Usdcadlong
USDCAD BUY TREND 04/07/2024It's been a while...
Based on a detailed analysis of the 1M chart, we anticipate that the USDCAD pair will experience an upward movement. Although this analysis is derived from the 1M chart, the idea is published on the 15M chart for clarity and presentation purposes.
Key Points:
Trend Direction: Upward movement expected
Risk Management: Exercise caution as the pair may experience temporary declines, presenting additional buying opportunities
Timeframe: Expect changes within the next week
Take Profit (TP): A TP line has been established. Regular updates will be provided to indicate optimal points for closing all trades
Alerts: Set alerts to receive timely notifications on when to close trades, ensuring you maximize your gains and manage risk effectively
We will continuously update this idea with crucial information on when to close positions. Make sure to stay tuned and adjust your strategy accordingly.
Wishing everyone a happy and prosperous 4th of July!
USDCAD Trade Ideas 8HThe price is currently trading above the 50-period moving average, suggesting short-term bullish momentum.
The recent crossover of the 50-period moving average above the 200-period moving average (often referred to as a golden cross) could indicate a potential shift to a more sustained bullish trend.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price continues to move upward, the first target will be the lower bearish rejection block (1.3760 - 1.3780). A successful break above this level could see the price testing the higher bearish rejection block (1.3800 - 1.3840).
Continued bullish momentum past these rejection blocks could indicate a strong trend reversal.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to break through the first bearish rejection block, we could see a pullback towards the major support zone (1.3560 - 1.3620).
A breakdown below this support zone would indicate a potential continuation of the broader downtrend.
Conclusion:
The bearish rejection blocks highlight significant resistance areas where the price may face selling pressure. The major support zone is a crucial level that has held firm in recent attempts. Monitoring price action around these levels will be key to understanding the next major move in the USD/CAD pair.
Fundamental Analysis:
1. Economic Indicators
United States: Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates can heavily influence the USD. Any hints of rate hikes or cuts can impact USD strength.
Economic Data: Key indicators such as GDP growth, employment reports, and inflation figures (CPI and PPI) provide insight into the health of the US economy. Strong data typically supports the USD.
Canada: Interest Rates: The Bank of Canada’s (BoC) monetary policy decisions affect the CAD. Like the Fed, any change in the interest rate can drive the CAD’s value.
Oil Prices: Canada is a major oil exporter, so fluctuations in crude oil prices directly impact the CAD. Higher oil prices generally strengthen the CAD, while lower prices weaken it.
2. Trade Relations:
USMCA Agreement: Trade relations under the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement can influence the USD/CAD pair. Smooth trade relations support economic stability, benefiting both currencies.
3. Global Economic Conditions:
Risk Sentiment: Global risk sentiment affects USD/CAD. In times of economic uncertainty, the USD tends to strengthen due to its safe-haven status, while the CAD may weaken.
Global Growth: General trends in global economic growth can influence demand for commodities, impacting the CAD.
4. Political Factors:
US Political Climate: Political stability or instability in the US, including fiscal policies, government spending, and trade policies, can impact the USD.
Canadian Politics: Political events in Canada, such as elections or policy changes, can influence investor confidence and the CAD.
5. Inflation Rates:
US Inflation: Higher inflation may prompt the Fed to raise interest rates, supporting the USD.
Canadian Inflation: Similar to the US, higher inflation in Canada may lead the BoC to hike rates, strengthening the CAD.
6. Employment Data:
US Non-Farm Payrolls: A key indicator of economic health in the US. Strong employment data typically boosts the USD.
Canadian Employment Reports: Employment changes in Canada provide insight into economic strength and can impact the CAD.
What do you think? Let me know in the comments
USDCADKey Levels
1. OB (Order Block) Zone:
-Lower Bound: Approximately 1.35980
-Upper Bound: Approximately 1.36500
2. BOB (Breakout Block) Zone:
-Lower Bound: Approximately 1.38000
-Upper Bound: Approximately 1.38100
Current Price:
-The current price is around 1.36684.
Observations:
1. Order Block (OB) Zone:
-This zone represents a strong demand area where buyers previously showed significant interest.
-The price is currently close to this OB zone, indicating potential support.
2. Breakout Block (BOB) Zone:
-This zone represents a strong resistance area where sellers have previously shown significant interest.
-If the price reaches this zone, it may face selling pressure.
3. Potential Price Action:
-The chart shows a potential bullish move from the OB zone towards the BOB zone.
-If the price holds above the OB zone, it may indicate strong buying interest, leading to a potential rally towards the BOB zone.
-The curved arrow suggests a possible bullish trajectory from the current level, passing through the OB zone, and heading towards the BOB zone around 1.38100.
