companies have been cautious about operating in Iraq, as political changes and uncertainties can impact their operations and pose risks to their business interests.
Overall, the news highlights the US government's commitment to clean energy investment, the challenges faced by Iraq in realizing its oil production potential due to corruption, and the withdrawal of Western companies from Iraq's oil sector. The underlying theme in both stories is the need for transparent governance, sound legal frameworks, and anti-corruption measures to create an environment conducive to sustainable energy development and attract long-term investments.
4,Potential Impact of Iran's Oil Production: Iran's monthly oil production is gradually increasing, posing a challenge to OPEC's control over the oil market. Although talks of a new nuclear deal leading to an influx of Iranian oil have created market instability, such a deal has not materialized. However, if sanctions are lifted and Iran's production potential is fully realized, it could conflict with OPEC's efforts to regulate the market and maintain high oil prices. The uncertainty surrounding Iran's oil production adds a mysterious element to the oil markets.
1. OPEC's Concerns: The possibility of Iran's oil returning to the market raises concerns for both traders and OPEC. OPEC has exempted Iran from production cuts for years due to sanctions. Iran's oil production figures, reported monthly by OPEC, may not be entirely accurate. The potential reentry of Iranian oil into the market could disrupt OPEC's influence and market control.
Rising Investment in Offshore Exploration: Despite a focus on disciplined investment, major oil companies are increasing their investment in offshore exploration. They anticipate higher returns from large offshore projects compared to low-carbon energy investments. This shift in strategy is driven by the expectation of increased profitability and the need to ensure a secure supply of oil and gas.
1. Offshore Rig Demand: Deepwater rig utilization is on the rise, driving up rates as companies ramp up exploration activities. Demand for offshore rigs is expected to increase by another 20% from 2024-2025. The "Golden Triangle" regions of Latin America, North America, and Africa, along with parts of the Mediterranean, are expected to account for a significant portion of global floating rig demand.
Clean Energy Funds: The US government has allocated $20 billion from the EPA's Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund to facilitate clean energy projects. The funds will be awarded through two competitions: the National Clean Investment Fund (NCIF) competition and the Clean Communities Investment Accelerator (CCIA). These initiatives aim to support clean technology projects, promote financing options, and focus on low-income and disadvantaged communities. The move is part of the government's efforts to expand clean energy investment and reduce pollution nationwide.
1. Subsidy War: The news mentions a "subsidy war" between European countries and the United States, as the latter is becoming increasingly attractive to companies due to its generous planned subsidies. France has accused the United States of unfair competition and has introduced its own act, the Net Zero Industry Act, in an attempt to compete.
2. Iraq's Oil Production: Iraq's parliamentary oil and gas committee plans to increase the country's oil production to over five million barrels per day (bpd), with the potential to reach 13 million bpd. Iraq is considered one of the largest underdeveloped oil frontiers globally, with substantial proven reserves and the potential for even more undiscovered resources. However, endemic corruption has hindered growth in the oil industry, impacting Iraq's ability to maximize its oil production potential.
3. Corruption Challenges: Iraq's oil and gas industry has been plagued by endemic corruption, resulting in significant financial losses for the country. This corruption has deterred Western companies from investing heavily in Iraq, despite its vast oil reserves. The lack of infrastructure investments and the mismanagement of compensation payments have contributed to lower production levels than what could be achieved with the available reserves. Corruption in Iraq's oil sector has been a recurring concern highlighted by Transparency International and has hindered effective state-building and service delivery.
4. Western Companies' Withdrawal: Major Western oil companies, including BP, Shell, and ExxonMobil, have withdrawn or planned to reduce their involvement in Iraq's oil fields due to risks associated with corruption, security concerns, and inadequate legal structures. These companies have been cautious about operating in Iraq, as political changes and uncertainties can impact their operations and pose risks to their business interests.
Overall, the news highlights the US government's commitment to clean energy investment, the challenges faced by Iraq in realizing its oil production potential due to corruption, and the withdrawal of Western companies from Iraq's oil sector. The underlying theme in both stories is the need for transparent governance, sound legal frameworks, and anti-corruption measures to create an environment conducive to sustainable energy development and attract long-term investments.
CRUDE OIL WILL FALL MUCH MORE DEEPER SHORTA PICTURE ISAYS MORE THAN 1000 WORDS!
A weaker dollar Friday was supportive of energy prices. Crude prices also moved higher after Friday's stronger-than-expected U.S. Apr payroll report eased concerns that the U.S. economy is headed for recession. REALLY!?
WELL ,the economic data reflecting the past, but not current events, and the price is always right.
The big boys gonna short, so I do.
Crude Oil Gives up OPEC Cut GainOIL STRATEGY POWER SELL
Already predicted the Fall of ENERGY and Oil months ago.
Crude oil prices edged lower Monday, extending a two-week slide in which macroeconomic concerns and signs of weakening refined product demand have outweighed a surprise supply cut made by some OPEC+ members on May 2.
A group of large oil producers led by Saudi Arabia said Sunday they would cut more than a million barrels of output a day starting next month, a surprise move that upset Washington and led to a jump in crude prices amid concerns about the global economy.
The output cut adds to a reduction of 2 million barrels a day agreed to in October by the Saudi-led Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and a group of other producers led by Russia. Taken together, the output cuts amount to about 3% of the world’s petroleum production taken off the market in seven months.
Futures on WTI crude oil, the U.S. benchmark, declined more than 1% Friday's closing price and were trading for less than $76 a barrel, about where they settled on March 31, the last trading day before the surprise cut was made. That's down from a peak of over $83 a barrel reached in the second week after the oil cartel's announcement.
Analysts are pinning today's drop on Chinese government data released over the weekend showing that manufacturing activity fell between March and April. China is the world's second-largest consumer of oil, behind the U.S.
UKOIL🛢️ macro movesBrent Crude Oil : Multiyear(2015-2022) inverted Head and Shoulders triggered at the beginning of this year. Price broke the major downtrendline and subsequently iH&S neckline at 87 (lime) and then skyrocketed to 138. Now pulling back down to the neckline. We could actually see the backtest of the major downtrendline and dip into the S/R Zone 76-68. This would be great buying opportunity. Price shouldn't get much below right shoulder (65.8), otherwise the setup would be invalidated. Will set SL to 60, Target 157.
Check my other stuff in related ideas.
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⚠️Disclaimer: I'm not financial advisor. This is not a financial advice. Do your own due dilingence.
oil next moveas you can see the oil price has broken through the trendline and has retested. on a higher timeframe it can be seen that the oil price is making a new LH. this gives a certainty factor for breaking the fibo level 0.618. when this will break we will reach prices towards the 77.5/78
show me your win in the comments
Technical sell off analysis Presented is a 1 hr chart analysis leaning towards a sell off. We are retesting our top resistance area of 70.00. With immediate volatile action in this zone sentiments a sell off.
$70 a barrel seems to be our top target reversal. I have 2 take profit targets of 68 and 66.50. Price action is consistent with oil making these targets ever more accurate.
RSI and SRSI are loading up for a sell off out of the overbought zone.
Important to keep in mind a break and close out above 70 will shoot to retest 71. Enter after a significant sell off bar that initiates strong reversal.
Please comment with thoughts and ideas. Thank you.
Trade USDBRO like a pro with RSI/MACD Strategy
Above was forecast for oils movement to retest 65. The forecast was spot on and was done so by correlating RSI and MACD playouts while mapping the key support zones. This will be a detailed explanation of this simple strategy.
I am heavily relying on this strategy as the market has been all over the place and creating roadblocks for traders.
To start I confirmed a pivot in play with confirmed support from 61 off the initial pivot just above 60 range that retested 64.50 range. We can see a wick retest at 61 followed by a breakout bar closing above 62. This creates our second leg to further confirm the trend will continue. This is simple price action without using indicators.
The indicators come in play as entry and exit sentiment. 50 line serves as the make to break line. We can see that our break out bar above 62 triggers our RSI breakthrough 50. The most important aspect of using RSI 50 line for entries and exits is to expect a short pullback after we see a breach. If the pullback occurs we can now observe our MACD playout. While RSI just breaches 50 from the breakout bar above 62 our MACD/SIGNAL lines have crossed crossed and already heading towards the 0 line. We can see a two hour weak pull back that barley sends RSI below 50. The 3rd bar is the most important as this will determine our continuation. The playout is decent bullish bar that sends the RSI back over 50.
I presented the ideal entry on the chart. This low volume bullish bar further corrects RSI to move sideways away from 50 while MACD/SIGNAL are making sideways cross through 0 line. Across the board we have full confirmation the trend will continue to retest our key Resistance zone of 65. Seldom does oil trade against this strategy however there are a few scenarios that may throw off a beginner using this strategy.
If RSI is just above or below 50 after a seemingly correction but MACD/SIGNAL line have not made a full cross an entry should not be made as a divergence is most likely in play and/or a consolidation period may begin. One may think this is a great scalping opportunity with this strategy but it is not. I know this from trial and error so please take my word. Another fake out scenario using this strategy is assuming that RSI will cross 50 with the next bar playout after a breakout bar causes RSI to touch or nearly touch 50. Often sharp pullback occurs that will send a trader into negative.
The psychological factor using this strategy is simply to be patient. Below is a summary of the points of the strategy specifically for oil (RSI 50 make/break playouts across pairs are similar however some have established RSI trend pivots)
-Map out key supports/resistance using the day and 1hr chart to establish pivots and daily high/lows as well as your trend direction
-Observe RSI. If you establish over trend is going up you should see RSI trying to make and break through 50.
-Make sure MACD/SIGNAL lines have crossed while RSI is attempting to break through 50
-Be patient after initial RSI 50 break for pullback. If trend sentiment is true expect the pullback to retouch 50 or slightly below and wait for the break out bar to correct RSI and confirm an entry point.
- If MACD/SIGNAL initiate cross through zero line while following our bar close out after breakout bar to complete RSI correction we can place our entry.
-Exit is simple for this pair as our current RSI high resistance is 77. If trend is close to target while RSI fails to breach 77 the MACD histogram bins will lose volume ultimately confirming our exit.
In conclusion this basic strategy can be used by all traders with maximum success and can be used for any pairs. Learn your key supports/resistance levels, study RSI/MACD patterns for your pairs and practice, practice, practice.
Please comment with thoughts, questions, and ideas. Thank you. P.S I will present the scalping strategy with a different currency pair.
USDBROUSA Brent Crude Oil has lost its 55$ channel and falls into 54~55 but the bearish power last week was so strong that I don't think that the chart may go back in its previous channel for now
so as the market open as the money flows in the chart goes a lil bit higher but it counts as a pullback and then more corrections so be ware with your assets if you are a trader and not a holder
its all price and fib retracements and 2 classic indicators (must be enough) for such a clear chart
Brent Crude: Watch recovery for sellThe long awaited correction in oil has kicked off as we got beautiful impulse down with all 5 waves visible and clear.
It could be a wave A of (2). And I expect some recovery soon as another short opportunity.
The next leg target will be updated upon completion of the wave B.
The wave 5 of A is still in progress and could drop lower.