Usdcadshort
Short I opened a short position based on the following reasons:
1) Daily candle on the 13th Feb decisively broke and closed below the support line around 1.430 zone and created fair value gap.
2) The price retraced to the FVG area and closed below the area this morning (I am looking at 4H and 1H for this).
3) Both MACD and RSI in Daily and 4H are in the bear zone.
4) 4h MACD has just crossed in the bear zone and is moving to the downside.
5) 4H MACD is also showing hidden divergence which indicates the continuation of the down trend.
6) 4H EMA is below EMA 200 and the candle closed below EMA 21.
Entry price 1.4190
Stop Loss: 1.43 (just above EMA 200 in 4H. It is a general stop and I will move it soon if the price moves to the downside)
Profit target: 1.3975 (I might manually close it if the price struggles to go below 1.4000)
Risk: Reward is 1:1.65
USDCAD in a corrective channel to continue in the downward move?USDCAD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
A higher correction is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 1.4175 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 1.4125.
We look to Sell at 1.4235 (stop at 1.4285)
Our profit targets will be 1.4135 and 1.4125
Resistance: 1.4200 / 1.4235 / 1.4250
Support: 1.4150 / 1.4135 / 1.4125
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USDCAD – looking for value to go short .. the week of 17 FebAs per my analysis, we are seeing a weak USD across all major and minor currency pairs on the weekly and daily time frames. Which pair to trade will probably become clearer on Mon, but for now I am looking at USDCAD.
Yes, that huge spike up gap is confusing, but that gap was quickly filled. If I just ignore that gap, the picture becomes clearer; now I find that the price action this entire year was in a range between 1.4468 and 1.4280. This range narrowed considerably to the lower part of the range (see the yellow box) and this led to my bearish bias. On Thu last week, price actually broke down (below the range). It could attempt a pull back to the area I have marked in green. This area is significant, it has acted as support multiple times. I also see that the bearish candles have started becoming larger and I feel that the bears are taking control of this market. If price does pullback to my zone, we could have a good trade location.
Given the scenario I described, I would take a short position, with stop around 1.4350 and initial target at the support near 1.4180. If the downtrend continues with momentum, I will consider extending my trade to a secondary target near 1.3950.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
USD/CAD Ready To Go Down Hard , Let`s Sell It To Get 250 Pips !As we see we have a very good daily closure below sideway range and we have avery good retest to the area and the price gave amazing bearish price action , so i`m looking to sell this pair today or tomorrow morning when the price go backa litle to give me a good chance to put a small sl , and i think the price will go down very hard at least 200 Pips .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Scenario on USDCAD 13.2.2025USDCAD and for this market, I have several alternatives as to how it could probably take place, so first I would look at the long where we have the first sfp below the low at the price level of 1.424 and then there is the last sfp for me if this does not last, then we go to lower values, the value is 1.41850 short in this market I would take the value of 1.43810 where there is resistance and then I have 2 more interesting levels for reaction the last one is for me the monthly level at the value of 1.45792, if we overcome this level, it is quite likely that we will look higher.
USDCAD SHORT: Divergence in employment data!Canada's January employment change 76.0K vs 25.0K estimate.
US January non-farm payrolls +143K vs +170K expected
NFP data came in lower than expected while employment data came in stronger than expected for the CAD. Due to the result, we expected the pairs to move in opposite directions with the USD being the weaker of the two pairs.
USDCAD, NFP impact. lets know the setup with targetHello Everyone as we have seen a shift in USDCAD rally from upside to downside, so I am expecting a selloff in the USDCAD further with very easy clean and clear setup for the downside.
As today is the NFP, keep the risk less, but the setup has high probability to perform and DELIVER THE TARGET.
USD/CAD Full Analysis , Best Place To Sell&Buy To Get 250 Pips !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Potential Short on USDCADOANDA:USDCAD had been caught up in a consolidation phase for a while, trapped within the range at 1.4465 and 1.43424. We saw a breakout to the lower side and its retest which can potentially lead to a drop in the market. I will place my target at 1.38799.
Do your Due diligence, past results does not guarantee future results
#USDCAD 1DAYUSDCAD (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price was supported by a trendline, but after forming a consolidation range near this Resistance, it has broken down, indicating potential bearish momentum. The breakdown suggests that the buyers were unable to hold the trendline, and selling pressure has increased.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the breakdown below the trendline and range indicates a shift in market sentiment toward the downside.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Consider entering a sell position after a retest of the broken trendline or consolidation range as resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the retest level or recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next support levels or Fibonacci retracement areas for potential downside targets.
Market Sentiment:
The breakdown of the trendline support signals bearish sentiment, with further downside likely if the price remains below the retest level. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade.
Massive Reversal Incoming? USDCAD Showing Exhaustion Signals!(Apologies if the video is hard to understand—I bit my tongue during boxing sparring this morning!)
USDCAD has been on an incredible 17-week rally, but the price now appears extremely overextended and is showing signs of exhaustion.
Yesterday's NFP report brought a huge upside surprise, fueling a strong USD rally against all major currencies. While EURUSD, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, and AUDUSD all hit multi-year lows, USDCAD initially spiked higher but then sold off sharply, closing the day just above 1.44.
This marks the first clear sign of buying exhaustion—despite USD strength across the board, USDCAD failed to make new highs.
Additionally, this week’s candle formation caught my eye. It looks like a classic hanging man pattern, which typically appears at the top of a move, signaling an imminent reversal.
Zooming into the daily charts, we can see a clear distribution range forming, with sideways price action after a strong rally. The MACD is showing divergence, and recent price increases have been accompanied by negative volume—another strong indicator of a potential reversal.
As explained in the video, I see two likely scenarios for entering this trade:
False Breakout: A spike above the distribution range, potentially towards or just above 1.45, followed by a sharp sell-off. This would be my preferred entry.
Big Red Candle: A strong bearish candle early next week, signaling it’s time to enter short.
For this position, my first target is the previous monthly resistance at 1.405, and my second target—more likely—is 1.385, which is now a support level.
While I expect some bounce at these levels, I believe the longer-term move will see USDCAD fall back into its range, with a potential drop toward 1.32 very much on the cards.
Let me know your thoughts below!