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Usdcadbullish

USDCAD → Bottom of Trading Range! Looking for Long Entry.USDCAD is at the bottom of a trading range and near the Weekly 200EMA which acted as good support in the last bull trend opportunity from July to October. Now that we're here, should we long? How do we trade this? 🤔 We almost have enough price action to justify a long entry. Longing now would be maximally risky because we don't have a good buy signal bar yet. You could enter now with the understanding that every time we've hit these levels since September 23, a long as been profitable. I prefer more confirmation and thus, more probability before entering a trade. I think we need at least a good strong buy signal closing in the 131.300 - 131.600 range. With this signal, we can enter a trade a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio to the top of the trend. Wait for a couple more Daily candles to show such support before longing. Until then, lets be patient on the sidelines! 💡 Trade Ideas 💡 Long Entry: 132.665 🟥 Stop Loss: 130.000 ✅ Take Profit: 138.000 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Trading Range after Bullish Price Action, Bias to Long. 2. Near Trading Range Support and Weekly 200EMA, Look for Entry. 3. Look for Test of Support before Entering a Trade. 4. Target 1:2 Risk/Reward, Stop Loss below 200EMA, Take Profit at Top of Range. 5. RSI at 39.00 and below Moving Average. Needs to Fall More before Long. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 Trends typically have three legs in either direction. Signals of a reversal include strong buy or sell bars with large wicks, higher highs and lower lows get weaker, and responses to the reverse direction get stronger. Confirmation lies with double and triple bottoms with a strong candle closing on or near its low/high. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Long
by TraderEngineering
USDCAD Could provide a nice bullish move due to CAD CPIThere are several reasons why we could see a bullish move in the USD/CAD currency pair: 1. **Moderating Canadian Inflation**: Multiple sources, including RBC Economics, NBF, and CIBC, suggest that Canadian inflation is expected to moderate in November. This is primarily driven by factors like a drop in gasoline prices, easing food price growth, and a slowdown in core inflation measures. A moderation in inflation can weaken the Canadian dollar (CAD) as it reduces the pressure on the Bank of Canada to raise interest rates, potentially leading to a bullish move in USD/CAD. 2. **Headline CPI within Target Range**: RBC Economics points out that the expected drop in inflation would bring the headline CPI back within the Bank of Canada's target range of 1%-3%. This suggests that there may not be excessive inflationary pressures, which can be interpreted as a positive for USD/CAD bulls. 3. **Economic Backdrop and Interest Rates**: The analysis mentions that further softening in the economic backdrop and slower price growth should reinforce the idea that the Bank of Canada is unlikely to hike interest rates further in the near term. This anticipation of a pause in rate hikes can weigh on the CAD, making USD/CAD more attractive to traders. 4. **Core Inflation Deceleration**: The expectation of continued deceleration in core inflation measures, such as CPI-trim and CPI-median, indicates that underlying inflationary pressures may not be a concern. This can weaken the CAD and support a bullish move in USD/CAD. 5. **Caution Regarding Rate Cuts**: It's worth noting that the central banks, including the Bank of Canada, are expected to be cautious about declaring victory over inflation too early and pivoting to rate cuts. However, the anticipation of an extended pause in rate hikes rather than an immediate pivot to rate cuts can be seen as a positive factor for USD/CAD bulls. In conclusion, the expected moderation in Canadian inflation, the potential return of headline CPI within the target range, the economic backdrop, and the likelihood of a pause in rate hikes by the Bank of Canada, along with continued core inflation deceleration, are factors that could support a bullish move in USD/CAD.
