USDCAD → Fell HARD to 135.000! Will We Bounce Here?USDCAD fell out of the bull channel as predicted from last week's analysis and hit the profit target of 135.500. We are now sitting on the 200EMA with no sign of support, do we short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We do not short! We're on potential support, the RSI is at 32.00, we haven't had a good pullback in 10 bars, best to wait on the sidelines. What we *should* be looking for is a bounce off of the 200EMA as previous price action has shown. With a strong bull signal and confirmation bar closing on or near their highs, it would be reasonable to long at this level.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 1.35470
🟥 Stop Loss: 1.34655
✅ Take Profit: 1.37100
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Breakout of Bull Channel, Bias to Short.
2. Target Short TP at 200EMA 1.35200 Achieved.
3. Look for a test of Daily 200EMA Support.
4. Long if Bull Signal and Confirmation Candle Close.
5. RSI at 32.00, below Moving Average, Supports short-term Short.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Usdcadbuy
USDCAD : Long Trade , 4hHello traders, we want to check the USDCAD chart. The price is moving in a descending channel and has reached a key level that the price has reacted to several times in the past. We expect this level to play the role of a support level and the price will grow to around 1.34900. Good luck.
USD/CAD!! New week for recovery early December✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on USDCAD price next week from 4/12 - 8/12/2023
🔥 World situation:
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is currently experiencing upward movement in trading on Friday, once again strengthening against its primary counterpart, the US Dollar (USD). This comes after Canadian employment data surpassed market expectations by a significant margin. Throughout the week, the Canadian Dollar has been one of the best-performing currencies, exhibiting a 1% increase against the US Dollar since Monday's opening rates.
In November, Canada witnessed nearly double the number of job additions compared to the median market forecast. Approximately 25,000 new positions were created, surpassing the projected 15,000 and outpacing October's 17,500 new jobs.
🔥 Identify:
A week without much important news about CAD, the price is moving towards a fairly strong support zone along with the resistance zone according to FIBONACCY, setting up a BUY signal.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the USDCAD price according to the D1 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: 1.35800 ; 1.37800
Support : 1.34450
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
usdcad but signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Update usdcad .saw our target👇👇👇👇
www.tradingview.com
USDCAD: The US dollar faces a weekly decline as inflation easesThe US dollar faces its biggest weekly decline in months against the euro, yen and franc. This comes after investors began selling in anticipation of a near 100 basis point interest rate cut in the United States expected next year.
By Friday, the dollar had fallen 1.6% from a week earlier, trading at $1.0854 against the euro, its steepest decline since mid-July. For the week, it fell 1.6% to CHF 0.8882, and against the yen it fell 0.6% to CHF 150.53.
Oil prices hit a four-month low on Thursday, and Walmart (NYSE:WMT) also announced price cuts, adding to deflationary pressures. This week's data showed U.S. consumer prices stabilizing, convincing investors that inflation is falling and the days of rising interest rates are over.
Weak US economic data released on Thursday also supported this view. Futures markets are currently pricing in a 98 basis point (bp) rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year, up from 73 basis points a week ago.
Peter Dragicevic, strategist at cross-border payment company Copay, comments on the situation. He said the degree of mitigation being considered looked positive, but the direction was correct. He added that the momentum of US inflation is changing and the negative effects of past monetary tightening are beginning to show.
With the Fed's next easing cycle looming, Dragicevic expects the US dollar to weaken gradually over the next few quarters as US yields fall and US growth recovers.
USD/CAD Daily Analysis - Pullback Before Major Bull Run!?USD/CAD bounced nicely off of 1.36300 for a nice 200+ pip run to the upside. We ended last week with a Daily Pin Bar Bear candle, and DXY (Dollar Index) was in a trading range. Where does that leave us for this week?
First, we're in a bull channel which means the probability of profit is in the bull's favor. I am looking for a long entry and have no interest in shorting the Daily chart at this time. Since our last candle was a bear pin bar, that may be an indication that we're entering a minor pullback and should wait until it concludes. The RSI is just above 50.00 and curling down, you may want another test at the 45.00 level before going up.
We also have established a minor trend line within the current bull channel with this last bounce. With a good bull signal bar in the 1.37000 area, I would consider entering a long with a stop loss just below the channel bottom and a take profit at the next Weekly previous high of 1.40000.
Key Points
1. Bull Channel, Always in Long
2. Last Candle was a bear Pin Bar
3. DXY in Trading Range
4. Look for at least a small pullback before longing.
5. RSI is just above 50.00, wait for a pullback
Until we see a minor pullback and bounce, I would wait to long and definitely not short unless it's on the lower timeframes (5m, 15m, 1hr).
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
Let us know what you think in the comment section below!
USDCAD is still continuing its upward momentumSpeaking on Tuesday, a number of hardline Fed members hinted that the economy may be weaker as a result of the tightening of financial conditions since July, which has seen a rise in 10-year Treasury yields of more than 100 basis points. However, it will take more time to determine if this effect is sustained.
"Inflation has decreased somewhat, but it is still too high," Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan stated at a Kansas City conference. The fundamental query, in my opinion, is whether the current fiscal constraints are stringent enough to quickly and sustainably raise inflation to 2%.
