USDCHF sell setup with 10 to 30 R:R depending where you put StopI believe we will have USD weakness next weak. As it showed us last week. So will be shifting my analysis to sell USDCHF instead of buying before.
Usdchf!
USDCHF: Capitalizing on Fed's March Rate Cut WarningHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.86350 zone, USDCHF was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.86350 support and resistance area.
While technically USDCHF shows signs of a potential buying opportunity around the 0.86350 zone, it's essential to consider recent fundamental developments. The Federal Reserve's recent announcement, indicating no plans for a rate cut in March, has influenced market sentiment towards the US dollar. This cautious stance from the Fed has implications for USDCHF, potentially bolstering the dollar's strength against the Swiss franc. Traders should keep a close eye on how this fundamental factor interacts with the technical setup to make informed trading decisions
Trade safe,
Joe.
✅USD_CHF TIME TO SELL|SHORT🔥
✅USD_CHF broke the rising
Support and the breakout
Is confirmed so I think that
We will see a further
Move down
SHORT🔥
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#USDCHF → Movement in the descending channelIn time h2, it is moving in a downward channel, which is located in the support zone, which, if confirmed, can continue to correct until the golden zone of the previous wave after retesting the ceiling of the channel.
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USDCHF_1DAnalysis of the Swiss Franc The market is in a downward channel and can continue to decline as long as the downward channel is maintained Main resistance 0.87400 Maintaining this resistance is important to continue the descent.
USDCHF H4 I Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 0.8553, which is a an overlap support.
Our take profit will be at 10.8597, which is a pullback resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.8515, which is below the 127.2% Fibo extension
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Swiss Franc Resilience: USD/CHF Faces Headwinds Amid Economic..Swiss Franc Resilience: USD/CHF Faces Headwinds Amid Economic Disparities
In the realm of global currencies, the Swiss Franc (CHF) stands out as a resilient force, navigating economic landscapes vastly different from its European neighbors. Recent data reveals a slip in Switzerland's Producer and Import Prices in December, impacting currency dynamics. This article explores the recent performance of the CHF against the USD, shedding light on the economic context that shapes its trajectory.
Economic Disparities and CHF Strength:
Switzerland's economic environment starkly contrasts with that of its immediate European neighbors. The nation boasts inflation comfortably within the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) 2% maximum target and maintains a robust domestic economy. This economic strength has contributed to the resilience of the Swiss Franc.
Recent Currency Performance:
The CHF showcased its strength by rebounding on Friday, finding resistance at 0.8700 against the USD. The USD/CHF pair has experienced a climb of approximately 4.5% since hitting a 12-year low in December.
A Year of CHF Ascendancy:
Throughout 2023, the CHF gained significant value, surging nearly 18% against the US Dollar from the Q3 2022 peak of 1.1047. This upward trajectory has posed challenges for the SNB, limiting its ability to fine-tune policy using foreign currency reserves.
SNB's Warning and Implications:
Faced with the persistent strength of the CHF, the SNB issued a warning to the broader markets. The central bank emphasized that further appreciation of the CHF could transfer disinflationary pressure directly into the Swiss economy. This acknowledgment underscores the delicate balance the SNB must strike to preserve economic stability.
Market Outlook for USD/CHF:
Given the prevailing economic disparities and the SNB's warning, our outlook for USD/CHF leans towards a new pullback in the direction of the downtrend for the USD. Our target is set around 0.8400, reflecting the challenges faced by the USD against the resilient Swiss Franc.
Conclusion:
As the Swiss Franc maintains its strength in the face of economic disparities, the USD/CHF pair encounters headwinds. The CHF's ascendancy throughout 2023 and the SNB's cautionary stance signal potential challenges for the USD in the coming months. Traders should keep a close eye on economic indicators and central bank communications, recognizing the intricate dynamics influencing the USD/CHF pair in this evolving financial landscape.
Our preference
Short positions Below 0.88200 with targets at 0.85200 & 0.8400 in extension.
following the extension of the downward trend in the weakness ofDear Friends,
I hope this message finds you well and that you're having a great start to the week. I wish you success in your business endeavors.
As someone interested in the Elliott Wave principle, I find it a valuable tool for analyzing the market. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering various scenarios that are likely to occur in the market.
I am sharing my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. I aim to share my unbiased analysis with you so that you can use it as a guide to make informed decisions.
The first analysis is Litecoin
In the attachment, you will find my previous analysis of the same market, so you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand (although having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily).
I have been studying the Elliott Wave principle for almost three years now. With time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has increased. What I have achieved so far is a legacy of a genius named Ralph Nelson Elliott, and I am truly satisfied with my progress. May his soul rest in peace and his memory be cherished.
