USD/CHF H1 | Rising into overlap resistanceUSD/CHF is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.9058 which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.9090 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.9000 which is a swing-low support.
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Usdchf!
USDCHF Be ready for these trades based on the 1D MA50.The USDCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 06 2024 bottom. This is inside a larger Rectangle in which the pair is consolidating for the past 1.5 year.
The bottom of the Channel Up is being tested again today for the 2nd time since January 27, which was a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test. This is the key of the pair's trend technically in our opinion.
The current level being so close to the 1D MA50, is the ideal short-term buy entry to target Resistance 1 at 0.92265 on the lowest risk. If the price breaks below the 1D MA50 however, we will quickly take the minimal loss and reverse to selling the bounce near 0.9100, as this bearish break-out took place on both previous Channel Up patterns on May 15 2024 and October 19 2023.
In that case the trade will be long-term, targeting just above Support 1 at 0.84000.
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USD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the USD/CHF pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 0.905.
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Market Analysis: USD/CHF Takes HitMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Takes Hit
USD/CHF declined and now struggling below the 0.9120 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today
- USD/CHF declined below the 0.9160 and 0.9120 support levels.
- There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support
USD/CHF Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from well above the 0.9180 zone. The US Dollar dropped below the 0.9160 support to move into a negative zone against the Swiss Franc.
The bears pushed the pair below the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.9075. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 0.9040 level. A low was formed near 0.9039 and the pair is now consolidating losses.
On the upside, the pair could face resistance near the 0.9075 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.9196 swing high to the 0.9039 low. The next major resistance is near the 0.9120 level.
The 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.9196 swing high to the 0.9039 low is also near 0.9120, above which the pair could test the 0.9160 zone.
If there is a clear break above the 0.9160 resistance zone, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could even surpass 0.9200.
On the downside, immediate support on the USD/CHF chart is 0.9040. The first major support is near the 0.9020 level. The next major support is near 0.9000. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move toward the 0.8880 level in the coming days.
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USDCHF Updatethis pair has formed and ascending channel on a higher timeframe
and formed also a double top
so now we're waiting for this pair to hit the down trendline of the channel so we can look or a long position on a lower timeframe
once the channel is broken and the candle lose below the last touch we will enter a short position also targeting take profit on 0.76 fib retracement
Follow for more
USDCHF H4 |Pullback before falling?Based on the H4 chart, the price has broken below our sell entry level at 0.90805, confirming a potential bearish continuation. This level previously acted as a support zone and is now expected to serve as a resistance.
Our take profit is set at 0.89869, aligning with a key support level, where price may find buying pressure.
The stop loss is placed at 0.91458, a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/CHF is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.9033
1st Support: 0.8971
1st Resistance: 0.9086
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USDCHF to find buyers at market price?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains positive.
The primary trend remains bullish.
We look to buy dips. 50
4hour EMA is at 0.9094.
Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low.
We look to Buy at 0.9095 (stop at 0.9068)
Our profit targets will be 0.9174 and 0.9184
Resistance: 0.9131 / 0.9160 / 0.9197
Support: 0.9093 / 0.9080 / 0.9060
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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#USDCHF WEEKLYUSDCHF (Weekly Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is trading near a strong resistance level, where selling pressure has historically increased. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick has formed in this area, indicating a potential bearish reversal. This pattern suggests that sellers may take control, leading to a possible move lower.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is expected as the price faces rejection from resistance and the sell engulfing pattern signals bearish momentum.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the resistance level after confirmation of continued bearish pressure.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the resistance or the high of the sell engulfing candlestick.
- Take Profit: Target lower support levels for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The combination of strong resistance and a sell engulfing pattern suggests bearish sentiment. Confirmation of further downside movement strengthens the case for a short position while ensuring alignment with market trends.
Bearish drop?USD/CHF is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9136
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.9182
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.9060
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDCHF - Bullish continuation !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I expect price to continue bullish price action after filling the gap and rejecting from support zone + institutional big figure 0.91000.
