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Usdcadshort

USDCAD BUY TREND 04/07/2024It's been a while... Based on a detailed analysis of the 1M chart, we anticipate that the USDCAD pair will experience an upward movement. Although this analysis is derived from the 1M chart, the idea is published on the 15M chart for clarity and presentation purposes. Key Points: Trend Direction: Upward movement expected Risk Management: Exercise caution as the pair may experience temporary declines, presenting additional buying opportunities Timeframe: Expect changes within the next week Take Profit (TP): A TP line has been established. Regular updates will be provided to indicate optimal points for closing all trades Alerts: Set alerts to receive timely notifications on when to close trades, ensuring you maximize your gains and manage risk effectively We will continuously update this idea with crucial information on when to close positions. Make sure to stay tuned and adjust your strategy accordingly. Wishing everyone a happy and prosperous 4th of July!
Long
by TradeWithConfidence
5
USD/CAD Gains on Fed's Inflation Fight, Watching for Short SetupThe USD/CAD pair is edging higher on Wednesday, currently trading around the 1.3687 mark. This upward movement comes as the US Dollar (USD) strengthens, bolstered by commentary from several Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. Their statements collectively suggest that the US central bank remains reluctant to cut its main interest rate, the Fed Funds rate, due to insufficient progress in lowering inflation. This stance is viewed positively for the US Dollar and, by extension, the USD/CAD pair because maintaining a high Fed Funds rate attracts greater foreign capital inflows from investors seeking higher returns. However, we also observe a confluence of signs that suggest a potential new bearish impulse for USD/CAD. Yesterday, we successfully closed a short position in USD/CAD with a quick profit, following the release of the Canadian CPI economic data. Today, we are considering another opportunity to sell at relatively premium prices. Specifically, we are targeting the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, which aligns with the 38.2% retracement from the major higher swing. Additionally, we have identified a divergence on the H1 timeframe within a possible bearish channel, reinforcing our bearish outlook. Given these factors, we are looking to establish a new short position in USD/CAD, aiming to capitalize on the anticipated downward movement.
Short
by FOREXN1
3
USDCAD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisUSCAD is moving in a descending channel, We expect the decline to continue after the dynamic resistance is retested. USDCAD is near the resistance, where price dropped before. We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDCAD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Short
by TheGrove
9
USDCAD Structure ShiftedAs per the weekend analysis it seems we are about to see a drop coming in USDCAD towards 1.3660. as we have Monday opening left, i am not expecting any gap to be occurring in the market. expecting price not to breach its current swing high of 1.3780 level while maintaining a bearish bias. Entry can be done around at current level . but i would like to wait till Monday new York opening to see more price action to come. will update more about this pair and setup with entry and stoploss soon. do comment like share and subscribe for more detailed videos of trading setups
Short
by Rizwan-Ali
USDCAD Signals: Bullish Breakout Above 1.3000USDCAD – technical overview Above 1.3000 signals an end to a period of longer-term bearish consolidation and suggests the market is in the process of carving out a more significant longer-term base. Next key resistance now comes in up into the 1.4000 area. Setbacks should be very well supported down into the 1.3000 area. R2 1.3847 – 16 April/2024 high – Strong R1 1.3792 – 11 June high – Medium S1 1.3662 – 7 June low – Medium S2 1.3586 – 10 May low – Strong USDCAD – fundamental overview The Canadian Dollar is coming out of a rare session in which it outperformed its peer group. Canada housing data was behind the relative strength after May housing starts accelerated at the fastest pace since September 2023. Key standouts on Tuesday’s calendar come from Eurozone and German sentiment reads, Eurozone CPI, US retail sales, US industrial production, and Fed speak. Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
by BlackBull_Markets
USD/CAD:USD Faces Pressure Amid Eurozone Political UncertaintyEid Mubarak to all our Muslim brothers and sisters, Permit me to do a detailed commentary of economic event on EUR, CAD, and USD. Eurozone Political Instability Impacting the Euro The Euro remains under significant pressure, primarily due to escalating fears of a financial crisis in France. Political turmoil and economic instability in the Eurozone, particularly in one of its key economies, have shaken investor confidence. This instability has led to a weaker Euro as investors seek safer assets, impacting currency markets globally. Canadian Dollar Strengthens on Positive Economic Data The Canadian Dollar, commonly referred to as the Loonie, saw a notable increase in value on Friday. This upward movement was driven by positive economic data from Canada, which reported a 1.1% rise in factory sales. The stronger-than-expected performance in the manufacturing sector has boosted investor confidence in the Canadian economy, thereby strengthening the Loonie. Federal Reserve's Policy and Its Effects on USD The Federal Reserve's recent policy meeting introduced a slightly hawkish tone, which initially led to a rise in expectations of interest rate cuts. However, following the meeting, these expectations have diminished. The Fed’s stance suggests a cautious approach to monetary policy adjustments, which has implications for the USD's strength. The reduced likelihood of significant rate cuts has provided some support to the US Dollar. USD/CAD Outlook and Market Sentiment Looking at the USD/CAD outlook for Monday, bearish momentum is evident as the US Dollar experiences a decline. This drop is largely attributed to the ongoing political uncertainty in the Eurozone, which has ripple effects across global financial markets. Despite the Fed’s hawkish hints, the prevailing sentiment reflects a cautious approach among investors, influenced by geopolitical and economic concerns. In summary, while the US Dollar initially climbed due to Eurozone instability, the overall outlook for USD/CAD appears bearish. The interplay between Eurozone political issues, positive Canadian economic data, and the Federal Reserve’s policy stance will continue to shape market dynamics in the near term. Cheers and happy trading!
