USDCAD: Rejection expected on the 2 year Resistance Zone.USDCAD is bullish on the 1W timeframe (RSI = 60.180, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 23.071) and turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.243). This is taking place while the price is just underneath the 2 year R1 Zone, which has rejected the price 5 times already. The 1D RSI is also about to enter its R1 Zone. We expect another rejection towards the S1 level (TP = 1.34500).
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USDCAD: Sell signalUSDCAD is almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.464, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 19.851) as it rebounded on August's low. This is a similar price action to the April-May 2023 sequence and as long as the 1D MA50 contains the price under it, we will be bearish. Our Target is just over the S1 Zone (TP = 1.32500).
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USDCAD Strong sell following today's rejection.USDCAD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.081, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 32.778) as it formed a Lower High yesterday and today got sold aggressively. This is a Channel Down since the April 16th High, which having broken under the 1D MA50, has confirmed the continuation of the bearish price action. We expect the 1D RSI to at least hit the 30.000 level, as every rejection on the R1 Zone, saw the pair reach at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level. We are bearish, aiming at that level (TP = 1.34350).
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USDCAD: Short term buyUSDCAD is almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.021, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 15.874) as the price has been mostly ranging within the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci zone for the past two months. The 1D MA50 held and the push crossed over the 1D MA100 again, so on the short term we expect a HH on the 0.382 Fibonacci (TP = 1.36400). After that test, the price action since October 2022 (which is sideways) shows that most likely a pullback under the 0.618 Fib is to be expected.
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USDCAD: Buy signal on a very consistent long term pattern.USDCAD is marginally bullish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.352, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 48.167) as it crossed over the 1D MA50 and is testing the 1D MA100 as Resistance. The key level is the 0.5 Fibonacci line, if crossed, we will buy and target the 0.382 Fibonacci (TP = 1.36400). The next buy will be on the 0.618 Fibonacci level targeting the bottom of the R1 Zone.
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USDCAD: Sharp sell towards the annual low.USDCAD is being rejected on the 1D MA100, having turned bearish when ir crossed under the 1D MA50 on November 24th. The 1D technical outlook is naturally bearish (RSI = 40.749, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 31.294) giving us the ideal sell opportunity for an additional short, that will aim this time for a -4.00% decline from the top (TP = 1.33500). The 1D RSI is on a perfect symmetry with the April 10th rejection point.
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USDCAD: Has topped on a 1 year basis. Sell breakout signal aheadUSDCAD has been trading inside a 13 month Rectangle with clear R1 and S1 Zones. Right now the 1D technical outlook is slightly over the bullish mark (RSI = 56.814, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 33.246) as it is on LH after the November 1st rejection inside the R1 Zone.
This is an early sell signal but validation will come if the market closes a 1D candle under the 1D MA50, which hasn't happened since August 1st. If it does, we will target the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (TP = 1.33250).
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USDCAD: Testing the 4H MA200. Rejection ahead?USDCAD made a perfect rejection on our last signal exactly at the top of the twelve month Channel Up. You can see this at the bottom of the analysis. The price turned bullish however lately on the short term and the 4H timeframe (RSI = 60.972, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 26.230) as it rebounded at the bottom of the prevailing Channel Down that emerged. At the momemnt it is testing the 4H MA1200.
As long as the the price is trading inside the Channel Down, this is a sell opportunity on a 2-3 week stretch (TP = 1.32500).
Prior idea:
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USDCAD: Best sell signal since March.USDCAD is trading inside a Channel Down pattern that has almost completed 11 months of trend. The technicals on the 1D time-frame are overbought (RSI = 70.266, MACD = 0.007, ADX = 57.395) and that enhances the sell sentiment as the price approaches the top of the Channel Down.
The previous LH was priced a little over the 0.786 Fibonacci level. The formation of a Bearish MA50/100 Cross was after the top was in and technically we are only a week away from the new formation.
Consequently, we treat this as a sell opportunity, waiting to sell on the 0.786 Fibonacci, targeting the 0.118 (TP = 1.32000) as the April 14th low.
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USDCAD on its Rising Support. Trade around it.The USDCAD pair is on the Rising Support that is holding for more than a month.
There is also the Support Zone (1.36280 - 1.36480) that is holding for 2 weeks.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy as long as the Rising Support holds.
2. Sell if the Support Zone breaks (i.e. closes a candle under it).
Targets:
1. 1.3800 (Resistance (1)).
2. 1.3555 (Support (1) and Fibonacci 0.5).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is also on a 2 week Support. This is technically a short-term bullish sign.
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USDCAD set to stall at or break key resistance?Hello to our subscribers and the TradingView community welcome to Wednesday’s update. With oil tumbling and the USD jumping, we can only think of one pair that benefits from those two moves. The USDCAD is highly driven on both fronts, and the CAD is a commodity currency that generally tracks oil’s fortunes. The USD, well yeh enough said.
Last night we saw key moves on oil and the USD. Oil shed up to 10% and briefly traded below the $100 level. The USD shot higher, the index trading above 106.50.
Looking at the daily USDCAD chart below, we can see that price continues to trade in a new fast trend after buyers took control on the 8th of June. Since then, we have seen one reaction that set up demand and an HL late in June. Buying has continued into July, with traders retesting key resistance and supply areas that have stood since May.
The recent resistance and supply lines up with a longer-term level of supply /resistance that runs back to November 2020. This is our line in the sand that buyers must break to continue the current trend. If we see a break above these levels, it could be game on with 1.31 and 1.32 or higher a possibility. Fail, and we would look for a new move to possibly retest the 1.2850 area.
It’s really up to buyers and mainly USD momentum to continue to drive the current buyer move. The Fed minutes are due out today at 04:00 am AEST, and they could play a role in the current short-term USD pulse.
Good trading.