In a speech in St. Louis, Fed board of governors member Christopher Waller referred to the rate move as a “shock” to the bond market, while Michelle Bowman, another
USD/CAD Weekly Analysis - Bull Breakout to 1.40!USD/CAD has finally broken out of the bear channel/bull flag and closed near its high on the Weekly chart. Current price is at 1.38750 with a nice gap to fill at the bear channel high of 1.40000. This is an ideal Daily or Weekly scalp, placing your stop below the channel top of 1.37000 or the Weekly 9EMA. That creates a Risk/Reward Ratio of 2:1, which means your position size needs to be sized for your maximum loss for your account size. (Examples Below)
Key Points:
1. Weekly candle closing near its high
2. Weekly candle closed well above the Bear Channel
3. Gap between current price and channel high
4. RSI has room to move up
5. Scalp the gap between the current price and 1.40000
A weekly candle closing near its high after a breakout is a strong bull signal. The price has a gap to fill, and the RSI has room to move up. The RSI is a weak indicator on its own, but coupled with the other data points, it aids the conclusion. It's reasonable to scalp the gap on the Daily or Weekly charts. See the rationale below.
Trading Rationale
Let's say you have a $10,000 account and you apply the 2% rule of trading, where your maximum loss on any trade is 2% of your total account equity. In this case, $10,000 x 2% = $200. Therefore, a scalp on this chart should render a loss no greater than $200 and a reward of $100.
A scalp is justified in this case because our probability of success is likely higher than the general 40-60 rule, which states that the probability the market will move the same distance in either direction is between 40%-60%. In the 40%-60% scenarios, a 1:2 Risk Reward ratio means your probability of making money is positive.
When we have a strong breakout like USD/CAD, the probability of a continuation gets closer to 80%-90%. We can afford to extend our risk because the probability is so high. The simple math is if you ran this trade 10 times and hit your Take Profit on 8 of them (80%), you would win $800 and lose $400, a total profit of $400. Therefore, this is a reasonable trade.
As always, trade at your own risk, you are responsible for your trades. I hope this analysis was insightful and useful.
Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
USDCAD Buyers Are Strong? {26/10/2022}Educational Analysis says USDCAD may go long according to my technical.
This is not an entry signal. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
Why long?
Broker FXCM.
After Ranging on the daily timeframe, A 4-hour time frame Made a Recent Upward Impulse Move that broke recent resistance and went for a new high,
Long setup after eating stop loss from Short Sellers,
Because USDCAD fair value gaps are unfilled in a 4-hour time frame.
The last Analysis is jointly connected in this updated one.
So, trade is already on with RR is 1: 22.01
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS.
Happy Trading, Fxdollars.
USDCAD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDCAD MID-WEEK ANALYSIS UPDATE 08/10/2023Bullish USD/CAD Short-term Opportunity 📈
Recent USD strength suggests a potential short-term bullish opportunity for USD/CAD. Set risk parameters, and stay informed for a tactical trade. After the market breaking the previous structural low, watch for any bullish reversal patterns during the pullback. Good luck! 📈💼📊💹
OIL can also let this play out differently but the main target is still the same
USD/CAD 1HR Analysis - Remain Long With The New Weekly Support!USC/CAD may have established a new support with the Weekly resistance as shown in in my USD/CAD Weekly Analysis Idea from October 9th. We have several factors pointing to remaining long at this stage:
1. Currently in a Bull Channel
2. Weekly Resistance is starting to act like Support
3. We have a minor Bear Channel/Bull Flag on the hourly
4. Last weeks Weekly candle closed above the Weekly Resistance in a second attempt to break it
5. DXY is still above the 30EMA on the Daily Chart/9EMA on the Weekly
We should remain long in the short-term (Hourly Chart) and probably on the Daily/Weekly chart as well per my Weekly analysis. Long targets should be the previous Weekly Bear Channel Highs of 1.38600 and 1.39800 respectively. A long at this stage should have a protective Stop on the 1HR 200EMA with a first Take Profit at the top of the Hourly Bull Channel at 1.37500. From there, it's reasonable to hold some of your long position and add to it if we confirm a break above the channel to the next levels.
As always, trade at your own risk, you are responsible for your trades, and I hope this information was helpful.
Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Hello, my analysis of the USDCAD pair. The bullish channel Hello, my analysis of the USDCAD pair. The bullish channel has been broken. We are waiting for a retest of the 1.35319 area and the 1.35006 area. We have bought from these support levels. We are targeting the denominator 1.36464. Good luck to all.
USDCAD Detailed Analysis I 100 + Pip Move! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDCAD Analysis - Listen to video!
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USDCAD END-WEEK ANALYSIS-UPDATE 24/09/2023USDCAD Insight: Pursuing an Upside Path - Bridging Daily Imbalances
USDCAD, a market characterized by its inverse connection with EURUSD, is presenting an intriguing scenario. Our prior forecast of a potential recovery proved accurate, but in the dynamic world of forex, we're now positioning for the next phase.
Currently, I'm focused on the prospect of USDCAD continuing its upward trajectory to address the daily imbalance. Following a recent minor decline, we anticipate a significant upward move in tandem with DXY, under the condition that DXY maintains its price above 105.864. Join me as we navigate these forex dynamics. Stay tuned for the unfolding narrative! 📈📉 #USDCADInsight #ContinuationUpside #TradingView