Short
by Samuel124
Sell USDCAD Breakout PatternThe USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.3750, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3708 2nd Support – 1.3670 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.3800. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
17
USD/CAD Faces Resistance at 1.3780, Potential Reversal in SightThe USD/CAD pair has reached the 1.3780 area of resistance, signaling a potential reversal. This comes in the wake of a robust Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for May, which dispelled fears of a weakening labor market. The report indicated strong labor demand across all sectors and higher-than-expected wage growth. Market Dynamics 1. Strong NFP Report: The latest NFP data highlighted a resilient labor market, easing concerns about a slowdown. This strength in the labor market has influenced market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. 2. Fed Rate Cut Expectations: Investors now anticipate that the Fed will cut interest rates once this year, likely in November or December. This outlook is shaping the market's response to recent economic data. Upcoming Economic Indicators To gain more insights into the Fed’s potential actions, investors are keenly awaiting the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May and the Fed’s upcoming monetary policy announcement, both scheduled for Wednesday. These events are expected to provide further clarity on the interest rate outlook. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, the USD/CAD pair is approaching a significant resistance level at 1.3780. The price action suggests a potential reversal as it encounters this resistance.n. in conclusion the USD/CAD pair is at a critical juncture, facing resistance at the 1.3780 level. The strong NFP report for May has bolstered the USD, but upcoming CPI data and the Fed’s monetary policy announcement will be crucial in determining the next move. From a technical standpoint, signs are pointing towards a potential reversal at this resistance level. Investors and traders should remain vigilant and look for clear reversal signals before making trading decisions.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
USD/CAD Edges Lower as Traders Eye Key US Economic DataUSD/CAD is trending lower during the Asian session on Wednesday, currently trading around 1.3750. This recent movement follows a notable reversal from the 1.3790 area, where technical indicators suggested a potential change in direction. Technical Analysis From a technical standpoint, the USD/CAD pair exhibited signs of overbought conditions around the 1.3790 mark, as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the H4 timeframe. A divergence was observed, signaling that the bullish momentum was weakening and a reversal was likely. The pair has since edged lower, reflecting these technical signals. Market Sentiment and Economic Data The market is now focused on upcoming US economic data releases, which are anticipated to inject significant volatility into the trading environment. The key events include the release of the Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision. Core CPI Data The Core CPI data, set to be released today, is a critical measure of inflation that excludes food and energy prices. This indicator is closely watched by traders and investors as it provides insights into underlying inflationary pressures within the US economy. Stronger-than-expected CPI figures could reinforce expectations of a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve, potentially supporting the US Dollar and influencing the USD/CAD pair. FOMC Decision In addition to the inflation data, the FOMC decision is another pivotal event for the day. The Federal Reserve's policy statement and subsequent press conference will offer guidance on the central bank's outlook and future monetary policy actions. Market participants will be keenly observing any hints regarding the timing and extent of interest rate adjustments. The FOMC's tone and projections will be crucial in determining the next directional move for the USD/CAD pair. Anticipated Volatility Given the significance of these economic events, traders are preparing for heightened volatility. The Core CPI and FOMC decision are expected to provide the necessary catalyst for a potential continuation of the reversal observed in the USD/CAD pair. Depending on the outcomes, we could see significant movements as traders react to the data and adjust their positions accordingly. in conclusion USD/CAD is currently consolidating its recent losses around 1.3750, following a technical reversal from the 1.3790 area. The pair's future direction will likely be influenced by today's Core CPI release and the FOMC decision. Traders should be prepared for increased volatility and potential continuation of the bearish trend, especially if the economic data aligns with the technical indicators pointing towards a reversal.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
Canadian Dollar Historic Long(Futures) This is the CoT index of Commercials(Blue) and Retailers(Green). As you can see, Commercials are in the high extreme and Retailers are in low extreme of the index. The vertical blue lines are the past identical situations which ended up in big rallies. Plus, when the retailers net position(green area) is around -8000 (the dotted green line) resulted in rallies also. On top of that Commercials net positions(the blue area) is close to the all time high (since 2001). the last time Commercials net positions were this high was May 2017 which ended up in a BIG rally. Besides, the 15-year seasonality shows bottom of the market around the end of June and top of the market around the end of July. Keep in mind that this is the Canadian Dollar futures chart which is the inverted of USDCAD of Forex chart.
