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USDCAD: The influence of USDThe BoC takes a more dovish path The Bank of Canada flagged areas sensitive to rising interest rates like the housing sector. The BoC noted that housing activity has fallen sharply and household spending is falling. Furthermore, in the released statement prior to the Q&A BoC’s Macklem stated that the tightening phase will draw to a close, ‘but not there yet’. He added that they expect growth to fall in the next few quarters. As a balance to this statement, the BoC still stated that policy interest rates will need to rise further to counter elevated inflation. The Council also repeated that the bank’s preferred measure of inflation (core) is not showing meaningful signs of price pressure easing. So, this means the BoC is starting to start thinking about slowing the path of rates. This is a more dovish stance from the BoC and should allow the CAD to weaken somewhat over the medium term. After the rate statement, Governor Macklem highlighted that he expected a ‘significant slowing of the economy to occur’.
Long
by Jiren-SphynChannels
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USDCAD: US Dollar's position as the primary global reserve curreThe Return of the Sellers Over the past two decades, the US Dollar's market share has declined from 71 percent to 59 percent, and it may continue to reduce further in the future. This has a negative impact on the United States since global currency usage is a zero-sum game. When other currencies like Yuan, real, or Rupee are used in global trade, the US Dollar is left out. If other currencies gain more prominence, it may compromise America's dominance in the global market.
Short
by Jiren-SphynChannels
USDCAD: Nice entry for Buy-er!Fundamental Overview If the Federal Reserve meeting were held today, it is likely that they would maintain the current interest rates due to the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the banking sector. However, it's important to note that market conditions can change rapidly. If the upcoming weekend remains stable without any urgent need to rescue failing banks, there is a good chance of a 25 basis points rate hike. The Federal Reserve tends to increase rates until economic instabilities arise. In the case of only SVB, persistently high inflation could trigger further rate hikes. This would result in a stronger US Dollar, which could eventually lead to a decline in stock markets once the relief rally surrounding no new bank failures subsides. Plan trade in the intro
Long
by Sphyn-Trader