Usdcadforecast
UsdCad- False break under support?In my previous UsdCad analysis, I said that the pair could fall to 1.3250-1.33 zone support.
Indeed, the pair reached my target and even dropped under this horizontal support.
Now UsdCad is back to this zone, now resistance, and is interesting to see how it will act.
On one hand, UsdCad back above 1.33 would confirm a false break and the pair could resume its long-term up trend with a target at 1.3650, on the other hand, a reversal from this level would expose the recent low and even lead to a break of the ascending trend line.
USDCAD Daily Long Term Buying IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDCAD DAILY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDJPYD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCAD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This Chart is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USDCAD- 454 PIPS BUYING OPPORTUNITY❤️Dear Traders, we have a great buying opportunity on USDCAD; price breakthrough the consolidation phase and it gave us an direction to go BIG on this pair. Once price comes to our area and reject that will be the time to enter using an accurate risk management.
Follow for more❤️
USDCAD - Short active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for shorts. I expect bearish price action from here as we can see that price rejected from half of imbalance + 1H breaker block.
Fundamental analysis: Tomorrow we have news on CAD, will be released monthly GDP, which is forecasted to increase, this means strength in currency.
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USD/CAD breaks to a 9-month low, 1.3000 in focusCanadian consumers want to have their inflationary cake and eat it, with a hot retail sales report bolstering bets that the BOC could hike again at their next meeting in July. Whilst a hike is not yet a given, the BOC did deliver a hawkish hike earlier this month - and with consumers continuing to spend, it keeps the pressure on the BOC for further hikes.
Yet a weaker USD - seemingly on the back of Jerome Powell's testimony not being hawkish enough - helped USD/CAD break to a 9-month low.
The daily chart shows that is closed near the lows of the day after falling through a major zone of support. It's interesting to see the daily low found support at the September VPOC (point of control), so perhaps we'll see a minor bounce before losses resume in the direction of the breakout.
The bias remains bearish beneath 1.3270, but we'd prefer to seek bearish setups o lower timeframes beneath Tuesday's low to increase the potential reward to risk ratio
But if bears maintain their grip on USD/CAD, a break to new lows brings the 1.3000 handle into focus over the coming weeks.
USDCAD Long Term Buying IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDCAD DAILY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDJPYD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCAD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USDCAD TRADE IDEA : LONG (08/05/2023)Multiple breaks after reacting off of the point of interest below and purging liquidity USDCAD is pushing upside.
This trade has an RR of 9.95 - with 3 TPs: 1.33880, 1.35150 and final TP - with a probable RR of 15 - 1.35830.
This is just an idea - please use caution when entering. This is not financial advice.
USDCAD Long US jobs indicator signals early signs of stress, CAD rides positive momentum after BoC hike
Bearish momentum accelerates as CAD continues positive momentum – ‘death cross’ and major support will be tested
nitial jobless claims out of the US flashed another early warning signal regarding the otherwise robust job market. 261 thousand people were newly unemployed as of the week of 3 June and represented the second time in recent prints that the data point exceeded estimates. As a result, the dollar sold-off, seeing an extended move to the downside for USD/CAD
The pair now shows renewed downside momentum and has broken beneath the longer-term channel that has contained the majority of price action. In fact, the move now tests the long-term trendline support that has witnessed multiple tests, none of which were successful.
The ‘death cross’ - circled in orange – provides further indications of a bearish continuation from here. A daily and weekly candle close below the trendline would naturally have bears looking at 1.3230 as the next level of support with the level coinciding with the November 2022 swing low. Breakouts often retrace to retest support/resistance and so a true test of a potential bearish breakdown would be a successful test of the trendline which would effectively become resistance, and subsequent selling thereafter.
Should CAD momentum wane and the US dollar look to claw back lost ground, a hold of trendline support will be key. If the bearish momentum were to falter, 1.3503 would be the next level of interest with an invalidation of the bearish viewpoint around 1.3600 and 1.3650.
The weekly chart reveals the 61.8% and 50% Fibonacci retracements of the major 2020 to 2021 sell-off - roughly the zone that has been housing price action for the last quarter of 2022 and 2023 this far.
Canadian employment data may attract a few more eyes than normal given the uptick in US initial jobless claims yesterday – which caused a notable response in the dollar and highlights FX market’s sensitivity to incoming data.
Next week crucial US inflation data provides another opportunity for core inflation to finally move below the recent 5.5% - 5.7% multi-month range. A softer inflation print could see downward revisions in future rate expectations and may see the USD/CAD head even lower from here.
After the RBA and BoC surprised markets with hikes in June, could the Fed follow suit? In my opinion I think it would be a tough ask, given how vocal prominent members of the Fed have been about voting to forgo a hike next week with the possibility of a hike in July should the data necessitate one. The Fed will also release its quarterly summary of economic projections which ought to provide markets with a better idea of the economic outlook. US PPI will also factor into the inflation conversation but any surprises there will need to be factored into next month’s FOMC meeting.
Granted USD/CAD has been sideways for months, but conditions could be getting ripe for a trend. USD/CAD is testing vital converged support around 1.3220-1.3320, a break below which could clear the way for a drop initially toward the psychological 1.3000, potentially toward the August low of 1.2725.
Moreover, the IG Client Sentiment (IGCS) shows 70% of retail traders are net-long with the ratio of long to short at 2.3 to 1. The number of traders net-long is a whopping 74% higher from last week. RSI above 200.
Trend Bullish.
The Canadian dollar may have just received the boost to extend gains against some of its peers, thanks to the Bank of Canada’s (BOC) hike on Wednesday.
BOC hiked its overnight rate to a 22-year high of 4.75%, saying “concerns have increased that CPI inflation could get stuck materially above the 2% target.” The central bank, however, dropped the April language saying it “remains prepared to raise the policy rate further”, making it more data dependent. Markets are pricing in another rate hike in July, with the terminal rate seen at 5.15% by the end of the year.
USDCAD Potential ReversalIn my opinion, USDCAD appears to be showing signs of a potential reversal as it forms a falling wedge pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, with the current price finding support at a specific level. The falling wedge pattern typically indicates a bullish reversal, suggesting that the downward momentum may be weakening.
Considering this pattern and the support level, traders might consider a potential long position on USDCAD. However, it's important to manage risk effectively. Setting a stop loss at 1.3276 can help limit potential losses if the market moves against the anticipated reversal. Additionally, a take profit level of 1.3439 can be considered as a target to capture potential gains.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
USD/CAD Best level to buy + 270 PipsDear traders, USD/CAD is on a support level in the daily chart.
So far, the bears have not been able to break the support level.
So, if the level continues to hold, there is possibility of going long
in USDCAD@1.33-1.3320 with SL below the support level and
TPs at 1.3470,1.2550 and 1.3650 respectively .