Usdcadforecast
USD/CAD Drop to 1.35000? This is An Optimal Short Setup!USD/CAD is forming a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern, potentially signaling the end of this bull channel. The price action has begun to stall and oscillate around the 1.37000 level and is now falling below the 200EMA. We are now faced with a reversal signal in a bull channel.
How do we trade this?
The probability of profit is greater longing in a bull channel because there are more bull bars than bear bars. We are faced with a potential reversal pattern, the head and shoulders, which negates our bias to long. Should we short?
If you're looking to swing trade, yes! Swing trading involves lower win rates because you're trading the reversal of a pattern. In other words, you bet against the trend, which means your probability of profit is low, but your reward is *much* higher as a result.
A decent short here would have been to enter around 1.38000. Since that price is behind us, I would short here and set a protective stop loss above the right shoulder at 1.38000, take profit with half your position just below the bull channel at 1.36000, and the rest just above the 200EMA at 1.35300. Once the first take profit is hit, move your stop up to the entry price or just above it to lock in profits.
Key Points
1. Bull Channel with a reversal pattern.
2. Potential Head and Shoulders Forming.
3. Gap down to 200EMA, reasonable profit target.
4. RSI has Room to Fall
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
Let us know what you think in the comment section below!
USDCAD: The US dollar faces a weekly decline as inflation easesThe US dollar faces its biggest weekly decline in months against the euro, yen and franc. This comes after investors began selling in anticipation of a near 100 basis point interest rate cut in the United States expected next year.
By Friday, the dollar had fallen 1.6% from a week earlier, trading at $1.0854 against the euro, its steepest decline since mid-July. For the week, it fell 1.6% to CHF 0.8882, and against the yen it fell 0.6% to CHF 150.53.
Oil prices hit a four-month low on Thursday, and Walmart (NYSE:WMT) also announced price cuts, adding to deflationary pressures. This week's data showed U.S. consumer prices stabilizing, convincing investors that inflation is falling and the days of rising interest rates are over.
Weak US economic data released on Thursday also supported this view. Futures markets are currently pricing in a 98 basis point (bp) rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year, up from 73 basis points a week ago.
Peter Dragicevic, strategist at cross-border payment company Copay, comments on the situation. He said the degree of mitigation being considered looked positive, but the direction was correct. He added that the momentum of US inflation is changing and the negative effects of past monetary tightening are beginning to show.
With the Fed's next easing cycle looming, Dragicevic expects the US dollar to weaken gradually over the next few quarters as US yields fall and US growth recovers.
USDCADPair : USDCAD ( U.S Dollar / Canadian Dollar )
Description :
Rising Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of the Lower Trend Line and Completed the Retracement at Fibonacci Level - 78.60%. Completed Impulsive Waves " 12345 " and " AB " Corrective Wave
Entry Precautions :
Don't Enter Until it complete Correction
USD/CAD Daily Analysis - Pullback Before Major Bull Run!?USD/CAD bounced nicely off of 1.36300 for a nice 200+ pip run to the upside. We ended last week with a Daily Pin Bar Bear candle, and DXY (Dollar Index) was in a trading range. Where does that leave us for this week?
First, we're in a bull channel which means the probability of profit is in the bull's favor. I am looking for a long entry and have no interest in shorting the Daily chart at this time. Since our last candle was a bear pin bar, that may be an indication that we're entering a minor pullback and should wait until it concludes. The RSI is just above 50.00 and curling down, you may want another test at the 45.00 level before going up.
We also have established a minor trend line within the current bull channel with this last bounce. With a good bull signal bar in the 1.37000 area, I would consider entering a long with a stop loss just below the channel bottom and a take profit at the next Weekly previous high of 1.40000.
Key Points
1. Bull Channel, Always in Long
2. Last Candle was a bear Pin Bar
3. DXY in Trading Range
4. Look for at least a small pullback before longing.
5. RSI is just above 50.00, wait for a pullback
Until we see a minor pullback and bounce, I would wait to long and definitely not short unless it's on the lower timeframes (5m, 15m, 1hr).
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
Let us know what you think in the comment section below!
USDCAD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Bearish convergence.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Bearish hidden divergence.
H1 - Bearish trend pattern.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Bearish divergence.
Until the two strong resistance zones hold my short term view remains bearish here.
USDCAD is still continuing its upward momentumSpeaking on Tuesday, a number of hardline Fed members hinted that the economy may be weaker as a result of the tightening of financial conditions since July, which has seen a rise in 10-year Treasury yields of more than 100 basis points. However, it will take more time to determine if this effect is sustained.
