USD/CAD Drop to 1.35000? This is An Optimal Short Setup!USD/CAD is forming a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern, potentially signaling the end of this bull channel. The price action has begun to stall and oscillate around the 1.37000 level and is now falling below the 200EMA. We are now faced with a reversal signal in a bull channel.
How do we trade this?
The probability of profit is greater longing in a bull channel because there are more bull bars than bear bars. We are faced with a potential reversal pattern, the head and shoulders, which negates our bias to long. Should we short?
If you're looking to swing trade, yes! Swing trading involves lower win rates because you're trading the reversal of a pattern. In other words, you bet against the trend, which means your probability of profit is low, but your reward is *much* higher as a result.
A decent short here would have been to enter around 1.38000. Since that price is behind us, I would short here and set a protective stop loss above the right shoulder at 1.38000, take profit with half your position just below the bull channel at 1.36000, and the rest just above the 200EMA at 1.35300. Once the first take profit is hit, move your stop up to the entry price or just above it to lock in profits.
Key Points
1. Bull Channel with a reversal pattern.
2. Potential Head and Shoulders Forming.
3. Gap down to 200EMA, reasonable profit target.
4. RSI has Room to Fall
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
Let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Usdcaddaily
USDCAD: The US dollar faces a weekly decline as inflation easesThe US dollar faces its biggest weekly decline in months against the euro, yen and franc. This comes after investors began selling in anticipation of a near 100 basis point interest rate cut in the United States expected next year.
By Friday, the dollar had fallen 1.6% from a week earlier, trading at $1.0854 against the euro, its steepest decline since mid-July. For the week, it fell 1.6% to CHF 0.8882, and against the yen it fell 0.6% to CHF 150.53.
Oil prices hit a four-month low on Thursday, and Walmart (NYSE:WMT) also announced price cuts, adding to deflationary pressures. This week's data showed U.S. consumer prices stabilizing, convincing investors that inflation is falling and the days of rising interest rates are over.
Weak US economic data released on Thursday also supported this view. Futures markets are currently pricing in a 98 basis point (bp) rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year, up from 73 basis points a week ago.
Peter Dragicevic, strategist at cross-border payment company Copay, comments on the situation. He said the degree of mitigation being considered looked positive, but the direction was correct. He added that the momentum of US inflation is changing and the negative effects of past monetary tightening are beginning to show.
With the Fed's next easing cycle looming, Dragicevic expects the US dollar to weaken gradually over the next few quarters as US yields fall and US growth recovers.
USDCAD is still continuing its upward momentumSpeaking on Tuesday, a number of hardline Fed members hinted that the economy may be weaker as a result of the tightening of financial conditions since July, which has seen a rise in 10-year Treasury yields of more than 100 basis points. However, it will take more time to determine if this effect is sustained.
"Inflation has decreased somewhat, but it is still too high," Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan stated at a Kansas City conference. The fundamental query, in my opinion, is whether the current fiscal constraints are stringent enough to quickly and sustainably raise inflation to 2%.
In a speech in St. Louis, Fed board of governors member Christopher Waller referred to the rate move as a “shock” to the bond market, while Michelle Bowman, another
USD/CAD Daily Analysis - Long at 1.36? Bull Channel ContinuesUSD/CAD has had a hard rejection at the top of the Daily Bull channel. Unfortunately, we did not close the gap between 1.39 and 1.40. Instead, we fall back down to the 1.36500 area and still have some room to fall. I would start longing around 1.36, look for entries on the 1hr or 4hr chart and hold a position until the top of the bull channel.
Key Points:
1. We're in a Bull Channel which means we have a better chance of profit longing.
2. Buy in the 1.36 area or lower.
3. Wait for a bull signal and confirmation bar closing on or near its high.
4. We still have a gap to fill up to 1.40. I would look for a long and hold at least some of your position to just under that level.
5. RSI has room to fall before a bounce. Use as a weak indicator supporting the first 4.
As always, trade at your own risk, you are responsible for your trades. I hope this analysis was insightful and useful.
Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
USDCAD: Amidst a slowdown in interest rate increases, US marketsU.S. stocks are on track to post their biggest weekly gain this year as investors express optimism that U.S. interest rate hikes will be halted. This also led to higher bond prices and a weaker dollar. The focus now shifts to the US jobs report, which will be released later today.
The Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates on hold on Wednesday, combined with Chairman Jerome Powell's assertion that risks to the interest rate outlook are balanced, led to a rise in bond yields. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell more than 20 basis points in two sessions.
USDCAD Long Term selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDCAD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDCAD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCAD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USDCAD Buyers Are Strong? {26/10/2022}Educational Analysis says USDCAD may go long according to my technical.
This is not an entry signal. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
Why long?
Broker FXCM.