CME:6C1!Long
by XardasX
2
USD/CAD Correction before next upward rally(6/8/2024)USD/CAD FX:USDCAD has been trapped into a curve, we can see few back and forth movements since last month. Since the NFP data was quite good, we believe the price will move another wave upward after some corrections. If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing. Thanks For Reading Team Fortuna -RC (Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
Long
by fortunamarkets
USDCAD - Awaiting Breakout Amid Key Economic Data ReleasesThe USDCAD pair is currently forming a wedge-type pattern, indicating a period of consolidation that typically precedes a significant price movement. The forthcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data releases will be critical in determining the direction of the breakout. ---------------------Key Levels:-------------------------------- Strong Support: 1.36000 Medium Resistance: 1.37500 Strong Resistance: 1.38500 Current Market Sentiment: At this juncture, we maintain a neutral bias on USDCAD, given the potential for either bullish or bearish developments contingent on upcoming economic data. ________________Technical Indicators:__________________ Support and Resistance Analysis: The pair is testing critical support at 1.36000. A break below this level could signal a bearish trend, targeting lower levels as the market reassesses USD strength. Wedge Pattern Formation: The wedge pattern suggests an imminent breakout, though the direction remains uncertain pending economic data. Volume Analysis: Observing volume spikes during the breakout will be essential to confirm the direction of the trend. _____________________Potential Scenarios__________________ Bullish Scenario: Trigger: A breakout above the medium resistance at 1.37500. Implication: If USDCAD breaks and sustains above 1.37500, it could pave the way for a continuation towards the strong resistance at 1.38500. Target: 1.38500 and potentially higher if bullish momentum persists. Action: Monitor for buy signals upon confirmation of the breakout with increased volume. Bearish Scenario: Trigger: A breakdown below the strong support at 1.36000. Implication: A decisive move below 1.36000 would likely initiate a bearish trend, with the potential for accelerated selling pressure. Target: Lower levels, possibly revisiting the next significant support zones around 1.35000 and 1.34000. Action: Consider sell signals if the price breaks below 1.36000, ensuring confirmation through sustained lower price action and volume. Conclusion: USDCAD is poised at a critical juncture within a wedge-type pattern. The upcoming NFP and CPI data releases are expected to provide the necessary catalyst for a breakout. Traders should remain vigilant and ready to react to a confirmed breakout above 1.37500 for a bullish trend or below 1.36000 for a bearish trend. Recommendation: Maintain a neutral stance until the price action dictates a clear direction. Utilize stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively and be prepared to adjust positions based on the market response to the upcoming economic data. Disclaimer: This report is based on current market conditions and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a professional before making trading decisions.
by MZ_FX_
USDCAD tm:1hHello traders. I hope you doing well. These areas are based on my personal strategy and I will share it with you. Open a sell position on the supply area or open a buy position on the demand area. Your entry point, stop loss, and target point are based on money management and the amount of money in your trading account. But I promise you that by trading in the areas of my trading strategy, you will definitely make a profit, because these areas, although they seem simple, are my experience of 8 years of learning and trading. I hope you will achieve maximum continuous profit with me by using supply and demand areas. Good luck traders. Mohammad Goodarzi
by itsbluemorpho
USDCAD: First red day in the backside moveHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you! “Trade setups, not movements” 1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion) Monday DAY 1 Opening Range Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week Thursday DAY 2 Friday DAY 3 Closing Range ✅ Day 2 cycle 2. SIGNAL DAY First Red Day ✅ First Green Day 3 Days Long Breakout 3 Days Short Breakout Inside Day 3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE Pump&Dump ✅ Dump&Pump Frontside Backside 4. THESIS: Long: secondary, I saw many times monday placing the high low of the week (opening range), and market coming back into that level for a breakout, pullback, continuation into the original trend, however, considering the market overall in the backside move, counter trending (as a scalp), will be my second option if a buy low opportunity is presented. Short: primary, first red day, yesterday the HOW failed and started dropping down with interesting bearish momentum. Waiting the news release before looking for a sell high opportunity, going to stop traders long from Tuesday. Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement. Gianni
Short
by GianniPichichero
10
USD/CAD SHORT from 1.3725My positions SHORT EUR/USD and GBP/USD have been closed as its evident that SELLERS are now pushing the USD south. With that in mind, I'mnow SHORT USD/CAD. I was looking for this pair to reach the WR1 weekly pivot at 1.3744 but it now looks like this was a level too far and price has reversed 9 pips short of that target. RSI on H1 has been over 70 for several hours and in the last 2 hours we've seen it fall to its current level of 55. MACD has crossed south on H1 and the Andean Oscillator red SELL line has lifted away fro zero and is now reading .0005. All the signs are that we are headed lower and hopefully I can get a decent + pip STOP on this trade before key news is released at 13:30 this being Prelim GDP and Unemployment Claims followed by Pending Home Sales 90 mionutes later. If these number come out green then the USD will rise and this trade will exit for a profit but if the numbers come out red then this trade will accelerate to the downside and may reach the main target which is 1.3660 where there is a band of support. The overall structure of USD/CAD remains BULLISH whilst we remain above 1.3660. Should 1.3660 break then 1.3600 wil come into play.
Short
by forextraplaces
2