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Usdcadsignals

USDCAD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe Bearish trend that began in October 2020 appears to have found a bottom @ around CA$1.24500 as the pattern transpose into what looks like an Inverse Head and Shoulder - a very strong reversal pattern. My last publication on this pair still holds as I continue to look for Bullish expectations (see link below for reference purposes) following signs of positive expectations from the Greenback as the Non-Farm Payrolls report indicated that the U.S. economy added 379,000 jobs in February, a report that significantly exceeded analyst expectations. Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Inverse H & S) Observation: i. Breakout of my Key level @ CA$1.26000 late February 2021 followed by multiple rejections of this level during last week trading session supports the expectation of a rally in the nearest future as the price remains supported at this level. ii. After a significant Bearish Impulse leg, the appearance of an Inverse Head & Shoulder keeps my expectation LONG in the coming week(s). iii. Bearish Leg that began Oct. 2020 falls to make a Shoulder and then rises to the Neckline(CA$1.27500); price then falls again and below the former Shoulder to make a Head and then rises again; finally, the price falls again but not as far as the second Shoulder with a good possibility of a Breakout/Retest expectation of Neckline @ CA$1.27500. iv. Even as the CA$1.26000/1.25500 area remains a strong Demand area for me, a Breakout/Retest confirmation of Neckline might be a very good area you might want to join the rally. Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 350 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3.5 Potential Duration: 8 to 15days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
3
USDCAD | Perspective for the new weekWith 102pips in our direction before the reversal on my last publication (see link below for reference purposes); we are at a juncture in the market with a viable opportunity to take advantage of. The Impulse move that begun mid-November 2020 appears to have found a bottom as the rejection of demand level @ CA$1.26500 area continue to gain momentum. Even though the USD/CAD pair came under renewed bearish pressure in the early session on Friday, I continue to see an opportunity to go Long as this Bearish move from my perspective is a corrective move following the successful Breakout of Bearish Trendline. Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Reversal pattern | Breakout | Supply & Demand | Double Top Observation: i. A visible Reversal structure is observed as price no longer deems it fit to respect the Bearish Trendline. ii. Breakout of Bearish Trendline during last week trading session is a signal that we might be changing direction in the nearest future. iii. Double Top at CA$1.28820 represent the beginning of the corrective phase of the Impulsive Breakout on the 27th of Jan 2020. iv. I shall be anticipating the exhaustion of the Bearish steam around the Bearish trendline and Demand zone followed by signs of a rally in the following week(s). Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3.5 Potential Duration: 5 to 10 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
5
USDCAD | Perspective for the new weekWith over 380pips in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes); It appears we still have a few more pips to mop as the appearance of a Bearish Rectangle pattern dictates the prevailing direction of price... The risk of further decline gains momentum! The USD/CAD pair gained some positive traction during the mid-European session on Friday and climbed to around the CAD1.27910 which was followed by sharp rejection of this level. As I anticipate making CAD1.27910 my new Sell window in the coming week, the major Supply zone @ CAD1.28400 is still a zone with selling significance. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Bearish Rectangle | Breakdown | Supply & Demand Observation: i. The risk of further decline in the week(s) ahead is still strong as price-action is caught within a Bearish rectangle pattern. ii. Presently, price action is hovering around 61.8% retracement of AB leg with indications that it might evolve into a Harmonic (AB = CD) pattern in the coming week(s). iii. ABCD pattern parameters explained below; a. Leg A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg is currently hovering at 61.8% (with a possible 78.6% in the future) Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move. iv. Breakdown and retest of Demand zone @ CAD1.27000 shall inspire a second position. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3 Potential Duration: 1 to 5 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
USDCAD BUYING FROM SUPPORT ON DIP 300+ pips !!!USDCAD is trading near a support zone as i can see this pair is waiting for a strong move in US Index and then it will start moving to our targets CAD economy is depending on oil prices as we can see US-Oil and Brent had move making new high and now its is expecting a retrace so we are buying this pair from support zone and looking for a higher rewards against our lower risk friends push like and comments follow us for more updates for new ideas