"Inflation has decreased somewhat, but it is still too high," Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan stated at a Kansas City conference. The fundamental query, in my opinion, is whether the current fiscal constraints are stringent enough to quickly and sustainably raise inflation to 2%.
In a speech in St. Louis, Fed board of governors member Christopher Waller referred to the rate move as a “shock” to the bond market, while Michelle Bowman, another
USD/CAD reverses from channel top, probable sellDear traders, USD/CAD has slowed down after hitting the top
of the price channel on the daily chart.
If the channel resistance holds, we can expect USD/CAD to gradually
fall back to the bottom of the channel. So, selling the rallies in
USDCAD@1.3800-1.3840, SL : 1.39 and TP : 1.3570 is a probable sell trade.
USDCAD - Look for a long position ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for long. I want price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 1.37000.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow will be released Unemployment Rate in Canada, as well it will be NFP day in USA, so pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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USDCAD: Amidst a slowdown in interest rate increases, US marketsU.S. stocks are on track to post their biggest weekly gain this year as investors express optimism that U.S. interest rate hikes will be halted. This also led to higher bond prices and a weaker dollar. The focus now shifts to the US jobs report, which will be released later today.
The Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates on hold on Wednesday, combined with Chairman Jerome Powell's assertion that risks to the interest rate outlook are balanced, led to a rise in bond yields. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell more than 20 basis points in two sessions.
Short USDCAD, H1&H8, Swing Trading🚩 New Signal Notification
🔔Scalping(Intraday) & Swing (A couple of day) Strategy
Notification time: 2023/11/3 12:19:59
Symbol: USDCAD
Direction: Short
Price: Between White line and Red line OR
Sell Limit on Levels OR Indicator AI signal
Take profit: Yellow lines/ min.7 pips
Stop Loss: Red lines OR Indicator Thick MA
#SB AI signal #New strategy #USDCAD
USDCAD Long Term selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDCAD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDCAD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCAD market update)
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This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USDCAD 27/10 Pair : USDCAD ( U.S Dollar / Canadian Dollar )
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves at Daily Resistance Level. Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame and Rejection from the Upper Trend Line. We have CHoCH and Divergence in RSI
Entry Precaution :
Wait for the Proper Rejection or Breakout
USDCAD Buyers Are Strong? {26/10/2022}Educational Analysis says USDCAD may go long according to my technical.
This is not an entry signal. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
Why long?
Broker FXCM.
After Ranging on the daily timeframe, A 4-hour time frame Made a Recent Upward Impulse Move that broke recent resistance and went for a new high,
Long setup after eating stop loss from Short Sellers,
Because USDCAD fair value gaps are unfilled in a 4-hour time frame.
The last Analysis is jointly connected in this updated one.
So, trade is already on with RR is 1: 22.01
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS.
Happy Trading, Fxdollars.
USD/CAD 1HR Analysis - Are We About to Break to the Upside?USD/CAD had a fantastic bounce off of the bull channel bottom (1.36600) just below the 1HR 200EMA, leading to a 120 pip run to the top of the channel (1.37800). If you followed my last USD/CAD 1HR Analysis, this was the exact move I was after, which has now ended. Where do we go from here?
Key Points when considering a long:
1. We're at the top of a bull channel, very risky to long here as the probability of a breakout is statistically 10% and your stop loss should be at the bottom or below the channel. Not good Risk/Reward considering the probability, even with a small position.
2. The previous high resistance intersects perfectly with the top of the bull channel. Another indicator to wait on longing.
3. RSI is in overbought territory, a weak indicator, but supports the other data here.
4. The Weekly resistance may now be support. This previous bounce was rather convincing. We need to continue to see newer highs up to the high of the Weekly Bear channel at 1.40000. (See my USD/CAD Weekly analysis). The weekly support is 100 pips below us, best to wait until we get closer.
5. If you're long, take some profits, and wait for another entry toward the mid-range of the bull channel. Wait for a bull signal bar and confirmation bar that closes on or near its high. Preferably off of the 1HR 30EMA or 200EMA.
What about a short here?
I think a short on the 5-minute or 15-minute chart at this level can be reasonable. However, the macro trend is bullish, I would argue position size should be lower than your maximum, and your stop loss be placed just above the channel top. Shorting to the 1HR 30EMA or 200EMA is risky, but with the right trade management, it could render some profits. I argue to remain long and wait for that long entry, there is probably more upside than downside at this stage of the game since we've broken out of the Weekly bear channel.
As always, trade at your own risk, you are responsible for your trades. I hope this analysis was insightful and useful.
Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
USDCAD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.