Conclusion:
• Bullish Scenario:
-If the price holds above the OB zone (1.35980 - 1.36500), we can expect a bullish move towards the BOB zone (1.38000 - 1.38100).
-The price may face resistance around 1.38000 - 1.38100, where sellers might step in.
• Bearish Scenario:
-If the price falls below the OB zone (1.35980), it could indicate a bearish continuation, and further downside can be expected.
Trading Strategy:
• Entry Point: Consider entering a long position near the OB zone (1.35980 - 1.36500) if there are signs of bullish reversal.
• Target: Aim for the BOB zone (1.38000 - 1.38100) as the target.
• Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the OB zone (around 1.35980) to manage risk.
Bullish USD/CAD will reach 1.38(7/02/2024)It seems the Bulls are handling USD/CAD.
USD yield is hitting currencies with lower yields. Of course, CAD has nothing to present much versus USD.
Also, the price makes higher highs and higher lows, moving in a 5-wave impulse.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
USDCAD should find strong support hereIdea No : 18
13 out of last 17 ideas were successful and 4 still running, let's move on to 18th
although we have seen highs in DXY, this pair is somewhat on the backfoot and ranging
currently it is testing some key medium term trendlines and we expect to find support here and move upwards towards our green arrow
let's see...
USDCAD BULLISH IDEA. 100 PIPSAt first glance, USDCAD might seem to be moving sideways on the highest time frame. However, a closer look at lower time frames—daily, H4, H1, and 15 minutes—reveals a different story. The pair has been consistently forming bullish patterns and breaking previous highs. This suggests a strong possibility that USDCAD is gearing up to target 1.39000. It’s only a matter of time before another bullish flag emerges, presenting great buy opportunities. Let’s watch closely and see how the action unfolds!
USDCAD Signals: Bullish Breakout Above 1.3000USDCAD – technical overview
Above 1.3000 signals an end to a period of longer-term bearish consolidation and suggests the market is in the process of carving out a more significant longer-term base. Next key resistance now comes in up into the 1.4000 area. Setbacks should be very well supported down into the 1.3000 area.
R2 1.3847 – 16 April/2024 high – Strong
R1 1.3792 – 11 June high – Medium
S1 1.3662 – 7 June low – Medium
S2 1.3586 – 10 May low – Strong
USDCAD – fundamental overview
The Canadian Dollar is coming out of a rare session in which it outperformed its peer group. Canada housing data was behind the relative strength after May housing starts accelerated at the fastest pace since September 2023. Key standouts on Tuesday’s calendar come from Eurozone and German sentiment reads, Eurozone CPI, US retail sales, US industrial production, and Fed speak.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
USDCAD to continue in the upward move?USDCAD - 24h expiry
The current move higher is expected to continue.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Short term RSI is moving higher.
A move through 1.3750 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 1.3780.
We look to Buy at 1.3725 (stop at 1.3700)
Our profit targets will be 1.3790 and 1.3810
Resistance: 1.3750 / 1.3775 / 1.3780
Support: 1.3725 / 1.3700 / 1.3675
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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Elliott Wave Analysis: Anticipating an Upward move in USDCADHello Traders,
Trust you are great.
Below is my Elliott wave analysis of USDCAD currency pair
Analysis:
The structure of the USDCAD currency pair suggests the formation of an irregular Flat corrective pattern. The initial Wave A has taken the form of a leading diagonal, moving downward.
Current State:
Wave B appears to have completed its formation. The next expected movement is the formation of Wave C.
Expectation:
An impulsive Wave C is anticipated to move upward towards the 1.37445 - 1.38147 region before a subsequent decline.
Invalidation level for the upside projection: 1.3605.
Cheers!
Preferforex Analysis on USDCADUSDCAD is currently in an uptrend based on both the daily and 4-hour views. The short-term break of the structure occurred at the 1.3745 level. Currently, the price is retracing downwards and heading towards a strong point of interest (POI)/demand zone. A further bullish movement is expected once the price touches and reacts from this demand zone.
USDCAD Monthly IdeaUSD/CAD is poised for a breakout! Based on technical analysis, we're looking at a potential surge from the current 1.37660 all the way up to 1.52000 This could be a significant move, so keep your eyes peeled on the charts.
Do your own due diligence and factor in any upcoming economic news that might shake things up. As always, trade safe!
USD/CAD Correction before next upward rally(6/8/2024)USD/CAD FX:USDCAD has been trapped into a curve, we can see few back and forth movements since last month. Since the NFP data was quite good, we believe the price will move another wave upward after some corrections.
If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing.
Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
USDCAD - Awaiting Breakout Amid Key Economic Data ReleasesThe USDCAD pair is currently forming a wedge-type pattern, indicating a period of consolidation that typically precedes a significant price movement. The forthcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data releases will be critical in determining the direction of the breakout.
