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Usdchf!

Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level that is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.8962 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.8929 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 0.9003 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗USD/CHF "The Swissy" ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗ Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! profits await!" however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or swing low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (0.90700) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 0.88500 & 0.88000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook: USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term,{{{(>HIGH CHANCE FOR BULLISHNESS IN FUTURE<)}}} driven by several key factors. ⭐1. Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis evaluates the economic indicators driving the USD/CHF pair: US Economic Indicators: GDP Growth: 2.3% – Indicates robust economic expansion. Inflation: 3% – Moderately high, suggesting potential for further monetary tightening. Interest Rates: 4.5% – Significantly higher than Switzerland, attracting capital flows to the USD. Trade Balance: Deficit of -98.43 billion USD – A persistent deficit, though offset by strong growth and yield appeal. Switzerland Economic Indicators: GDP Growth: 0.2% – Slow growth, reflecting a weaker economic performance. Inflation: 0.4% – Very low, indicating stable but minimal price pressures. Interest Rates: 0.5% – Low rates, reducing attractiveness for CHF-denominated assets. Trade Balance: Surplus of 4029 million CHF – A positive factor, though overshadowed by interest rate differentials. Key Insight: The significant interest rate differential (4.5% vs. 0.5%) favors the USD, potentially driving capital outflows from CHF to USD, supporting a bullish USD/CHF outlook. ⭐2. Macroeconomic Factors Macroeconomic conditions provide context for currency movements: Global GDP Growth: Projected at 3.3% for 2025, with mixed regional performances. US Economy: Strong growth (2.3%) and higher inflation (3%) may prompt the Federal Reserve to maintain or increase rates, bolstering the USD. Swiss Economy: Low growth (0.2%) and inflation (0.4%) suggest the Swiss National Bank will maintain a stable, low-rate policy, limiting CHF strength. Commodity Prices: Expected to decline, which typically supports the USD due to its inverse correlation with commodities. Stock Markets: International stocks outperforming US markets could influence risk sentiment, though this has a muted direct impact on USD/CHF. Key Insight: Stronger US macroeconomic fundamentals versus Switzerland’s stability tilt the balance toward USD appreciation. ⭐3. Global Market Analysis Global factors influencing the USD/CHF pair: Geopolitical Events: Potential tensions could boost CHF as a safe-haven currency, though no specific events are currently noted. Central Bank Policies: Federal Reserve: Possible further rate hikes if US data remains strong, supporting USD. Swiss National Bank: Likely to maintain low rates, limiting CHF upside. Commodity Trends: Declining prices may bolster USD strength, given its commodity inverse relationship. Market Performance: Mixed global stock performance suggests neutral risk sentiment, with minimal immediate impact on USD/CHF. Key Insight: Absent major risk-off events, the USD benefits from higher yields and a stable global outlook. ⭐4. COT Data (Commitment of Traders) COT data reflects trader positioning: Non-Commercial Traders: Likely net long USD against CHF, driven by the interest rate differential and stronger US economic outlook. Trend: Increasing long positions in USD suggest bullish sentiment among speculators. Key Insight: Bullish positioning in COT data aligns with economic fundamentals, reinforcing a positive USD/CHF outlook. ⭐5. Intermarket Analysis Correlations with other asset classes: USD and Commodities: Typically inversely correlated; declining commodity prices could strengthen the USD. CHF as Safe-Haven: Positively correlated with gold and JPY; CHF may gain in risk-off scenarios, though current conditions favor risk-on sentiment. Stock Market Influence: Mixed performance has a limited direct effect, but a shift to risk-off could support CHF. Key Insight: Declining commodity prices favor USD, while CHF’s safe-haven appeal remains a potential counterforce in adverse conditions. ⭐6. Quantitative Analysis Technical indicators based on the current price of 0.89700: Moving Averages: Assuming the price is above key moving averages (e.g., 50-day or 200-day), this suggests an uptrend. Relative Strength Index (RSI): If not in overbought territory (e.g., below 70), there’s room for further gains. Support/Resistance Levels: Support: 0.8900 – A potential downside target if the trend reverses. Resistance: 0.9009 and 0.9026 – Upside targets if bullish momentum continues. Key Insight: Technicals suggest an uptrend, with potential to test higher resistance levels. ⭐7. Market Sentiment Analysis Sentiment gauged from trader behavior: Current Sentiment: Likely moderately bullish on USD/CHF, reflecting economic and technical factors. Contrarian Risk: Extreme bullish sentiment could signal a reversal, but current levels appear sustainable. Key Insight: Sentiment supports a bullish outlook, though traders should monitor for overcrowding. ⭐8. Positioning Trader positioning insights: Speculative Positions: Increased long positions in USD, as per COT data assumptions, indicate confidence in further gains. Institutional Flows: Higher US yields likely attract institutional capital to USD assets. Key Insight: Positioning reinforces the bullish case for USD/CHF. ⭐9. Next Trend Move Direction: Likely upward, driven by interest rate differentials, technical momentum, and economic strength. Key Insight: The next move favors an upward continuation, barring unexpected economic or geopolitical shifts. Short-Term Outlook: The USD/CHF pair could experience downward pressure in the near term, potentially testing key support levels such as 0.8900. If this level is breached, the pair might decline further toward 0.8850 or lower. ⭐10. Overall Summary Outlook Summary: The USD/CHF pair, at 0.89700 on March 4, 2025, exhibits a bullish outlook. Key drivers include the significant US-Switzerland interest rate differential (4.5% vs. 0.5%), stronger US GDP growth (2.3% vs. 0.2%), and higher inflation (3% vs. 0.4%). Technical indicators suggest an uptrend, supported by bullish trader positioning and declining commodity price expectations. Risks include potential global risk-off events boosting CHF’s safe-haven status or weaker-than-expected US data tempering Fed rate hike expectations. However, the prevailing trend points to further USD appreciation. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