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⚡️Strifor || EURUSD-Fed MeetingPreferred direction: SELL
Comment: As before, despite everything, we continue to adhere to sales in euros. The main target for the fall is the level of 1.07000 , which is also relevant before the upcoming Fed meeting. Of course, more attention will be focused on the press-conference and what mood the regulator will show. If the scenario with the ECB repeats, where it indicated a likely rate cut, then of course this will not benefit the American currency. In this case, the instrument will most likely recover to the level of 1.09000 and even try to update local highs near this level. However, if the rhetoric is more hawkish, then of course this will allow the US dollar to remove all leverage and go to 1.07000 and possibly even lower. Here it should be noted that technically and in terms of volumes, everything is on the side of the dollar .
Before the Fed meeting and, in fact, a busy day, since we are expecting the release of inflation in Germany and preliminary data on non-farm , we highlight two scenarios for selling the euro , since this is the main direction now.
Thank you for like and share your views!
BUY TRADE SETUP ON USDCHFHey Trader,
Check this analysis out on USDCHF
After the FOMC data that simply put Dollar in a more stable state, USDCHF has successfully retested the previously broken Resistance zone (supply) and is moving toward the upside.
Keep a close tab on this one.
USDCHF H4 | Bearish reversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.8652, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 0.8572, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.8727, a swing-high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
ABC for UCHFHere I have USD/CHF on the 4 Hr Chart!
After its failed attempt to break Higher at Point B, I believe we will be looking for price to Break Confirmation of the possible Correction Wave @ .86061 to continue Lower to possibly the .84950 - .84459 area!
INVALIDATION is @ .86849
USD/CHF Retreats Amidst Lower US Treasury YieldsUSD/CHF Retreats Amidst Lower US Treasury Yields
The USD/CHF currency pair is currently navigating a complex landscape, marked by a pullback in the US Dollar, potentially fueled by lower US Treasury yields. Despite the initial cheers from hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve officials, the Greenback finds itself facing challenges, with risk aversion sentiment lending some support. Additionally, the Swiss Franc has experienced selling pressure, triggered by concerns raised by Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Thomas Jordan regarding the impact of CHF's strength on inflation and the broader domestic economy.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, the forecast remains clear, indicating a possible continuation of the bearish trend. The failure to breach the resistance at 0.8700, coupled with the rejection at the confluence of the Dynamic trendline and the 78.6% Fibonacci level, suggests that the bears might still have the upper hand. Traders are keenly watching for any signs of a new bearish impulse aligning with the established downtrend.
SNB's Inflation Concerns:
The recent selling pressure on the Swiss Franc can be attributed to SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan's expressed worries about the CHF's strength and its potential impact on the SNB's ability to maintain inflation above zero. This concern arises despite some positive economic indicators, such as a slight increase in Swiss consumer prices in December and an improvement in consumer demand in November.
Economic Indicators:
While recent economic indicators paint a mixed picture, with positive signs in consumer prices and demand, Swiss Producer and Import Prices (YoY) witnessed a decline in December, following a similar trend in November. These more moderate figures may temper the SNB's decision-making in the upcoming meeting, as they grapple with the delicate balance of supporting economic recovery while ensuring inflation remains within a stable range.
SNB's Commitment to Monetary Policy:
In the SNB's last policy update in December, the central bank reiterated its commitment to adjusting monetary policy if necessary to maintain inflation within a range consistent with price stability over the medium term. The cautious stance suggests that despite the recent economic fluctuations, the SNB remains vigilant and ready to act to ensure economic stability.
Conclusion:
As the USD/CHF pair faces headwinds from lower US Treasury yields and the SNB's inflation concerns, traders are keeping a close eye on technical indicators and the broader economic landscape. The failure to breach key resistance levels indicates a potential continuation of the bearish trend. However, the SNB's commitment to adjusting monetary policy underscores the uncertainty in the current economic environment. Traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies accordingly, considering both technical and fundamental factors shaping the USD/CHF trajectory.
Our preference
Short positions Below 0.88200 with targets at 0.85200 & 0.8400 in extension.
Sell USDCHF Channel BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the H1 chart exhibits a bearish signal suggesting a potential decline in the coming hours. A recent downside breakout from a descending channel pattern could offer a shorting opportunity.
Key Points:
Descending Channel Breakout: The price has been trending downwards within a channel defined by two falling lines, one for resistance and one for support. This indicates ongoing selling pressure and potential for further decline.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price near 0.8620, offering an entry point close to the breakout level.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 0.8540 and 0.8470, marking previous support zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance line of the broken channel at 0.8700
Fundamental Updates :
Stronger Swiss Franc: The Swiss Franc has been gaining strength recently due to its safe-haven appeal amidst global economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions. This could put downward pressure on USD/CHF.
Thank you
USDCHF Bearish Breakout!USD-CHF was trading along
The rising support line
But now we are seeing
A bearish breakout and
The breakout is confirmed
So I will be expecting
A further move down!
USDCHFUSDCHF is in strong bullish trend and also form bullish flag pattern. Recently the instrument has break through important support zone.
Now the price is trading within the bullish flag and seems like it getting ready to break it.
Will the buyers took benefits from these bearish confluences?