Long
by Wiiso
USDCAD → Fell HARD to 135.000! Will We Bounce Here?USDCAD fell out of the bull channel as predicted from last week's analysis and hit the profit target of 135.500. We are now sitting on the 200EMA with no sign of support, do we short? How do we trade this? 🤔 We do not short! We're on potential support, the RSI is at 32.00, we haven't had a good pullback in 10 bars, best to wait on the sidelines. What we *should* be looking for is a bounce off of the 200EMA as previous price action has shown. With a strong bull signal and confirmation bar closing on or near their highs, it would be reasonable to long at this level. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: 1.35470 🟥 Stop Loss: 1.34655 ✅ Take Profit: 1.37100 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Breakout of Bull Channel, Bias to Short. 2. Target Short TP at 200EMA 1.35200 Achieved. 3. Look for a test of Daily 200EMA Support. 4. Long if Bull Signal and Confirmation Candle Close. 5. RSI at 32.00, below Moving Average, Supports short-term Short. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Long
by TraderEngineering
5
USD/CAD Daily Analysis - Pullback Before Major Bull Run!?USD/CAD bounced nicely off of 1.36300 for a nice 200+ pip run to the upside. We ended last week with a Daily Pin Bar Bear candle, and DXY (Dollar Index) was in a trading range. Where does that leave us for this week? First, we're in a bull channel which means the probability of profit is in the bull's favor. I am looking for a long entry and have no interest in shorting the Daily chart at this time. Since our last candle was a bear pin bar, that may be an indication that we're entering a minor pullback and should wait until it concludes. The RSI is just above 50.00 and curling down, you may want another test at the 45.00 level before going up. We also have established a minor trend line within the current bull channel with this last bounce. With a good bull signal bar in the 1.37000 area, I would consider entering a long with a stop loss just below the channel bottom and a take profit at the next Weekly previous high of 1.40000. Key Points 1. Bull Channel, Always in Long 2. Last Candle was a bear Pin Bar 3. DXY in Trading Range 4. Look for at least a small pullback before longing. 5. RSI is just above 50.00, wait for a pullback Until we see a minor pullback and bounce, I would wait to long and definitely not short unless it's on the lower timeframes (5m, 15m, 1hr). You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk! Let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Long
by TraderEngineering
USD/CAD Daily Analysis - Long at 1.36? Bull Channel ContinuesUSD/CAD has had a hard rejection at the top of the Daily Bull channel. Unfortunately, we did not close the gap between 1.39 and 1.40. Instead, we fall back down to the 1.36500 area and still have some room to fall. I would start longing around 1.36, look for entries on the 1hr or 4hr chart and hold a position until the top of the bull channel. Key Points: 1. We're in a Bull Channel which means we have a better chance of profit longing. 2. Buy in the 1.36 area or lower. 3. Wait for a bull signal and confirmation bar closing on or near its high. 4. We still have a gap to fill up to 1.40. I would look for a long and hold at least some of your position to just under that level. 5. RSI has room to fall before a bounce. Use as a weak indicator supporting the first 4. As always, trade at your own risk, you are responsible for your trades. I hope this analysis was insightful and useful. Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Long
by TraderEngineering
USD/CAD Weekly Analysis - Bull Breakout to 1.40!USD/CAD has finally broken out of the bear channel/bull flag and closed near its high on the Weekly chart. Current price is at 1.38750 with a nice gap to fill at the bear channel high of 1.40000. This is an ideal Daily or Weekly scalp, placing your stop below the channel top of 1.37000 or the Weekly 9EMA. That creates a Risk/Reward Ratio of 2:1, which means your position size needs to be sized for your maximum loss for your account size. (Examples Below) Key Points: 1. Weekly candle closing near its high 2. Weekly candle closed well above the Bear Channel 3. Gap between current price and channel high 4. RSI has room to move up 5. Scalp the gap between the current price and 1.40000 A weekly candle closing near its high after a breakout is a strong bull signal. The price has a gap to fill, and the RSI has room to move up. The RSI is a weak indicator on its own, but coupled with the other data points, it aids the conclusion. It's reasonable to scalp the gap on the Daily or Weekly charts. See the rationale below. Trading Rationale Let's say you have a $10,000 account and you apply the 2% rule of trading, where your maximum loss on any trade is 2% of your total account equity. In this case, $10,000 x 2% = $200. Therefore, a scalp on this chart should render a loss no greater than $200 and a reward of $100. A scalp is justified in this case because our probability of success is likely higher than the general 40-60 rule, which states that the probability the market will move the same distance in either direction is between 40%-60%. In the 40%-60% scenarios, a 1:2 Risk Reward ratio means your probability of making money is positive. When we have a strong breakout like USD/CAD, the probability of a continuation gets closer to 80%-90%. We can afford to extend our risk because the probability is so high. The simple math is if you ran this trade 10 times and hit your Take Profit on 8 of them (80%), you would win $800 and lose $400, a total profit of $400. Therefore, this is a reasonable trade. As always, trade at your own risk, you are responsible for your trades. I hope this analysis was insightful and useful. Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Long