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USDCHF | Live Price Action LessonIn this lesson we have the major pivots in price action directed with the blue path so that we can easily find the trend and to also figure out how to take action on finding out if this pair is Bullish or Bearish
In this case we see that price is at the same high in the past with tight swings creating a range or also called the distribution phase in the 4 market cycles and these two sings alone are telling us that price is looking bearish for the long term
After knowing what the overall goal is for price action 🐻 we can create a strategy for short positions only and look for entries at high points within the entire range to swing this market
(the pivots are our zones of entry either up/down)
I've also drawn an impulse wave to add more confluence to the according swings Up and Down as both directions have the same pattern
Note: Usually the 1st wave is typically way smaller with the 3rd wave⚡ being the largest and quickest.
Using the 150-day MA can now help you manage the trade in either direction like show on chart
we can see that almost every pivot bounced somewhat around the average line for optimal entry points
At the top like the last setup price action broke below and then retraced back to the MA to confirm if the selloff is true after being rejected.
🎯
The goal for this setup is to capture the entire swing and to scale the position as price falls further with more confirmation along the way
Typical forex traders dont teach this type of method as its harder to manage and unrealistic based on how long its takes (70 days+ give or take)
This is a different approach and would be similar to mid - long term swing trading stocks or crypto but it very possible for forex as well based on your strategy and style
By finding the true pivot points in price action you can easily break the trade down to capture 100 - 200 pips or less but will require you to look at the charts in one way only and not both ☯
as it can be confusing.
If you enjoyed reading this and learned something new to help advance your trading journey please boost this post, share it, and comment your thoughts on this universal strategy so that I can continue to make more, Thanks!🙂
USDCHF - Buy Setup After Resistance BreakOANDA:USDCHF has broken out of its descending channel and is now pulling back to retest the key breakout zone, which aligns with a critical support level. This retest is crucial in confirming the breakout and establishing bullish momentum.
If buyers defend this level and bullish rejection patterns emerge (e.g., bullish engulfing candles or long lower wicks), it could signal the continuation of the upward move. I anticipate a rally toward the 0.91250 level, which has previously acted as a significant area of interest.
This setup aligns with the idea of a break-and-retest pattern, offering an opportunity to join the bullish trend at a favorable entry point.
⚠️ Key considerations:
Monitor the price action closely for confirmation before entering long positions.
If the 0.90650 level fails to hold, a deeper retracement may occur, invalidating the bullish setup.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share in the comments!
USDCHF H4 | FOREX BEEHey Traders,
Looking at the USD/CHF H4 chart, here's my technical analysis:
Observations:
1. Descending Channel:
- The pair is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel, indicating bearish momentum.
- The price recently touched the upper boundary of the channel and appears to be pulling back.
2. Key Levels
- Support Zone (Red Box): Around 0.8965, coinciding with the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement, acting as a strong potential demand zone.
- Resistance Zone (Red Line): Near 0.9140, where previous price reactions and the channel's upper boundary converge.
3. Potential Scenarios:
- Bullish Breakout: If the price breaks above the descending channel and clears 0.9140, it could signal a reversal to the upside.
- Bearish Continuation: If rejection continues at the upper boundary, the price may head toward the 0.8965 zone, potentially retesting the 0.50 Fibonacci level or even lower near 0.8840 (0.236 Fibonacci).
### My Thoughts:
This setup currently favors short-term bearish momentum unless a breakout above 0.9140 occurs. A sell opportunity may arise on rejection near the current level, while a clean break out of the descending channel offers a potential bullish reversal signal.
USDCHF Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.90700 zone, USDCHF is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.90700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
0.89147 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 0.89147 is broken.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.89645 on 01/27/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.91497, 0.92218, 0.94400 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
0.85510
0.86286
0.87474
0.88195
0.89147
0.90367
0.91497
0.92218
0.94400
0.96000
0.99200
1.01453
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USDCHF Support Bounce and Bullish OutlookUSD/CHF is currently trading at 0.91100, showing a strong support level. The expected target price is 0.94000, indicating a potential upside of 300+ pips. The price is bouncing well from a key support level, suggesting a bullish reversal. The support and resistance pattern is playing a crucial role in this setup. Traders anticipate that buyers will push the price higher toward the target. A sustained move above resistance may confirm further bullish momentum. Risk management is essential to handle potential reversals. Market conditions and news events should be monitored. A breakout above resistance can strengthen the bullish trend. Patience and discipline are key to executing this trade successfully.
