Scenario on USDCAD 13.2.2025USDCAD and for this market, I have several alternatives as to how it could probably take place, so first I would look at the long where we have the first sfp below the low at the price level of 1.424 and then there is the last sfp for me if this does not last, then we go to lower values, the value is 1.41850 short in this market I would take the value of 1.43810 where there is resistance and then I have 2 more interesting levels for reaction the last one is for me the monthly level at the value of 1.45792, if we overcome this level, it is quite likely that we will look higher.
Usdcadlong
USDCAD Long BaisUS Dollar against Canadian Dollar
The USD/CAD pair is currently on a structural support line that has historically demonstrated its ability to hold the pair. Based on this observation, it is reasonable to anticipate that the pair may respect this support level and potentially reverse to the upside, presenting a possible opportunity to enter a long position.
I would be interested in hearing your perspective on the future price action of this pair. As always, it is important to consider conducting further analysis and implementing appropriate risk management strategies before making any trading decisions.
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Market Bullish Heist PlanDear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (1.45100) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 1.48000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook:
🟣 Fundamental and Macroeconomic Analysis
US Dollar (USD):
The USD remains strong due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance. The Fed has signaled potential rate hikes or prolonged higher rates to combat inflation, which supports the USD.
Recent US economic data (e.g., strong labor market, resilient GDP growth) reinforces the Fed's tightening bias.
Upcoming US CPI and PPI data will be critical. Higher-than-expected inflation could further boost the USD.
Canadian Dollar (CAD):
The CAD is influenced by oil prices (Canada is a major oil exporter). Crude oil prices have been volatile due to geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ production cuts, but recent stabilization around
80−85/barrel provides some support.
The Bank of Canada (BoC) has paused rate hikes, citing slowing inflation and economic growth. This dovish stance weakens the CAD relative to the USD.
Canada’s upcoming employment and GDP data will be key. Weakness in these metrics could further weigh on the CAD.
Key Drivers:
Interest Rate Differential: The Fed’s hawkishness vs. the BoC’s dovishness favors USD strength.
Oil Prices: A sustained rise in oil prices could support the CAD, but current levels are not enough to offset USD strength.
Economic Data: Strong US data vs. weaker Canadian data could widen the USD/CAD upside.
🟢 Commitments of Traders (COT) Report
The latest COT data shows:
Commercial Traders (Hedgers): Increasing long positions in the CAD, suggesting they expect some CAD strength or USD weakness in the medium term.
Non-Commercial Traders (Speculators): Net long on USD, reflecting bullish sentiment toward the USD.
Retail Positioning: Retail traders are heavily short on USD/CAD, which often acts as a contrarian indicator, suggesting further upside potential for USD/CAD.
🔵 Market Sentiment and Positioning
Sentiment:
The market is broadly bullish on the USD due to the Fed’s stance and strong US economic data.
The CAD is viewed as vulnerable due to the BoC’s pause and reliance on oil prices, which are not currently providing enough support.
🟤 Positioning:
Institutional investors are net long USD/CAD, aligning with the fundamental outlook.
Retail traders are net short, which could lead to a squeeze higher if the USD continues to strengthen.
🔴 Market Sentiment and Positioning:
COT Data:
Non-commercial traders (speculators) are net long on USD, reflecting bullish sentiment.
Retail traders are net short on USD/CAD, which often acts as a contrarian indicator (bullish for USD/CAD).
Institutional Positioning:
Institutional investors are net long USD/CAD, aligning with the fundamental outlook.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤗
USDCAD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
1.39318 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI support #1 at 47 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 1.34185 on 09/25/2024, so more gains to resistance(s) 1.44670, 1.46000, 1.46900 and more heights is expected.
Supports and Resistances:
1.46900
1.46000
1.38884
1.38168
1.37487
1.36876
1.36072
1.35404
1.34323
1.33664
1.31816
1.30929
__________________________________________
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ForecastCity Support Team
USDCAD at a crucial support.USDCAD - Intraday
The selloff has posted an exhaustion count on the intraday chart.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 1.4350 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 1.4425.
