USDCAD INTRADAY loss of important supportThe USDCAD currency pair intraday sentiment appears bearish, supported by the confirmed loss of support of the longer-term sideways consolidation trading range. However, since the spike caused by the possible tariff announcement on 03rd February 2024, the USDCAD price action is displaying signs of bearish behaviour. The increase in optimism over the Russia and Ukraine truce triggers the price action. The USD currency remains strong based on the expectation that the Fed will hold interest rates at the current levels for longer. On the other hand, the market expectation for BoC is to continue gradually reducing the interest rates further.
The key trading level is at 1.4260. An oversold rally from the current level and a bearish rejection at 1.4260 level could target additional downside support at 1.4150 followed by the 1. 4100 and 1.4025 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, an oversold rally from the current levels and a confirmed breakout above 1.4260 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for a further rally and a retest of 1.4300 resistance followed by 1.4350 and 1.4400 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Usdcadanalysis
USD/CAD Ready To Go Down Hard , Let`s Sell It To Get 250 Pips !As we see we have a very good daily closure below sideway range and we have avery good retest to the area and the price gave amazing bearish price action , so i`m looking to sell this pair today or tomorrow morning when the price go backa litle to give me a good chance to put a small sl , and i think the price will go down very hard at least 200 Pips .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USDCAD consolidation could turn bearish below 1.4300 level.The USDCAD currency pair sentiment appears neutral, supported by the longer-term sideways consolidation trading range. However, since the spike caused by the possible tariff announcement on 03rd February 2024, the USDCAD price action is starting to display some signs of bearish behaviour. Today, Thursday 13th February 2025 USDCAD is testing psychologically important support around the 1.4300 level. The price action is triggered by the increase in optimism over the Russia and Ukraine truce. The USD currency remains strong on the expectations that the Fed will hold interest rates at the current levels for longer. On the other hand, the market expectation for BoC is to continue gradually reducing the interest rates further.
The key trading level is at 1.4300, the current swing low range from 18th December 2024 until 04th February 2025. A continuation of the selling pressure below the 1.4300 level and a daily close below the 1.4250 support level could target additional downside support at 1.4200 followed by the 1. 4250 and 1.4110 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, an oversold rally from the current levels and a confirmed breakout above 1.4380 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for a further rally and a retest of 1.4430 resistance followed by 1.4450 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Market Analysis: USD/CAD Takes A DiveMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Takes A Dive
USD/CAD declined and now consolidates below the 1.4360 level.
Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today
- USD/CAD started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the 1.4800 resistance.
- There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.4320 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CAD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair climbed toward the 1.4800 resistance zone before the bears appeared. The US Dollar formed a swing high near 1.4790 and recently declined below the 1.4500 support against the Canadian Dollar.
There was also a close below the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.4360. The bulls are now active near the 1.4270 level. The pair is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.4792 swing high to the 1.4270 low.
If there is a fresh increase, the pair could face resistance near the 1.4320 level. There is also a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.4320.
The next key resistance on the USD/CAD chart is near the 1.4360 level. If there is an upside break above 1.4360, the pair could rise toward the 1.4395 resistance. The next major resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.4792 swing high to the 1.4270 low at 1.4530, above which it could rise steadily toward the 1.4790 resistance zone.
Immediate support is near the 1.4270 level. The first major support is near 1.4240. A close below the 1.4240 level might trigger a strong decline. In the stated case, USD/CAD might test 1.4000. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a drop toward the 1.3850 support.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDCAD Long BaisUS Dollar against Canadian Dollar
The USD/CAD pair is currently on a structural support line that has historically demonstrated its ability to hold the pair. Based on this observation, it is reasonable to anticipate that the pair may respect this support level and potentially reverse to the upside, presenting a possible opportunity to enter a long position.
I would be interested in hearing your perspective on the future price action of this pair. As always, it is important to consider conducting further analysis and implementing appropriate risk management strategies before making any trading decisions.
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Market Bullish Heist PlanDear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (1.45100) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 1.48000 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook:
🟣 Fundamental and Macroeconomic Analysis
US Dollar (USD):
The USD remains strong due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance. The Fed has signaled potential rate hikes or prolonged higher rates to combat inflation, which supports the USD.
Recent US economic data (e.g., strong labor market, resilient GDP growth) reinforces the Fed's tightening bias.
Upcoming US CPI and PPI data will be critical. Higher-than-expected inflation could further boost the USD.
Canadian Dollar (CAD):
The CAD is influenced by oil prices (Canada is a major oil exporter). Crude oil prices have been volatile due to geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ production cuts, but recent stabilization around
80−85/barrel provides some support.
The Bank of Canada (BoC) has paused rate hikes, citing slowing inflation and economic growth. This dovish stance weakens the CAD relative to the USD.
Canada’s upcoming employment and GDP data will be key. Weakness in these metrics could further weigh on the CAD.
Key Drivers:
Interest Rate Differential: The Fed’s hawkishness vs. the BoC’s dovishness favors USD strength.
Oil Prices: A sustained rise in oil prices could support the CAD, but current levels are not enough to offset USD strength.
Economic Data: Strong US data vs. weaker Canadian data could widen the USD/CAD upside.
🟢 Commitments of Traders (COT) Report
The latest COT data shows:
Commercial Traders (Hedgers): Increasing long positions in the CAD, suggesting they expect some CAD strength or USD weakness in the medium term.
Non-Commercial Traders (Speculators): Net long on USD, reflecting bullish sentiment toward the USD.
Retail Positioning: Retail traders are heavily short on USD/CAD, which often acts as a contrarian indicator, suggesting further upside potential for USD/CAD.
🔵 Market Sentiment and Positioning
Sentiment:
The market is broadly bullish on the USD due to the Fed’s stance and strong US economic data.
The CAD is viewed as vulnerable due to the BoC’s pause and reliance on oil prices, which are not currently providing enough support.
🟤 Positioning:
Institutional investors are net long USD/CAD, aligning with the fundamental outlook.
Retail traders are net short, which could lead to a squeeze higher if the USD continues to strengthen.
🔴 Market Sentiment and Positioning:
COT Data:
Non-commercial traders (speculators) are net long on USD, reflecting bullish sentiment.
Retail traders are net short on USD/CAD, which often acts as a contrarian indicator (bullish for USD/CAD).
Institutional Positioning:
Institutional investors are net long USD/CAD, aligning with the fundamental outlook.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
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USDCAD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
1.39318 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI support #1 at 47 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 1.34185 on 09/25/2024, so more gains to resistance(s) 1.44670, 1.46000, 1.46900 and more heights is expected.
Supports and Resistances:
1.46900
1.46000
1.38884
1.38168
1.37487
1.36876
1.36072
1.35404
1.34323
1.33664
1.31816
1.30929
__________________________________________
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USDCAD SHORT: Divergence in employment data!Canada's January employment change 76.0K vs 25.0K estimate.
US January non-farm payrolls +143K vs +170K expected
NFP data came in lower than expected while employment data came in stronger than expected for the CAD. Due to the result, we expected the pairs to move in opposite directions with the USD being the weaker of the two pairs.
USDCAD Could move 1,064pips up the next month.The reasons why I strongly believe this move will happen are the following:
According to the CFTC non-commercials are shorting CAD.
Non-commercials have 20,388 positions long and 68,914 positions shorts. This means that they are selling more CAD than they actually buying it. According to this info we could expect a move to the upside.
From a monthly perspective there is plenty of buy side liquidity in USDCAD.
If you look at the chart you will see two blue circles and a dollar bill between them . Those highs have not been liquidated yet. The price is aggressively chasing those highs. According to the explanation provided the price is extremely bullish because is moving to a strong liquidity area.
From monthly perspective the price already liquidates sell side liquidity.
If look at the chart you will see a yellow circle . The yellow circle represents the sell side liquidity that was liquidated by the price.
The price has bullish structure.
The price is making higher highs will doing so liquidating sell side liquidity.
There is a lot of optimists about the dollar getting stronger in the near future.
DXY has bullish structure.
The DXY is currently making a retracement. It is currently at 50%. We could assume that is very close to be ready because it took sell side liquidity as well.
In other words, the CAD is getting weaker and the USD stronger.
USD/CAD Exchange Rate StabilisesUSD/CAD Exchange Rate Stabilises
As we reported on 3 February, the decision by the US president to impose 25% tariffs on goods imported from Canada sent the USD/CAD rate soaring to a 22-year high.
However, after a round of negotiations between Donald Trump and Justin Trudeau, the tariff implementation was postponed by a month, which was reflected in the USD/CAD exchange rate chart.
Current USD/CAD Chart Analysis:
→ The price has retreated from the upper boundary of the ascending channel identified three days ago and has now dropped below its lower boundary.
→ The price has returned to and remains within the broad 1.4270 – 1.4460 range.
→ The ATR indicator has reversed from its peak and is trending downward.
Given these factors, it is reasonable to say that USD/CAD is stabilising after recent volatility. But what lies ahead?
The exchange rate may fluctuate within the 1.4270 – 1.4460 range, reacting sensitively to any news on Trump’s tariff policies and his startling suggestion of making Canada the 51st US state.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDCAD, Is 1.47 available ?Hello Traders, Happy new year in advance, I Hope you have a great year ahead with your family.
let's go for USDCAD analysis:
for upcoming weeks, we'll probably see a downward correction to Specified level at first and then it will start another Rally. so with a proper trigger we can open a short position at first and after that a long position with TP around 1.4700.
And finally tell me what do you think ? UP or DOWN ? leave your comment below this post.
If this post was helpful to you, please like it and share it with your friend.
THANKS.
Trump’s Tariffs Push USD/CAD to a 22-Year HighTrump’s Tariffs Push USD/CAD to a 22-Year High
As promised during his election campaign, US President Donald Trump introduced tariffs just two weeks after his inauguration:
→ 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, prompting both countries to vow retaliatory measures.
→ 10% on Chinese goods, with China announcing plans to challenge the decision at the World Trade Organization.
The tariffs will take effect on 4 February. Trump acknowledged potential economic pain but justified the measures as necessary to combat illegal immigration and drug trafficking, arguing that the long-term benefits would outweigh the costs.
Trump’s decision:
→ Led to a decline in US stock indices, as analysts fear a potential trade war and global stagflation (sluggish economic growth amid high inflation). Further tariffs on Europe may follow.
→ Strengthened the US dollar, which gained around 1% against major currencies.
According to the USD/CAD chart, the Canadian dollar is trading around 1.4700 against the US dollar—a level last seen in early 2003.
On 30 January, our USD/CAD technical analysis highlighted the significance of a key trendline supporting the uptrend since last autumn. Now, by drawing a parallel line through December’s peak (A), we can identify a resistance level where the pair is currently stabilising.
A large bullish gap has also formed on the chart. The lower boundary around 1.4600 may act as technical support in the short term, though broader price movements will likely be driven by fundamental factors.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USD/CAD Chart Analysis Following Bank of Canada’s Rate CutUSD/CAD Chart Analysis Following Bank of Canada’s Rate Cut
Unlike the Federal Reserve, which opted to leave its monetary policy unchanged, the Bank of Canada cut its interest rate yesterday. According to Forex Factory, as expected by analysts, the Overnight Rate was lowered by 25 basis points from 3.25% to 3.00%.
According to Reuters:
→ The Bank of Canada reduced interest rates to support the economy ahead of anticipated US trade tariffs.
→ This weakened the Canadian dollar, as the gap between Canadian and US bond yields widened.
→ Market participants estimate a 41% probability that the Bank of Canada will cut rates again in March.
→ The depreciation of the Canadian dollar is also influenced by oil prices (one of Canada’s key export commodities), which have fallen by over 8% since their mid-January peak.
Technical analysis of the USD/CAD chart indicates that the Canadian dollar’s exchange rate against the US dollar is forming a “Megaphone” pattern, with price action demonstrating the presence of selling pressure. On 21 January, sellers sharply pushed the price down from the psychological level of 1.4500, and yesterday, the price made a bearish reversal from 1.4450.
There is a possibility that seller activity could drive USD/CAD lower towards a key trendline (marked in grey) that has been forming since the second half of 2024.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USD/CAD Full Analysis , Best Place To Sell&Buy To Get 250 Pips !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Market Heist Plan on Bullish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated on the MA level breakout of 1.44900
However I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 1.26000 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
A bullish scenario for the USD/CAD pair would involve a combination of factors that would lead to an increase in the value of the US dollar relative to the Canadian dollar. Here are some possible factors that could contribute to a bullish scenario:
Strong US Economic Growth: A strong US economy, with rising GDP growth, low unemployment, and increasing consumer spending, could lead to an increase in the value of the US dollar.
Interest Rate Hikes: If the Federal Reserve raises interest rates more aggressively than expected, it could lead to an increase in the value of the US dollar, as higher interest rates would make the US dollar more attractive to investors.
Weak Canadian Economic Growth: A weak Canadian economy, with slow GDP growth, high unemployment, and decreasing consumer spending, could lead to a decrease in the value of the Canadian dollar.
Commodity Price Decline: A decline in commodity prices, such as oil and gold, could lead to a decrease in the value of the Canadian dollar, as Canada is a major exporter of these commodities.
Bank of Canada Dovishness: If the Bank of Canada takes a dovish stance on monetary policy, it could lead to a decrease in the value of the Canadian dollar, as investors would expect lower interest rates and a more accommodative monetary policy.
The USD/CAD pair is looking interesting right now. Based on the latest analysis, it seems that the pair is likely to grow, Some experts are predicting a bullish continuation, with the price potentially breaking above the range's resistance. However, others are warning of a potential reversal, with the pair showing signs of exhaustion and a possible shift in momentum.
In terms of fundamentals, the US CPI for May is predicted to rise 0.7% monthly and 8.3% annualized, which could impact the USD/CAD pair. Additionally, the Canadian Employment Report for May is predicted to show the addition of 30.0K jobs and an Unemployment Rate of 5.2%, which could also affect the pair.
Overall, it's a bit of a mixed bag, but it seems that the bullish scenario is gaining traction. Of course, it's always important to keep an eye on the latest news and analysis, as things can change quickly in the forex market...........................
Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Market Analysis: USD/CAD Powers HigherMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Powers Higher
USD/CAD is rising and might aim for more gains above the 1.4500 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today
- USD/CAD is showing positive signs above the 1.4400 support zone.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 1.4420 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CAD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair formed a strong support base above the 1.4300 level. The US Dollar started a fresh increase above the 1.4345 resistance against the Canadian Dollar.
The bulls pushed the pair above the 1.4380 and 1.4400 levels. The pair cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and climbed above 1.4450. A high was formed at 1.4485 and the pair recently corrected some gains.
There was a move toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.4302 swing low to the 1.4485 high. Initial support is near the 1.4420 level.
There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at 1.4420. The next major support is near the 1.4395 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.4302 swing low to the 1.4485 high.
The main support sits near the 1.4345 zone on the same USD/CAD chart. A downside break below the 1.4345 level could push the pair further lower. The next major support is near the 1.4300 support zone, below which the pair might visit 1.4250.
If there is another increase, the pair might face resistance near the 1.4485 level. A clear upside break above 1.4485 could start another steady increase. The next major resistance is the 1.4540 level.
A close above the 1.4540 level might send the pair toward the 1.4580 level. Any more gains could open the doors for a test of the 1.4620 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Potential Short on USDCADOANDA:USDCAD had been caught up in a consolidation phase for a while, trapped within the range at 1.4465 and 1.43424. We saw a breakout to the lower side and its retest which can potentially lead to a drop in the market. I will place my target at 1.38799.
Do your Due diligence, past results does not guarantee future results