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Usdcadanalysis

USDCAD Signals: Bullish Breakout Above 1.3000USDCAD – technical overview Above 1.3000 signals an end to a period of longer-term bearish consolidation and suggests the market is in the process of carving out a more significant longer-term base. Next key resistance now comes in up into the 1.4000 area. Setbacks should be very well supported down into the 1.3000 area. R2 1.3847 – 16 April/2024 high – Strong R1 1.3792 – 11 June high – Medium S1 1.3662 – 7 June low – Medium S2 1.3586 – 10 May low – Strong USDCAD – fundamental overview The Canadian Dollar is coming out of a rare session in which it outperformed its peer group. Canada housing data was behind the relative strength after May housing starts accelerated at the fastest pace since September 2023. Key standouts on Tuesday’s calendar come from Eurozone and German sentiment reads, Eurozone CPI, US retail sales, US industrial production, and Fed speak. Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
by BlackBull_Markets
USDCAD - Awaiting Breakout Amid Key Economic Data ReleasesThe USDCAD pair is currently forming a wedge-type pattern, indicating a period of consolidation that typically precedes a significant price movement. The forthcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data releases will be critical in determining the direction of the breakout. ---------------------Key Levels:-------------------------------- Strong Support: 1.36000 Medium Resistance: 1.37500 Strong Resistance: 1.38500 Current Market Sentiment: At this juncture, we maintain a neutral bias on USDCAD, given the potential for either bullish or bearish developments contingent on upcoming economic data. ________________Technical Indicators:__________________ Support and Resistance Analysis: The pair is testing critical support at 1.36000. A break below this level could signal a bearish trend, targeting lower levels as the market reassesses USD strength. Wedge Pattern Formation: The wedge pattern suggests an imminent breakout, though the direction remains uncertain pending economic data. Volume Analysis: Observing volume spikes during the breakout will be essential to confirm the direction of the trend. _____________________Potential Scenarios__________________ Bullish Scenario: Trigger: A breakout above the medium resistance at 1.37500. Implication: If USDCAD breaks and sustains above 1.37500, it could pave the way for a continuation towards the strong resistance at 1.38500. Target: 1.38500 and potentially higher if bullish momentum persists. Action: Monitor for buy signals upon confirmation of the breakout with increased volume. Bearish Scenario: Trigger: A breakdown below the strong support at 1.36000. Implication: A decisive move below 1.36000 would likely initiate a bearish trend, with the potential for accelerated selling pressure. Target: Lower levels, possibly revisiting the next significant support zones around 1.35000 and 1.34000. Action: Consider sell signals if the price breaks below 1.36000, ensuring confirmation through sustained lower price action and volume. Conclusion: USDCAD is poised at a critical juncture within a wedge-type pattern. The upcoming NFP and CPI data releases are expected to provide the necessary catalyst for a breakout. Traders should remain vigilant and ready to react to a confirmed breakout above 1.37500 for a bullish trend or below 1.36000 for a bearish trend. Recommendation: Maintain a neutral stance until the price action dictates a clear direction. Utilize stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively and be prepared to adjust positions based on the market response to the upcoming economic data. Disclaimer: This report is based on current market conditions and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a professional before making trading decisions.
by trading_jupiter
USD/CAD looks set to break higherPrice action may be choppy on the daily timeframe, but it remains in an uptrend none the less. Price action since the April high appears to be corrective, and support was found around a prior VAH (value area high) and 1.36 handle. The 1-hour chart shows strong bullish momentum from 1.36, and prices are now consolidating within a potential bull flag. The pattern projects an upside target around 1.3745, and the lows of the consolidation are holding above the weekly/monthly pivot and 10-day EMA. The bias is for prices to rise to at least 1.37 near the weekly R1 pivot and 1-day implied volatility band.
