USDCAD 1D MA50 the key. Buy above, sell below.The USDCAD couldn't have confirmed our bearish view more than a month ago, when we called for a sell opportunity based on the RSI Bearish Divergence (Lower Highs against the price's Higher Highs):
As you see the divergence sell signal was spot on and the previous two times that this was spotted, helped us in a great way to spot this. Right now the price is below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) inside a Channel Down. The minor rise since November 11, could do the most important medium-term test, the 1D MA50. A closing above the 1D MA50 will turn the pair bullish again targeting the 1.39860 High. As long as the price remains below it though, the strategy remains sell on such rebounds, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which should land within the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which was where the Lows of October 21 2021 and January 13 2022 where made (previous divergencies).
Notice that if the 1D MACD completed the Bullish Cross that has started to be formed today, this is consistent with all prior Higher Lows since May 2021 and will favor a bullish break-out.
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Usdcadsignals
USDCADYou can wait for price to pull back up to 1.350 before selling and placing your stoploss just directly on the resistance @ 1.3540. And your TP1@ 1.3353, TP2 @ 1.3153
If the resistance breaks @1.3540 you can change you bais to BUY
For the buys ; if the resistance @ 1.3540 breaks and price continues to trade above that level you can go long from 1.3540 to 1.3700
Then from 1.3700 expect the drop back down
USDCAD possible sell zone!!USDCAD 4h, After NFP release USDCAD has changed it's uptrend to downtrend on the lower timeframe. As the price has broken down with a strong momentum, currently the price retracing to the previous resistance turned support. It is highly likely price will test the 20EMA on the 4h and will bounce off. Upon rejection a sell trade is high probable targeting monthly support level.
USDCAD | New perspectiveIt is important to note here how the price of crude oil is directly proportional to the value of the Canadian Dollar and if we take into consideration the OPEC+ decision a couple of weeks ago to cut down production by 2 million barrels per day; the likelihood of soaring oil price remains inevitable. The consumption of crude oil has remained steady despite consumers struggling with soaring inflation and I am of the opinion that the effect of these events will begin taking its toll on USDCAD as we witnessed multiple rejections of the C$1.4000 level in the last couple of weeks by the sellers. Will there be a sell momentum in the meantime this week?
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDCAD Sell signal to the end of the yearThe USDCAD pair has been following for a very long time our 1W trading pattern and as per our trading plan on November 01 2021, it reached our 1.36000 target for 2022 already:
As you see the projection couldn't have been better and this approach is a great way for long-term investors to benefit with relatively low risk. Currently however we shift our focus on the medium-term and the 1D time-frame where the pair has a Bearish Divergence according to its 1D RSI. As shown while the price action has been on Higher Highs, the RSI is on Lower Highs.
The last two times this Bearish Divergence emerged, the price hit both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) with ease and even dipped below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. Our medium-term target before this year is out is the 1D MA50 itself. Traders who want to pursue more risk, can target the 1D MA200, whose fair projection by December should be slightly above the 0.786 Fib.
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USDCAD Optimal Sell opportunity for September.The USDCAD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since September 2021. This 1 year of steady growth has given us a very clear trading outlook for buy-low sell-high set-ups. It is how we got an almost perfect buy on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on our last update more than a month ago:
The price is now again near the Higher Highs (top) trend-line of the Channel Up, having rebounded 4 days ago on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This is a prime candidate for a sell, which depending on your trading horizon can target the 1D MA50 (short-term) and the 1D MA200 (medium-term). There is also an inner Higher Lows Zone (green) involved below the 1D MA200 as a Support. Keep an eye on the 1D MACD crosses for entry timing.
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USDCAD possible breakdown?USDCAD (4H) has been rejected monthly resistance. As the price was moving along an upward channel, the price is likely to drop back to the support zone. Currently, on 4H we see a head & shoulder with double Doji, possible breakdown ahead?
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USDCAD preparing for a big dropUSDCAD ( Daily) has created a head & shoulder on the daily and strong bearish price action. It is highly likely that it will have a big drop in the monthly support zone. As per price action shown on the daily, we have seen back-to-back 2 bearish engulfing has formed. Also, we have 10EMA and 20EMA cross-over on a daily time frame. We could see a potentially larger drop in the monthly support/trend line. A selling opportunity may arise later today!!