by Thief_Trader
USDCHF H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 0.8987, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 0.8947, an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 0.8928, an overlap resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support. Pivot: 0.9043 1st Support: 0.8906 1st Resistance: 0.9171 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
USDCHF Bearish Momentum - Will It Reach 0.88580?OANDA:USDCHF has broken below a key support zone, which has now flipped to resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong seller interest and reinforcing the bearish outlook. With momentum favoring the downside, the next logical target is 0.88580, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel. As long as the price remains below the resistance zone, the bearish bias stays intact.
Short
by DanieIM
1
USDCHF - Sell Setup at Key Supply ZoneOANDA:USDCHF has reached a key supply zone, highlighted by strong selling interest. This area has historically acted as a resistance level, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms resistance within this zone, we could see further downside movement. A successful rejection could push the pair toward 0.89940, a logical target based on prior price behavior and the current structure. However, if the price breaks and holds above this resistance, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially leading to further upside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
5
USDCHF sideways consolidation The USD/CHF currency pair remains in a bullish trend, supported by the longer-term uptrend. However, recent intraday price action has been consolidating near the previous breakout zone, signaling a potential buildup before the next directional move. Bullish Scenario: The key level to watch is 0.8950, which aligns with the previous consolidation range and the support trendline zone. A corrective pullback toward 0.8950, followed by a bullish bounce, could reinforce the uptrend. If buyers regain control, upside targets include 0.9050, followed by 0.9074, with 0.9120 acting as a key longer-term resistance. Bearish Scenario: A confirmed breakdown below 0.8950 on a daily close would weaken the bullish outlook. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward 0.8913, with further downside potential extending to 0.8860 if selling pressure persists. A sustained move below 0.8860 could indicate a broader shift in trend, increasing the risk of further declines. Conclusion: While the overall trend remains bullish, the ongoing sideways consolidation suggests a potential retest of 0.8950 before the next move. A bounce from this level could reaffirm the uptrend, while a break below 0.8950 would expose further downside risks. Traders should monitor price action around this critical support zone for confirmation of the next trend direction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.9052 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.9097 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.9003 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
1
USD/CHF Breaks Key Support – Bears Taking Control?The USD/CHF pair has decisively broken below its 200-EMA (0.8887) and key horizontal support (0.8915), signaling a potential shift in momentum toward further downside. After failing to hold above 0.90, sellers have stepped in, dragging price action lower. 🔍 Technical Overview: ✅ Support Break – The loss of 0.8915 puts 0.88 in focus. ✅ 200-EMA Breached – A significant bearish technical development. ✅ RSI at 37.52 – Momentum is weak but not yet oversold. ✅ MACD Bearish – The bearish crossover remains intact, confirming downward pressure. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 0.8915 – Broken support, now resistance; bears defending it strongly. 🔹 0.8800 – Next major support level; a break below could accelerate selling. 🔹 0.9000 – Bullish recovery only valid above this level. 💡 Trading Outlook: 🔻 Bearish case: As long as USD/CHF remains below 0.8915, bears are in control. If 0.88 breaks, it could open the door toward 0.87. 🔺 Bullish case: Buyers need to reclaim 0.8915 and the 200-EMA to shift momentum back in their favor. With the USD showing weakness, CHF bulls could push further downside. Is this the start of a new downtrend, or will buyers step in at 0.88? 🚨
by FOREXcom
USDCHF Trade ideaThe currency pair lost its shine on board-based US dollar selling. It hit an intraday low of 0.88717 and is currently trading around 0.89060. The intraday bias appears to be bearish as long as the resistance 0.9035 holds. Technical Analysis and Resistance Levels The pair is trading below the 34-EMA and 55-EMA on the 4-hour chart indicating a bearish trend. The immediate resistance is at 0.8940 any break above targets 0.9000/0.9035/0.9070/0.9100/0.9150/0.9200/0.92250/0.9275/0.9030. Support Levels and Potential Declines On the downside, near-term support is around 0.8890, any violation below will drag the pair to 0.8800/0.8720. Indicators CCI (50) - Bearish Directional movement Index - Bearish Trading Strategy Recommendation It is good to sell on rallies around 0.8955-57 with a stop-loss at 0.9000 for a TP of 0.8800.
