USDCAD: UPDATE 25/11/2023! Dear Traders,
Our last idea on USDCAD, was a successful one it rejected at our area and dropped 160 pip; with this setup we anticipating price to do a retracement before it drop further. With accurate stop loss and risk management we can successfully achieve our target on this idea.
what do you think of USDCAD?
Usdcadshort
USDCAD - W1\D1USDCAD
W1 - The price can form a 3-wave structure from a strong level, which can lead to a price drop to the level of 1.32260 to the lower border of the flat
D1 - A triangular structure is formed; when it is fixed beyond the level of the triangle line, a sell entry can be considered.
What can you expect?
You can consider entering from the level 1.36549 (you can consider breaking the level, also wait for fixation at this level) with further movement to the target 1.34016. Cancel the idea so as not to take an increased risk on the idea 1.37815 - 1.38577
Short
Targets 1.35822 - 1.34895 - 1.34016 - 1.32260
USD/CAD Drop to 1.35000? This is An Optimal Short Setup!USD/CAD is forming a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern, potentially signaling the end of this bull channel. The price action has begun to stall and oscillate around the 1.37000 level and is now falling below the 200EMA. We are now faced with a reversal signal in a bull channel.
How do we trade this?
The probability of profit is greater longing in a bull channel because there are more bull bars than bear bars. We are faced with a potential reversal pattern, the head and shoulders, which negates our bias to long. Should we short?
If you're looking to swing trade, yes! Swing trading involves lower win rates because you're trading the reversal of a pattern. In other words, you bet against the trend, which means your probability of profit is low, but your reward is *much* higher as a result.
A decent short here would have been to enter around 1.38000. Since that price is behind us, I would short here and set a protective stop loss above the right shoulder at 1.38000, take profit with half your position just below the bull channel at 1.36000, and the rest just above the 200EMA at 1.35300. Once the first take profit is hit, move your stop up to the entry price or just above it to lock in profits.
Key Points
1. Bull Channel with a reversal pattern.
2. Potential Head and Shoulders Forming.
3. Gap down to 200EMA, reasonable profit target.
4. RSI has Room to Fall
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
Let us know what you think in the comment section below!
USDCAD → Moves below 1.3700 followed by 50-day EMAThe FX:USDCAD pair experiences downward pressure following the release of weaker US inflation data on Tuesday. Moreover, the uptick in crude oil prices is likely supporting the Canadian Dollar (CAD), adding to the pressure on the USD/CAD pair.
The technical indicators paint a bearish picture for the USD/CAD pair. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) below the 50 level indicates downward pressure, signaling a bearish momentum and reflecting a weaker market sentiment.
Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line, while above the centerline, has shown a divergence below the signal line. This suggests a potential shift in momentum towards a bearish sentiment in the USD/CAD pair.
The USD/CAD pair trades around 1.3690 during the early European session, after falling by almost 100 pips since the previous session. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3670 could act as the immediate support.
A firm break below the latter could influence the USD/CAD pair to navigate the region around the psychological level at 1.3600, followed by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1.3591 level.
On the upside, the major level at 1.3700 appears to be a key barrier. If there is a breakthrough above the latter, the bulls could revisit the weekly highs around the 1.3843 level.
Specialized technical analysisWith USDCAD today, applying specialized technical analysis, I suggest a counter-trend trade at the marked Supply & Resistance zone on the chart. The applied technical analysis includes:
- Market structure, Supply zone.
- Mid-frequency.
- Outer frequency.
- Fibonacci.
This trade carries high risk; however, the potential reward justifies it!
Good luck Traders!
usdcad sell
. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
USDCAD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Bearish convergence.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Bearish hidden divergence.
H1 - Bearish trend pattern.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Bearish divergence.
Until the two strong resistance zones hold my short term view remains bearish here.
USDCAD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for SELL. GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDCAD
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USDCAD BEARISH STRICTURE USDCAD for some time now has been revolving around 1.310 support and 1.3878 resistance level. The overall structure can be said to be bearish looking at the WXYXZ structure formation.
From, trading perspective, I expect it to continue to fall from that height 1.3800 back to 1.3100 zone to complete the z of the WXYXZ complex structure.
#USDCAD to go lower-------------USDCAD SHORT-------------
As USD runs out of steam it becomes more clear that this will be a longer correction. All USD pairs are affected, even USDCAD. So I expect this pair to move downwards. Trendline of monthly level around 1.35 can put an end to this corrective move.
This is a not a financial advice. Do your own research and analysis.
USDCAD - Look for a long position ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for long. I want price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 1.37000.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow will be released Unemployment Rate in Canada, as well it will be NFP day in USA, so pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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USDCAD: Amidst a slowdown in interest rate increases, US marketsU.S. stocks are on track to post their biggest weekly gain this year as investors express optimism that U.S. interest rate hikes will be halted. This also led to higher bond prices and a weaker dollar. The focus now shifts to the US jobs report, which will be released later today.
The Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates on hold on Wednesday, combined with Chairman Jerome Powell's assertion that risks to the interest rate outlook are balanced, led to a rise in bond yields. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell more than 20 basis points in two sessions.