---------------------Key Levels:--------------------------------
Strong Support: 1.36000
Medium Resistance: 1.37500
Strong Resistance: 1.38500
Current Market Sentiment:
At this juncture, we maintain a neutral bias on USDCAD, given the potential for either bullish or bearish developments contingent on upcoming economic data.
________________Technical Indicators:__________________
Support and Resistance Analysis: The pair is testing critical support at 1.36000. A break below this level could signal a bearish trend, targeting lower levels as the market reassesses USD strength.
Wedge Pattern Formation: The wedge pattern suggests an imminent breakout, though the direction remains uncertain pending economic data.
Volume Analysis: Observing volume spikes during the breakout will be essential to confirm the direction of the trend.
_____________________Potential Scenarios__________________
Bullish Scenario:
Trigger: A breakout above the medium resistance at 1.37500.
Implication: If USDCAD breaks and sustains above 1.37500, it could pave the way for a continuation towards the strong resistance at 1.38500.
Target: 1.38500 and potentially higher if bullish momentum persists.
Action: Monitor for buy signals upon confirmation of the breakout with increased volume.
Bearish Scenario:
Trigger: A breakdown below the strong support at 1.36000.
Implication: A decisive move below 1.36000 would likely initiate a bearish trend, with the potential for accelerated selling pressure.
Target: Lower levels, possibly revisiting the next significant support zones around 1.35000 and 1.34000.
Action: Consider sell signals if the price breaks below 1.36000, ensuring confirmation through sustained lower price action and volume.
Conclusion:
USDCAD is poised at a critical juncture within a wedge-type pattern. The upcoming NFP and CPI data releases are expected to provide the necessary catalyst for a breakout. Traders should remain vigilant and ready to react to a confirmed breakout above 1.37500 for a bullish trend or below 1.36000 for a bearish trend.
Recommendation: Maintain a neutral stance until the price action dictates a clear direction. Utilize stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively and be prepared to adjust positions based on the market response to the upcoming economic data.
Disclaimer: This report is based on current market conditions and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a professional before making trading decisions.
USD/CAD looks set to break higherPrice action may be choppy on the daily timeframe, but it remains in an uptrend none the less. Price action since the April high appears to be corrective, and support was found around a prior VAH (value area high) and 1.36 handle.
The 1-hour chart shows strong bullish momentum from 1.36, and prices are now consolidating within a potential bull flag. The pattern projects an upside target around 1.3745, and the lows of the consolidation are holding above the weekly/monthly pivot and 10-day EMA.
The bias is for prices to rise to at least 1.37 near the weekly R1 pivot and 1-day implied volatility band.
#USDCAD: 550+ Pips Buying Opportunity! Do not miss out! FX:USDCAD
Price has started rebound from the area that we had previously had anticipated. However, we will now wait for price to breakthrough the inducement. The news on Thursday and NFP on Friday will be crucial for future of the pair.
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Team Setupsfx_
USDCAD tm:1hHello traders.
I hope you doing well.
These areas are based on my personal strategy and I will share it with you.
Open a sell position on the supply area or open a buy position on the demand area.
Your entry point, stop loss, and target point are based on money management and the amount of money in your trading account.
But I promise you that by trading in the areas of my trading strategy, you will definitely make a profit, because these areas, although they seem simple, are my experience of 8 years of learning and trading.
I hope you will achieve maximum continuous profit with me by using supply and demand areas.
Good luck traders.
Mohammad Goodarzi
USDCAD | Hidden Bullish Divergence | AB=CDThe USDCAD chart has currently formed a Harmonic AB=CD Pattern, which indicates a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). Additionally, there is a Hidden Bullish Divergence on the 1-hour time frame, suggesting that the current downtrend is about to shift into an uptrend. Furthermore, the price has mitigated the Order Block (OB) and is now moving upwards. These confirmations indicate a short-term bullish momentum, although the overall structure on the higher time frame remains bearish.
In summary:
1: Harmonic AB=CD Pattern: This pattern suggests a potential reversal zone (PRZ).
2: Hidden Bullish Divergence: Observed on the 1-hour time frame, this indicates a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend.
3: Order Block (OB): The price has mitigated the OB and is moving upwards, supporting the short-term bullish momentum.
4: Higher Time Frame Structure: Despite the short-term bullish signals, the overall structure on higher time frames remains bearish.
It's important to consider these factors together and conduct thorough analysis before making any trading decisions.
Long setup H4 uptrend swing trade👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an ICT Long setup in USDCAD for scalping.
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Buy Zone),open for take profit.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
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USDCAD Trading plan - 25/may/2024Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect USDCAD to go Up correctively.
Look for your BUY setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.