Long
by APEX_TRADING_ACADMEY
USDCAD | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE NEW WEEKAfter taking a 200pips gain in our last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes), it appears we are at a juncture for a second wave of shorting the USDCAD as price breaks down my key level @ CAD1.30700. Despite making the previous four trading days in the positive territory, the USD/CAD pair rose to its highest level during the last week at CAD1.31740 on Friday only to experience a sharp rejection of this level with a Shooting star candle. Even though I have this intuition that the price of oil will surge soon, It is worthy to note that the performance of oil in the coming week shall be a significant point of reference to make a decision on this pair. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Trendline Observation: i. As price continues to respect the major Trendline since May 2020; a Breakdown of Key level @ 1.30700 on the 5th of Nov. 2020 is a clue that the Trend might continue considering the Selling pressure at this juncture in the market. ii. 1.31300 area which has been a Demand zone in the past appears to have been taken over by Sellers as this level no longer hold a haven for buyers. iii. Our New Supply zone @ 1.32000 & 1.31500 which is also forming a Double Top pattern confirms the strength and presence of Sellers. iv. We experienced significant growth in the Greenback last week but I am considering this minor uptrend to be a correction phase that might hit around 61.8% retracement in anticipation of a decline. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 450 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:3.5 Potential Duration: 5 to 10 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
1
USDCAD | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE NEW WEEKSince the price moved 250pips in our direction since my last publication on this pair; the USD/CAD gained downside momentum and is trying to settle below my Key zone at CAD1.3200. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Harmonic (AB = CD expectations) Observation: i. Breakdown of CAD1.32500 zone on the 7th of Oct. was followed by significant rejection of level on Thursday & Friday signalling a possible downtrend continuation. ii. In this regard, an ABCD pattern is sighted with parameters explained below; a. Impulse A-to-B will be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg is at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150pips. Risk/Reward: 1:4 Potential Duration: 3 to 7 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
USDCAD | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE NEW WEEKWith over 150pips in our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes); the pair remains range-bound between Support at 1.31350 and Resistance at 1.32500 with Breakout potential building considering the hold of the Major Support/Resistance zone on the weekly chart after the Bearish run that started in March 2020. Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Trendline | Supply & Demand| Reversal Pattern (Head and Shoulder) Observation: i. Bearish run since March 2020 found bottom at 1.30000 with immediate rejection followed by Higher Highs and Lows. ii. Breakout of the Bearish Trendline a couple of weeks ago with engulfing candles insinuates the dawn of Bullish tendencies. iii. Since the Breakout of Trendline on the 8th of September 2020, the price has found a cocoon at the 1.31350 zone making it a sensitive Demand level. iv. I am looking forward to Breakout expectations off of the Neckline in the following week(s) as Buyers gain momentum from the Demand zone. Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 250 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:3 Potential Duration: 5 to 10 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
USDCAD | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE WEEKI had a Bearish bias last week with price moving over 100pips in our direction (see link below for reference purposes). Despite price action still portrays a dovish tendency, it is important to note that price is presently sitting on major Support/Resistance (see Day/Week Chart) which has been a sensitive Demand area multiple times in the past. As US job figures sparkle and against all expectations, the expectation of a break above 1.31500 in the coming week is strongly a possibility on my radar! Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Trendline | Supply & Demand| Reversal Pattern (Harmonic: Cypher) Observation: i. Since mid-July 2020, Price action has connected lower highs and lower lows with parallel trendlines to show a prevailing downward trend. ii. Price crashed into and began a rally from an area that represents a major Support/Resistance level (Demand zone on the chart) in the past. iii. Looking closely at the rally from the Demand zone, I noticed a structure that depicts a Harmonic move (Cypher pattern) represented by the following data; a. Point B retracement of the primary XA leg lies in between 0.500/0.618. b. Point C falls at an approximate of 1.414 extensions of the primary XA leg. c. Expecting 0.786 retracements of XC @ around 1.30300 zone confirming completion of the harmonic pattern at point D. iv. Having observed this, it's pertinent that I state here that a strong rejection of Key level with an engulfing candle shall force me to revert to last week's bias (see link below) as this means that the Buyers are yet to find the momentum to raise the roof! Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 250 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:3 Potential Duration: 4 to 10 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
