USD / CAD short This pair is definitely in a down trend so coupled with the USD weakness I am looking for shorts only unless there is a break above 1.36839.
The pair is in consolidation at the moment so I would either be looking for a rejection from 1.36486 or a 30m close below 1.35969 to confirm the break and look for a target of 1.35603
Usdcadanalysis
USDCAD Trading Plan - 09/Jul/2024Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect USDCAD to react from the highlighted zone.
Currently USDCAD is correcting for another leg up, however, I am still seeing one more down after this leg up to complete bigger structure.
Plan to Trade:
If market gives bullish reaction at zone, I am a Buyer till 1.367 area.
Look for your BUY entry setups as per the above expectations.
Your follow and like will be a token of appreciation.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
USD/CAD Long (Swing) First idea Post on TradingViewHello fellow traders! Today I am making my first post on TradingView. We'll be looking at FX:USDCAD from my perspective hopefully someone can gain some insight or if i am wrong, you guys can share your ideas with me!
This post may seem long to some, Thank you to those who will go through my idea in its entirety.
To begin from a fundamental level
USD is currently bullish as the now all but confirmed higher rates for longer as inflation has picked back up in the last quarter coupled with the resilient US economy. This should give investors faith in a strong dollar at least until the US elections, unless the backdrop of economic conditions change in the US.
CAD is currently dovish with the expectations of a rate cut at the latest in Q3 2024. CAD also released many different statistics this week with almost all of them showing a weakening/constricting economy.
With these economic conditions and the rate divergence outlook I believe USD/CAD is fundamentally bullish.
Now for the technical analysis
A look at the monthly chart:
As we can see we are trending upward since June 2021 making HH's and HL's on monthly timeframe.
Now let's take a look a look at the weekly:
Here we can see it looks as though we are trading in a range from 1.32-33 to
1.38-39 with the past 5 closes and this weeks upcoming close showing strong support at 1.36 but with little conviction to push the price higher immediately.
The daily chart:
On the daily we recently broke out above the channel and retested the breakout at 1.36 while we may see another test of this level, as stated in my fundamental section I believe the recent news is bullish for DXY/USD and bearish for CAD so i believe it will uphold USD/CAD at 1.365 support before a push higher next week to at least 1.38.
I prefer to enter on the 2/4Hr charts using daily/weekly support, however this post is already extremely long for my first post, enjoy!
Thank you to anyone who made it to the end of my idea on USD/CAD, I am gonna start posting more ideas mainly on USD/CAD and a few other major pairs as I believe this may help me organize my own thoughts.
If anyone has any suggestions or different opinions let me know in the reply section. Stay safe trading and always manage your risk.
I am not a financial advisor please do your own research. this is only meant to share my perspective and is in no way guaranteed to be correct. As always anything can happen in the forex markets have a good day everyone!
USDCAD BUY TREND 04/07/2024It's been a while...
Based on a detailed analysis of the 1M chart, we anticipate that the USDCAD pair will experience an upward movement. Although this analysis is derived from the 1M chart, the idea is published on the 15M chart for clarity and presentation purposes.
Key Points:
Trend Direction: Upward movement expected
Risk Management: Exercise caution as the pair may experience temporary declines, presenting additional buying opportunities
Timeframe: Expect changes within the next week
Take Profit (TP): A TP line has been established. Regular updates will be provided to indicate optimal points for closing all trades
Alerts: Set alerts to receive timely notifications on when to close trades, ensuring you maximize your gains and manage risk effectively
We will continuously update this idea with crucial information on when to close positions. Make sure to stay tuned and adjust your strategy accordingly.
Wishing everyone a happy and prosperous 4th of July!
USDCAD Trade Ideas 8HThe price is currently trading above the 50-period moving average, suggesting short-term bullish momentum.
The recent crossover of the 50-period moving average above the 200-period moving average (often referred to as a golden cross) could indicate a potential shift to a more sustained bullish trend.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price continues to move upward, the first target will be the lower bearish rejection block (1.3760 - 1.3780). A successful break above this level could see the price testing the higher bearish rejection block (1.3800 - 1.3840).
Continued bullish momentum past these rejection blocks could indicate a strong trend reversal.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to break through the first bearish rejection block, we could see a pullback towards the major support zone (1.3560 - 1.3620).
A breakdown below this support zone would indicate a potential continuation of the broader downtrend.
Conclusion:
The bearish rejection blocks highlight significant resistance areas where the price may face selling pressure. The major support zone is a crucial level that has held firm in recent attempts. Monitoring price action around these levels will be key to understanding the next major move in the USD/CAD pair.
Fundamental Analysis:
1. Economic Indicators
United States: Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates can heavily influence the USD. Any hints of rate hikes or cuts can impact USD strength.
Economic Data: Key indicators such as GDP growth, employment reports, and inflation figures (CPI and PPI) provide insight into the health of the US economy. Strong data typically supports the USD.
Canada: Interest Rates: The Bank of Canada’s (BoC) monetary policy decisions affect the CAD. Like the Fed, any change in the interest rate can drive the CAD’s value.
Oil Prices: Canada is a major oil exporter, so fluctuations in crude oil prices directly impact the CAD. Higher oil prices generally strengthen the CAD, while lower prices weaken it.
2. Trade Relations:
USMCA Agreement: Trade relations under the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement can influence the USD/CAD pair. Smooth trade relations support economic stability, benefiting both currencies.
3. Global Economic Conditions:
Risk Sentiment: Global risk sentiment affects USD/CAD. In times of economic uncertainty, the USD tends to strengthen due to its safe-haven status, while the CAD may weaken.
Global Growth: General trends in global economic growth can influence demand for commodities, impacting the CAD.
4. Political Factors:
US Political Climate: Political stability or instability in the US, including fiscal policies, government spending, and trade policies, can impact the USD.
Canadian Politics: Political events in Canada, such as elections or policy changes, can influence investor confidence and the CAD.
5. Inflation Rates:
US Inflation: Higher inflation may prompt the Fed to raise interest rates, supporting the USD.
Canadian Inflation: Similar to the US, higher inflation in Canada may lead the BoC to hike rates, strengthening the CAD.
6. Employment Data:
US Non-Farm Payrolls: A key indicator of economic health in the US. Strong employment data typically boosts the USD.
Canadian Employment Reports: Employment changes in Canada provide insight into economic strength and can impact the CAD.
What do you think? Let me know in the comments
Bullish USD/CAD will reach 1.38(7/02/2024)It seems the Bulls are handling USD/CAD.
USD yield is hitting currencies with lower yields. Of course, CAD has nothing to present much versus USD.
Also, the price makes higher highs and higher lows, moving in a 5-wave impulse.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
USDCAD should find strong support hereIdea No : 18
13 out of last 17 ideas were successful and 4 still running, let's move on to 18th
although we have seen highs in DXY, this pair is somewhat on the backfoot and ranging
currently it is testing some key medium term trendlines and we expect to find support here and move upwards towards our green arrow
let's see...
Forex Price analysis - GU, AU, UC, UJ and CJWelcome to this week's Forex Price Analysis for the week starting June 30, 2024. We're analysing GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDCAD, USDJPY, and CADJPY.
GBPUSD:
The bullish wave structure is broken.
High probability sell at 1.2654 targeting 1.2612.
AUDUSD:
A bearish wave suggests a buy at the low.
A strong rally on Friday.
Prefer buying after a correction to the 0.6640 buy zone.
USDCAD:
A bearish move on Friday indicates a revisit to 1.3734.
Expect lower prices to 1.3627 before buying.
USDJPY:
Strong uptrend last week.
Bullish wave failed; trend change pattern with a corrective wave in Fibonacci sell-zone.
Trade below 160.70 suggests further decline.
A break above 160.96 negates selling.
CADJPY:
Similar to USDJPY.
Potential downside after Thursday's high.
A strong break of the high on Friday suggests an uptrend continuation.
A break below 117.43 indicates a selling opportunity after a pullback.
DAILY MARKET WATCH: USDCAD Is Bulllish!This pair is moving toward the LRLR (Low Resistance Liquidity Run).
I mentioned this move in my Weekly Forex Forecast, and price is now reaching for the old highs.
I am mindful that tomorrow's economic news, Core PCE, will likely turn the market volatile, and
potentially turn the bias. We'll see.
Best to wait until after the news announcement for new entries.
USD/CAD Gains on Fed's Inflation Fight, Watching for Short SetupThe USD/CAD pair is edging higher on Wednesday, currently trading around the 1.3687 mark. This upward movement comes as the US Dollar (USD) strengthens, bolstered by commentary from several Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. Their statements collectively suggest that the US central bank remains reluctant to cut its main interest rate, the Fed Funds rate, due to insufficient progress in lowering inflation.
This stance is viewed positively for the US Dollar and, by extension, the USD/CAD pair because maintaining a high Fed Funds rate attracts greater foreign capital inflows from investors seeking higher returns.
However, we also observe a confluence of signs that suggest a potential new bearish impulse for USD/CAD. Yesterday, we successfully closed a short position in USD/CAD with a quick profit, following the release of the Canadian CPI economic data. Today, we are considering another opportunity to sell at relatively premium prices. Specifically, we are targeting the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, which aligns with the 38.2% retracement from the major higher swing. Additionally, we have identified a divergence on the H1 timeframe within a possible bearish channel, reinforcing our bearish outlook.
Given these factors, we are looking to establish a new short position in USD/CAD, aiming to capitalize on the anticipated downward movement.
USDCAD - UniverseMetta - Analysis#USDCAD - UniverseMetta - Analysis
On D1 you can see the ABC structure, and a potential continuation of the move up to update the ATH.
H4 - Now a 3-wave structure is being formed to continue the movement. You can limit yourself to a short stop at the level of breaking through the local second wave
To cancel, form the 3rd wave in the opposite direction.
To cancel the 3rd wave, form ABC in the opposite direction, so as not to take increased risk.
Target 1.37200 - 1.37442 - 1.37833
USDCAD AFTER CPI NEWSUSDCAD
HELLO TRADERS
TODAY , after publish CPI , the result positive for cad , it becomes rise to reach a resistance level after corrective a turning level
Tendency the price is a bullish pressure at 1.36283
TURNING LEVEL : the price in turning level 1.36283 , until price trade this level active bullish area , but if price breaking this level active bearish zone
RESISTANCE LEVEL: price trade above turning level 1.36283, the price will rise to 1.36894 and 1.37202
SUPPORT LEVEL : the price breaking turning level 1.36283, it will reach the support level of 1.35745 then stable this level reach to 1.35219
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : price will 1.36283 , correct itself before long
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* Thank you , if you support this idea with your likes and comments , I hope you a profitable week 🤍
USDCAD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisUSCAD is moving in a descending channel, We expect the decline to continue after the dynamic resistance is retested.
USDCAD is near the resistance, where price dropped before.
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDCAD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
USDCAD Structure ShiftedAs per the weekend analysis it seems we are about to see a drop coming in USDCAD towards 1.3660. as we have Monday opening left, i am not expecting any gap to be occurring in the market. expecting price not to breach its current swing high of 1.3780 level while maintaining a bearish bias. Entry can be done around at current level . but i would like to wait till Monday new York opening to see more price action to come.
will update more about this pair and setup with entry and stoploss soon. do comment like share and subscribe for more detailed videos of trading setups