Usdcadanalysis
USDCAD → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupUSDCAD forms a false breakdown of resistance, reached the resistance zone, but was subsequently pushed back down.
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDCAD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
7 Dimension Sell Setup For USDCAD Core Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
😇7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H1
1: Swing Structure: The market is basically in a bearish to sideways zone. After the last lower low, there was no significant corrective swing move. With 4 pullbacks, it has almost reached the extreme POI OB at the Premier area of the structure.
🟢 Entry Model: ABCD
A strong resistance or demand zone has already formed at this level.
2: Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS:
Reversal: Double top at the demand zone makes this very appealing for sellers.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS:
Momentum: FOMO candle indicates last players or profit-takers are active. Dark cloud cover at the top of the move. Tower top candlestick pattern is also complete and respects the market.
3: Volume:
Very high selling volume observed at the top. After an inside correction, there is no volume when the price goes up for another move, indicating no buyers are interested. So, we can see sell opportunities here as every swing shows a decline in volume.
4: Momentum RSI
🟢 Surprisingly, the market is in a super bullish momentum zone with no signs of range shift or divergence. In terms of momentum, there is no single sign for a sell, which is strange here.
5: Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Contraction is fully held yet and everything supports a bullish view. It’s confusing as there are no bearish signs in volatility terms. However, a bearish M pattern is forming, though it's not a strong sell signal at the start. A band puncher is also in place.
6: Strength: Bulls are in power yet.
7: Sentiment: The market does not give us any proper signal yet. According to price action, there is a bearish setup, and volume supports it, but momentum, volatility, and strength do not. It's better to wait for a proper setup. I favor bears but only after further confirmations. So, I am going to check the lower time frame (M5).
✔️ Entry Time Frame: M5
✅ Entry TF Structure: Corrective
✔ Entry Time POI: Mitigated
☑️ Trend line breakout: Done
💡 Decision: Sell
🚀 Entry: 1.3766
✋ Stop Loss: 1.3780
🎯 Take Profit: 1.3650
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 7RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 4 Days
SUMMARY: Analysis supports a cautious sell position based on Smart Money Concepts methodology, pending further confirmations due to mixed signals in momentum and volatility.
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USDCAD - UniverseMetta - Analysis#USDCAD - UniverseMetta - Analysis
We can talk about the completion of the 5th wave structure on D1 and there is price fixation behind the trend line. You can consider a 3 wave structure on H4 with little risk per trade. If this scenario begins to be realized globally, the targets can be considered at the level of 1.40 - 1.42. Entry by market or from levels 1.36480. Stop for the 2nd wave.
Target 1.36870 - 1.37500
USD / CAD short This pair is definitely in a down trend so coupled with the USD weakness I am looking for shorts only unless there is a break above 1.36839.
The pair is in consolidation at the moment so I would either be looking for a rejection from 1.36486 or a 30m close below 1.35969 to confirm the break and look for a target of 1.35603
USDCAD Trading Plan - 09/Jul/2024Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect USDCAD to react from the highlighted zone.
Currently USDCAD is correcting for another leg up, however, I am still seeing one more down after this leg up to complete bigger structure.
Plan to Trade:
If market gives bullish reaction at zone, I am a Buyer till 1.367 area.
Look for your BUY entry setups as per the above expectations.
Your follow and like will be a token of appreciation.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
USD/CAD Long (Swing) First idea Post on TradingViewHello fellow traders! Today I am making my first post on TradingView. We'll be looking at FX:USDCAD from my perspective hopefully someone can gain some insight or if i am wrong, you guys can share your ideas with me!
This post may seem long to some, Thank you to those who will go through my idea in its entirety.
To begin from a fundamental level
USD is currently bullish as the now all but confirmed higher rates for longer as inflation has picked back up in the last quarter coupled with the resilient US economy. This should give investors faith in a strong dollar at least until the US elections, unless the backdrop of economic conditions change in the US.
CAD is currently dovish with the expectations of a rate cut at the latest in Q3 2024. CAD also released many different statistics this week with almost all of them showing a weakening/constricting economy.
With these economic conditions and the rate divergence outlook I believe USD/CAD is fundamentally bullish.
Now for the technical analysis
A look at the monthly chart:
As we can see we are trending upward since June 2021 making HH's and HL's on monthly timeframe.
Now let's take a look a look at the weekly:
Here we can see it looks as though we are trading in a range from 1.32-33 to
1.38-39 with the past 5 closes and this weeks upcoming close showing strong support at 1.36 but with little conviction to push the price higher immediately.
The daily chart:
On the daily we recently broke out above the channel and retested the breakout at 1.36 while we may see another test of this level, as stated in my fundamental section I believe the recent news is bullish for DXY/USD and bearish for CAD so i believe it will uphold USD/CAD at 1.365 support before a push higher next week to at least 1.38.
I prefer to enter on the 2/4Hr charts using daily/weekly support, however this post is already extremely long for my first post, enjoy!
Thank you to anyone who made it to the end of my idea on USD/CAD, I am gonna start posting more ideas mainly on USD/CAD and a few other major pairs as I believe this may help me organize my own thoughts.
If anyone has any suggestions or different opinions let me know in the reply section. Stay safe trading and always manage your risk.
I am not a financial advisor please do your own research. this is only meant to share my perspective and is in no way guaranteed to be correct. As always anything can happen in the forex markets have a good day everyone!