USDCAD | MY PERSPECTIVE FOR THE WEEKAs price moved over 150pips in our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes); the Canadian dollar continues to benefit from the modest sort-rate spread between US and Canadian bonds. Friday's market watch posted a considerable gain for the CAD as it closed the day with an engulfing Bearish candle... this view at the market pre-empt me to consider a Bearish bias on this pair as I continue to look out for selling opportunity off sensitive resistance level on lower timeframes. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Trendline | Support & Resistance | Breakdown Observation: i. Price action continues to fall within the confines of my Bearish Trendline represented on the chart. ii. Breakdown of my Key level @ 1.31500 during the week (Thursday - 27th August) followed by a possible retest of this level is more than enough for me to initiate a SELL on this one! iii. My 1.31500 level shall be a yardstick to hold my SELL bias in the coming week. iv. Having explained this, it's pertinent that I state here that a Breakout/Retest of this Key level might render this set-up invalid as a Rally could be in the air. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 120 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:3 Potential Duration: 4 to 10 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. NirvanaForex Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
USDCAD | MY PERSPECTIVE FOR THE NEW WEEKThe price moved over 200pips in our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes) even though the Greenback advanced to a fresh daily high of 1.3235 on Friday but lost its traction amidst "quick sells" ahead of the weekend. The USDCAD failing to settle above resistance level @ 1.32400 insinuates that Buyers lack the momentum to rally price making a decline in the following week a more feasible window to keep finding an opportunity to sell the Dollar. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Trendline Observation: i. Since the price broke down 1.32500 level on the 12th of Aug. 2020, it keeps retesting this level affirming a Bearish bias on this one. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:3 Potential Duration: 1 to 4 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. NirvanaForex Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
USDCAD | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE WEEKMy bias on this publication last week (see link below for reference purposes) was rendered invalid as price broke down 1.33800 level given rise to a stronger CAD, which might result in a further decline as price retest 1.38000 level. The Loonie appears to begin the rally off of a backdrop of upside economic surprises and stronger commodity prices. Buyers couldn't continue the moment despite good figures resulting from NFP positive outlook on Friday as the price appears to stall at 1.33800 (Breakdown zone). Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Channel Observation: i. Since Breakdown/Retest of 1.35000 level in mid-July 2020, the Bulls have found it immensely difficult to raise the bar resulting in a Channel to the downside. ii. As selling pressure increase from my Key level @ 1.35000, I shall be looking out for Sell confirmation in the coming week on this pair. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:3 Potential Duration: 2 to 6 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. NirvanaForex Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
USDCAD | WEEKLY PERSPECTIVEThe USD/CAD pair struggled to make a decisive move in either direction after the macroeconomic data releases from Canada and the United States on Friday - 31st July 2020. With 90pips in our direction from my last week publication (see link below for reference purposes), a possible rally continuation is looming as we experience a Breakout off of our Trendline and Resistance @ 1.33700 during the course of last week. Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Breakout | Channel | Reversal Pattern Observation: i. The fall of USD since mid-July 2020 appears to stall at 1.33600 zone (Buying Pressure zone) as the price continues to find it difficult to break further down. ii. The spring of a Bullish candle (Breaking out off of my Trendline) later in the week is a sensitive sign that emphasizes Buyer's strength at this juncture in the market. iii. Looking out for completion of retracement from Engulfing run in anticipation of a rally in the following week(s). Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 100 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:2. Potential Duration: 2 to 7 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. NirvanaForex Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry