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Usdcadanalysis

USDCAD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: 1.39318 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. Technical analysis: While the RSI support #1 at 47 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low. A trough is formed in daily chart at 1.34185 on 09/25/2024, so more gains to resistance(s) 1.44670, 1.46000, 1.46900 and more heights is expected. Supports and Resistances: 1.46900 1.46000 1.38884 1.38168 1.37487 1.36876 1.36072 1.35404 1.34323 1.33664 1.31816 1.30929 __________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 BOOST button, . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! 🙏 Your Support is appreciated! Let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
Long
by ForecastCity
18
USDCAD Could move 1,064pips up the next month.The reasons why I strongly believe this move will happen are the following: According to the CFTC non-commercials are shorting CAD. Non-commercials have 20,388 positions long and 68,914 positions shorts. This means that they are selling more CAD than they actually buying it. According to this info we could expect a move to the upside. From a monthly perspective there is plenty of buy side liquidity in USDCAD. If you look at the chart you will see two blue circles and a dollar bill between them . Those highs have not been liquidated yet. The price is aggressively chasing those highs. According to the explanation provided the price is extremely bullish because is moving to a strong liquidity area. From monthly perspective the price already liquidates sell side liquidity. If look at the chart you will see a yellow circle . The yellow circle represents the sell side liquidity that was liquidated by the price. The price has bullish structure. The price is making higher highs will doing so liquidating sell side liquidity. There is a lot of optimists about the dollar getting stronger in the near future. DXY has bullish structure. The DXY is currently making a retracement. It is currently at 50%. We could assume that is very close to be ready because it took sell side liquidity as well. In other words, the CAD is getting weaker and the USD stronger.
Long
by Wiiso
2
USD/CAD Exchange Rate StabilisesUSD/CAD Exchange Rate Stabilises As we reported on 3 February, the decision by the US president to impose 25% tariffs on goods imported from Canada sent the USD/CAD rate soaring to a 22-year high. However, after a round of negotiations between Donald Trump and Justin Trudeau, the tariff implementation was postponed by a month, which was reflected in the USD/CAD exchange rate chart. Current USD/CAD Chart Analysis: → The price has retreated from the upper boundary of the ascending channel identified three days ago and has now dropped below its lower boundary. → The price has returned to and remains within the broad 1.4270 – 1.4460 range. → The ATR indicator has reversed from its peak and is trending downward. Given these factors, it is reasonable to say that USD/CAD is stabilising after recent volatility. But what lies ahead? The exchange rate may fluctuate within the 1.4270 – 1.4460 range, reacting sensitively to any news on Trump’s tariff policies and his startling suggestion of making Canada the 51st US state. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
USDCAD, Is 1.47 available ?Hello Traders, Happy new year in advance, I Hope you have a great year ahead with your family. let's go for USDCAD analysis: for upcoming weeks, we'll probably see a downward correction to Specified level at first and then it will start another Rally. so with a proper trigger we can open a short position at first and after that a long position with TP around 1.4700. And finally tell me what do you think ? UP or DOWN ? leave your comment below this post. If this post was helpful to you, please like it and share it with your friend. THANKS.
by aminrzb
6
Trump’s Tariffs Push USD/CAD to a 22-Year HighTrump’s Tariffs Push USD/CAD to a 22-Year High As promised during his election campaign, US President Donald Trump introduced tariffs just two weeks after his inauguration: → 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, prompting both countries to vow retaliatory measures. → 10% on Chinese goods, with China announcing plans to challenge the decision at the World Trade Organization. The tariffs will take effect on 4 February. Trump acknowledged potential economic pain but justified the measures as necessary to combat illegal immigration and drug trafficking, arguing that the long-term benefits would outweigh the costs. Trump’s decision: → Led to a decline in US stock indices, as analysts fear a potential trade war and global stagflation (sluggish economic growth amid high inflation). Further tariffs on Europe may follow. → Strengthened the US dollar, which gained around 1% against major currencies. According to the USD/CAD chart, the Canadian dollar is trading around 1.4700 against the US dollar—a level last seen in early 2003. On 30 January, our USD/CAD technical analysis highlighted the significance of a key trendline supporting the uptrend since last autumn. Now, by drawing a parallel line through December’s peak (A), we can identify a resistance level where the pair is currently stabilising. A large bullish gap has also formed on the chart. The lower boundary around 1.4600 may act as technical support in the short term, though broader price movements will likely be driven by fundamental factors. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Market Bullish Heist PlanDear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (1.45100) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 1.48000 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook: 🟣 Fundamental and Macroeconomic Analysis US Dollar (USD): The USD remains strong due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance. The Fed has signaled potential rate hikes or prolonged higher rates to combat inflation, which supports the USD. Recent US economic data (e.g., strong labor market, resilient GDP growth) reinforces the Fed's tightening bias. Upcoming US CPI and PPI data will be critical. Higher-than-expected inflation could further boost the USD. Canadian Dollar (CAD): The CAD is influenced by oil prices (Canada is a major oil exporter). Crude oil prices have been volatile due to geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ production cuts, but recent stabilization around 80−85/barrel provides some support. The Bank of Canada (BoC) has paused rate hikes, citing slowing inflation and economic growth. This dovish stance weakens the CAD relative to the USD. Canada’s upcoming employment and GDP data will be key. Weakness in these metrics could further weigh on the CAD. Key Drivers: Interest Rate Differential: The Fed’s hawkishness vs. the BoC’s dovishness favors USD strength. Oil Prices: A sustained rise in oil prices could support the CAD, but current levels are not enough to offset USD strength. Economic Data: Strong US data vs. weaker Canadian data could widen the USD/CAD upside. 🟢 Commitments of Traders (COT) Report The latest COT data shows: Commercial Traders (Hedgers): Increasing long positions in the CAD, suggesting they expect some CAD strength or USD weakness in the medium term. Non-Commercial Traders (Speculators): Net long on USD, reflecting bullish sentiment toward the USD. Retail Positioning: Retail traders are heavily short on USD/CAD, which often acts as a contrarian indicator, suggesting further upside potential for USD/CAD. 🔵 Market Sentiment and Positioning Sentiment: The market is broadly bullish on the USD due to the Fed’s stance and strong US economic data. The CAD is viewed as vulnerable due to the BoC’s pause and reliance on oil prices, which are not currently providing enough support. 🟤 Positioning: Institutional investors are net long USD/CAD, aligning with the fundamental outlook. Retail traders are net short, which could lead to a squeeze higher if the USD continues to strengthen. 🔴 Market Sentiment and Positioning: COT Data: Non-commercial traders (speculators) are net long on USD, reflecting bullish sentiment. Retail traders are net short on USD/CAD, which often acts as a contrarian indicator (bullish for USD/CAD). Institutional Positioning: Institutional investors are net long USD/CAD, aligning with the fundamental outlook. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤗
Long
by Thief_Trader
2
USD/CAD Chart Analysis Following Bank of Canada’s Rate CutUSD/CAD Chart Analysis Following Bank of Canada’s Rate Cut Unlike the Federal Reserve, which opted to leave its monetary policy unchanged, the Bank of Canada cut its interest rate yesterday. According to Forex Factory, as expected by analysts, the Overnight Rate was lowered by 25 basis points from 3.25% to 3.00%. According to Reuters: → The Bank of Canada reduced interest rates to support the economy ahead of anticipated US trade tariffs. → This weakened the Canadian dollar, as the gap between Canadian and US bond yields widened. → Market participants estimate a 41% probability that the Bank of Canada will cut rates again in March. → The depreciation of the Canadian dollar is also influenced by oil prices (one of Canada’s key export commodities), which have fallen by over 8% since their mid-January peak. Technical analysis of the USD/CAD chart indicates that the Canadian dollar’s exchange rate against the US dollar is forming a “Megaphone” pattern, with price action demonstrating the presence of selling pressure. On 21 January, sellers sharply pushed the price down from the psychological level of 1.4500, and yesterday, the price made a bearish reversal from 1.4450. There is a possibility that seller activity could drive USD/CAD lower towards a key trendline (marked in grey) that has been forming since the second half of 2024. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Market Heist Plan on Bullish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated on the MA level breakout of 1.44900 However I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 1.26000 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ A bullish scenario for the USD/CAD pair would involve a combination of factors that would lead to an increase in the value of the US dollar relative to the Canadian dollar. Here are some possible factors that could contribute to a bullish scenario: Strong US Economic Growth: A strong US economy, with rising GDP growth, low unemployment, and increasing consumer spending, could lead to an increase in the value of the US dollar. Interest Rate Hikes: If the Federal Reserve raises interest rates more aggressively than expected, it could lead to an increase in the value of the US dollar, as higher interest rates would make the US dollar more attractive to investors. Weak Canadian Economic Growth: A weak Canadian economy, with slow GDP growth, high unemployment, and decreasing consumer spending, could lead to a decrease in the value of the Canadian dollar. Commodity Price Decline: A decline in commodity prices, such as oil and gold, could lead to a decrease in the value of the Canadian dollar, as Canada is a major exporter of these commodities. Bank of Canada Dovishness: If the Bank of Canada takes a dovish stance on monetary policy, it could lead to a decrease in the value of the Canadian dollar, as investors would expect lower interest rates and a more accommodative monetary policy. The USD/CAD pair is looking interesting right now. Based on the latest analysis, it seems that the pair is likely to grow, Some experts are predicting a bullish continuation, with the price potentially breaking above the range's resistance. However, others are warning of a potential reversal, with the pair showing signs of exhaustion and a possible shift in momentum. In terms of fundamentals, the US CPI for May is predicted to rise 0.7% monthly and 8.3% annualized, which could impact the USD/CAD pair. Additionally, the Canadian Employment Report for May is predicted to show the addition of 30.0K jobs and an Unemployment Rate of 5.2%, which could also affect the pair. Overall, it's a bit of a mixed bag, but it seems that the bullish scenario is gaining traction. Of course, it's always important to keep an eye on the latest news and analysis, as things can change quickly in the forex market........................... Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Long
by Thief_Trader
Market Analysis: USD/CAD Powers HigherMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Powers Higher USD/CAD is rising and might aim for more gains above the 1.4500 resistance. Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today - USD/CAD is showing positive signs above the 1.4400 support zone. - There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 1.4420 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/CAD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair formed a strong support base above the 1.4300 level. The US Dollar started a fresh increase above the 1.4345 resistance against the Canadian Dollar. The bulls pushed the pair above the 1.4380 and 1.4400 levels. The pair cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and climbed above 1.4450. A high was formed at 1.4485 and the pair recently corrected some gains. There was a move toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.4302 swing low to the 1.4485 high. Initial support is near the 1.4420 level. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at 1.4420. The next major support is near the 1.4395 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.4302 swing low to the 1.4485 high. The main support sits near the 1.4345 zone on the same USD/CAD chart. A downside break below the 1.4345 level could push the pair further lower. The next major support is near the 1.4300 support zone, below which the pair might visit 1.4250. If there is another increase, the pair might face resistance near the 1.4485 level. A clear upside break above 1.4485 could start another steady increase. The next major resistance is the 1.4540 level. A close above the 1.4540 level might send the pair toward the 1.4580 level. Any more gains could open the doors for a test of the 1.4620 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Market Heist Plan on Bullish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at anypoint, however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2h period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 1.44850 (or) Escape before the target Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ The USD/CAD pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, driven by several fundamental factors: US Economy: The US economy is expected to grow, driven by a strong labor market and increasing consumer spending. Canadian Economy: The Canadian economy is expected to slow down, driven by a decline in crude oil prices and a decrease in housing market activity. Interest Rate Divergence: The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep interest rates steady, while the Bank of Canada (BOC) is expected to cut interest rates, which could lead to a widening of the interest rate differential between the two currencies. Commodity Prices: Canada is a major commodity exporter, and a decline in commodity prices could hurt the Canadian economy and support the USD. UPCOMING NEWS: US Retail Sales: The US retail sales for July are expected to increase by 0.3% monthly, which could lead to a strengthening of the USD. Canadian Retail Sales: The Canadian retail sales for July are expected to decrease by 0.2% monthly, which could lead to a weakening of the CAD. US Consumer Price Index (CPI): The US CPI for July is expected to increase by 0.2% monthly, which could lead to a strengthening of the USD. Canadian CPI: The Canadian CPI for July is expected to decrease by 0.1% monthly, which could lead to a weakening of the CAD. Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Long
by Thief_Trader
1
#USDCAD 1DAYUSDCAD (1D Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price was supported by a trendline, but after forming a consolidation range near this Resistance, it has broken down, indicating potential bearish momentum. The breakdown suggests that the buyers were unable to hold the trendline, and selling pressure has increased. Forecast: A sell opportunity is anticipated as the breakdown below the trendline and range indicates a shift in market sentiment toward the downside. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Consider entering a sell position after a retest of the broken trendline or consolidation range as resistance. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the retest level or recent swing high to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target the next support levels or Fibonacci retracement areas for potential downside targets. Market Sentiment: The breakdown of the trendline support signals bearish sentiment, with further downside likely if the price remains below the retest level. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER