USDCAD | Perspective for the new weekWith 102pips in our direction before the reversal on my last publication (see link below for reference purposes); we are at a juncture in the market with a viable opportunity to take advantage of. The Impulse move that begun mid-November 2020 appears to have found a bottom as the rejection of demand level @ CA$1.26500 area continue to gain momentum. Even though the USD/CAD pair came under renewed bearish pressure in the early session on Friday, I continue to see an opportunity to go Long as this Bearish move from my perspective is a corrective move following the successful Breakout of Bearish Trendline.
Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish )
Structure: Reversal pattern | Breakout | Supply & Demand | Double Top
Observation: i. A visible Reversal structure is observed as price no longer deems it fit to respect the Bearish Trendline.
ii. Breakout of Bearish Trendline during last week trading session is a signal that we might be changing direction in the nearest future.
iii. Double Top at CA$1.28820 represent the beginning of the corrective phase of the Impulsive Breakout on the 27th of Jan 2020.
iv. I shall be anticipating the exhaustion of the Bearish steam around the Bearish trendline and Demand zone followed by signs of a rally in the following week(s).
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:3.5
Potential Duration: 5 to 10 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Usdcadsignal
#163 USDCAD Long (Buy) Trade Setup IdeaUSDCAD has broken a daily support level and is now falling to a key demand level where we can expect some kind of a rejection. If price action permits, we can look to this level for a potential buy opportunity and aim for a test of the previous support, now turned resistance. If that level does not hold, then we can continue to hold our longs for higher highs on the daily timeframe.
This setup gives a great risk:reward.
USD/CAD new ideaSo we did not get the retrace tot the trend line on the other plan that I was looking for this week so I am going to go with this plan. As soon as we see that the price has broken the support zone we could consider to go short on it.
Please let me know in the comments what you think of it and feel free to share your idea for this pair also.
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If you have any questions, feel free to PM me.
USDCAD-Waiting for the downtrend expansion As you can see in the daily chart, we are waiting for the descending trend up to the range of 1.2039.
In the 240-minute chart, wave iii from sub-waves of (iii) has ended in the range of 1.2588, and its correction has ended in the range of 1.2882, the price currently is in the last wave of the downtrend, in wave (iii).
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USDCAD: Ending Diagonal PatternIn some cases, we cannot detect the main trend clearly. But there are patterns that are helpful, they temporarily show the trend. One of these patterns is Diagonal.
As you can see in the image, the Diagonal pattern is formed and we are waiting for the price to increase to the range of 1. 3411. To get the confirmation for the uptrend, the price should cross the range of 1.2835.
In addition, convergence is evident in RSI. This analysis will be violated by crossing the price from the range of 1.2588.
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USDCAD | Perspective for the new weekWith over 380pips in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes); It appears we still have a few more pips to mop as the appearance of a Bearish Rectangle pattern dictates the prevailing direction of price... The risk of further decline gains momentum! The USD/CAD pair gained some positive traction during the mid-European session on Friday and climbed to around the CAD1.27910 which was followed by sharp rejection of this level. As I anticipate making CAD1.27910 my new Sell window in the coming week, the major Supply zone @ CAD1.28400 is still a zone with selling significance.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Bearish Rectangle | Breakdown | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. The risk of further decline in the week(s) ahead is still strong as price-action is caught within a Bearish rectangle pattern.
ii. Presently, price action is hovering around 61.8% retracement of AB leg with indications that it might evolve into a Harmonic (AB = CD) pattern in the coming week(s).
iii. ABCD pattern parameters explained below;
a. Leg A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg.
b. The B- to-C leg is currently hovering at 61.8% (with a possible 78.6% in the future) Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg.
c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move.
iv. Breakdown and retest of Demand zone @ CAD1.27000 shall inspire a second position.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:3
Potential Duration: 1 to 5 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.