by TraderEngineering
USD/CAD 1HR Analysis - Are We About to Break to the Upside?USD/CAD had a fantastic bounce off of the bull channel bottom (1.36600) just below the 1HR 200EMA, leading to a 120 pip run to the top of the channel (1.37800). If you followed my last USD/CAD 1HR Analysis, this was the exact move I was after, which has now ended. Where do we go from here? Key Points when considering a long: 1. We're at the top of a bull channel, very risky to long here as the probability of a breakout is statistically 10% and your stop loss should be at the bottom or below the channel. Not good Risk/Reward considering the probability, even with a small position. 2. The previous high resistance intersects perfectly with the top of the bull channel. Another indicator to wait on longing. 3. RSI is in overbought territory, a weak indicator, but supports the other data here. 4. The Weekly resistance may now be support. This previous bounce was rather convincing. We need to continue to see newer highs up to the high of the Weekly Bear channel at 1.40000. (See my USD/CAD Weekly analysis). The weekly support is 100 pips below us, best to wait until we get closer. 5. If you're long, take some profits, and wait for another entry toward the mid-range of the bull channel. Wait for a bull signal bar and confirmation bar that closes on or near its high. Preferably off of the 1HR 30EMA or 200EMA. What about a short here? I think a short on the 5-minute or 15-minute chart at this level can be reasonable. However, the macro trend is bullish, I would argue position size should be lower than your maximum, and your stop loss be placed just above the channel top. Shorting to the 1HR 30EMA or 200EMA is risky, but with the right trade management, it could render some profits. I argue to remain long and wait for that long entry, there is probably more upside than downside at this stage of the game since we've broken out of the Weekly bear channel. As always, trade at your own risk, you are responsible for your trades. I hope this analysis was insightful and useful. Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Long
by TraderEngineering
USD/CAD 1HR Analysis - Remain Long With The New Weekly Support!USC/CAD may have established a new support with the Weekly resistance as shown in in my USD/CAD Weekly Analysis Idea from October 9th. We have several factors pointing to remaining long at this stage: 1. Currently in a Bull Channel 2. Weekly Resistance is starting to act like Support 3. We have a minor Bear Channel/Bull Flag on the hourly 4. Last weeks Weekly candle closed above the Weekly Resistance in a second attempt to break it 5. DXY is still above the 30EMA on the Daily Chart/9EMA on the Weekly We should remain long in the short-term (Hourly Chart) and probably on the Daily/Weekly chart as well per my Weekly analysis. Long targets should be the previous Weekly Bear Channel Highs of 1.38600 and 1.39800 respectively. A long at this stage should have a protective Stop on the 1HR 200EMA with a first Take Profit at the top of the Hourly Bull Channel at 1.37500. From there, it's reasonable to hold some of your long position and add to it if we confirm a break above the channel to the next levels. As always, trade at your own risk, you are responsible for your trades, and I hope this information was helpful. Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Long
by TraderEngineering
Bullish Outlook on USDCAD - 11 AugOn the H4 timeframe, there is bullish order flow, with higher lows and higher highs created. A throwback to support zone at 1.3380, which is in line with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, could provide bullish acceleration towards the resistance zone at 1.3580, which coincides with the 141.4% Fibonacci extension level. Price is currently hovering above ichimoku cloud, supporting our bullish bias. Last high of 1.350 on 8 August caused the pullback as an intermediate resistance, and we can start trailing or shifting to breakeven once prices reaches or pushes past this level.
Long
by Salzworth
Bullish Outlook on USDCAD- 26 May 2023On the 4H timeframe, there is bullish order flow, forming higher highs and higher lows. Price tested a key resistance zone at 1.3650 on the 4H timeframe. A throwback to the key support zone at 1.3590, which is in line with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and a break above the confirmation level at 1.3650 could provide bullish acceleration towards the resistance zone at 1.3780, which coincides with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level. Price is holding above the Ichimoku cloud and 20 EMA, supporting our bullish bias.
Long
by Salzworth
USDCAD H4: Bullish outlook seen, further upside above 1.3580On the H4 timeframe, prices are testing a key resistance-turned-support zone at 1.3580, in line with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A throwback to this zone could present the opportunity to ride the bounce to the resistance zone at 1.3680, which coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci extension. Stochastic RSI is in the oversold region below 20, prices are holding above the 50 EMA and Ichimoku cloud, while ADX is above 25, supporting our bullish bias.
Long
by T3-Consultancy