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USD/CAD SELL NOW...
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
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USDCAD | New perspectiveThe USDCAD appears to be aiming for a bullish moment in the new week after identifying multiple rejections of the 1.28500 area by the buyers. However, we cannot ignore the possibility of a bearish momentum drive after witnessing the breakdown of the bullish trendline identified in the daily timeframe.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDCAD Sell below the 1D MA50. Buy on Higher Low.The USDCAD pair has been trading within a 1 year Channel Up pattern as we've mentioned on our last analysis in early June:
As you see, the rebound on the Channel's Higher Lows (bottom) trend-line worked perfectly as a buy entry and hit our Higher High target in short time. The price is now on a pull-back after the Higher Highs (broke above but still closed within the Channel Up) rejection and is testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is holding as Support since June 10.
A break below that level will be a short-term sell towards the inner Higher Lows zone (green shape) where we can enter a new buy just below the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. Long-term target = 1.21370 or the 1.1 Fib (1.31980) as a new Higher High.
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USDCAD | New perspectiveThe Greenback relinquished some of its profit on the last day of last week's trading session to close below the key level identified at the C$1.29000 area to set the tone for a possible trend continuation to the downside. This video explains how I intend to trade the appearance of a selling set-up on the daily timeframe.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDCAD - FUNDAMENTAS WITH TECHNICAL LEVELS USDCAD is currently DOWN. This is because CAD is STRONG. They are currently working to STRONG USD. So it could be STOCKS DOWN again.
But right now USDCAD is going down very well in a DOWNSIDE CHANNEL. We think it will be down to 1.2714 LEVEL again due to some NEGATIVE SENTIMENT given by FED.
However, the USDCAD UP will have the opportunity to return to 1.3189 after the FED MEETING. We are waiting to see how to BREAK the DOWNSIDE TREND LINE.
USDCAD |New perspectiveThe Canadian dollar appears to be gaining momentum on the back of lower Treasury yields and weaker US data as we head into the new week. From a technical perspective, the multiple rejections of the 1.030500 area in the space of a month further emphasize the strength of the sellers at this juncture in the market hereby raising my inclination for a selling opportunity in the new week. This video illustrates how I intend to take advantage of a bearish momentum as we anticipate the final trading week of the month.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDCAD - FUNDAMENTAS WITH TECHNICAL LEVELS DXY currently stands at 103.100 LEVEL. The USD has been slightly WEAK since the MARKET RISK ON in the last few days. Also, at present the CAD FEATURE is at 0.7873 LEVEL. However, CAD is a bit WEAK compared to DXY. Due to this USDCAD is becoming BUY. This is because USD gets a POSITIVE SENTIMENT and USD gets a RATE HIKE SENTIMENT.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is showing RISK OFF. STOCKS is currently RED showing a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit UP. Also COMMODITIES show a DOWN SIDE BIAS today. Currently the MARKET has a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. Therefore, in the future, all NZD CAD AUD currencies may be slightly lower compared to JPY CHF and USD currencies.
- USDCAD PRICE can be DOWN to 1.2587 LEVEL before re-UP. After that the USDCAD PRICE can be UP again to 1.2979 LEVEL. The USD is slightly stronger at this time due to the MARKET SENTIMENT. The OIL PRICE applies to USDCAD, and the decisions made at OPEC MEETING will have the greatest impact on USDCAD. DXY UP can be from FOMC UPDATES in the future. So stay tuned for that.
USDCAD Buy opportunity and counter trade if invalidatedThe USDCAD pair has been trading within a Channel Up since last September (2021). So far it has had three clear Higher Highs and two Higher Lows. Right now the price is very close to that Higher Lows (bottom) trend-line of the pattern and when the 1D MACD makes a Bullish Cross, it will be a confirmed buy.
The last symmetrical position for the pair was in Jan 13 - 20 2022, where the price rebounded without making a solid Higher Low. That rise reached higher than the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, so using that model, we are setting a medium-term target of 1.28625 on this pair.
On the other hand, be prepared to cut losses quickly if the price breaks below the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Down, and sell instead towards the -0.618 Fib extension (1.21750).
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