USD/CAD LONG from 1.3473 USD/CAD has broken through the neckline of a W pattern and has the look of heading higher.
The price is now above all significant EMA's that are now grouped on the H1 time frame and its the same story on the H4 time frame.
With no significant news until tomorrow's US CPI numbers at 13:30 GMT , there shouldn't anything that would encourage USD/CAD BEARS so the WR1 pivot at 1.3530 looks a reasonable target though we're not likely to get there until well into tomorrow.
STOP is under the recent lows 1.3449.
Usdcadbuy
USDCAD - Long opportunity ✅ Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCAD.
Technical analysis: Here I think we are still bullish, so I am looking for short. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill half of imbalance and then to reject from support zone + institutional big figure 1.34000.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow we will see results of Unemployment Rate on CAD.
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USDCAD → Bottom of Trading Range! Looking for Long Entry.USDCAD is at the bottom of a trading range and near the Weekly 200EMA which acted as good support in the last bull trend opportunity from July to October. Now that we're here, should we long?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We almost have enough price action to justify a long entry. Longing now would be maximally risky because we don't have a good buy signal bar yet. You could enter now with the understanding that every time we've hit these levels since September 23, a long as been profitable. I prefer more confirmation and thus, more probability before entering a trade. I think we need at least a good strong buy signal closing in the 131.300 - 131.600 range. With this signal, we can enter a trade a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio to the top of the trend.
Wait for a couple more Daily candles to show such support before longing. Until then, lets be patient on the sidelines!
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Long Entry: 132.665
🟥 Stop Loss: 130.000
✅ Take Profit: 138.000
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Trading Range after Bullish Price Action, Bias to Long.
2. Near Trading Range Support and Weekly 200EMA, Look for Entry.
3. Look for Test of Support before Entering a Trade.
4. Target 1:2 Risk/Reward, Stop Loss below 200EMA, Take Profit at Top of Range.
5. RSI at 39.00 and below Moving Average. Needs to Fall More before Long.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Trends typically have three legs in either direction. Signals of a reversal include strong buy or sell bars with large wicks, higher highs and lower lows get weaker, and responses to the reverse direction get stronger. Confirmation lies with double and triple bottoms with a strong candle closing on or near its low/high.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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USDCAD H4 / PERFECT HIT OF THE OB / SHORT TRADE ACTIVE ✅Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to USDCAD H4. I see a small accumulation at the moment, I expect a bearish move taking into consideration this accumulation in the area of the OB.
The target is before the FVG.
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USDCAD Trade IdeaThe USDCAD has reached a pivotal juncture,reaching into a critical resistance level. While the larger trend remains firmly bullish, I anticipate a temporary pullback before seeking an optimal entry point.
1D Balance Area: As you can see on the attached chart, price has formed a significant balance area on the daily timeframe at the accumulation phase. A Fibonacci retracement drawn from the low to the high reveals a confluence zone around the 61.8% level potentially offering a high-probability entry point for opportunistic longs. Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not dispensing financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before making any trading decisions.
USDCAD: New Year 2024, New Outlook! Merry Christmas Everyone,
Dear Traders,
This week we waited USD to reverse and show some strong bullish momentum though it did not, however, this week we may see some bullish price movement. It is advisable that we may see uncertain price action due to low liquidity and low volume which is result of holidays worldwide.
Good Luck and Trade Safe.
USDCAD Long Term buying Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDCAD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDCAD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCAD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USDCAD - Short after filling the imbalance ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCAD.
Technical analysis: Here I think we have a good short opportunity from premium zone if price continues to go higher to fill the imbalance and then to react from institutional big figure 1.35000.
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USDCAD Looking BullishIn the existing downtrend of the USDCAD currency pair, there is a distinct possibility that the exchange rate may approach and test the support level at 1.31142, unless there is a significant breakthrough in market dynamics. The technical analysis of the market structure points towards a potential pullback, implying a temporary reversal in the prevailing downward movement.
This setup could be viewed as an opportunity for traders to consider initiating buy positions. Buying at the support level involves anticipating a rebound or a corrective move in the exchange rate. Traders often look for confirmation signals, such as candlestick patterns or other technical indicators, to strengthen the rationale for entering a trade.
It's important to note that trading decisions should be made based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including technical, fundamental, and market sentiment indicators. Additionally, risk management strategies should be employed to mitigate potential losses in case the market does not behave as anticipated.
USDCAD possible buy after falsebreakdwon!The USDCAD trend remains downward, presenting a chance to test the 1.31142 support level unless a breakthrough occurs. The technical structure suggests a potential pullback, so contemplate purchasing in on Support
In the ongoing downtrend of USDCAD, there's a likelihood of testing the 1.31142 support level if no breakthrough occurs. The technical setup indicates the potential for a pullback, making it worth considering buying .
USDCAD Could provide a nice bullish move due to CAD CPIThere are several reasons why we could see a bullish move in the USD/CAD currency pair:
1. **Moderating Canadian Inflation**: Multiple sources, including RBC Economics, NBF, and CIBC, suggest that Canadian inflation is expected to moderate in November. This is primarily driven by factors like a drop in gasoline prices, easing food price growth, and a slowdown in core inflation measures. A moderation in inflation can weaken the Canadian dollar (CAD) as it reduces the pressure on the Bank of Canada to raise interest rates, potentially leading to a bullish move in USD/CAD.
2. **Headline CPI within Target Range**: RBC Economics points out that the expected drop in inflation would bring the headline CPI back within the Bank of Canada's target range of 1%-3%. This suggests that there may not be excessive inflationary pressures, which can be interpreted as a positive for USD/CAD bulls.
3. **Economic Backdrop and Interest Rates**: The analysis mentions that further softening in the economic backdrop and slower price growth should reinforce the idea that the Bank of Canada is unlikely to hike interest rates further in the near term. This anticipation of a pause in rate hikes can weigh on the CAD, making USD/CAD more attractive to traders.
4. **Core Inflation Deceleration**: The expectation of continued deceleration in core inflation measures, such as CPI-trim and CPI-median, indicates that underlying inflationary pressures may not be a concern. This can weaken the CAD and support a bullish move in USD/CAD.
5. **Caution Regarding Rate Cuts**: It's worth noting that the central banks, including the Bank of Canada, are expected to be cautious about declaring victory over inflation too early and pivoting to rate cuts. However, the anticipation of an extended pause in rate hikes rather than an immediate pivot to rate cuts can be seen as a positive factor for USD/CAD bulls.
In conclusion, the expected moderation in Canadian inflation, the potential return of headline CPI within the target range, the economic backdrop, and the likelihood of a pause in rate hikes by the Bank of Canada, along with continued core inflation deceleration, are factors that could support a bullish move in USD/CAD.
USDCAD → Fell HARD to 135.000! Will We Bounce Here?USDCAD fell out of the bull channel as predicted from last week's analysis and hit the profit target of 135.500. We are now sitting on the 200EMA with no sign of support, do we short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We do not short! We're on potential support, the RSI is at 32.00, we haven't had a good pullback in 10 bars, best to wait on the sidelines. What we *should* be looking for is a bounce off of the 200EMA as previous price action has shown. With a strong bull signal and confirmation bar closing on or near their highs, it would be reasonable to long at this level.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 1.35470
🟥 Stop Loss: 1.34655
✅ Take Profit: 1.37100
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Breakout of Bull Channel, Bias to Short.
2. Target Short TP at 200EMA 1.35200 Achieved.
3. Look for a test of Daily 200EMA Support.
4. Long if Bull Signal and Confirmation Candle Close.
5. RSI at 32.00, below Moving Average, Supports short-term Short.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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USDCAD : Long Trade , 4hHello traders, we want to check the USDCAD chart. The price is moving in a descending channel and has reached a key level that the price has reacted to several times in the past. We expect this level to play the role of a support level and the price will grow to around 1.34900. Good luck.
USD/CAD!! New week for recovery early December✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on USDCAD price next week from 4/12 - 8/12/2023
🔥 World situation:
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is currently experiencing upward movement in trading on Friday, once again strengthening against its primary counterpart, the US Dollar (USD). This comes after Canadian employment data surpassed market expectations by a significant margin. Throughout the week, the Canadian Dollar has been one of the best-performing currencies, exhibiting a 1% increase against the US Dollar since Monday's opening rates.
In November, Canada witnessed nearly double the number of job additions compared to the median market forecast. Approximately 25,000 new positions were created, surpassing the projected 15,000 and outpacing October's 17,500 new jobs.
🔥 Identify:
A week without much important news about CAD, the price is moving towards a fairly strong support zone along with the resistance zone according to FIBONACCY, setting up a BUY signal.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the USDCAD price according to the D1 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: 1.35800 ; 1.37800
Support : 1.34450
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
usdcad but signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Update usdcad .saw our target👇👇👇👇
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USDCAD: The US dollar faces a weekly decline as inflation easesThe US dollar faces its biggest weekly decline in months against the euro, yen and franc. This comes after investors began selling in anticipation of a near 100 basis point interest rate cut in the United States expected next year.
By Friday, the dollar had fallen 1.6% from a week earlier, trading at $1.0854 against the euro, its steepest decline since mid-July. For the week, it fell 1.6% to CHF 0.8882, and against the yen it fell 0.6% to CHF 150.53.
Oil prices hit a four-month low on Thursday, and Walmart (NYSE:WMT) also announced price cuts, adding to deflationary pressures. This week's data showed U.S. consumer prices stabilizing, convincing investors that inflation is falling and the days of rising interest rates are over.
Weak US economic data released on Thursday also supported this view. Futures markets are currently pricing in a 98 basis point (bp) rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year, up from 73 basis points a week ago.
Peter Dragicevic, strategist at cross-border payment company Copay, comments on the situation. He said the degree of mitigation being considered looked positive, but the direction was correct. He added that the momentum of US inflation is changing and the negative effects of past monetary tightening are beginning to show.
With the Fed's next easing cycle looming, Dragicevic expects the US dollar to weaken gradually over the next few quarters as US yields fall and US growth recovers.
USD/CAD Daily Analysis - Pullback Before Major Bull Run!?USD/CAD bounced nicely off of 1.36300 for a nice 200+ pip run to the upside. We ended last week with a Daily Pin Bar Bear candle, and DXY (Dollar Index) was in a trading range. Where does that leave us for this week?
First, we're in a bull channel which means the probability of profit is in the bull's favor. I am looking for a long entry and have no interest in shorting the Daily chart at this time. Since our last candle was a bear pin bar, that may be an indication that we're entering a minor pullback and should wait until it concludes. The RSI is just above 50.00 and curling down, you may want another test at the 45.00 level before going up.
We also have established a minor trend line within the current bull channel with this last bounce. With a good bull signal bar in the 1.37000 area, I would consider entering a long with a stop loss just below the channel bottom and a take profit at the next Weekly previous high of 1.40000.
Key Points
1. Bull Channel, Always in Long
2. Last Candle was a bear Pin Bar
3. DXY in Trading Range
4. Look for at least a small pullback before longing.
5. RSI is just above 50.00, wait for a pullback
Until we see a minor pullback and bounce, I would wait to long and definitely not short unless it's on the lower timeframes (5m, 15m, 1hr).
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
Let us know what you think in the comment section below!