Will USDCHF reverse its course due to the new SNB's prospect?Macro theme:
- Swiss inflation unexpectedly slowed to 0.6% in Oct—the lowest in over three years—raising expectations that the SNB may opt for a more significant 0.5% rate cut in Dec to keep inflation within its 0-2% target range.
- Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25% but issued a slightly more hawkish statement.
Technical theme:
- USDCHF broke the descending channel after testing both EMAs, which just golden crossed each other, indicating a bullish momentum exists.
- USDCHF may retest the broken descending trendline, confluence with the support level around 0.8693-0.8700 before resuming its upward movement to retest 0.8825.
- On the contrary, a closing below 08626 may prompt a deeper correction to a nearby support around 0.8550.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Usdchf!
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8701
1st Support: 0.8634
1st Resistance: 0.8774
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.86800 zone, USDCHF was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.86900 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
Could the price drop from here?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is reacting on the pivot which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8773
1st Support: 0.8698
1st Resistance: 0.8809
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF H4 | Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 0.8698, which is a pullback support close to 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.8801, which is a pullback resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.8611, which is an overlap support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/CHF Drops Below 100 SMA Is More Losses Ahead?FxNews —USD/CHF pulled back from the 38.2% Fibonacci level and flipped below the 100-period SMA. The immediate resistance rests at 0.870; if it holds, the bears will likely extend the downtrend to 0.857.
A close above the 0.870 critical resistance invalidates the USD/CHF bearish strategy.
USD/CHF FVG Bearish Gap Hints at Stronger DowntrendFxNews —USD/CHF tested the 100-period simple moving average. Consequently, the 4-hour price chart formed a bearish fair value gap , indicating that the bear market strengthens. Additionally, the AO histogram turned red, suggesting the downtrend should resume.
The immediate support rests at the November 4 low, the 0.861 mark. From a technical perspective, the downtrend should continue if USD/CHF closes below 0.861. In this scenario, the bearish trend will likely extend to the 23.6% Fibonacci support level at 0.857.
Please note that the bearish outlook will be invalidated if USD/CHF closes and stabilizes above the 0.865 immediate resistance.
USD/CHF Dips: Targeting 0.85735 on Bearish Momentum!The USD/CHF pair is currently experiencing a bearish trend, influenced by recent economic data and broader market sentiment. The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change reported lower-than-expected growth, which signals a potential slowdown in the U.S. economy, adding to the downward pressure on the USD.
With an anticipated target level around 0.85735, the pair shows further downside potential if bearish momentum continues. The upcoming U.S. Presidential election and recent economic indicators have increased market caution, impacting USD strength as investors wait for clearer signals regarding future policy direction.
In addition, traders should monitor upcoming U.S. data releases, as any surprises may either reinforce or counter the current trend. If no significant support emerges from upcoming data, USD/CHF is likely to continue its downward trajectory towards the expected level at 0.85735.
USDCHF Channel Down bottom buy signal.USDCHF is trading inside a (1h) Channel Down with the price currently rebound after a bottom test.
This is a short term buy signal that will be confirmed upon a MA50 (1h) break out.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the MA50 (1h) breaks.
Targets:
1. 0.86650 (+0.67% rise like the previous three rallies.
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is already over its MA trend line. Possibly an early bullish signal.
Please like, follow and comment!!
USD/CHF Breakdown Opportunity: Targeting Next Support Leve"USD/CHF is approaching a critical support zone (highlighted in green). If we see a clear breakout below this level, it could signal strong bearish momentum, aiming for our next support zone marked in gray. 📉
Stay tuned for confirmation of the breakdown, and let's watch how the price reacts in this area. Potential trading opportunity for those looking to ride the trend downwards!
USD/CHF H1 | Falling to multi-swing-low supportUSD/CHF is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.8631 which is a multi-swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 0.8614 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 0.8676 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Weekly FOREX Forecast: USD is STRONG Vs CAD, CHF, & JPYThis is an outlook for the week of Nov 4 - 8th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: CAD, CHF, & JPY future, and USDCAD, USDCHF, and USDJPY.
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I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
USDCHF Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
USDCHF: 04/04/2024Dear Traders,
I wanted to provide you with an update on the USDCHF currency pair. As you know, the DXY has been extremely bullish since the beginning of February, and this has caused the USDCHF to rally without any major corrections. This has been supported by both fundamental and technical factors.
However, we are now seeing some strong bearish behavior on the USD, and this is likely to have a significant impact on USD pairs. In particular, we have some major news coming up tomorrow that is likely to affect the USD pairs significantly.
I will keep you updated on the situation as it develops.
good luck and trade safe
#USDCHF: 500+ Pips Upcoming Bearish Move, Let not miss it! FX:USDCHF
Price has changed the character and turned bearish since last few weeks. indicating price to drop further, currently price is making small correction on daily timeframe. However, there is a strong bearish area which in our view price will be heading towards. In our opinion, if you are planning to trade on USDCHF please wait for price to complete it correction and once the behaviour changes you can enter a sell entry accordingly to your plan and analysis. Thanks.
Team Setupsfx_