USD/CHF - Triangle Breakout (06.06.2025)The USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.8263
2nd Resistance – 0.8227
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USDCHF
USD/CHF 4H Bearish Setup: FVG Rejection & EMA Resistance Strateg🔵 Chart Structure
🔻 Downtrend Identified
* Lower highs & lower lows forming.
* Resistance line sloping down 📉.
🧲 EMA 70 (0.82387)
* Acting as dynamic resistance 🔴.
* Price currently sitting just below it ⬇️.
💠 FVG (Fair Value Gap) — 0.82441 to 0.83097
* Price expected to fill the imbalance here.
* Confluence with resistance = 🔥 ideal sell zone.
🎯 Trade Plan (Short Setup)
🟦 Entry Point:
* 💥 0.82415
* Just under EMA + inside FVG zone.
🛑 Stop Loss:
* ❌ 0.83110
* Above FVG + above previous high = protected stop.
🎯 Take Profit:
* ✅ 0.80150
* Near prior demand zone + horizontal support.
* Target zone clearly marked in light blue 🧊.
⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio
🎲 Estimated around 2.5:1 or better.
✅ High reward potential if resistance holds.
⚠️ Caution / Notes
🔎 Watch for bearish confirmation candles 🕯️ at entry zone.
📆 Be aware of economic news that could impact USD or CHF.
🧪 If price closes above 0.83110, setup becomes invalid ❌.
📌 Summary
Element Level Emoji
🔵 Entry 0.82415 💥
🛑 Stop Loss 0.83110 ❌
✅ Take Profit 0.80150 🎯
🔻 Trend Bias Bearish 📉
📐 Tools Used EMA, FVG, Resistance 📊
USDCHF - Follow The Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈USDCHF has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel marked in orange. And it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper orange trendline and structure.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDCHF approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCHF Primed for Monster Move to 0.92? Here's Why!In today’s video, I break down a potentially strong bullish opportunity on USDCHF and why, with the right entry signal, we might see a solid push up towards 0.88 and eventually 0.92 in the weeks and months ahead.
First off, let's check the monthly chart. In April, price finally broke and closed below the major 0.84 support, a level that held firm since 2011. Below, I've marked the massive buy zone created around the 2011 lows—interestingly, depending on your broker, you’ll notice this zone was tested during the dramatic Swiss franc unpegging event back in 2015 as well.
But here's why I don’t think we’re headed down to retest that monthly zone anytime soon. Zooming into the weekly charts, we clearly see a key weekly buy zone. This was actually the origin point for the massive move up from the 2011 lows to 0.95. This exact weekly level is already proving its significance again, given the strong buying reaction we saw here in May.
Now, zooming further into the daily charts, we had a nice bounce at that weekly buy zone, pushing price back up to retest the previous support at 0.84. If the market truly wanted lower prices, we would've seen a sharp sell-off from there. Instead, price has slowly been grinding lower, forming a clear W double-bottom pattern—a powerful reversal signal.
This all points to higher prices ahead, especially considering USDCHF currently offers one of the most attractive swap carry opportunities due to the interest rate differentials and the SNB’s hints about possibly returning to negative rates to weaken the franc.
Here's my game plan:
Wait patiently for the next bullish daily candle with a clear close above 0.83.
My first target will be the 0.88 area (previous strong resistance and weekly sell zone).
The longer-term target will be around the 0.92 resistance zone.
My stop loss will be placed comfortably below 0.80. Should we spike lower to that level, I'll remain alert for another high-probability bullish entry signal.
Let me know your thoughts below!
USDCHF Will Go Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.819.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.831 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.8114, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 0.8192, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.8038, a swing low support.
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AUDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDCHF is currently breaking out of a textbook falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart, signaling a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Price action has been consolidating within this structure for several weeks, creating lower highs and lower lows, but with clear bullish divergence beginning to show up in recent sessions. The breakout around the 0.53300 zone marks a significant technical confirmation that bulls are taking control, with eyes now on the 0.54400 target.
From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian dollar is gaining strength backed by hawkish sentiment from the RBA. Despite global uncertainties, the RBA’s firm stance on managing inflation is keeping the Aussie resilient. On the flip side, the Swiss franc has been showing signs of relative weakness due to softer inflation readings and safe-haven outflows as global risk sentiment improves. This macro backdrop is creating favorable conditions for AUDCHF to rally.
Technically, this breakout aligns with strong market structure and volume support, making this a high-conviction bullish setup. The breakout candle is closing above resistance with momentum, and as long as price holds above the 0.53250–0.53000 zone, bulls are likely to maintain control. With the falling wedge breakout and favorable risk-reward setup, the upside move toward 0.54400 looks increasingly probable.
This is a clean price action play with fundamental alignment. The breakout not only confirms the end of the previous downtrend, but also opens up space for a bullish wave to unfold. Momentum traders and swing traders will want to watch this closely as AUDCHF transitions from accumulation to a potential bullish expansion phase.
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Upside BreakMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Upside Break
USD/CHF is rising and might aim for a move towards the 0.8250 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today
- USD/CHF is showing positive signs above the 0.8200 resistance zone.
- There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8180 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CHF Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair declined heavily below the 0.8250 level before the bulls appeared. The US Dollar tested 0.8160 and recently started a fresh increase against the Swiss Franc.
The pair climbed above the 0.8200 resistance zone. There was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8337 swing high to the 0.8157 low. Besides, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8180.
The bulls are now facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8337 swing high to the 0.8157 low at 0.8250. The next major resistance is 0.8295.
The main resistance is near 0.8335. If there is a clear break above 0.8335 and the RSI remains above 50, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could test 0.8420.
If there is another decline, the pair might test the 0.8200 support. The first major support on the USD/CHF chart is near the 0.8160 zone. A downside break below 0.8160 might spark bearish moves. The next major support is near the 0.8120 pivot level. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move towards the 0.8050 level in the near term.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDCHF H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 0.8257, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.8190, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 0.8346, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Potential bearish drop off pullback resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 0.8199
1st Support: 0.8113
1st Resistance: 0.8267
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USDCHF H1 I Bullish Bounce Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 0.8185, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 0.8206, a pullback resistance that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss is placed at 0.8156, a swing lows support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8251
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8313
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8112
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
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USD/CHF Head and Shoulders Breakdown in FocusUSD/CHF has carved out a head and shoulders top on the daily chart, setting up a potential move lower. If this bearish pattern plays out, the downside target sits around 0.7895. But keep an eye on the April low (0.8040) and the 0.80 handle — both could act as support if price keeps falling.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
USD-CHF Head And Shoulders Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF formed a H&S
Pattern and then made a
Bearish breakout which is
Confirmed so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
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USD/CHF Setup Breaking Down: Don’t Get Caught Long This TrapUSD/CHF is currently trading at a critical technical and macro-structural juncture. Price is hovering within the weekly support area between 0.8050 and 0.8200, a zone that has historically triggered significant bullish reactions. However, the latest weekly candle closed below the psychological 0.8200 level, showing a clear rejection of upper resistance and signaling a lack of buying strength on the U.S. dollar side. This weak closure undermines the bullish structure and opens the door for a potential continuation of the downtrend—especially if price breaks below the 0.8150 mark on the daily or H4 timeframe.
From a seasonal standpoint, June has historically been a bearish month for USD/CHF. Monthly average returns over the past 20, 15, 10, and 5 years confirm steady downside pressure on the dollar against the Swiss franc. Only the 2-year average shows a slight positive bias, but it remains an outlier against the broader seasonal trend. This supports the idea that the recent weakness is not only technical but also cyclical in nature.
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reinforces this bearish view. On the Swiss franc side, commercial traders (typically the most informed and hedging-oriented participants) are heavily net long, while non-commercial traders (speculators) remain significantly net short. This imbalance is often seen around reversal points and may indicate rising CHF strength. On the U.S. dollar side, positioning is far more balanced—the Dollar Index COT shows a neutral stance, with non-commercials slightly net long but without any dominant momentum. This confirms there’s currently no structural strength behind the dollar to justify a meaningful rebound in USD/CHF.
Lastly, retail sentiment provides a classic contrarian signal: over 90% of retail traders are long on USD/CHF, with only 10% short. This extreme imbalance typically occurs ahead of bearish breakdowns, as institutional players tend to fade overcrowded retail positions.
In conclusion, USD/CHF remains vulnerable to further downside. The weekly price action is weak, seasonal trends are dollar-negative, COT positioning favors CHF strength, and retail sentiment is extremely long-biased. All factors align toward a likely bearish continuation, with technical targets in the 0.8080–0.8050 range. The only alternative scenario would require a strong H4/H1 bullish reaction with a reclaim of 0.8220—but at this stage, that appears unlikely without a major macro catalyst.
USD/CHF Short Trade IdeaUSD/CHF Short Trade Idea
Renewed USD weakness triggered by fresh US tariff threats, a deepening US-China trade rift, and US fiscal instability underpin CHF demand. Technically, strong bearish momentum remains below 0.8300. Current trading around 0.8180 confirms downside bias.
USD/CHF (Short):
With the USD under persistent pressure from tariff-related uncertainties and deteriorating US-China relations, safe-haven demand for CHF remains elevated. Technical analysis confirms a bearish bias below key resistance at 0.8300. Selling rallies towards 0.8210–0.8240 provides an attractive risk-reward profile targeting recent lows at 0.8100, and potentially extending to the year-to-date trough around 0.8035.
USD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the USD/CHF pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 0.817 level.
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USDCHF SELL IDEAUSDCHF is Ready to continue It's SELL Move to the higher time frame recent swing low of 0.803.
SELL IDEA BREAKDOWN;
Weekly is bearish and price is moving closer to the 0.803 swing low.
Daily is also bearish, price is moving towards the weekly swing low.
4HR had a bearish break in market structure, followed by a retest of the recent swing low that was broken by price to give MSS.
My entry was taken after the formation of a swing low and price is done retesting the old low.
This is a continuation trade.
USDCHF H1 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 0.8257, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.8218, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 0.8287, a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.