USDCHF: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current USDCHF chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
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USDCHF → The bullish trend may get its continuationOANDA:USDCHF is entering the realization phase after a prolonged correction. A favorable background is created by the uptrend and rising dollar
The technical outlook on the daily timeframe is very good. The price after breaking the trend resistance tested the previously broken line. The currency pair after the false breakout managed to consolidate above the key point, marking an interim bottom and further prospects.
Technically, the focus is on the resistance at 0.911, if the bulls can overcome this area and consolidate above this level, the currency pair will be able to realize a rise to 0.918 - 0.93.
Resistance levels: 0.911
Support levels: 0.90555
Before breaking the resistance, the currency pair could test 0.90555 due to the liquidity generated below this area. But, the trigger that can provoke further growth is 0.911
Regards MARKET ANALYZER
USDCHF: Should we look for a weaker franc?!The USDCHF pair is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction towards the demand zone, we will be provided with further buying positions in this pair with an appropriate risk-reward ratio.
The continuation of the pair’s rise and its placement in the supply zone will provide us with a selling position.
The President of the Swiss National Bank (SNB), Schlegel, stated in an interview with SRF that while the SNB does not favor negative interest rates, it also cannot completely rule them out. He emphasized that implementing such a policy would not be a decision taken lightly.
In recent weeks, Schlegel has repeatedly mentioned the possibility of negative interest rates, particularly in light of Switzerland’s inflation dropping to 0.6% in December, which has raised concerns about deflation. However, he noted that temporary periods of negative inflation would not necessarily pose a problem.Additionally, Schlegel reaffirmed the SNB’s commitment to maintaining price stability over the medium term, within the 0–2% target range.
Currently, market expectations indicate a 60% probability that the SNB will cut interest rates from 0.5% to 0.25% in March, with a 25% chance of rates reaching 0% by June.
In the United States, GDP data for Q4 2024 showed that the economy grew at an annualized 2.3% rate—below market expectations (2.6%) and lower than the 3.1% growth seen in the previous quarter. However, a 2.5% year-over-year growth rate remains substantial and aligns with the Federal Reserve’s outlook.
A key takeaway from the recent GDP report is the strong performance of U.S. consumers, who exceeded expectations with 4.2% growth in spending. According to CIBC, American consumers have shown a notable preference for durable goods, with spending in this category surging 12.1% last quarter—a figure significantly above pre-pandemic trends.
However, CIBC warns that other sectors of the economy are not as strong. Business investments remain weak, and government spending has played a crucial role in supporting economic growth. Additionally, a 0.9% decline in inventories, driven by weather disruptions and labor strikes, has negatively impacted GDP growth.
These factors are expected to persist into Q1 2025, as businesses stockpile inventory ahead of potential tariffs. However, when stripping out inventory effects, final sales to domestic buyers remain strong at 3.1%, which is nearly in line with the two-year average.
CIBC also believes that consumer spending will remain resilient, supported by rising asset-related incomes and millennials’ enthusiasm for technology and discretionary spending. That said, trade tariffs could ultimately shave 1% off GDP growth, with their effects likely to linger for some time.
Overall, CIBC concludes that while GDP growth may slow slightly under a Trump presidency, the decline is unlikely to cause major concern for the Federal Reserve. Fed Chair Jerome Powell remains more focused on rising prices, their impact on inflation expectations, and wage pressures, as the economy remains strong but inflation is not yet fully controlled.
Today’s data reinforces the Fed’s data-dependent approach. Underlying growth is still around 3%, and there is no indication that consumers are scaling back spending, suggesting that they can absorb moderate price increases.
As a result, Nomura now expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged through the end of 2025, revising its earlier forecast, which had anticipated at least one rate cut in 2025.