Long
by CityIndex
USDCAD tm:1hHello traders. I hope you doing well. These areas are based on my personal strategy and I will share it with you. Open a sell position on the supply area or open a buy position on the demand area. Your entry point, stop loss, and target point are based on money management and the amount of money in your trading account. But I promise you that by trading in the areas of my trading strategy, you will definitely make a profit, because these areas, although they seem simple, are my experience of 8 years of learning and trading. I hope you will achieve maximum continuous profit with me by using supply and demand areas. Good luck traders. Mohammad Goodarzi
by itsbluemorpho
USDCAD | Hidden Bullish Divergence | AB=CDThe USDCAD chart has currently formed a Harmonic AB=CD Pattern, which indicates a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). Additionally, there is a Hidden Bullish Divergence on the 1-hour time frame, suggesting that the current downtrend is about to shift into an uptrend. Furthermore, the price has mitigated the Order Block (OB) and is now moving upwards. These confirmations indicate a short-term bullish momentum, although the overall structure on the higher time frame remains bearish. In summary: 1: Harmonic AB=CD Pattern: This pattern suggests a potential reversal zone (PRZ). 2: Hidden Bullish Divergence: Observed on the 1-hour time frame, this indicates a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. 3: Order Block (OB): The price has mitigated the OB and is moving upwards, supporting the short-term bullish momentum. 4: Higher Time Frame Structure: Despite the short-term bullish signals, the overall structure on higher time frames remains bearish. It's important to consider these factors together and conduct thorough analysis before making any trading decisions.
Long
by awaisulabdeen
2
USD/CAD SHORT from 1.3725My positions SHORT EUR/USD and GBP/USD have been closed as its evident that SELLERS are now pushing the USD south. With that in mind, I'mnow SHORT USD/CAD. I was looking for this pair to reach the WR1 weekly pivot at 1.3744 but it now looks like this was a level too far and price has reversed 9 pips short of that target. RSI on H1 has been over 70 for several hours and in the last 2 hours we've seen it fall to its current level of 55. MACD has crossed south on H1 and the Andean Oscillator red SELL line has lifted away fro zero and is now reading .0005. All the signs are that we are headed lower and hopefully I can get a decent + pip STOP on this trade before key news is released at 13:30 this being Prelim GDP and Unemployment Claims followed by Pending Home Sales 90 mionutes later. If these number come out green then the USD will rise and this trade will exit for a profit but if the numbers come out red then this trade will accelerate to the downside and may reach the main target which is 1.3660 where there is a band of support. The overall structure of USD/CAD remains BULLISH whilst we remain above 1.3660. Should 1.3660 break then 1.3600 wil come into play.
Short
by forextraplaces
2
USD/CAD SHORT from 1.3660USD/CAD has been declining since last week and shows not sign of finding support. The Andean Oscillator on the H1 time frame turned BEARISH towards the end of last week and with no obvious levels of support we can expect to see the price of USD/CAD drift lower to 1.3588 area where BUYERS may well lie. A look at the H4 time frame is revealing. All 4 EMA's (25/50/100/200) are grouped together and the price is now below this group. This means that USD/CAD BULLS would have to push through all these EMA's to head north and this seems unlikely in the absence of key drivers. THe only news on the horizon comes at 15:00 tomorrow with the CB Consumer Confidence which is not generally a big move so if this print disappoints then we can expect to see USD/CAD decline at a faster rate. The D1 time frame suggests we could be headed for the 200 EMA at 1.3570. If this key level breaks then there's nothing to stop USD/CAD heading much lower but any significant CAD or USD news would set the agends for this pair. With the Bank Holiday price action will be slow so I expect to see a gradual but steady decline with this pair.
Short
by forextraplaces
8
USD/CAD Trend reset - Buy ContinuationMomentum preceeds prices! The USDCAD has had a trend reset (Secondary Trend), which is key to the Up-trend continuation. The structural point for trend reversal is 1.3656, we want to see a second breakdown below the structure without breaking below 1.3624. A trade back above 1.3656 will be the first buy, confirmation will be a trade above 1.3671. In terms of Target, we will use the Fibonacci retracement from the low to the high of 3. Target 1: 1.3780 Target 2: 1.3838 Initial Stop Loss: 1.3624
Long
by Charts247TradingAcademy
1
USDCAD moving lower this week**Monthly Chart** USDCAD is moving within a large range between 1.30000 and 1.40000 level since Oct 2022 as per monthly chart range. **Weekly Chart** The pair is still moving within the range after creating a weekly key reversal around the relative equal highs. The obvious move is to downside at least to test demand zone around 1.32000 level. **Daily Chart** The expectation for this week is that USDCAD will push lower from previous swing high level. We need to see a pullback reaction before taking the price lower. Next target will be to break the previous swing low below 1.36000 level.
Short
by PropSignals
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by Thief_Trader
2