Can USDCAD Hold 1.387 Support as Pressure Mounts?FxNews —The U.S. Dollar began a pullback against the Canadian Dollar after peaking at the 1.395 resistance on August 5. This dip aligns with an overbought signal from the Stochastic Oscillator since October 10. Currently, USD/CAD is around 1.387, filling the Fair Value Gap.
In the 4-hour chart, despite the recent decline, USD/CAD remains above the 100-SMA, keeping the main trend bullish. However, the Awesome Oscillator has turned bearish, and the Stochastic is below 20, signaling a potential consolidation phase.
> Immediate Support: 1.387
> Next Support: 1.382 (100-SMA)
> Critical Support: October 17 low at 1.375
> Resistance Levels: 1.395, 1.40
Forecast
If bears (sellers) close below 1.387, the current downtrend could extend to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, backed by the 100-period simple moving average.
Usdcadtechnicalanalysis
USDCAD I Bearish flag continuation Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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USDCAD Analysis 12Oct2023In my analysis of USDCAD, I identified a potential buying opportunity in the Fibonacci retracement zone of 0.236 to the SND area. The market structure still shows a series of bullish trends, indicating a possible upward trend. However, it is important to note that this analysis will be invalidated if the price drops below a certain level. Therefore, it is essential to keep an eye on the price movement and adjust the strategy accordingly.
USDCAD Analysis 10Sep2023If you follow my analysis since the beginning of August until now, the USDCAD pair is still in accordance with the initial analysis. bullish for one full month. At present the price is close to the trendline that applies as resistance. If we pull the Fibo Extension, then the price is likely to go to Fibo 0.5 - 0.618 before the price is corrected.
USDCAD Analysis 9July2023on this fibo extension, it looks like wave a = wave c. when wave c has the same length as wave a and there is a correction, there is a possibility that this correction will approach the invalid area. if you want to go long, it is better to wait for a saturated candle in the SnD area.
USDCAD - FUNDAMENTAS WITH TECHNICAL LEVELS#USDCAD
USDCAD is now quite BUY. This is because OIL is slightly WEAK, CAD is WEAK and USD is slightly UP with RETAIL SALES being POSITIVE. Also, MARKETS RISK has been ON again due to this reason. But this time US CPI data was NEGATIVE. The FOMC OUTLOOK was also very NEUTRAL. But with RETAIL SALES, ISM MANUFACTURING DATA, and FED UPDATES, this situation has changed. Therefore, if the FED continues to be HAWKISH, the USD can definitely go UP. So stay tuned for FED UPDATES.
USDCAD MARKET is currently DOWN due to US DATA and UPDATES being NEGATIVE and MARKET SENTIMENT being RISK ON. We think it will go up to the 1.3852 level before going down again. Also, with this MARKET RISK ON SENTIMENT, the USDCAD PRICE can SELL to the 1.3000 LEVEL in the future.
In any case, there will be an opportunity to SELL USDCAD up to 1.2800 LEVEL. We wait until the DOWN TREND CONTINUES. MONDAY may be RISK ON again according to MARKET UPDATES. So follow the given STRUCTURE. It is seen that the OVERALL MARKET SENTIMENT has become POSITIVE.
USDCAD - FUNDAMENTAS WITH TECHNICAL LEVELS#USDCAD
USDCAD is currently DOW. This is because the CAD is quite STRONG and the US CPI DATA is quite MIXED. Currently, MARKETS OVERALL RISK is being ON. For that reason, we see that CAD is becoming quite STRONG. They are currently working to make the USD STRONG with ECONOMIC DATA. Therefore, STOCKS can go down again according to US ECONOMIC DATA this week.
But right now, USDCAD is selling quite a bit. Because USDCAD was BUY very fast in previous days. That's why now USDCAD CORRECTION is going on. Anyway, based on the price of USDCAD, we think that it will go back up to the 1.3220 level due to some market sentiment given by the FED and ECONOMIC DATA.
Either way USDCAD SELL opportunity will return to 1.2720 most likely after FED MEETING again. We are waiting for the DOWNSIDE TREND LINE to BREAK.
USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#USDCAD
USDCAD is currently going UP. This is because the CAD is quite WEAK and the US CPI DATA is very POSITIVE. Currently, MARKETS OVERALL RISK is being OFF. For that reason, we can see that CAD is becoming quite WEAK. They are currently working to make the USD STRONG with ECONOMIC DATA. Therefore, according to today's US ECONOMIC DATA, STOCKS can go down again.
But now USDCAD is getting quite BUY. Anyway, based on the price of USDCAD, we think that it will go back up to the 1.3320 level due to some market sentiment given by the FED and ECONOMIC DATA.
USDCAD - FUNDAMENTAS WITH TECHNICAL LEVELS USDCAD is currently DOWN. This is because CAD is STRONG. They are currently working to STRONG USD. So it could be STOCKS DOWN again.
But right now USDCAD is going down very well in a DOWNSIDE CHANNEL. We think it will be down to 1.2714 LEVEL again due to some NEGATIVE SENTIMENT given by FED.
However, the USDCAD UP will have the opportunity to return to 1.3189 after the FED MEETING. We are waiting to see how to BREAK the DOWNSIDE TREND LINE.
USDCAD - FUNDAMENTAS WITH TECHNICAL LEVELS DXY currently stands at 103.100 LEVEL. The USD has been slightly WEAK since the MARKET RISK ON in the last few days. Also, at present the CAD FEATURE is at 0.7873 LEVEL. However, CAD is a bit WEAK compared to DXY. Due to this USDCAD is becoming BUY. This is because USD gets a POSITIVE SENTIMENT and USD gets a RATE HIKE SENTIMENT.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is showing RISK OFF. STOCKS is currently RED showing a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit UP. Also COMMODITIES show a DOWN SIDE BIAS today. Currently the MARKET has a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. Therefore, in the future, all NZD CAD AUD currencies may be slightly lower compared to JPY CHF and USD currencies.
- USDCAD PRICE can be DOWN to 1.2587 LEVEL before re-UP. After that the USDCAD PRICE can be UP again to 1.2979 LEVEL. The USD is slightly stronger at this time due to the MARKET SENTIMENT. The OIL PRICE applies to USDCAD, and the decisions made at OPEC MEETING will have the greatest impact on USDCAD. DXY UP can be from FOMC UPDATES in the future. So stay tuned for that.
USDCAD - FUNDAMENTAS WITH TECHNICAL LEVELS- DXY currently stands at 102.60 LEVEL. The USD has been slightly WEAK since the MARKET RISK ON in the last few days. Also, at present the CAD FEATURE is at 0.7935 LEVEL. However, CAD is getting a bit STRONG compared to DXY. Due to this USDCAD is selling. This is because USD receives a NEGATIVE SENTIMENT and a CAD RATE HIKE.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is showing RISK OFF. STOCKS is currently RED showing a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit UP. Also COMMODITIES show a MIXED BIAS today. Currently the MARKET has a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. Therefore, in the future, all NZD CAD AUD currencies may be slightly lower compared to JPY CHF and USD currencies.
- USDCAD PRICE can be DOWN to 1.2523 LEVEL before re-UP. After that the USDCAD PRICE can be UP again to 1.2979 LEVEL. The USD is slightly WEAK at this time due to the MARKET SENTIMENT. But over time, that is likely to change. The OIL PRICE applies to USDCAD, and the decisions made at OPEC MEETING will have the greatest impact on USDCAD. DXY UP can be from FOMC UPDATES in the future. So stay tuned for that.
USDCAD - FUNDAMENTAS WITH TECHNICAL LEVELS- DXY is currently at 102.330 LEVEL. You may remember that USD was slightly WEAK with the recent MARKET RISK ON. Also, at present the CAD FEATURE is at 0.7900 LEVEL. However, CAD is getting a bit STRONG compared to DXY. Due to this USDCAD is selling. This is because USD receives a NEGATIVE SENTIMENT and a CAD RATE HIKE.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is showing RISK OFF. STOCKS is currently RED showing a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit UP. Also COMMODITIES show a MIXED BIAS today. Currently the MARKET has a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. Therefore, in the future, all NZD CAD AUD currencies may be slightly lower compared to JPY CHF and USD currencies.
- USDCAD PRICE can be DOWN to 1.2523 LEVEL before re-UP. After that the USDCAD PRICE can be UP again to 1.2979 LEVEL. The USD is slightly WEAK at this time due to the MARKET SENTIMENT. But over time, that is likely to change. The OIL PRICE applies to USDCAD, and the decisions made at OPEC MEETING will have the greatest impact on USDCAD. DXY UP can be from FOMC UPDATES in the future. So stay tuned for that.
USDCAD - FUNDAMENTAS WITH TECHNICAL LEVELSToday there is a FOMC MEMBER SPEAK. It will look at the USD SENTIMENT somewhat. Stay tuned for that.
- DXY is currently at 101.482 LEVEL. USD has become STRONG with RATE HIKE SENTIMENT in the last few weeks. Also, at present the CAD FEATURE is at 0.7873 LEVEL. However, CAD is getting a bit STRONG compared to DXY. Due to this USDCAD is selling. This is because USD receives a NEGATIVE SENTIMENT.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is showing RISK ON. STOCKS is currently GREEN showing a RISK ON SENTIMENT. Also the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES show a UP SIDE BIAS today. Currently the market has a RISK ON SENTIMENT. Therefore, in the future, all NZD CAD AUD currencies may be UP compared to JPY CHF currencies.
- USDCAD PRICE can be DOWN to 1.2570 LEVEL before re-UP. After that the USDCAD PRICE can be UP again to 1.2979 LEVEL. The USD is slightly WEAK at this time due to the MARKET SENTIMENT. But over time, that is likely to change. The OIL PRICE applies to USDCAD, and the decisions made at OPEC MEETING will have the greatest impact on USDCAD. It could be DXY UP in the future. So stay tuned for that.
USDCAD - FUNDAMENTAS WITH TECHNICAL LEVELSToday there is a FOMC MEETING.
- DXY is currently at 102.175 LEVEL. USD has become STRONG with RATE HIKE SENTIMENT in the last few days. Also, at present the CAD FEATURE is at 0.7794 LEVEL. However, CAD is getting a bit STRONG compared to DXY. Due to this USDCAD is selling.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is showing a NEUTRAL BIAS. STOCKS is currently showing a GREEN RISK ON SENTIMENT. Also the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS. Currently the market has a NEUTRAL BIAS. Therefore, in the future, all NZD CAD AUD currencies may be UP or DOWN compared to JPY CHF currencies.
- USDCAD PRICE can be DOWN to 1.2664 LEVEL before re-UP. After that the USDCAD PRICE can be UP again to 1.3189 LEVEL. The USD is slightly WEAK at this time due to the MARKET SENTIMENT. But over time, that is likely to change. The OIL PRICE applies to USDCAD, and the decisions made at OPEC MEETING will have the greatest impact on USDCAD. It could be DXY UP in the future. So stay tuned for that.
USDCAD BUY TO SELL TRADE WITH TRENDUSDCAD has been on a downtrend on higher timeframes.
Current market structure appears to be finally moving to the upside. 1 Hour has stopped making a new low and has broke structure to the upside. Lower timeframes are in a countertrend moving towards our buy position.
If price breaks below current low, trades cancelled and we wait for next opportunity.
Higher timeframes bearish
Lower timeframes bullish
Buy to Sell, trade with the trend.
USDCAD - FUNDAMENTAS WITH TECHNICAL LEVELS- DXY currently stands at 103.64 LEVEL. USD has become STRONG with RATE HIKE SENTIMENT in the last few days. Also, at present the CAD FEATURE is at 0.7783 LEVEL.
However, CAD is getting a bit STRONG compared to DXY.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is showing a NEUTRAL BIAS. STOCKS is currently showing a MIXED RISK SENTIMENT. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS. Currently the market has a NEUTRAL BIAS. Therefore, in the future, all NZD CAD AUD currencies may be UP or DOWN compared to JPY CHF currencies.
- USDCAD PRICE can UP up to 1.2979 LEVEL before DOWNING again. After that the USDCAD PRICE can be down again to 1.2664 LEVEL. The USD is slightly stronger at this time due to the MARKET SENTIMENT. But over time, that is likely to change. The OIL PRICE applies to USDCAD, and the decisions made at OPEC MEETING will have the greatest impact on USDCAD. It could be DXY CORRECTION in the future because it has been BUY for the last few days. So stay tuned for that.
USDCAD - FUNDAMENTAS WITH TECHNICAL LEVELS⛔️ DXY is currently at 104.525 LEVEL. USD has become STRONG with RATE HIKE SENTIMENT in the last few days. Also, at present the CAD FEATURE is at 0.7692 LEVEL. However, CAD is a bit WEAK compared to DXY.
⛔️ The OVERALL MARKET is currently RISK ON on Friday. STOCKS is currently displaying a GREEN SIDE BIAS. Also the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES show a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK ON TONE in the market. Therefore, in the future, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be UP. Also JPY CHF can be DOWN.
⛔️ USDCAD PRICE can be UP to LEVEL 1.3189 before DOWN. Then the USDCAD PRICE can be down again up to 1.2800 LEVEL. The USD is slightly stronger at this time due to the MARKET SENTIMENT. But over time, that is likely to change. The OIL PRICE applies to USDCAD, and the decisions made at OPEC MEETING will have the greatest impact on USDCAD. It could be DXY CORRECTION in the future because it has been BUY for the last few days. So stay tuned for that.
USDCAD - FUNDAMENTAS WITH TECHNICAL LEVELS- A very important event took place yesterday. The US Federal Reserve raised their rates by .50%. Before that there was some talk among the traders about it. So after raising their rates, the US dollar weakened. This is because the USD has been BUY in the past due to the sentiment of traders on the rates they are raising. Other economic indicator data released yesterday also remained weak. Although the Canadian dollar does not have any special news for today, their employment data reports are due to be released tomorrow.
- DXY is currently at 102.816 LEVEL. USD has become STRONG with RATE HIKE SENTIMENT in the last few days. Also, the CAD FEATURE is slightly up to 0.7850 LEVEL. However, CAD is a bit WEAK compared to DXY.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. STOCKS is currently displaying a GREEN SIDE BIAS. But American STOCKS are going down a bit. And VOLATILITY is DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK ON BIAS on the market. Therefore, in the future, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be UP. Also JPY CHF can be DOWN.
- USDCAD PRICE can be DOWN to 1.2664 LEVEL before re-UP. Then the USDCAD PRICE can be UP again up to 1.2963 LEVEL. The USD is slightly WEAK at this time due to the MARKET SENTIMENT. But over time, that is likely to change. The OIL PRICE applies to USDCAD, and the decisions made at OPEC MEETING will have the greatest impact on USDCAD. It could be DXY CORRECTION in the future because it has been BUY for the last few days. So stay tuned for that.
USDCAD - ISM MANUFACTURING TODAY - The most important indicator data for the US dollar is due to be released today. ISM MANUFACTURING DATA is one of the most important DATA. So we need to look at the US dollar today. Also, the Canadian dollar is not showing any significant news today.
- DXY is currently at 103.72 LEVEL. USD has become STRONG in the last few days. Also, the CAD FEATURE is slightly down to 0.7767 LEVEL. However, compared to DXY, CAD is now WEAK due to OIL being DOWN.
- OVERALL MARKET is currently NEUTRAL. Last Friday also a NEUTRAL TONE was played in the NEWYORK SESSION on the MARKET. US STOCKS are currently showing a GREEN SIDE BIAS. And VOLATILITY is becoming UP. Also COMMODITIES still shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS. There is a NEUTRAL BIAS currently on the market. It's a bit more than the DOWN SIDE BIAS. Because it is VIX UP and EQUITIES NEUTRAL. We can not say for sure whether the MARKET SENTIMENT is UP or DOWN. But according to the data available so far we can say that MARKETS RISK is OFF.
- OIL PRICE is currently down a bit. It will inevitably affect CAD.
- USDCAD PRICE can be DOWN to 1.2772 LEVEL before UP. Then the USDCAD PRICE can be UP again up to 1.2963 LEVEL. The USD is slightly stronger at this time due to the MARKET SENTIMENT. The OIL PRICE applies to USDCAD, and the decisions made at OPEC MEETING will have the greatest impact on USDCAD. DXY is BUY because of the STRONG SENTIMENT that the US dollar has received so far, but it could be DXY CORRECTION in the future because it has been BUY for the last few days.
USDCAD - FUNDAMENTAS WITH TECHNICAL LEVELS- There is a very important EVENT for CAD today. BOC GOV. MACKLEM is going to do a SPEAK. It will make USDCAD VOLATILE. GDP, CORE PCE DATA for USD is due out this week. GDP DATA will also be released for CAD.
- DXY is currently at 101.553 LEVEL. USD has become STRONG in the last few days. Also, the CAD FEATURE is slightly down to 0.7852 LEVEL. However, compared to DXY, CAD is now WEAK due to OIL being DOWN.
- Currently the SENTIMENT of the OVERALL MARKET is NEGATIVE. Last week a RISK OFF TONE was PLAY. STOCKS Slightly shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS right now. And VOLATILITY is becoming UP. Also COMMODITIES still shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one DOWN SIDE BIAS in the market. So be careful when trading. We can not say for sure that the MARKET SENTIMENT will continue to be a DOWN SIDE CONTINUE. But according to the data available so far we can say that MARKETS RISK is OFF.
- OIL PRICE is currently down a bit. It will inevitably affect CAD. But TECHNICALLY USDCAD can go to SELL a bit faster in the next few days because a SUPPORT has a PRICE and RISK ON.
- USDCAD PRICE can be DOWN to 1.2685 LEVEL before UP. Then the USDCAD PRICE can be UP again up to 1.2909 LEVEL. The USD may be slightly STRONG in the coming days due to the MARKET SENTIMENT. The OIL PRICE applies to USDCAD, and the decisions made at OPEC MEETING will have the greatest impact on USDCAD.