We look to Buy at 1.4300 (stop at 1.4260)
Our profit targets will be 1.4400 and 1.4425
Resistance: 1.4350 / 1.4400 / 1.4425
Support: 1.4300 / 1.4275 / 1.4250
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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USDCAD Could move 1,064pips up the next month.The reasons why I strongly believe this move will happen are the following:
According to the CFTC non-commercials are shorting CAD.
Non-commercials have 20,388 positions long and 68,914 positions shorts. This means that they are selling more CAD than they actually buying it. According to this info we could expect a move to the upside.
From a monthly perspective there is plenty of buy side liquidity in USDCAD.
If you look at the chart you will see two blue circles and a dollar bill between them . Those highs have not been liquidated yet. The price is aggressively chasing those highs. According to the explanation provided the price is extremely bullish because is moving to a strong liquidity area.
From monthly perspective the price already liquidates sell side liquidity.
If look at the chart you will see a yellow circle . The yellow circle represents the sell side liquidity that was liquidated by the price.
The price has bullish structure.
The price is making higher highs will doing so liquidating sell side liquidity.
There is a lot of optimists about the dollar getting stronger in the near future.
DXY has bullish structure.
The DXY is currently making a retracement. It is currently at 50%. We could assume that is very close to be ready because it took sell side liquidity as well.
In other words, the CAD is getting weaker and the USD stronger.
USD/CAD Full Analysis , Best Place To Sell&Buy To Get 250 Pips !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USDCAD Possible LongW1 : Bullish
D1 : Bullish
4H : Bullish Market Structure
1H : Currently Bearish
Narrative : Price is currently Coming out of weekly IMB by sweeping Previously weekly low > We had a Daily IMB in the way that got violated by 4H PA and retracing back to the 4H OB after tapping into 4H Area of struggle > 1H is currently Bearish
Entry Pattern : Currently Hourly Price action is bearish retracing back to 4H OB, after coming inside the OB we can look for some sort bullish sign to enter long position. First context target can be simply 1:2RR / Weak High. Eventually Price can attack Realtive Equal Highs on Top since there are no AOS upside.
Recency Bias: Your Brain’s Worst Trade Idea Ever!Let’s face it: your brain is out to sabotage your trading, and recency bias is its weapon of choice. This sneaky psychological gremlin convinces you that your last few trades—good or bad—are all that matter. But spoiler alert: they’re not.
🎲 What is Recency Bias?
Recency bias is your brain’s tendency to overvalue recent events and ignore the bigger picture. Three wins in a row? You’re invincible, right? WRONG. Three losses? Time to ditch your strategy? ALSO WRONG. The market doesn’t care about your streak—it plays the long game, and so should you.
💀 How It Destroys You
1️⃣ Winning Streak Confidence: After a few wins, you start upping your risk like you’re Warren Buffet. Then BAM—one loss wipes you out.
2️⃣ Losing Streak Paralysis: A few losses, and suddenly you’re too scared to pull the trigger, even on solid setups.
3️⃣ Revenge Trading: The currency pair that burned you? Oh, you’ll “get it back,” right? Nope. You’ll just lose more.
🛡️ How to Beat It
1️⃣ Reset Daily: Clear your head before every session. Meditate, walk, scream into a pillow—whatever works.
2️⃣ Stick to Your Plan: Your strategy works because it’s tested, not because your emotions say so.
3️⃣ Journal Everything: Spot your patterns before they wreck you.
4️⃣ Manage Risk: Winning or losing streaks shouldn’t change your position size. Period.
5️⃣ Check Your Ego: The market isn’t out to get you. It doesn’t even know you exist.
🧠 Final Words
Recency bias is a sneaky little troll, but with self-awareness and discipline, you can shut it down. Remember: your last trade doesn’t define you—your consistency does.
Now stop letting your brain gaslight you and go trade like the pro you were meant to be. 🚀
USDCAD Scenario 1.1.2025In this market, I only see that if we maintain the monthly level around the price level of 1.43 and if the price wants to head towards this level, we will watch the sfp below the low and there a possible entry into long at the price where the next monthly level is located at the price of 1.45800.
USDCAD - accumulating orders .. early Jan 2025Since late Sep, this pair has been moving strongly to the up side. Most of the retracements have been weak and shallow. But for the past 10 days, we have been witnessing a more persistent consolidation. Let us study the chart on the H4 time frame too:
Note that there was 1 single H4 strongly bullish candle and since then more than 45 candles have been unable to break the high or low of that mother candle. These are commonly known as 'inside bars' or candles.
Obviously, at some point a breakout will happen. Since the preceding trend was bullish, a break out to the upside is more likely. However, that cannot be taken for granted. I would suggest that this chart be monitored on the H4 time frame and traded in the direction that PA indicates.
At this time, my own bias is bullish, so if I start seeing more strength and momentum with the bulls, I will consider taking a test long trade (50% position size) either at the bottom of the range or if price bounces up from the 20ema. Additional position(s) can be added if PA dictates. We do have room at least to 1.4510 before we see some resistance.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
USD/CAD Bull Flag: Is 1.4500 the Next Stop?The USD/CAD 6-hour chart shows a bull flag pattern, a continuation setup that typically signals the resumption of the prior bullish trend.
Following a strong upward rally, the price has consolidated in a downward-sloping channel, characteristic of a bull flag.
A breakout above the resistance (~1.4410) would confirm the pattern, potentially driving the price higher toward the next target of 1.4500 or beyond.
USDCAD Analysis: Bullish MomentumThe USDCAD pair has been extremely bullish lately, which is why it caught my attention. We can see multiple breaks to the upside, indicating a strong trend. Despite expecting a potential pullback in the near term, the overall trend remains very strong. This is why I have entered a position on the 1-hour timeframe.
Using the WiseOwl Indicator, we can see that it has been capitalizing on the trend with previous wins of +3.96RR, +7RR, and +5.42RR. Currently, we are in a risk-free trade with the stop loss set at breakeven (BE).
The EMAs (20, 50, 100, 200) are all aligned to support the bullish trend. Let's see how this plays out! 💪
USDCAD - Long after filling the imbalances !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is if price fills the imbalance lower and then rejects from bullish OB.
Fundamental news: On Tuesday (GMT+2) we will see results of CPI on CAD and on Wednesday Interest Rate on USD, followed by FOMC Conference.
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USDCAD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisUSDCAD is moving UP
The chart broke through the dynamic resistance, which now acts as support.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
Flag It or Miss It...ChatGPT
🚩 Flags Don’t Lie 🚩
🔥 Traders, here’s the deal: The market loves patterns, and this chart is waving more flags than the Olympics. Bullish, bearish, they’re all here—clear as day if you know where to look. Let me break it down George-style:
1️⃣ The Bullish Flags:
See those upward rockets followed by tiny breathers? That’s the market catching its breath before sprinting again. Every breakout screams, “Get on or get left behind.” Smart traders saw these setups and printed their wins. Did you?
2️⃣ The Bearish Flags:
Now for the nosedives. The market didn’t just fall; it crashed, paused, and said, “Hang on, let me make it even worse.” Those bear flags aren’t just patterns—they’re market whispers, saying, “The pain’s not over yet.”
3️⃣ The Current Breakout:
This isn’t just any breakout; this is the market screaming, “Up, up, and away!” That bullish flag just snapped, and if you’re not riding this move, you’re watching history from the sidelines.
⚠️ Lesson? Flags are your friends, but only if you know how to read them. They’re the market’s way of leaving breadcrumbs for the pros and traps for the tourists.
💡 Stop guessing. Start seeing. Because while you’re overthinking, someone else is cashing in.
🎯 Ready to master these setups? Join the ‘Road to a Million’ and stop trading like a tourist. Snipers only. Link in bio.
P.S.: Next time you see a flag, ask yourself: Am I waving it or winning with it? 💥