USDCHF - Confluence for a long ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. I have a point of interest where there are confluence arguments for a long position, this one is if price fills the imbalance lower and rejects from S/R zone + FIBO 0.5 level + institutional big figure 0.89000.
Fundamental news: Next week on Friday we have NFP and Unemployment Rate in USA, news with high impact on USD. As well, on Thursday we have monthly CPI on CHF.
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Usdchf!
USD/CHF BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello,Friends!
USD-CHF uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.884 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the USD/CHF pair.
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Double zigzag! or bull market maturityDear analysts and traders,
I hope you are doing well and are motivated for the week ahead. I wish you all the success in your business endeavors. Remember that success in trading lies in consistently defining and sticking to your rules.
As someone interested in the Elliott Wave Principle, I find it to be an invaluable tool for market analysis. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering different scenarios that are likely to occur in the market. It should be noted that I do not like to be surprised in the market, and that's why I have different market prospects. I follow them to be sure and recognize the structure that is forming so that I can 100% recognize it.
I will share my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. My perspective on idea analysis is completely unbiased, so if the idea analysis meets your standards, you can use it as a guide to make an informed decision.
I have attached my previous analysis of the same market so that you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand. However, having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily.
I have been studying the Elliott Wave Principle for almost three years now, and over time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has grown. What I have achieved so far is the legacy of a genius called Ralph Nelson Eliot, and I am really happy with my progress. May peace be upon him.
Thank you for your support so far. I will always remember your kindness. Please share your comments and criticisms with me.
I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best.
Sincerely,
Mr. Nobody
Strifor || USDJPY-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: The Japanese yen continues to be the weakest currency among the majors. Buy priority for the USDJPY currency pair has not only a medium-term framework, but also a long-term one. The reason for this is the low rate and the inaction of the Central Bank of Japan . You can't achieve anything with words.
The current squeeze towards the maximum of the previous year in the near future may push the price to the level of 154 . The more likely scenario №1 is already in the works. Scenario №2 - assumes a preliminary fall towards the level of 150 , which is unlikely. Using two scenarios simultaneously and reasonable risk management, you can safely accumulate a medium-term long position with a target at level 154 .
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Strifor || USDCHF-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: SELL
Comment: Despite the fact that a medium-term fall in the American currency is expected, including in the USDCHF currency pair, it should be noted that the franc is one of the weakest among the majors (the situation is only worse for the Japanese yen ). Here, we can draw the conclusion that it is better to take a closer look at the USDCAD pair or EURUSD.
However, we highlight two scenarios for selling the USDCHF currency pair. Most likely, there will be a slight update of the maximum, that is, an increase towards 0.91000 ( scenario №1 ). We cannot exclude a more aggressive growth towards resistance 0.91475 ( scenario №2 ). The target for the fall is at the level of 0.89000.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Strifor || GOLD-Week StartingPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: In the coming week, gold is expected to approach the level of 2150 , to which all attention was focused a little earlier, and as a result, it was from this support that we recorded another maximum for the metal. However, despite the expected weakening of the US dollar , the metal will, at best, trade near its highs.
We highlight two main scenarios for this week, both aimed in favor of the buyer. As a target, we consider the level of 2200 , and a more likely scenario for this growth is shown in the chart called "scenario №1" .
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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USDCHF: Overbought and at the top of the Channel Down.USDCHF is overbought on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 74.650, MACD = 0.007, ADX = 47.655) as it hit the top of the yearly Channel Down. That is exactly on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, where the LH prior was always priced, also after an approximately +8.50% rise. The 1D RSI is making a reversal inside the overbought zone and we are about to form a 1D Golden Cross, which last time emerged after the LH was made. This is a strong bearish signal combination. First we are targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci (TP1 = 0.8600) and if by then the price remains under the 1D MA50, we will extend selling to the bottom of the Channel Down (TP2 = 0.82500) going the full -9.40% distance.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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USDCHF SWING TRADE OF 1O41 PIPS READ DESCRIPTIONBased on the provided analysis, let's elaborate on the potential trade setup for USD/CHF:
1. **Buying Zone**: USD/CHF is currently within a buying zone at the daily timeframe, suggesting a favorable area for long positions. This zone is identified as being around 0.89800, indicating a level where institutions and significant players are heavily accumulating long positions. The profit target (TP) for this trade is set at 0.90200, representing the desired price level for profit-taking.
2. **COT Reports Analysis**: The Commitments of Traders (COT) report indicates a substantial bullish scenario, with 80,000 long positions and 40,000 short positions. This suggests a strong bullish sentiment among institutional traders, reinforcing the potential for upward price movement.
3. **Trader Sentiments**: Trader sentiments show that 62% of traders are holding long positions, while 38% are holding short positions. This sentiment aligns with the bullish bias indicated by the COT reports, further supporting the potential for an upward movement in USD/CHF.
4. **Technical Analysis Indicators**:
- Daily Summary: The daily summary shows a predominantly bullish sentiment, with 90 buy signals, 23 neutral signals, and 12 sell signals.
- Moving Averages: There are 12 buy signals, 1 sell signal, and 1 neutral signal in the moving averages, indicating a bullish bias.
- Oscillators: In the oscillator category, there are 12 buy signals, 3 sell signals, and 2 neutral signals, further reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
- Other Technical Indicators (EMA, SMA, RSI, Stochastic, Stochastic RSI, ATR, Intraday Range, CCI, MACD, HMA, Bull Bear Power, VWMA): These indicators all signal buying opportunities, indicating a strong bullish bias.
5. **Trade Parameters**:
- Profit Target: The profit target for this trade is set at 1041 pips, which represents an 11.54% profit potential. This suggests a significant profit-taking opportunity.
- Multiple Take Profit Levels (TPs): There are 6 TP levels indicated by yellow horizontal lines, providing traders with various opportunities to scale out of their positions as the price progresses towards the profit target.
In conclusion, the technical analysis, combined with COT reports and trader sentiments, suggests a strong bullish outlook for USD/CHF. The trade setup presents a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with a clear profit target and multiple take profit levels to capture potential gains along the way. However, traders should remain vigilant and monitor the trade closely, adjusting their positions as per market dynamics and risk management principles.
USDCHF SHORT 650 PIPS READ DESCRIPTIONThe analysis for USD/CHF indicates that the currency pair is currently at a major resistance and supply zone, ranging from 0.90117 to 0.89700. This zone has attracted significant attention from big players and institutions, who have been actively entering short orders in bulk. The latest data reveals that there were 29,160 short entries and 11,000 long entries from big players and institutions. This results in an overall net short position of 57% and a net long position of 14%. Over the last three months, the total net position of shorts has been 79%, while longs accounted for 21% of the market sentiment.
In our trade strategy, we set a 40-pip stop loss to manage potential losses. With a target of 657.8 pips and a profit potential of 7.33%, the risk-to-reward ratio stands at a favorable 7.43. This indicates that the potential reward significantly outweighs the risk. Additionally, we have set four target prices to secure profits at various levels, providing flexibility in managing the trade and locking in gains as the price moves in our favor.
It's essential to always manage risk diligently in trading. Traders should adhere to their risk management strategies, including setting stop losses, controlling position sizes, and diversifying portfolios, to protect their capital from significant losses. By prioritizing risk management, traders aim to ensure the longevity of their trading endeavors and navigate market uncertainties effectively.
In summary, the analysis suggests a bearish outlook for USD/CHF, supported by the presence of a major resistance and supply zone and favorable institutional sentiment. By implementing a well-defined trading strategy and managing risk effectively, traders aim to capitalize on potential price movements while safeguarding their investments.
USDCHF Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaUSDCHF shows a daily bullish bias after clearing significant structural resistance. Watch for exhaustion as it tests the next major resistance zone. My video demonstrates a potential long setup using a Fibonacci retracement. This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be taken as direct trading advice.
Sell Signals Looming? This Pair Nears Crucial SELL ZoneThis pair has been on a strong upward trend since the beginning of the year, following a significant drop at the end of December. At that time, I shared my first trading idea for 2024 on TradingView.
You can find that idea linked in a related post at the bottom of this discussion. That trading strategy was spot on, hitting our target of 0.88, although I had mentioned the possibility of climbing even higher, beyond 0.90, due to certain key levels.
And that's precisely what happened. The price is now nearing the SELL/SUPPLY zone at 0.91. This level was established in September 2023 and initiated the decline to 0.83. So, what comes next? Is it time to sell?
If we examine the weekly chart below, you'll see a SELL/SUPPLY level right beneath the monthly one, which I believe was the real trigger for the descent to the new lows. The initial drop (indicated by a red arrow) did not set a new low, with the market pausing before plummeting sharply for eight consecutive weeks.
This is the zone where selling should be considered, especially as the market has been rising for nearly 13 straight weeks and appears to be extremely overbought as we enter the Weekly SELL/SUPPLY zone between 0.90 & 0.91.
The Daily chart shows that momentum hasn't diminished significantly and remains strong. This suggests that we might see a minor pullback towards 0.88 before another surge to the swing high @0.92, followed by another sell-off (refer to the chart below).
I'll now begin searching for SELL signals on the 4hr timeframe with the TRFX indicator, aiming for a short-term sell position towards 0.88 or possibly lower, around 0.86.
Price may continue its ascent towards 0.92 without the short-term pullback, given the strength in the daily trend, and then proceed to sell-off. Hence, I will also be preparing for this scenario and look to add to my position if the price moves up.
In the longer term, this pair is still bearish on the Monthly charts, and a bullish trend would only be confirmed by a clean break and close above 0.92, which could then open the path for moves all the way back to 1.04.
For now, I anticipate a sell-off from these levels given the overstretched 13-week bullish run and entry into a key Monthly SELL/SUPPLY zone that precipitated last year's lows.
Let me know your thoughts below.
Potential bearish reversalUSDCHF is rising toward an overlap resistance and could potentially fall to a support level.
Alternatively, if the price breaks above the pivot, it could continue to rise to the next resistance level
Pivot: 0.9098
Support: 0.8903
Resistance: 0.9221
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF, a setup for the bulls.USDCHF / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
USDCHF is trading in a downtrend. However, the price bounced back from a Macro level which sent the price up changing the current trend.
Probability suggests we get at least a few more sideways for now down then another leg higher.
Check out the chart for what I'll be waiting for after price action confirmation on LTF.
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
USD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
USD/CHF is making a bullish rebound on the 6H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 0.887 level.
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Shorting USD/CHF (US Dollar vs Swiss Franc)
OANDA:USDCHF USD/CHF: Hunting Profits in the Land of Watches and Cheese!
Looking for a chance to grab some pips in the forex market? Take a trip to the land of watches and cheese and short USD/CHF at 0.90274 for a potential sweet reversal!
Prediction:
A break above 0.90274 could trigger a downward spiral for USD/CHF.
First target is 0.8950, followed by 0.8782 - be ready to lock in profits at these levels!
Remember:
Watch out for the market whales! Stay tuned for economic news and events.
Manage your risk wisely. Don't go all-in - enter with a small position size.
This is just a suggestion, always do your own research before entering any trade.
🔥 XAU/USD - Ready for LONG ? (READ THE CAPTION)By re-examining the gold chart in the weekly and 1-hour time frame, we see that after the price growth up to $2200, the price faced selling pressure after collecting liquidity above the previous high and was able to fall even to $2162! Pay attention that yesterday I specified 3 important levels for you ($2173, $2168, $2162), which after the price reached the first two levels, gold managed to grow by more than 180 pips up to $2186! After that, the price fell to the third level of $2162 and rose again with 75 pips to $2170! Now the price is trading in the range of $2166! The possibility of price growth to higher levels is high, and the possible targets of this growth are $2173, $2180, $2196, and $2203, respectively! The new demand ranges are $2157 to $2160, $2150 to $2155, and $2146 to $2146 respectively!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Pullback support at 23.6% Fibonacci retracementUSD/CHF could bounce off a pullback support at 0.88737 which has been identified as a pivot point. Could price potentially bounce off this level to climb higher?
Pivot: 0.88737
Support: 0.87424
Resistance: 0.90410
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
USDCHF - Price can little correct and then continue move upHi guys, this is my overview for USDCHF, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price entered a rising channel, where it declined to support line and then bounced up to $0.8580 level.
Then price broke this level and later made retest, after which CHF rose to $0.8880 level, but at once bounced below.
Price declined to support line of rising channel and then made upward impulse back to $0.8880 level and broke it.
After this movement, CHF fell to support area, but soon turned around and continued to move up.
Not long ago, Swiss Franc rose a little and started to fall, so I think that price can fall almost to support level.
Also then CHF can turn around and continue to move up to $0.9130 resistance line of rising channel.
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