Short
by adiechiii
USDCHF H1 | Bearish BreakoutBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently testing our sell entry at 0.9016. A bearish breakout from this level could drop toward our take profit, which will be at 0.8973, an overlap support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 0.9054, which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
USD/CHF Wedge Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/CHF pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.9138 2nd Resistance – 0.9221 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
USD/CHF Approaching Key Resistance – Potential Reversal Ahead?Analysis & Description: The USD/CHF pair is currently testing a **strong resistance zone**, which previously acted as a significant **supply area**. Price has approached this **key level**, and a potential **rejection** could lead to a bearish move. #### **Key Observations:** ✅ **Resistance Area (Supply Zone):** Price is retesting a previously respected **resistance** zone. ✅ **Bearish Setup:** If the price fails to break above the **0.90607 level**, a **reversal** could take the pair lower toward the **target area**. ✅ **Volume Confirmation:** Increasing volume near resistance indicates potential selling pressure. ### **Trading Plan:** 📉 **Bearish Scenario:** - A rejection at **resistance** could lead to a move down toward **0.89267**, aligning with previous support. - **Stop-loss** can be placed above **0.90607** in case of a breakout. ⚠️ **Bullish Risk:** - If the price **breaks and holds above the resistance**, the bearish setup could be invalid, and further upside may occur. ### **Final Thought:** USD/CHF is at a **crucial decision point**. Traders should **watch price action closely** for confirmation of either a **breakout or a rejection** before making a move! 🚨📊
Short
by NexusTradesZone
Potential bullish rise?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.8976 1st Support: 0.8940 1st Resistance: 0.9049 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Swiss franc dips as Swiss GDP declinesThe Swiss franc is down for a second straight trading day.  In the European session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.8980, up 0.38% on the day. The Swiss economy slowed to 0.2% q/q in the fourth quarter of 2024, down from 0.4% in Q3 and in line with expectations.  This was the weakest expansion since Q2 2023.  Construction weakened in the fourth quarter but manufacturing and exports rebounded from the previous quarter.  Annualized, GDP rose 1.5%, down from 1.9% in Q3, the softest expansion in three quarters. The weak GDP data supports the case for the Swiss National Bank to lower interest rates.  The central bank is in the midst of an easing cycle and showed its aggressive side in December when it chopped rates by 50 basis points, bringing the cash rate to 0.50%. The SNB only meets on a quarterly basis, magnifying the importance of each meeting.  The next meeting is on March 20 and the markets have priced in a 25-bps cut at close to 100%.  There are two key factors that Bank policymakers will be looking ahead of a rate decision - inflation levels and the exchange rate. Inflation has fallen by 0.1% for four consecutive months and is putting pressure on the SNB to continue lowering rates.  The next inflation report is on March 5 and another soft report would cement a rate cut at next month's meeting.  The SNB also uses monetary policy to ensure that the Swiss franc is not too strong, which would hurt the export sector. The US releases second-estimate GDP for the fourth quarter of 2024 later today. The initial estimate came in at 2.3%, down from 3.2% in the third quarter. The US economy remains strong and inflation has been largely contained. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates this year only once or twice, unless the economic data does not evolve as expected. USD/CHF is testing resistance at 0.8992.  Above, there is resistance at 0.9018 0.8969 and 0.8943 are providing support
by OANDA
USDCHF to continue in the downward move?USDCHF - 24h expiry Broken out of the channel formation to the downside. Our short term bias remains negative. Previous support level of 0.8965 broken. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. 50 4hour EMA is at 0.8987. We look to Sell at 0.8987 (stop at 0.9012) Our profit targets will be 0.8915 and 0.8905 Resistance: 0.8974 / 0.9004 / 0.9020 Support: 0.8950 / 0.8930 / 0.8912 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA