USDCAD STILL HOLDING SHORTS UPDATE!Firstly I apologies for my voice I'm currently trying not to lose it LOL, anyway I've still got my short trade open but moving stops to breakeven, we seen price get a bit choppy Friday and I do expect weakness from the dollar... so a sell off or push down on USDCAD I feel is coming, the hard part is getting the best position with the lest risk. Ill monitor price at the start of the week and if I get stopped at break even I will start to map out next short areas.
Usdcadsignal
USD/CAD 4HR CHART BUY SET UPHi everyone this is my trade set up for the USD/CAD for the new week ahead
USD/CAD i think will push higher i am expecting a pullback to the order block zones and will be looking for a buy trade
look for pullback to zones lined off on chart then if it meets your criteria for a trade then execute
This is my analysis only please trade with caution and risk management in place
good luck for this weeks trading
please like and comment both are welcome
USD/CAD CHART4HR SELL SET UPHi everyone this is my trade set up for the USD/CAD for the new week ahead
USD/CAD i think will push higher i am expecting a pullback to the order block zones and will be looking for a buy trade
look for pullback to zones lined off on chart then if it meets your criteria for a trade then execute
This is my analysis only please trade with caution and risk management in place
good luck for this weeks trading
please like and comment both are welcome
UsdCad- Great R:R medium term tradeUndoubtedly, since mid-March, CAD has dominated the market, and with USD has strengthened more than 2500 pips, reaching a local low at 1.2 at the end of May.
A first leg of correction has followed and a new drop after this.
However, this new drop has found bids in 1.23 zone and we have 2 Doji candles on our weekly chart that can signal a higher low is in place.
I expect a new leg up from UsdCad and the price could reach and test 1.3 resistance.
Such trade can have a 1:5 risk to reward ratio and is negated with a daily close under the last recent low
Hawkish and No More QE Sends the USDCAD LowerJust now, Bank of Canada delivered a hawkish stance and decided to end to the quantitative easing which sent the USDCAD drops 100 pips in 2 hours.
Based on the 1H chart, the drop of USDCAD was coincided by the test on the level of 0.236 Fibonacci which could indicate a continuation of the downtrend of USDCAD.
USD/CAD Analysis ahead of BOC monetary policy and rate decision.Today bank of Canada will publish its monetary policy and rate decision. Overnight rates are expected to be unchanged.
The Bank of Canada may leave all policy levers unchanged today. But it's essential to watch what governor Tiff Macklem says during her statement today.
The inflation rate is currently at an 18-year high in Canada. Moreover, supply pressures could lead prices up further, with transportation contributing most recently as gasoline continues its climb towards record levels.
Higher gasoline price is helping CAD against all the major currencies as a commodity currency. That's a positive sign for the Canadian economy as well as CAD.
How should the Bank of Canada React?
The BOC is expected to continue trimming back its bond-buying program. Governor Marklelm calls "the reinvestment phase," where they keep a stable amount of funds invested in bonds while buying only enough new ones each year that are set to mature.
This will tighten monetary conditions, nudging up yields for those who invest with them but not likely be enough alone if inflation continues at this rate or higher. Governor Macklem may even suggest earlier interest rate hikes than Q2 2022 when things seem incredibly tight right now.
So, based on all the fundamental factors together, CAD is still strong enough. Moreover, CAD will be more robust in the upcoming days because several financial parameters support Canada.
But, as BOC is expecting to unchanged its monetary policy, USD/CAD may spike upside first, and then it will drop again to the 1.2300/1.2280 or below price zone.
Technical View:
If the monetary policy is unchanged from the present rate, our upside target is 1.2480/1.2500. Breaking above 1.2500, our final target is the 1.2580/1.2600 price zone.
But, if BOC delivers a too dovish speech, we will continue our buy order till 1.2700/1.2720 price zone.
On the other hand, if BOC delivers an unexpectedly hawkish statement, USD/CAD might drop below 1.2280 to 1.2200 price zone very soon. Though inflation is rising in Canada, gasoline price, asset purchase, and optimism in rising bank rate will benefit the CAD.
USDCAD pivotal points (long term sell)USDCAD previously rejected a major support/resistance level as well as a weekly fib level and the weekly 200ema.
The way i trade is from one major level to another, so the next tp is 1.20255. But before that, i knew that price could stop and react to this 1.2300 support level , which it did. i entered after seeing the 1H and 4H charts were illustrating a rising wedge , which is a sign that price is indeed going back up, temporarily. The rsi on both timeframes was below 30 (oversold) and the rsi on the 4h was even showing divergence .
I took opportunity of this retracement to what’s most likely a fib level to enter a short term buy before we continue down. Once the buy TP is reached, i’ll look for signs of rejection and take it back down to the original sell TP .
USDCAD SELL ideaUSDCAD has been making higher lows in the recent week, however I've noticed it has been trading in a consolidation
There are 2 entries here where the aggressive one is based on these confluences:
Retest of Trendline
Test of 61.8% Fib
Higher Low Created
Bullish Engulfing/Momentum Candle
Conservative entry would be on a break and retest of the consolidation box