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Usdcadidea

USD/CAD Reacts to CPI, Debt Ceiling Woes Two big events affecting the USD/CAD pair include the CPI reading from Canada yesterday as well as the ongoing debt ceiling crisis in the US. In April, the monthly Canadian headline CPI surged by 0.7%, resulting in an annual rate of 4.4% compared to the previous 4.3%. This increase exceeded the consensus estimates by three-tenths of a percent in both instances. Consequently, the USD/CAD experienced a 0.4% decrease, reaching 1.3404, before rebounding to a high of 1.3535 USD/CAD has now also breached its 200-day simple moving average on the downside, closing below it to reinforce the bearish signal. Strengthening this assertion is that the Bank of Canada had recently put a halt to its tightening campaign, having raised interest rates by 425 basis points since March 2022. However, they indicated that this pause was dependent on the inflation outlook aligning with the forecasted trajectory. It is unlikely that this week's CPI data meets this requirement. Offsetting the positive news for the Canadian dollar is the prevailing optimism in the United States regarding the government's ability to avoid defaulting on its debt. Following emergency discussions at the White House, President Joe Biden and Republican leaders cautiously expressed hope for a potential agreement to raise the US debt ceiling. The agreement must be reached and approved by both houses of Congress before the federal government exhausts its funds to cover expenses, which could occur as soon as June 1 (only two weeks away). Despite House of Representatives Speaker Kevin McCarthy stating that the two parties remain considerably apart, he believes that a deal could be achieved by the end of the current week.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDCAD - Inflation cooling ?Hello Traders, Hope everyone is having a great April, our views on #usdcad are simply as per the chart. Should price remain above 1.33500, could see buys continue to 1.35000 price handle. Risk to reward 1:2.2 Chart indicators show points of interest / control PML = Prior Monthly Low and vice versa for PMH PWL = Prior Weekly Low and vice verse for PWH Let's see how this week finishes! Supporting Economic news : Canada’s annual inflation rate fell in March, according to a recent report by Statistics Canada. The rate dropped from 5.2% in February to 4.3% last month, with the decrease attributable to higher mortgage interest costs being offset by lower energy prices. Gold prices hovered around key levels in Asian trade on Wednesday as markets awaited more cues on U.S. monetary policy from a string of upcoming Federal Reserve speakers and reports. The yellow metal retook the HKEX:2 ,000 level on Tuesday as the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields cooled after a recent recovery rally. But further gains were held back by growing uncertainty over the path of U.S. interest rates, with recent hawkish signals from Fed speakers having spooked markets. Crude oil inventories Initial jobless claims CAD Core Retail Sales Could so mean possible downside in the #crypto market? As always, only trade what you can afford to lose. Trading Path
Long
by EvaultFinancialGroup