After Ranging on the daily timeframe, A 4-hour time frame Made a Recent Upward Impulse Move that broke recent resistance and went for a new high,
Long setup after eating stop loss from Short Sellers,
Because USDCAD fair value gaps are unfilled in a 4-hour time frame.
The last Analysis is jointly connected in this updated one.
So, trade is already on with RR is 1: 22.01
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS.
Happy Trading, Fxdollars.
USDCAD MID-WEEK ANALYSIS UPDATE 08/10/2023Bullish USD/CAD Short-term Opportunity 📈
Recent USD strength suggests a potential short-term bullish opportunity for USD/CAD. Set risk parameters, and stay informed for a tactical trade. After the market breaking the previous structural low, watch for any bullish reversal patterns during the pullback. Good luck! 📈💼📊💹
OIL can also let this play out differently but the main target is still the same
USDJPY and USDCAD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/CAD Daily Chart Analysis - The Bulls Push for a Breakout!USD/CAD broke out of weekly resistance last Thursday with some solid strength, touching 1.37850. The price action fell back down to the Daily 30EMA at 1.35700 and bounced back to the resistance line at 1.37000, but failed to break out this time. USD/CAD fell back down to the Daily 9EMA and gave a slight bounce to the upside before the week closed.
The buy pressure is there, but are we going to break out?
What we need:
-We need a higher high on the Daily chart that closes above the Weekly Resistance at 1.37000
-Follow that breakout with a test of 1.37000 Support. A Daily close again, above 1.37000, will confirm the breakout.
What we have:
-A Bull Channel without a sign of a reversal.
-Strong Bull bar and bull run from September 29th.
-Weak reaction to the Weekly resistance.
-We are currently sitting on a minor support line. Look to the left on this chart and see the price action sitting on it.
-A third attempt to break out of this Weekly bear channel, which is now a bull flag.
-DXY is strong and just closed Weekly bull candle. More upside looks promising.
All that being said, a long at this very moment would be risky. We *need* confirmation of the breakout as described above before entering a long. Once we get that confirmation above 1.37000, a long to the upper side of the bull channel around 1.40000 is reasonable, taking profits along the way.
Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Hello, my analysis of the USDCAD pair. The bullish channel Hello, my analysis of the USDCAD pair. The bullish channel has been broken. We are waiting for a retest of the 1.35319 area and the 1.35006 area. We have bought from these support levels. We are targeting the denominator 1.36464. Good luck to all.
USDCAD Long Term selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDCAD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDCAD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCAD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USDCAD Analysis Today Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDCAD END-WEEK ANALYSIS-UPDATE 24/09/2023USDCAD Insight: Pursuing an Upside Path - Bridging Daily Imbalances
USDCAD, a market characterized by its inverse connection with EURUSD, is presenting an intriguing scenario. Our prior forecast of a potential recovery proved accurate, but in the dynamic world of forex, we're now positioning for the next phase.
Currently, I'm focused on the prospect of USDCAD continuing its upward trajectory to address the daily imbalance. Following a recent minor decline, we anticipate a significant upward move in tandem with DXY, under the condition that DXY maintains its price above 105.864. Join me as we navigate these forex dynamics. Stay tuned for the unfolding narrative! 📈📉 #USDCADInsight #ContinuationUpside #TradingView
USDCAD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDCAD: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: USDCAD
Pattern – LH Resistance Point
Support – 1.3441
Resistance – 1.3515
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's analysis. The USDCAD daily is today's focus, and it held up rather well after oil blasted higher yesterday. With the USD maintaining its run, this has kept things in check. Despite that, we still saw a failed high from buyers that have maintained a level of resistance.
Will we see sellers continue to push after yesterday's session? If they can, we will look to support as a point of short-term resistance. A new move higher by buyers is also part of the play due to the last rally. With a break above resistance with the USD and oil supporting, we will look towards longs. A hold by sellers, look more for moves back down to test support and or the main trendline.
Indicator-wise, the moving average continues to slope down, and the RSI has dipped below the 50 point. These favour sellers but are secondary to price.
Good trading.
USDCAD Long Term buying Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDCAD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDCAD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCAD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USDCAD BULLISH FEELINGHello traders ,
USDCAD looks to me in a pretty decisive situation , the price formed a double bottom on a bullish trendline.
the price broke the neckline and now its comming back to retest it.
also on the 1hour tf the price formed a double bottom broke and retested that necklin.
am very bullish biased on the pair and i believe its going to reach the top of the range.
the dollar is still very strong .
USDCAD 366 Pips selling opportunity❤️Dear Traders, hope all of you had a great weekend,
USDCAD approaching a high potential selling area where we can expect price to reverse for short period until DXY settle its market equilibrium. Once it is settled we will expect prices to be bullish for long period.
A strong rejection at our ‘golden line’ will indicate us, whether price will reverse or not.
USDCAD Long Term BUYING Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDCAD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDCAD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCAD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts